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    Earnings call· Mar 2026(Q1 FY26)

    Philip Morris International Q1 FY26 earnings call PM

    Apr 22, 2026 Source

    Executive summary

    Philip Morris International Inc. Q1 FY26 — Strong Smoke-Free Growth and Reaffirmed Outlook

    Philip Morris International delivered a strong Q1 FY26, driven by outstanding performance in its international smoke-free business, particularly IQOS and VEEV, and robust pricing power. This momentum, coupled with efficient cost management, offset anticipated headwinds in U.S. ZYN shipments and structural declines in combustible volumes. The company reconfirmed its full-year currency-neutral growth outlook, underscoring confidence in its smoke-free transformation and ability to navigate macroeconomic uncertainties.

    Highlights

    5
    • Adjusted diluted earnings per share grew by an impressive +16% to $1.96, exceeding expectations.

    • International smoke-free business delivered double-digit volume growth, mid-teens organic top-line progression, and high-teens organic gross profit growth (almost +30% in dollar terms).

    • Net revenues reached over $10 billion, representing a +9% increase in reported terms and +2.7% organically, surpassing expectations.

    • Adjusted gross profit grew by +10% to $6.9 billion, reflecting +3.8% organic growth and +70 basis points of organic gross margin expansion.

    • IQOS delivered +10.9% adjusted in-market sales growth, with Taiwan becoming the most successful major IQOS launch market to date with almost 6% national exit offtake share in March.

    Concerns

    5
    • Total cigarette volumes declined by -1.9%, with international combustible volumes down -5.1%, at the more negative end of expectations.

    • U.S. ZYN segment financial performance was challenging due to increased investment, strong Q1 2025 comparison, and channel inventory overhang normalization impacting shipments.

    • Oral smoke-free volume declined by -16%, notably reflecting U.S. shipment and inventory headwinds and timing dynamics in the Nordics.

    • The Middle East conflict had a small impact on global travel retail and certain markets, affecting both combustible and HTU shipments.

    • A challenging economic environment contributed to higher levels of illicit consumption in certain markets and excise increases drove significant industry declines in some countries.

    Guidance & targets

    21
    CategoryTargetConfidence
    Full-year 2026 shipment volumes
    broadly stable
    high materiality
    High
    Full-year 2026 organic net revenue growth
    +5% to +7%
    high materiality
    High
    Full-year 2026 organic operating income growth
    +7% to +9%
    high materiality
    High
    Full-year 2026 currency-neutral adjusted diluted EPS growth
    +7.5% to +9.5%
    high materiality
    High
    Full-year 2026 currency tailwind (EPS)
    $0.25
    medium materiality
    High
    Full-year 2026 adjusted diluted EPS forecast
    $8.36 to $8.51
    high materiality
    High
    Full-year 2026 adjusted diluted EPS growth (dollar terms)
    +10.9% to +12.9%
    high materiality
    High
    Q2 2026 HTU shipment volume
    40 billion to 42 billion
    medium materiality
    High
    Q2 2026 HTU adjusted IMS growth
    slower
    medium materiality
    Medium
    Q2 2026 cigarette shipment volume decline
    low single-digit
    medium materiality
    High
    Q2 2026 organic net revenue growth
    mid-single-digit
    medium materiality
    High
    Q2 2026 operating income progression
    solid
    medium materiality
    Medium
    Q2 2026 adjusted diluted EPS
    $2.02 to $2.07
    high materiality
    High
    Full-year 2026 cigarette volume decline
    around 3%
    medium materiality
    High
    Full-year 2026 combustible pricing variance
    more than 6%
    medium materiality
    High
    SG&A progression for 2026
    organically at or below the level of net revenue growth
    medium materiality
    High
    Full-year 2026 organic margin expansion
    on track
    medium materiality
    High
    Full-year 2026 global smoke-free growth
    strong, supported by high single-digit volume progression
    high materiality
    High
    ZYN shipments (Q2 2026)
    broadly track offtake growth, approx. 180 million cans
    medium materiality
    High
    ZYN shipments (Q3 2026)
    approx. 205 million cans
    medium materiality
    High
    ZYN shipments (Q4 2026)
    approx. 200 million cans
    medium materiality
    High

    Segment performance

    6
    SegmentRevenueYoYQoQMargin
    International Smoke-Free Business
    Delivered outstanding performance, driving gross margin expansion. Primarily driven by IQOS, with increasing contribution from ZYN and VEEV.
    Volume growth: +11.9%Gross margin expansion: +210 bps to 70%
    +15.8% organic+19.4% organic gross profit growth
    International Combustible Business
    Robust financial performance, with strong pricing and effective cost management outweighing volume mix headwinds.
    Volume decline: -5.1%Gross margin expansion: +190 bps organically
    +1% organic net revenue growth+3.9% organic gross profit growth
    Global Smoke-Free Business (PMI as a whole)
    Delivered solid organic growth despite dynamics in the U.S. Expected to see strong global growth for the full year.
    +5.3% organic net revenue growth+3.9% organic gross profit growth
    Europe (IQOS)
    Very good performance across the region, despite disruption in Ukraine and initial impact from EU flavor ban in Poland. Double-digit growth continued in Italy.
    Adjusted IMS volumes (excluding flavor ban markets): around +8% growth
    +5.4% adjusted IMS volume
    Japan (IQOS)
    Robust growth demonstrating ongoing momentum, despite high competitive intensity. Q1 included a 0.5 billion unit consumer pantry loading benefit ahead of April 1 excise price increase.
    Adjusted IMS volumes (excluding consumer pantry loading): around +6% growthAdjusted market share: 34.9% (record)Capture of industry heat-not-burn volumes: close to 70%
    +10.4% adjusted IMS volumes
    U.S. (ZYN)
    ZYN continues to lead the nicotine pouch category. Shipment decline reflects inventory normalization from Q1 2025 rebuild and end-2025 surplus.
    Q1 shipment: 155 million cans
    +10% offtake growth

    Operational metrics

    41
    Adjusted Operating Income growth
    +10%YoY
    Q1 FY26

    Exceeded expectations.

    Adjusted Diluted EPS growth
    +16%YoY
    Q1 FY26

    Reached $1.96, exceeding expectations.

    Net revenues
    $10B+9% reported, +2.7% organic
    Q1 FY26

    Surpassing expectations for a broadly flat delivery.

    Adjusted gross profit
    $6.9B+10% reported, +3.8% organic
    Q1 FY26

    Reflecting organic growth and margin expansion.

    Organic gross margin expansion
    +70 bpsYoY
    Q1 FY26

    Partly offset by anticipated U.S. impact and increased growth reinvestment.

    Adjusted operating income
    $4.2B+10% reported, +1% organic
    Q1 FY26

    Exceeded forecast.

    Currency tailwind (EPS)
    $0.18
    Q1 FY26

    Included in adjusted diluted EPS growth.

    International business gross profit growth
    around +10% organicYoY
    Q1 FY26

    Achieved even with strong investment in smoke-free portfolio.

    International business OCI growth
    around +10% organicYoY
    Q1 FY26

    Achieved even with strong investment in smoke-free portfolio.

    Pricing contribution to net revenue growth
    +5 points
    Q1 FY26

    Largest contributor to top line drivers.

    U.S. impact on net revenue growth
    -1.8 points
    Q1 FY26

    Reflecting abnormal combination of factors.

    Currency impact on net revenue growth
    +6.4 points
    Q1 FY26

    Resulting in +9.1% reported net revenue growth.

    Adjusted operating income margins
    >41%+40 bps expansion
    Q1 FY26

    Enabled increased margin despite additional reinvestment.

    Currency impact on operating income margins
    +110 bps
    Q1 FY26

    Provided a meaningful tailwind.

    Gross cost efficiency realized
    $150M
    Q1 FY26

    Part of efficient back office and manufacturing cost management.

    PMI capture of industry smoke-free growth
    >70%
    Q1 FY26

    Reflects ability to capture industry growth in markets where PMI is present.

    Multi-category markets
    55+3 geographies adding another category
    Q1 FY26

    Expanding strengths with additional categories.

    Smoke-free product markets
    108+2 new markets
    Q1 FY26

    Includes launch of ZYN in Portugal and Kenya, and VEEV in Egypt.

    IQOS adjusted IMS volumes outside Europe/Japan growth
    +19%YoY
    Q1 FY26

    Strong growth in various regions.

    Taiwan IQOS national exit offtake share
    almost 6%
    March

    Most successful major IQOS launch market to date, launched Q4 '25.

    Taiwan IQOS combined cigarette/HTU market share increase
    near doubling
    last 6 months

    Reflects strong performance in Taiwan.

    Global Travel Retail HTU growth
    double-digitYoY
    Q1 FY26

    With only limited impact from the Middle East conflict.

    Japan IQOS consumer pantry loading benefit
    approx. 0.5 billion
    Q1 FY26

    Ahead of April 1 excise-driven price increase.

    Tokyo IQOS share
    >40%
    Q1 FY26

    Reached for the first time.

    Munich IQOS share
    >16%
    Q1 FY26

    Impressive Q1 milestone.

    Madrid IQOS share
    >10%
    Q1 FY26

    Impressive Q1 milestone.

    Taipei IQOS share
    almost 8%
    March

    In its second quarter post launch, exited March at close to 8%.

    Modern oral shipment volumes (comparable basis)
    +7%YoY
    Q1 FY26

    Excluding the more mature Nordic market, growth was +42%.

    Modern oral offtake volumes (ex-Nordic)
    well over 50%YoY
    Q1 FY26

    Gaining share in a dynamic category, with strong results in U.K., Pakistan, Poland, and Mexico.

    International ZYN markets
    58
    Q1 FY26

    Rollout of lower strength offering (XO 1.5mg) across a large majority of these markets.

    VEEV shipments
    >1 billion equivalent units
    Q1 FY26

    Exceeded for the first time.

    VEEV markets
    49
    Q1 FY26

    Expanding footprint, demonstrating rapid volume growth and improving positive margin profile.

    Europe IQOS, ZYN, VEEV shipment volume growth
    +12%YoY
    Q1 FY26

    More than offsetting ZYN dynamic in the Nordics.

    Europe IQOS, ZYN, VEEV growth elsewhere (ex-Nordics)
    +31%YoY
    Q1 FY26

    Strong growth in other European markets.

    Japan heat-not-burn category share of total industry offtake volume
    around 53%
    Q1 FY26

    Continued to grow strongly.

    U.S. ZYN Q1 2025 inventory rebuild
    40 million cans
    Q1 2025

    Impacted comparison for Q1 FY26 shipments.

    U.S. ZYN underlying shipment base (Q1 2025)
    160 million cans
    Q1 2025

    Used for comparison to Q1 FY26 underlying volume.

    U.S. ZYN underlying volume (Q1 2026)
    175 million cansaround +10% higher than Q1 2025 underlying
    Q1 FY26

    Reflects underlying consumer offtake.

    U.S. ZYN surplus inventory (end 2025)
    25 million cans
    end 2025

    Largely normalized in Q1 2026, impacting shipments.

    Marlboro first quarter share
    10.7%+0.4 points YoY
    Q1 FY26

    Reached a record first quarter share, underscoring premium brand equity.

    NYTS underage usage of nicotine pouches
    below 2%stable or slightly declining
    current

    Despite strong growth of the category, according to National Youth Tobacco Survey data.

    Industry KPIs

    11
    MetricValueDetails
    Net price realization+8.5%%
    Cigarette category share24.8%%
    Cigarette shipment volume-1.9%%
    Illicit trade enforcementunquantified
    Smoke free market footprint108markets
    Productivity cost savings program$150MUSD
    Regulatory authorization pipelinePMTA for ZYN Ultra
    Smoke free revenue and profitability+15.8%%
    New category contribution margin paybackhigher margin than combustible
    Smoke free reduced risk shipment volumes+9.1%%
    Nicotine pouch oral tobacco category dynamics+10%%

    Product announcements

    2
    ProductTypeDetails
    ZYN Innovationsroadmap
    IQOS bonds by IQOSexpansion

    Risks & headwinds

    7
    Global economic outlook uncertaintyongoing

    unquantified

    Mitigation: Strong financial performance and structural growth fundamentals provide confidence in navigating external headwinds.

    Middle East conflictQ1 FY26, ongoing

    small impact on global travel retail and certain markets for both combustible and HTUs; increased energy prices and some disruption in energy supply

    Mitigation: Factored in some increases in transport, energy, and other input costs; closely monitoring developments to assess mid- to long-term impact.

    Challenging economic environmentQ1 FY26

    contributed to higher level of illicit consumption in certain markets

    Mitigation: Strong pricing power and efficient cost management help to offset volume mix headwinds.

    Excise increases in countries (e.g., Mexico)Q1 FY26

    drove a significant industry decline

    Mitigation: Strong pricing power of the portfolio helps mitigate impact.

    Dynamic competitive landscape (U.S. ZYN)ongoing

    portfolio does not yet address all of the most dynamic strength and flavor segments

    Mitigation: Sharply focused on innovating and preparing for new product launches in the coming months to address these segments.

    Complex and dynamic regulatory environment (U.S.)ongoing

    impacts timely innovation and the switching of legal smoker to better alternative

    Mitigation: Engaging with the FDA, robust science supporting applications, and following regulatory processes diligently.

    Japan excise tax increase (April 1)Q2 FY26

    expected to reflect the reversal of consumer pantry loading and the price increases

    Mitigation: Confident in the long-term growth of IQOS and the wider category in Japan.

    Q&A highlights

    6

    How much of a priority is optimizing international smoke-free margins given high levels and growth potential? Also, what is the strategy for US ZYN pricing given widened price gaps?

    Management stated that maximizing volume is the primary objective for international smoke-free, as the dollar profit per unit is already significantly higher than combustibles. For US ZYN, the intention is to maintain its premium positioning as the market leader, continuously monitoring pricing parameters to optimize this objective.

    So maximizing volume, of course, is a big objective. But as we are building the portfolio, we are building a very attractive brand with IQOS very differentiated, but look at what we're doing with VEEV. So they are coming more like these brands, if you want, Viva in international. They are much smaller than IQOS at this stage, but we are also working on the profitability of these 2 brands.

    asked by Eric Serotta · answered by Jacek Olczak

    3 min read6 chapters

    Detailed Narrative

    01

    International Smoke-Free Momentum

    The international smoke-free business delivered an outstanding quarter, with organic net revenue growth of +15.8% and organic gross profit growth of +19.4%. This was primarily driven by IQOS, which saw +10.9% adjusted in-market sales growth across various markets, including strong performance in Europe and Japan. New market launches for smoke-free products, including ZYN in Portugal and Kenya and VEEV in Egypt, expanded the footprint to 108 markets, with 55 now multi-category. VEEV reinforced its position as the fastest-growing international closed pod brand, becoming joint #1 in Europe in Q4 '25 and almost doubling IMS volumes.

    02

    U.S. ZYN Dynamics and Innovation

    U.S. ZYN continued to lead the nicotine pouch category with +10% offtake growth in Q1, as estimated by Nielsen. However, Q1 shipments declined to 155 million cans due to the normalization of approximately 25 million cans of surplus inventory from the end of 2025. The company expects ZYN shipments to broadly track offtake growth in future quarters, with underlying volumes estimated at 180 million cans for Q2. Management is focused on launching new ZYN innovations in the coming months to address dynamic strength and flavor segments and drive renewed momentum, while navigating the complex regulatory environment.

    03

    Combustibles Resilience and Pricing Power

    Despite a -1.9% decline in total shipments and -5.1% in international combustible volumes, the combustible business demonstrated resilience. Strong pricing, adding +5 points to overall net revenue growth and +8.5% for combustibles, was a key driver, with notable contributions from Turkey, Indonesia, and Mexico. This, combined with efficient cost management, allowed international combustible gross profit to grow +3.9% organically and gross margins to expand +190 basis points, offsetting volume and mix headwinds.

    04

    Margin Expansion and Cost Efficiency

    Adjusted operating income margins expanded by +40 basis points to over 41%, supported by a positive currency impact🌐. Organic gross margin expansion of +70 basis points was driven by strong pricing, operating leverage, and the continued benefit of smoke-free mix. The company realized approximately $150 million in gross cost efficiencies in Q1 and remains on track for full-year organic margin expansion, despite increased reinvestment in the smoke-free portfolio and commercial programs.

    05

    Regulatory Landscape and Product Pipeline

    Philip Morris International continues to engage with the FDA on regulatory matters. The previous version of IQOS has been reauthorized as a modified risk tobacco product, and the company is pursuing authorization for IQOS ILUMA. The PMTA application for ZYN Ultra remains under active scientific review, with management optimistic about its launch in the coming months. The company advocates for differentiated, low excise duties on reduced-risk products, aligning with the FDA's public health goals to encourage switching from combustibles.

    06

    Strategic Outlook and Sustainability Initiatives

    The company reconfirmed its full-year 2026 currency-neutral guidance, including organic net revenue growth of +5% to +7% and organic operating income growth of +7% to +9%. An updated currency tailwind of $0.25 leads to an adjusted diluted EPS forecast of $8.36 to $8.51. PMI also published its Value Report 2025, highlighting progress on sustainability priorities and introducing the Value Plan 2030, a framework focused on consumers, circularity, workforce, climate, and nature, integrated with its business strategy.

    AI-generated summary of the company’s earnings call. Not investment advice.