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Palantir (PLTR) Q4 FY25 earnings call: guidance and Q&A

Earnings call· Dec 2025 (Q4 FY25)· Information Technology· Feb 2, 2026

Source: earnings call transcript

Executive summary

Palantir Q4 FY25 — Historic Growth and AI Monetization at Scale

Palantir delivered a historic quarter, driven by accelerating U.S. commercial and government demand for its AI-powered platforms. The company achieved hyper-growth and exceptional profitability, demonstrating the significant value creation from its unique ontology and AI deployment capabilities. Management emphasized its N-of-1 position in scaling AI leverage for enterprises and governments, leading to strong forward guidance and a focus on deep, transformative customer relationships.

Highlights

5
  • Overall revenue surged 70% year-over-year to $1.407 billion, marking the highest growth rate as a public company.

  • U.S. business revenue grew 93% year-over-year to $1.076 billion, now comprising 77% of total revenue.

  • The Rule of 40 score reached an unprecedented 127%, increasing 46 points year-over-year and 13 points quarter-over-quarter.

  • Palantir closed its highest TCV quarter ever at $4.3 billion, representing a 138% year-over-year increase.

  • Adjusted operating income was $798 million, achieving a 57% margin and exceeding prior guidance by 500 basis points.

Concerns

1
  • Hesitancy to adopt advanced products in Western countries outside the U.S.

Guidance & targets

CategoryTargetConfidence
Q1 2026 Revenue
$1.532 billion to $1.536 billion
high materiality
High
Q1 2026 Adjusted income from operations
$870 million to $874 million
high materiality
High
Full Year 2026 Revenue
$7.182 billion and $7.198 billion
high materiality
High
Full Year 2026 U.S. commercial revenue growth
at least 115%
medium materiality
High
Full Year 2026 Adjusted income from operations
$4.126 billion and $4.142 billion
high materiality
High
Full Year 2026 Adjusted free cash flow
$3.925 billion and $4.125 billion
high materiality
High
Full Year 2026 GAAP operating income and net income
positive in each quarter
medium materiality
High
Full Year 2026 Rule of 40 score
118%
high materiality
High
Q1 2026 Revenue from strategic commercial contracts
$1 million to $3 million
low materiality
High
Full Year 2026 Revenue from strategic commercial contracts
less than $7 million
low materiality
High

Segment performance

SegmentRevenueYoYQoQMargin
Overall
Highest reported revenue growth rate as a public company in Q4 FY25.
$1.407 billion70%19%—
Overall (Full Year)
Full year 2025 revenue.
$4.475 billion56%——
U.S. Business
Surpassed $1 billion in revenue for the first time in Q4 FY25, driven by accelerating demand for AIP.
Percentage of total revenue: 77%
$1.076 billion93%22%—
U.S. Business (Full Year)
Full year 2025 U.S. revenue.
$3.320 billion75%——
Commercial Segment
Q4 FY25 commercial revenue.
$677 million82%23%—
Commercial Segment (Full Year)
Full year 2025 commercial revenue.
$2.073 billion60%——
U.S. Commercial
Q4 FY25 U.S. commercial revenue, driven by AIP.
$507 million137%28%—
U.S. Commercial (Full Year)
Full year 2025 U.S. commercial revenue.
$1.465 billion109%——
International Commercial
Q4 FY25 international commercial revenue.
$171 million8%12%—
International Commercial (Full Year)
Full year 2025 international commercial revenue.
$608 million2%——
Government Segment
Q4 FY25 government revenue.
$730 million60%15%—
Government Segment (Full Year)
Full year 2025 government revenue.
$2.402 billion53%——
U.S. Government
Q4 FY25 U.S. government revenue, driven by existing programs and new awards.
$570 million66%17%—
U.S. Government (Full Year)
Full year 2025 U.S. government revenue.
$1.855 billion55%——
International Government
Q4 FY25 international government revenue, bolstered by work in the U.K.
$160 million43%9%—
International Government (Full Year)
Full year 2025 international government revenue.
$547 million47%——
Strategic Commercial Contracts
Revenue from strategic commercial contracts in Q4 FY25.
Percentage of overall revenue: 0.1%
$2.1 million———

PLTR operating KPIs by quarter

PLTR operating KPIs stated on its earnings calls, by fiscal quarter
KPI Dec 2024 Q4 FY24 Mar 2025 Q1 FY25 Jun 2025 Q2 FY25 Sep 2025 Q3 FY25This call Dec 2025 Q4 FY25 Mar 2026 Q1 FY26 Jun 2026 Q2 FY26Change vs prior quarter
Total contract value booked —
$1.5B First quarter TCV booked was $1.5 billion, up 66% year-over-year. Source: earnings call transcript
$2.3B We booked our highest TCV and ACV ever last quarter with $2.3 billion in TCV and $684 million in ACV. Source: earnings call transcript
$2.8B We closed our highest TCV quarter ever at $2.8 billion. Source: earnings call transcript
$4.3B We closed our highest TCV quarter ever at $4.3 billion, and fourth quarter trailing 12-month revenue from our top 20 customers increased 45% year-over-year to $94 million per customer, a testament to our customers' conviction. Source: earnings call transcript
$2.4B We closed $2.4 billion of TCV bookings, up 61% year-over-year. Source: earnings call transcript
$3.4B We closed $3.4 billion of TCV bookings, up 49% year-over-year. Source: earnings call transcript
+41.7%
Customers
711 Customer count grew 43% year-over-year and 13% sequentially to 711 customers. Source: earnings call transcript
769 Customer count grew 39% year-over-year and 8% sequentially to 769 customers. Source: earnings call transcript
849 Customer count grew 43% year-over-year and 10% sequentially to 849 customers. Source: earnings call transcript
911 Customer count grew 45% year-over-year and 7% sequentially to 911 customers. Source: earnings call transcript
954 Customer count grew 34% year-over-year and 5% sequentially to 954 customers. Source: earnings call transcript
1,007 Customer count grew 31% year-over-year and 6% sequentially to 1,007 customers. Source: earnings call transcript
—+5.6%
Total contract value booked Commercial
$995M We had the strongest quarter of commercial TCV booked at $995 million, representing 42% growth year-over-year and 63% growth sequentially. Source: earnings call transcript
$930M We closed $930 million in commercial TCV bookings, representing 84% growth year-over-year. Source: earnings call transcript
$1.1B We closed $1.1 billion in commercial TCV bookings, representing 185% growth year-over-year. Source: earnings call transcript
$1.4B We closed $1.4 billion in commercial TCV bookings representing 132% growth year-over-year and 32% sequentially. Source: earnings call transcript
$2.6B We closed $2.6 billion in commercial TCV bookings in the fourth quarter, representing 161% growth year-over-year and 83% sequentially. Source: earnings call transcript
$1.3B We closed $1.3 billion in commercial TCV bookings in the first quarter, representing 42% growth year-over-year. Source: earnings call transcript
$2.337B We closed $2.337 billion in commercial TCV bookings in the second quarter, representing 118% growth year-over-year. Source: earnings call transcript
+79.8%
Total contract value booked US Commercial
$803M We also had our strongest quarter of US commercial TCV booked at $803 million, representing growth of 134% year-over-year and 170% sequentially. Source: earnings call transcript
$810M We closed $810 million in US commercial TCV with a 239% year-over-year growth rate on a dollar-weighted duration basis, and we closed twice as many deals of $1 million or more compared to the same time period a year ago. Source: earnings call transcript
$843M We had our strongest quarter of US commercial TCV booked at $843 million, representing growth of 222% year-over-year. Source: earnings call transcript
$1.3B We closed $1.3 billion in TCV, a milestone achievement for the fastest-growing area of our business with a more than 6x year-over-year growth rate on a dollar-weighted duration basis. Source: earnings call transcript
$1.3B In the fourth quarter, we closed $1.3 billion of US commercial TCV bookings, representing growth of 67% year-over-year. Source: earnings call transcript
$1.2B In Q1, we closed our third consecutive quarter of over $1 billion in US commercial TCV bookings at $1.2 billion, representing growth of 45% year-over-year. Source: earnings call transcript
$2.132B We closed $2.132 billion of US commercial TCV bookings, representing growth of 153% year-over-year and 81% sequentially, nearly $800 million above our prior highest US commercial bookings quarter. Source: earnings call transcript
+77.7%
Customers US Commercial
382 Our US commercial customer count grew to 382 customers, growth of 73% year-over-year and 19% sequentially. Source: earnings call transcript
432 Our US commercial customer count grew to 432 customers reflecting growth of 65% year-over-year and 13% sequentially. Source: earnings call transcript
485 Our US commercial customer count grew to 485 customers, reflecting growth of 64% year-over-year and 12% sequentially. Source: earnings call transcript
530 Our US commercial customer count grew to 530 customers, reflecting growth of 65% year-over-year and 9% sequentially. Source: earnings call transcript
571 Our US commercial customer count grew to 571 customers, reflecting growth of 49% year-over-year and 8% sequentially. Source: earnings call transcript
615 Our US commercial customer count grew to 615 customers, reflecting growth of 42% year-over-year and 8% sequentially. Source: earnings call transcript
653 Our US commercial customer count grew to 653 customers, reflecting growth of 35% year-over-year and 6% sequentially. Source: earnings call transcript
+6.2%
Net revenue retention rate
120% Net dollar retention was 120%, an increase of 200 basis points from last quarter. Source: earnings call transcript
124% Net dollar retention was 124%, an increase of 400 basis points from last quarter. Source: earnings call transcript
128% Net dollar retention was 128%, an increase of 400 basis points from last quarter. Source: earnings call transcript
134% Net dollar retention was 134%, an increase of 600 basis points from last quarter. Source: earnings call transcript
139% Net dollar retention was 139%, an increase of 500 basis points from last quarter. Source: earnings call transcript
150% Net dollar retention was 150%, an increase of 1,100 basis points from last quarter. Source: earnings call transcript
157% Net dollar retention was 157%, an increase of 700 basis points from last quarter. Source: earnings call transcript
+7 pt
Total remaining deal value
$5.43B We ended the fourth quarter with $5.43 billion in total remaining deal value, an increase of 40% year-over-year and 20% sequentially; and $1.73 billion in remaining performance obligations, an increase of 39% year-over-year and 10% sequentially. Source: earnings call transcript
$5.97B We ended the first quarter with $5.97 billion in total remaining deal value, an increase of 45% year-over-year and 10% sequentially and $1.9 billion in remaining performance obligations, an increase of 46% year-over-year and 10% sequentially. Source: earnings call transcript
$7.1B We ended the second quarter was $7.1 billion in total remaining deal value, an increase of 65% year-over-year and 20% sequentially and $2.4 billion in remaining performance obligations, an increase of 77% year-over-year and 27% sequentially. Source: earnings call transcript
$8.6B We ended the third quarter with $8.6 billion in total remaining deal value, an increase of 91% year-over-year and 21% sequentially and $2.6 billion in the remaining performance obligations, an increase of 66% year-over-year and 8% sequentially. Source: earnings call transcript
$11.2B We ended the fourth quarter with $11.2 billion in total remaining deal value, an increase of 105% year-over-year and 29% sequentially and $4.2 billion in remaining performance obligations, an increase of 144% year-over-year and 62% sequentially. Source: earnings call transcript
$11.8B We ended the first quarter with $11.8 billion in total remaining deal value, an increase of 98% year-over-year and 6% sequentially and $4.5 billion in remaining performance obligations, an increase of 134% year-over-year and 9% sequentially. Source: earnings call transcript
$13.1B We ended the second quarter with $13.1 billion in total remaining deal value, an increase of 83% year-over-year and 11% sequentially and $4.9 billion in remaining performance obligations, an increase of 103% year-over-year and 10% sequentially. Source: earnings call transcript
+11%
Remaining performance obligation (RPO)
$1.73B We ended the fourth quarter with $5.43 billion in total remaining deal value, an increase of 40% year-over-year and 20% sequentially; and $1.73 billion in remaining performance obligations, an increase of 39% year-over-year and 10% sequentially. Source: earnings call transcript
$1.9B We ended the first quarter with $5.97 billion in total remaining deal value, an increase of 45% year-over-year and 10% sequentially and $1.9 billion in remaining performance obligations, an increase of 46% year-over-year and 10% sequentially. Source: earnings call transcript
$2.4B We ended the second quarter was $7.1 billion in total remaining deal value, an increase of 65% year-over-year and 20% sequentially and $2.4 billion in remaining performance obligations, an increase of 77% year-over-year and 27% sequentially. Source: earnings call transcript
$2.6B We ended the third quarter with $8.6 billion in total remaining deal value, an increase of 91% year-over-year and 21% sequentially and $2.6 billion in the remaining performance obligations, an increase of 66% year-over-year and 8% sequentially. Source: earnings call transcript
$4.2B We ended the fourth quarter with $11.2 billion in total remaining deal value, an increase of 105% year-over-year and 29% sequentially and $4.2 billion in remaining performance obligations, an increase of 144% year-over-year and 62% sequentially. Source: earnings call transcript
$4.5B We ended the first quarter with $11.8 billion in total remaining deal value, an increase of 98% year-over-year and 6% sequentially and $4.5 billion in remaining performance obligations, an increase of 134% year-over-year and 9% sequentially. Source: earnings call transcript
$4.9B We ended the second quarter with $13.1 billion in total remaining deal value, an increase of 83% year-over-year and 11% sequentially and $4.9 billion in remaining performance obligations, an increase of 103% year-over-year and 10% sequentially. Source: earnings call transcript
+8.9%

Operating figures the company stated on at least two of the calls shown, checked against each call's transcript. Click a figure to read the sentence. A dash means it was not stated that quarter.

Orderbook & backlog

Total Contract Value (TCV) bookings $4.3 billion Q4 FY25

up 138% year-over-year

Highest ever quarter of TCV bookings, eclipsing prior highest quarter by over $1.5 billion.

Commercial TCV bookings $2.6 billion Q4 FY25

up 161% year-over-year and 83% sequentially

U.S. commercial TCV bookings $1.3 billion Q4 FY25

up 67% year-over-year

U.S. commercial TCV bookings $4.3 billion FY25

161% increase from last year

Highlighting accelerating demand for AI production use cases.

International commercial TCV bookings $1.3 billion Q4 FY25

Driven by long-term renewals with several long-standing international commercial customers.

Total remaining deal value $11.2 billion Q4 FY25

up 105% year-over-year and 29% sequentially

Remaining Performance Obligations (RPO) $4.2 billion Q4 FY25

up 144% year-over-year and 62% sequentially

Primarily comprised of commercial business; does not include government contracts with initial term less than 12 months or beyond termination for convenience clauses.

Product announcements

ProductTypeDetails
Hivemind frameworkexpansion
AI FDE (Foundry Data Engine)expansion
Mavenexpansion
Gotham's new suite of integrated capabilitieslaunch
ShipOS (Warp Speed)launch
American Tech Fellowshiplaunch

Deals & partnerships

U.S. Navy customer contract up to $448 million

Contract to modernize the shipbuilding supply chain and accelerate delivery of naval vessels, exemplifying deployment of Palantir's supply chain expertise honed across commercial and defense customers.

Healthcare company customer contract $96 million

Signed a $96 million deal before year-end after completing 2 boot camps with Palantir.

Engineering services company customer contract $80 million

Signed an $80 million deal before year-end after seeing a series of demos in the fall.

Utility company customer expansion from $7 million ACV to $31 million ACV

Expanded from $7 million ACV in Q1 2025 to $31 million ACV by year-end, driven by value generated from new use cases.

Energy company customer expansion from $4 million ACV to over $20 million ACV

Expanded from $4 million ACV in Q1 2025 to over $20 million ACV by year-end, driven by value generated from new use cases.

Capital programs

U.S. Navy shipbuilding supply chain modernization awarded up to $448 million
Funding: U.S. Navy

Benefit:modernize the shipbuilding supply chain and accelerate delivery of naval vessels

The U.S. Navy awarded Palantir a contract worth up to $448 million to modernize the shipbuilding supply chain and accelerate delivery of naval vessels.

Risks & headwinds

Hesitancy to adopt advanced products in Western countries outside the U.S. Ongoing

Unquantified

Mitigation:Not explicitly stated as Palantir's mitigation; framed as an issue for those countries due to preference for domestic solutions and lack of understanding of product delta.

Q&A highlights

How is Palantir thinking about its international business, and does it anticipate reacceleration, especially with European rearmament?

Alex Karp stated that outside of American allies, there's a difficulty in adopting advanced products due to a preference for domestic solutions. He noted strong demand in the U.S. limits bandwidth for complicated international engagements. He observed adoption in the Arab and non-Arab Middle East and China, but a lack of adoption in Canada, Northern Europe, and Europe generally, framing it as those countries' issue rather than Palantir's.

“But the core issue for our allies is going to be, can we get to a point where there's a clear recognition that you're going to have to buy products that are much, much more advanced than what is building -- being built domestically.”

asked by Jeff Jay · answered by Alexander Karp

2 min read 7 chapters

Detailed narrative

Historic Q4 Performance & AI Monetization

Palantir reported its highest growth rate as a public company, with overall revenue surging 70% year-over-year to $1.407 billion. This was primarily driven by the U.S. business, which grew 93% year-over-year and now constitutes 77% of total revenue. The company's Rule of 40 score reached an unprecedented 127%, demonstrating both hyper-growth and expanding profitability, which management attributes to its unique position in scaling AI leverage for customers.

Accelerating U.S. Commercial Momentum

The U.S. commercial business experienced compounding acceleration, growing 137% year-over-year and 28% sequentially, building on prior quarters' strong growth. This was fueled by existing customers expanding faster and new customers starting with substantial initial deals, such as a healthcare company signing a $96 million deal and an engineering services company an $80 million deal after brief engagements.

Strategic U.S. Government Impact

The U.S. government business grew 66% year-over-year and 17% sequentially, reflecting increased demand for AI in defense and civil agencies. A significant contract with the U.S. Navy, valued up to $448 million, was highlighted for modernizing the shipbuilding supply chain, showcasing Palantir's role in critical national infrastructure.

AIP and Ontology Driving Enterprise Autonomy

Palantir's AI Platform (AIP) and its underlying ontology are central to its strategy, enabling "enterprise autonomy." Innovations like Hivemind are used to develop novel solutions and generate bespoke demos, while AI FDE (Foundry Data Engine) is generalizing capabilities for complex tasks like SAP ERP migrations, reducing years of work to weeks.

OSDK has unleashed pro code builders, with over 1 billion API gateway requests per week from customer-built applications.

Warp Speed and Reindustrialization Efforts

The Warp Speed initiative is gaining momentum, particularly with ShipOS, which is accelerating submarine production and sustainment. Examples include reducing planning time from 160 hours to 10 minutes and material review from weeks to less than an hour. Management emphasized AI's role in creating jobs by reducing inefficiencies and enabling increased production, supporting broader reindustrialization efforts, including an American Tech Fellowship to upskill users.

International Market Dynamics and Challenges

While U.S. growth is robust, Alex Karp noted a "lack of adoption in Canada, Northern Europe and in Europe in general," attributing it to a hesitancy to procure advanced foreign products over domestic ones. He stressed that the demand in the U.S. is so great that Palantir has limited bandwidth for more complicated international engagements, framing it as more of an issue for those countries than for Palantir.

Financial Strength and Profitability

Palantir reported strong profitability with a Q4 adjusted operating margin of 57% and full-year adjusted free cash flow of $2.27 billion, representing a 51% margin. The company ended the quarter with $7.2 billion in cash, cash equivalents, and short-term U.S. treasury securities, providing a strong financial foundation for continued investment in product pipeline and elite technical talent, while committing to sustained GAAP profitability.

Summary of the company's earnings call; see how call summaries are prepared. Not investment advice.