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    PEP
    Earnings call· Sep 2025(Q3 FY25)

    PEPSICO INC PEP

    Oct 9, 2025 Source

    Executive summary

    PepsiCo Q3 FY25 — Strategic Initiatives Drive Optimism for Accelerated Growth

    PepsiCo is aggressively pursuing a portfolio transformation and cost structure optimization to reignite top-line growth and improve margins. The company is focused on 'brilliant at the basics' and leveraging innovation in high-growth areas like protein and functional hydration. While Q3 saw some volume pressures, particularly in foods, management is optimistic about sequential improvement and a return to its long-term net revenue growth targets within the next year, driven by strategic interventions and technology adoption.

    Highlights

    5
    • Beverage volume grew in the quarter, excluding case pack water divestment, with Pepsi brand showing positive momentum.

    • Service levels improved significantly to 97%-98% in both food and beverage businesses, enhancing customer relations.

    • International business saw strong September performance, returning to mid- to high mid-single-digit growth after a weaker summer.

    • Strong innovation pipeline, including protein-focused products and cleaner labels, is expected to capture growth pockets.

    • Strategic acquisitions like poppi, Siete, and Sabra are showing growth, with Alani Nu to be incorporated later in the year.

    Concerns

    4
    • Volume pressures continue in both food and beverage businesses, partly due to a changed promo strategy in foods impacting Q3 volume.

    • Frito-Lay North America (PFNA) experienced deleverage, requiring active actions around supply chain and fixed costs.

    • International business had a weaker summer due to weather and other elements in some large markets, though September improved.

    • Consumer is stressed globally, making choiceful decisions, particularly in China and for the Hispanic cohort in the U.S.

    Guidance & targets

    6
    CategoryTargetConfidence
    International business growth
    mid- to high mid-single digits
    medium materiality
    Medium
    Total company net revenue growth
    within long-term net revenue growth targets
    high materiality
    Medium
    Overall company margin
    improve margins going forward
    high materiality
    High
    PBNA margin expansion
    expand margins at a good pace
    medium materiality
    High
    Frito-Lay North America (PFNA) margin
    starting to bend the curve
    medium materiality
    Medium
    Pepsi brand growth
    continue to grow
    medium materiality
    High

    Segment performance

    3
    SegmentRevenueYoYQoQMargin
    PBNA (PepsiCo Beverages North America)
    Beverage volume grew in the quarter, excluding the impact of case pack water divestment. The Pepsi brand specifically grew volume and net revenue, gaining share. Service levels are very high, appreciated by customers, driving better fill rates and execution. Q3 margin was impacted by tariffs, but Q4 is expected to show margin expansion, leading to positive margin expansion for the full year.
    Volume growth: positive (ex-case pack water)Service levels: 97%-98%
    margin expansion
    Frito-Lay North America (PFNA)
    Volume was impacted by a change in promo strategy, shifting from deep discounts to everyday low value across brands, leading to better revenue realization. The business saw sequential improvement and returned to growth in the last 4 weeks. Service levels are very high. The company is making interventions to rightsize the fixed cost structure, including rationalizing manufacturing nodes, warehouse infrastructure, and go-to-market labor. Productivity per FTE has returned to levels seen a couple of years ago.
    Volume: impacted by promo strategy changeRevenue realization: betterService levels: 97%-98%Productivity per FTE: at levels of a couple of years ago
    starting to bend the curve
    International
    Experienced a weaker summer due to weather and other elements in some large markets. September showed strong performance, returning to mid- to high mid-single-digit growth. The international business is accretive to the company and continues to scale and become more profitable, which is expected to continue in 2026.
    mid- to high mid-single-digit growthaccretive to the company

    Operational metrics

    9
    Service levels
    97%-98%
    Q3 FY25

    Service levels are very high on both businesses, well appreciated by customers, driving better fill rates and execution.

    Productivity per FTE
    at the levels of a couple of years ago
    Q3 FY25

    Frito-Lay has been able to get to these metrics with the reduction of fixed costs done in the last 6-7 months.

    Pepsi brand momentum
    growing globally
    Q3 FY25

    Relaunch of Pepsi 1.5 years ago in the U.S. and a bit more in international has been a great success, with momentum in many markets.

    Away-from-home growth
    2 to 3xvs. retail business
    Q3 FY25

    Away-from-home is growing very fast for PepsiCo, significantly outpacing the retail business.

    PBNA margin impact
    Q3 FY25

    Q3 was impacted by tariffs, but Q4 is expected to show margin expansion again to complete a positive margin expansion for the full year.

    International business performance
    back to mid-single digit -- high mid-single-digit performance
    last month

    September was very good in international, indicating a return to stronger performance after a weaker summer.

    Frito-Lay North America (PFNA) growth
    grew
    last 4 weeks

    The business actually grew in the last 4 weeks, the last period that was closed, making management optimistic.

    Mountain Dew Baja Blast retail value
    $1 billion
    current

    Baja Blast is a very solid platform, reaching $1 billion in retail value when including both PepsiCo's sales and Taco Bell sales.

    Propel CAGR
    double-digit
    last 5-6 years

    Propel has been growing at a double-digit CAGR for the last 5-6 years, indicating strong performance in functional hydration.

    Industry KPIs

    6
    MetricValueDetails
    Category brand sharegrew share
    Gross operating marginimprove margins
    Organic revenue growthgoing back to algorithm
    Geographic regional mixmid- to high mid-single-digit performance
    Unit case volume growthgrew volume
    Pack architecture pricing actionseveryday low value or better value

    Product announcements

    7
    ProductTypeDetails
    Lay'slaunch
    Tostitoslaunch
    Gatoradelaunch
    Muscle Milklaunch
    Propel for GLP-1 consumerslaunch
    Naked platformlaunch
    Dirty Dewlaunch

    Deals & partnerships

    4
    poppiStrategic acquisition to reshape portfolio

    Acquisition of poppi, now integrated into PepsiCo's system, showing benefits from physical availability and growth.

    SieteStrategic acquisition to reshape portfolio

    Acquisition of Siete, showing growth within PepsiCo's portfolio.

    SabraStrategic acquisition to reshape portfolio

    Acquisition of Sabra, showing growth within PepsiCo's portfolio.

    Alani NuStrategic acquisition to reshape portfolio

    Alani Nu will be incorporated into PepsiCo's portfolio later in the year, expected to accelerate the portfolio.

    Risks & headwinds

    5
    Volume pressures in food and beverage businessesQ3 FY25

    impacted Q3 volume in foods

    Mitigation: Changed promo strategy to everyday low value, improved service levels, strong innovation pipeline, focus on core brand relaunches.

    Deleverage in Frito-Lay North America (PFNA)Q3 FY25

    impacted Q3

    Mitigation: Aggressive actions on supply chain and fixed costs, rationalizing manufacturing nodes, optimizing warehouse infrastructure, rightsizing go-to-market labor.

    Weaker summer in international marketssummer

    a bit of a blip

    Mitigation: Strong September performance, expected return to mid- to high mid-single-digit growth for the balance of the year.

    Global consumer stress and choiceful decisionsforeseeable future

    consumers are very stretched

    Mitigation: Focus on affordability, value, and right price points; competing with private label; portfolio transformation towards consumer trends (clean labels, ingredients).

    Tariff impact on PBNA marginsQ3 FY25

    impacted Q3

    Mitigation: Expected margin expansion in Q4 to complete positive margin expansion for the full year.

    What to watch in Q4 FY25

    5

    PFNA organic sales performance

    Q4 FY25
    Currentreturned to growth in last 4 weeks
    Targetflat organic sales performance

    Why it matters

    Indicates the effectiveness of 'brilliant at the basics' and cost interventions in the largest food segment.

    I think you mentioned an expectation for PFNA to get back to kind of flat organic sales performance in the fourth quarter and that you actually saw the business return to growth in the last month.

    Q&A highlights

    6

    How much are volume pressures impacted by smaller pack sizes vs. category trends/share loss? How should we think about future volume growth, especially with innovation?

    Beverage volume grew excluding case pack water divestment, with Pepsi performing well. Food volume was impacted by a promo strategy change, but the business grew in the last 4 weeks. Optimistic about acceleration, with a balance between volume growth and price realization. Innovation and improved service levels will drive growth.

    In Foods, we changed the promo strategy in the summer, and we went rather than very deep on a particular brand as we did in '24. We try to provide everyday low value or better value to -- across all the brands. That impacted the volume, better revenue realization, so probably a more balanced growth of the category and our competitiveness in the category.

    asked by Bonnie Herzog · answered by Ramon Laguarta

    2 min read6 chapters

    Detailed Narrative

    01

    Reigniting Top-Line Growth and Portfolio Transformation

    PepsiCo is implementing a comprehensive strategy to accelerate revenue growth, focusing on 'brilliant at the basics' such as improved service levels, optimal pricing, and enhanced customer execution. The company is relaunching three major brands—Lay's, Tostitos, and Gatorade—to drive growth in its core business. These relaunches are underway for Lay's and Tostitos, with Gatorade following in Q1-Q2 FY26, aiming to return to the long-term growth algorithm throughout FY26.

    02

    Innovation in High-Growth Categories

    Innovation is critical, with a strong focus on platforms like protein, permissible snacks, and functional hydration. New protein-focused products include a relaunched Muscle Milk, Starbucks and protein, Doritos protein, Quaker protein, and a new Propel product for GLP-1 consumers with special electrolytes, fiber, and protein. The company is also moving towards 'no artificials' across its portfolio, introducing a 'Naked' platform with no colors or artificials, and exploring new oils like avocado and olive oil for snack platforms.

    03

    Cost Structure Optimization and Margin Expansion

    PepsiCo expects overall company margins to improve, driven by the continuous scaling and profitability of its international business and margin expansion in PBNA. In Frito-Lay North America (PFNA), the company is actively addressing deleverage by rationalizing manufacturing nodes, optimizing warehouse infrastructure, and rightsizing its go-to-market operations. These interventions, including leveraging technology and global capability centers, are expected to bend the cost curve and provide carryover benefits into FY26.

    04

    International Market Dynamics and Consumer Behavior

    The international business experienced a weaker Q3 due to weather impact🌐s in some large markets, but September showed strong recovery, returning to mid- to high mid-single-digit growth. While the global consumer is generally stressed, with choiceful decisions observed in China and for the Hispanic cohort in the U.S., growth continues in markets like India (despite weather impact🌐s) and Brazil. PepsiCo is focused on developing per capita consumption internationally and adapting to diverse regional realities.

    05

    Pepsi Brand Momentum and Beverage Portfolio Strategy

    The Pepsi brand has shown positive momentum, particularly with the success of Zero Sugar internationally and a focus on away-from-home and meal occasions in the U.S. Flavors like wild cherry and cream are attracting younger consumers. The company plans to expand the Mountain Dew platform with 'Dirty Dew' creamy flavors and relaunch Gatorade with a focus on superior hydration, aiming to grow the category faster and convey the benefits of its electrolyte combinations.

    06

    Engagement with Activist Investor and Strategic Alignment

    PepsiCo has engaged in constructive and collaborative interactions with activist investor Elliott, finding alignment on the belief that the company is undervalued and has significant opportunities for improvement. Many of Elliott's recommendations are already integrated into PepsiCo's Strategy 2030, including portfolio transformation, simplification, and cost reduction to fuel future growth. Management is optimistic that ongoing dialogues will drive positive change and shareholder value.

    AI-generated summary of the company’s earnings call. Not investment advice.