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    PLTR
    Earnings call· Dec 2024(Q4 FY24)

    Palantir Technologies Inc. PLTR

    Feb 3, 2025 Source

    Executive summary

    Palantir Q4 FY24 — Exceptional Top Line Beat and AI-Driven Growth

    Palantir delivered an exceptional Q4 FY24, driven by strong U.S. commercial and government growth fueled by its AI Platform (AIP) and unique ontology. The company's focus on operationalizing AI for enterprise autonomy has led to significant customer adoption and expansion, particularly in the U.S., while international growth remains a challenge. Management emphasizes its unique culture and product-building approach as key differentiators in the evolving AI landscape, positioning the company for continued leadership in the AI revolution.

    Highlights

    6
    • Revenue grew 36% year-over-year to $828 million, exceeding the high end of prior guidance by over 900 basis points.

    • U.S. Commercial revenue grew 64% year-over-year to $214 million, driven by AI Platform (AIP) demand.

    • Adjusted operating margin expanded to 45%, the strongest in the company's history.

    • Rule of 40 score increased to 81 in Q4, a 13-point sequential increase.

    • Adjusted free cash flow was $517 million, representing a 63% margin for the quarter.

    • Total TCV booked was $1.79 billion, up 56% year-over-year.

    Concerns

    3
    • International commercial revenue grew only 3% year-over-year to $158 million.

    • International business, particularly in Europe, was described as 'anemic' with a 4% growth rate on 13% of the company's business.

    • Revenue from strategic commercial contracts is anticipated to decline to between $4 million and $6 million in Q1 2025, down from $24 million in Q1 2024.

    Guidance & targets

    7
    CategoryTargetConfidence
    Revenue
    $858 million and $862 million
    high materiality
    High
    Adjusted income from operations
    $354 million and $358 million
    high materiality
    High
    Revenue
    $3.741 billion and $3.757 billion
    high materiality
    High
    U.S. commercial revenue growth rate
    at least 54%
    high materiality
    High
    Adjusted income from operations
    $1.551 billion and $1.567 billion
    high materiality
    High
    Adjusted free cash flow
    $1.5 billion and $1.7 billion
    high materiality
    High
    GAAP operating income and net income
    positive in each quarter
    high materiality
    High

    Segment performance

    19
    SegmentRevenueYoYQoQMargin
    Total Company
    Overall revenue growth accelerated, exceeding guidance.
    $828 million36%14%
    Total Company (Full Year)
    Full year revenue performance.
    $2.87 billion29%
    U.S. Business (Full Year)
    Strong full year performance in the U.S.
    $1.9 billion38%
    Commercial
    Q4 commercial revenue performance.
    $372 million31%17%
    Commercial (Full Year)
    Full year commercial revenue performance.
    $1.3 billion29%
    Commercial (excl. strategic contracts)
    Q4 commercial revenue growth excluding strategic commercial contracts.
    37%18%
    Commercial (Full Year, excl. strategic contracts)
    Full year commercial revenue growth excluding strategic commercial contracts.
    36%
    U.S. Commercial
    Unprecedented demand driven by AIP, leading to strong new customer conversions and existing customer expansions.
    TCV booked: $803 millionTCV booked YoY growth: 134%TCV booked sequential growth: 170%Remaining deal value YoY growth: 99%Remaining deal value sequential growth: 47%Customer count: 382Customer count YoY growth: 73%Customer count sequential growth: 19%
    $214 million64%20%
    U.S. Commercial (Full Year)
    Strong full year performance in U.S. Commercial.
    $702 million54%
    U.S. Commercial (excl. strategic contracts)
    Q4 U.S. Commercial revenue growth excluding strategic commercial contracts.
    76%19%
    U.S. Commercial (Full Year, excl. strategic contracts)
    Full year U.S. Commercial revenue growth excluding strategic commercial contracts.
    69%
    International Commercial
    Partially driven by revenue catch-up from a customer in Asia. Focus remains on accelerating U.S. commercial business.
    $158 million3%15%
    International Commercial (Full Year)
    Full year international commercial revenue performance.
    $594 million9%
    Government
    Q4 government revenue performance.
    $455 million40%11%
    Government (Full Year)
    Full year government revenue performance.
    $1.57 billion28%
    U.S. Government
    Acceleration driven by continued execution in existing programs and new awards.
    $343 million45%7%
    U.S. Government (Full Year)
    Full year U.S. government revenue performance.
    $1.2 billion30%
    International Government
    Bolstered by continued work in U.K. health care and defense.
    $112 million28%26%
    International Government (Full Year)
    Full year international government revenue performance.
    $372 million23%

    Operational metrics

    33
    Non-GAAP operating margin
    45%
    Q4 FY24

    Strongest adjusted operating margin in company history.

    Non-GAAP operating margin
    39%
    FY24

    Full year adjusted operating margin.

    Adjusted free cash flow margin
    63%
    Q4 FY24

    Adjusted free cash flow margin for the quarter.

    Adjusted free cash flow margin
    44%
    FY24

    Full year adjusted free cash flow margin.

    Rule of 40 score
    81%13-point sequential increase
    Q4 FY24

    Combined revenue growth and adjusted operating margin.

    Customer count
    71143% year-over-year and 13% sequentially
    Q4 FY24

    Total customer count.

    Trailing 12-month revenue from top 20 customers
    $65 million18% year-over-year
    Q4 FY24

    Revenue from largest customers continues to expand.

    Commercial TCV booked
    $995 million42% growth year-over-year and 63% growth sequentially
    Q4 FY24

    Strongest quarter of commercial TCV booked.

    Strategic commercial contracts revenue
    $9.6 million
    Q4 FY24

    Revenue from strategic commercial contracts for the quarter.

    Adjusted gross margin
    83%
    Q4 FY24

    Adjusted gross margin, excluding stock-based compensation expense.

    Adjusted gross margin
    83%
    FY24

    Full year adjusted gross margin, excluding stock-based compensation expense.

    Adjusted expense
    $455 million1% sequentially and 14% year-over-year
    Q4 FY24

    Adjusted expense for the quarter.

    Adjusted expense
    $1.74 billion9% year-over-year
    FY24

    Full year adjusted expense, primarily driven by investment in AIP and technical talent.

    One-time SAR-related expense acceleration
    $131 million
    Q4 FY24

    Accelerated expense related to market vesting stock appreciation rights (SARs).

    Stock-based compensation expense
    $282 million
    Q4 FY24

    Stock-based compensation expense for the quarter.

    Stock-based compensation expense
    $692 million
    FY24

    Full year stock-based compensation expense.

    Employer-related equity tax expense
    $80 million
    Q4 FY24

    Employer-related equity tax expense for the quarter.

    Employer-related equity tax expense
    $126 million
    FY24

    Full year employer-related equity tax expense.

    GAAP operating income
    $11 million
    Q4 FY24

    GAAP operating income for the quarter.

    GAAP operating income
    $310 million
    FY24

    Full year GAAP operating income.

    GAAP operating income (excluding SAR-related expenses)
    $142 million
    Q4 FY24

    GAAP operating income for the quarter when excluding one-time SAR-related expenses.

    GAAP operating income (excluding SAR-related expenses)
    $442 million
    FY24

    Full year GAAP operating income when excluding one-time SAR-related expenses.

    GAAP net income
    $79 million
    Q4 FY24

    GAAP net income for the quarter.

    GAAP net income
    $462 million
    FY24

    Full year GAAP net income.

    GAAP net income (excluding SAR-related expenses)
    $165 million
    Q4 FY24

    GAAP net income for the quarter when excluding one-time SAR-related expenses.

    GAAP EPS
    $0.03
    Q4 FY24

    GAAP earnings per share for the quarter.

    GAAP EPS
    $0.19
    FY24

    Full year GAAP earnings per share.

    GAAP EPS (excluding SAR-related expenses)
    $0.07
    Q4 FY24

    GAAP earnings per share for the quarter when excluding one-time SAR-related expenses.

    Adjusted EPS
    $0.14
    Q4 FY24

    Adjusted earnings per share for the quarter.

    Adjusted EPS
    $0.41
    FY24

    Full year adjusted earnings per share.

    Share repurchases
    2.1 million
    through Q4 FY24

    Shares repurchased as part of the share repurchase program.

    Remaining share repurchase authorization
    $936 million
    end of Q4 FY24

    Remaining amount of the original share repurchase authorization.

    Cash and investments balance
    $5.2 billion
    end of Q4 FY24

    Total cash, cash equivalents and short-term U.S. Treasury securities.

    Industry KPIs

    7
    MetricValueDetails
    Revenue growth$828 millionUSD
    Rpo current rpo$1.73 billionUSD
    Bookings billings$1.8 billionUSD
    Customer account count711customers
    Large deal new logo metrics32deals
    Operating FCF margin rule of 4081%%
    Net revenue net dollar retention120%%

    Orderbook & backlog

    4
    Total TCV booked$1.79 billionQ4 FY24

    56% year-over-year and 63% sequentially

    Total Contract Value booked across the business.

    U.S. Commercial TCV booked$803 millionQ4 FY24

    134% year-over-year and 170% sequentially

    Strongest quarter of U.S. commercial TCV booked, exceeding next highest quarter by nearly $400 million.

    Total remaining deal value$5.43 billionend of Q4 FY24

    40% year-over-year and 20% sequentially

    Remaining performance obligations (RPO)$1.73 billionend of Q4 FY24

    39% year-over-year and 10% sequentially

    Primarily comprised of commercial business; does not include contracts with initial term less than 12 months or obligations beyond termination for convenience clauses common in government business.

    Product announcements

    3
    ProductTypeDetails
    Warp Speedmilestone
    FedStartmilestone
    Mavenupdate

    Deals & partnerships

    10
    America's largest pharmaciesTCV engagement for workflows including prescription fulfillment and patient outreach$67 million TCV

    Customer since early 2024, signed deal right after pilot.

    American telecom companyTCV expansion deal to manage and accelerate decommissioning of old network technologies$40 million TCV

    Customer for approximately 2 years.

    Leading global insurance organizationACV expansion deal for automating underwriting workflowsnearly $11 million ACV

    Deployed AIP to automate underwriting workflows.

    Panasonic Energy North AmericaAIP expansion for a maintenance assistant

    Created a maintenance assistant to help technicians.

    AndurilCustomer in the inaugural Warp Speed cohort

    Using Palantir's Warp Speed to gain an advantage in manufacturing operating system aspects like automated visual quality inspections and dynamic production scheduling.

    L3HarrisCustomer in the inaugural Warp Speed cohort

    Using Palantir's Warp Speed to gain an advantage in manufacturing operating system aspects.

    U.S. ArmyExtension of long-standing partnership to deliver Army Vantage capabilityup to 4 years

    In support of the Army data platform.

    U.S. Special Operations CommandContract expansion for the first deployment of Mission Manager

    Deployment of Mission Manager to U.S. Special Operations Forces units.

    Rio TintoExtended partnership for AIP4 years

    AIP is making their unstructured data accessible, allowing them to quickly attack complex problems.

    NHS (U.K.)Rollout of the Federated Data Platform

    87 acute NHS trusts and 28 integrated care boards have signed up to use it as of November 2024.

    Risks & headwinds

    4
    Anemic International Commercial GrowthFY24

    4% growth rate on 13% of company business

    Mitigation: Focused on accelerating growth in the U.S. commercial business, while capitalizing on targeted growth opportunities in Asia and the Middle East.

    Decline in Strategic Commercial Contracts RevenueQ1 FY25

    Expected decline to $4 million-$6 million in Q1 2025 from $24 million in Q1 2024

    AI Arms Race with ChinaOngoing

    Models commoditizing, IP theft, economic war, diplomatic war, military competition

    Mitigation: Emphasizing the need for a 'whole of nation effort' for the U.S. to win, building products for the West and U.S. military.

    Lack of Accountability in GovernmentOngoing

    Traditional 'forever software projects' costing billions without delivering results

    Mitigation: Optimistic that a focus on meritocracy and transparency in government will favor Palantir's proven, effective solutions.

    What to watch in Q1 FY25

    5

    U.S. Commercial Revenue Growth

    Q1 FY25 and full year FY25
    Current64% YoY in Q4 FY24
    TargetAt least 54% YoY for FY25

    Why it matters

    This is the key driver of overall revenue growth and the AI monetization thesis, indicating continued strong demand for AIP.

    For full year 2025, we expect... U.S. commercial revenue in excess of $1.079 billion, representing a growth rate of at least 54%.

    Q&A highlights

    5

    What makes Palantir's Ontology unique, how does it provide a competitive edge, and why can't competitors easily replicate it?

    Ontology is essential for making enterprises accessible to AI in a governed and secure way, providing 'superpowers' for managing enterprise change. It allows for precise application of LLMs in an enterprise context. Its difficulty to replicate stems from Palantir's deep experience across various products, security models, data interaction, branching, and unique access to secure, cleaned enterprise data.

    Ontology ends up being the intermediary representation that makes your enterprise accessible to AI in a way that's governed and secure and provides you the observability that you need so you can actually trust the AI, but more importantly, the observability your regulators need so they can trust your transition to being a self-driving company.

    asked by [ Christina ] · answered by Shyam Sankar

    3 min read7 chapters

    Detailed Narrative

    01

    AI Platform (AIP) and Ontology as Core Differentiators

    Palantir's foundational investments in ontology and infrastructure are highlighted as key to operationalizing AI for enterprise autonomy. The ontology acts as an intermediary representation, making enterprises accessible to AI in a governed and secure way, enabling self-driving companies. This unique approach allows for the re-segmentation and concatenation of large language models (LLMs) to provide exact information in an enterprise context, a capability difficult for competitors to replicate due to Palantir's deep product-building culture and secure access to enterprise data.

    02

    Exceptional U.S. Growth Driven by AI Demand

    The U.S. business, particularly U.S. Commercial, is experiencing unprecedented🌐 demand, with revenue growth of 64% year-over-year in Q4 to $214 million. This surge is attributed to AIP driving both new customer acquisition and significant expansion opportunities at existing customers. Management noted the rapid implementation and tangible impact of AIP, with customers seeing processes reduced from days to minutes, leading to a strong desire to quickly adopt and expand Palantir's solutions.

    03

    Strategic Focus on AI Production Use Cases

    Palantir is maniacally focused on delivering 'quantified exceptionalism' by deploying LLMs into production with real impact, transforming AI labor into high-value finished goods and services. Examples include automating back-office processes for a large multinational bank, reducing a 5-day process to 3 minutes, and automating risk identification for an engineering firm, replacing months of manual reviews with AI labor in minutes. This focus on practical, impactful AI applications is driving customer adoption.

    04

    Government Business Strength and Mission Criticality

    The U.S. government business continues to be a strong foundation, growing 45% year-over-year in Q4 to $343 million. This acceleration is driven by continued execution in existing programs like Army Vantage and new awards, including a contract expansion with U.S. Special Operations Command for Mission Manager. International government revenue also achieved strong growth, increasing 28% year-over-year, bolstered by work in the U.K. health care sector, including the rollout of the Federated Data Platform with 87 acute NHS trusts signed up.

    05

    Capital Allocation and Unique Culture

    Palantir emphasizes its unique culture and product-building approach, focusing on attracting and retaining exceptional talent dedicated to 'the world's most important missions.' The company repurchased approximately 2.1 million shares through the end of Q4, with $936 million remaining of its authorization. Palantir ended the quarter with a strong cash position of $5.2 billion in cash, cash equivalents, and short-term U.S. Treasury securities, reflecting its disciplined financial management.

    06

    International Market Challenges and Divergent Adoption

    While the U.S. market is thriving, the international commercial business shows slower growth at 3% year-over-year. Europe, in particular, was described as 'anemic' with a 4% growth rate on 13% of the company's business. Management attributes this divergence to a slower adoption of new technologies and a more traditional approach to tech installations in some international geographies compared to the pragmatic, output-focused approach seen in American companies.

    07

    AI Arms Race and Geopolitical Context

    The emergence of new AI models like DeepSeek-R1 reinforces Palantir's long-held view that AI models are commoditizing. Management views the current landscape as an AI arms race with China, highlighting geopolitical tensions, IP theft, and economic competition. The company stresses the need for a 'whole of nation effort' for the U.S. to win this competition, emphasizing the importance of respecting adversaries and mobilizing resources.

    AI-generated summary of the company’s earnings call. Not investment advice.