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    PPL
    Earnings call· Mar 2026(Q1 FY26)

    PPL Q1 FY26 earnings call PPL

    May 8, 2026 Source

    Executive summary

    PPL Corporation Q1 FY26 — Strong Q1, Reaffirmed Guidance, and Data Center Momentum

    PPL Corporation delivered strong financial and operational results in Q1 FY26, reaffirming its full-year earnings guidance and long-term financial targets. The company is experiencing significant data center and economic development growth across its service territories, driving new investment opportunities and strategic partnerships. PPL continues to balance these growth initiatives with a strong focus on customer affordability and regulatory certainty, as evidenced by constructive rate case settlements and innovative generation solutions.

    Highlights

    7
    • Reported Q1 FY26 ongoing earnings of $0.63 per share, an improvement of $0.03 per share compared to Q1 FY25.

    • Reaffirmed 2026 ongoing earnings guidance of $1.90 to $1.98 per share, with a midpoint of $1.94 per share.

    • Reaffirmed long-term financial targets, including 6% to 8% annual EPS growth through at least 2029, with compound annual growth expected near the top end.

    • Pennsylvania distribution base rate case settlement recommended for approval, resulting in bill increases less than 4% across all customer classes after 10 years without a base rate case.

    • Rhode Island Energy received approval for over $330 million of critical infrastructure investments through its latest annual electric and gas ISR plans.

    • Pennsylvania data center projects in advanced stages now total 28.3 GW, up 12% from 25.2 GW previously discussed.

    • Kentucky development pipeline increased by nearly 4 GW to 12.9 GW of potential new load through 2032.

    Concerns

    2
    • Kentucky Public Service Commission granted reconsideration of decisions made regarding its base rate case, indicating modifications to the negotiated settlement.

    • Special items of $0.03 per share in Q1 FY26 were primarily due to an ISO-New England transmission ROE reduction.

    Guidance & targets

    8
    CategoryTargetConfidence
    Ongoing earnings
    $1.90 to $1.98 per share
    high materiality
    High
    Long-term annual EPS growth
    6% to 8%
    high materiality
    High
    Annual dividend growth
    4% to 6%
    medium materiality
    High
    Capital investment
    $23 billion
    high materiality
    High
    Average annual rate base growth
    10.3%
    high materiality
    High
    Planned investments
    $5.1 billion
    high materiality
    High
    Pennsylvania rate case stay out
    2-year stay out
    medium materiality
    High
    Kentucky CPCN filing
    Later this year
    medium materiality
    Medium

    Segment performance

    1
    SegmentRevenueYoYQoQMargin
    Kentucky
    Results increased primarily due to higher base rate recovery from new retail rates effective January 1, partially offset by lower sales volumes due to less favorable weather, higher operating costs, higher depreciation, and higher interest expense.
    Ongoing earnings increase: $0.03 per share

    Operational metrics

    9
    GAAP earnings per share
    $0.60
    Q1 FY26

    Reported GAAP earnings for the first quarter.

    Ongoing earnings per share
    $0.63$0.03 increase YoY
    Q1 FY26

    Adjusted for special items, compared to $0.60 per share in Q1 FY25.

    O&M increases below inflation
    25%
    Over 10 years

    PPL Electric Utilities' O&M increases were 25% below inflation over the past decade, contributing to affordability.

    Rhode Island Energy infrastructure investments approved
    $330 million
    Annual

    Approved through latest annual electric and gas ISR plans. Recovery began April 1.

    Rhode Island Energy revenue requirement increase request Year 1
    $181 million
    Year 1

    Requested in the base rate case filed in Q4 2025.

    Rhode Island Energy revenue requirement increase request Year 2
    $49 million
    Year 2

    Requested in the base rate case filed in Q4 2025.

    Equity units offering
    $1.15 billion
    February 2026

    Executed with a purchase contract for PPL common shares settling in February 2029.

    Equity needed to support capital plan derisked
    2/3
    Current

    Proportion of total equity needed to support the current capital expenditure plan that has been derisked.

    ISO-New England transmission ROE reduction impact
    $0.03
    Q1 FY26

    Impact on special items per share in Q1 FY26.

    Industry KPIs

    5
    MetricValueDetails
    Retail sales growth
    Regulatory rate base growth10.3%%
    Rto market structure reviewPJM's conceptual process for focusing on and starting with bilateral contracting
    Nuclear capacity uprates ptc gearing
    Contracted large load capacity esas loas10 GWGW

    Orderbook & backlog

    7
    Pennsylvania data center projects in advanced stages28.3 GWQ1 FY26

    Up 12% from 25.2 GW

    Projects have executed agreements (LOAs or ESAs) with meaningful financial commitments.

    Pennsylvania data center projects with signed ESAs10 GWQ1 FY26

    Included within the 28.3 GW in advanced stages.

    Pennsylvania data center projects under construction5 GWQ1 FY26

    Included within the 28.3 GW in advanced stages.

    Kentucky development pipeline12.9 GWQ1 FY26

    Increase of nearly 4 GW from year-end update

    Potential new load through 2032.

    Kentucky data center demand (active requests)Almost 12 GWQ1 FY26

    Roughly 1/3 are considered highly active with transmission service studies underway.

    Kentucky data center projects under construction or agreement650 MWQ1 FY26

    Included within the active requests for data center demand.

    Kentucky expected new load3.5 GW2032

    Compared to 1.8 GW assumed in most recent CPCN forecast

    Based on updated planning assumptions.

    Deals & partnerships

    3
    Rye Developmentpartnership

    Partnership to evaluate a new 266-megawatt pump storage hydro project in Bell County, Kentucky. Project converts former coal mine land into a reliable energy storage facility, with COD projected for 2031. Initial cost estimates are approximately $1.3 billion.

    X-Energycollaboration

    Collaboration to explore deploying X-Energy's Xe-100 small modular reactor in Kentucky to support large load customers with long-term, reliable, and carbon-free electricity.

    Blackstonejoint_venture

    Joint venture focused on generation development to meet significant new demand, particularly from data centers in Pennsylvania. Engaged in strategic discussions with hyperscalers and gas pipeline companies, executing turbine reservation agreements, and submitting PJM interconnection queue requests.

    Capital programs

    2
    Rye Development Pump Storage Hydro Projectunderway$1.3 billion

    Benefit: 266 MW, 8 hours of storage

    Partnership with Rye Development to evaluate the project in Bell County, Kentucky. Initial cost estimate excludes potential eligibility for a 50% investment tax credit. Rye has secured preliminary federal permits.

    Kentucky Nuclear Development Grant Programannounced$75 million
    Funding: State grant program

    Benefit: Funds development costs for up to 3 sites ($25 million per site)

    Supports early site development for advanced nuclear reactor technology. Early site permitting expected to cost less than $75 million, mostly funded by the grant and project partners.

    Risks & headwinds

    4
    Kentucky Public Service Commission modifications to base rate case settlementQ3 FY26

    Reconsideration granted for LG&E & KU petitions, all intervenor requests denied. Decision expected in Q3.

    Mitigation: LG&E & KU were granted reconsideration, and a procedural schedule has been set for additional discovery and potential hearing requests.

    ISO-New England transmission ROE reductionQ1 FY26

    $0.03 per share impact on Q1 FY26 special items.

    Mitigation: PPL plans to engage with the commission to package refunds (around $25M-$26M) with the Rhode Island rate case and hold harmless commitment for customers.

    Cost allocation for PJM Resource Backstop Auction (RBA)Ongoing

    Potential for costs to be borne by existing customers if not properly allocated.

    Mitigation: PPL supports bilateral contracting and is working with PJM and FERC to ensure costs are borne by large loads. At the state level, PPL Electric Utilities would seek guardrails or protections to prevent risk/cost shifting to other customers.

    Higher financing costsQ1 FY26

    Contributed to flat results in Pennsylvania Regulated and Corporate and Other segments.

    Mitigation: PPL maintains a strong balance sheet and credit ratings, providing financial flexibility. Utilizes ATM and opportunistic equity-like financing structures to lower cost of capital.

    Q&A highlights

    7

    What is the timeline for the Genco JV to sign contracts and make announcements?

    Management is encouraged by recent momentum and expects meaningful announcements this year, but notes the complexity of the agreements. They are actively working through the process of getting SSAs in place.

    I'd be surprised if we weren't doing -- announcing something meaningful this year.

    asked by Jeremy Tonet · answered by Vincent Sorgi

    3 min read6 chapters

    Detailed Narrative

    01

    Pennsylvania Regulatory Update and Affordability Focus

    PPL Electric Utilities reached a constructive settlement in its distribution base rate case, filed after more than 10 years. The settlement, recommended for approval by administrative law judges, would result in bill increases of less than 4% across all customer classes, maintaining delivery rates among the lowest in the state. It includes a 2-year stay out and enhances support for vulnerable customers. A new large load customer rate class and electric service tariff were also created, providing approximately $11 million annually for residential low-income programs and ensuring financial commitments from developers.

    02

    Kentucky Regulatory and Innovative Partnerships

    In Kentucky, LG&E & KU were granted reconsideration of certain decisions by the KPSC regarding its base rate case, with a decision expected in Q3. The company announced partnerships to explore innovative generation technologies: with Rye Development for a 266 MW pump storage hydro project (estimated $1.3 billion, COD 2031) and with X-Energy for deploying Xe-100 small modular reactors. These initiatives aim to support increasing electricity demand from large load customers, backed by state legislation for nuclear development, and are approached with a disciplined, phased strategy.

    03

    Rhode Island Energy Performance and Rate Case

    Rhode Island Energy received approval for over $330 million in critical infrastructure investments, with recovery beginning April 1. These investments have contributed to top-quartile reliability metrics and strong execution during severe winter storms. The company's base rate case, filed in Q4 2025, requests a revenue requirement increase of $181 million in year 1 and $49 million in year 2, with new rates expected September 1. A new hold harmless commitment proposal will provide bill credits starting Q1 2027, offsetting the base rate increase and accelerating deferred tax benefits from the acquisition.

    04

    Pennsylvania Data Center Growth and Strategy

    PPL Electric Utilities continues to see significant data center development, with projects in advanced stages totaling 28.3 GW (up 12% from 25.2 GW). Of this, 10 GW have signed Electric Service Agreements (ESAs) and 5 GW are under construction. The company emphasizes strong customer protections in ESAs, including prepayments and minimum load obligations, ensuring developers bear financial risk. Incremental load growth is expected to improve system utilization and lower transmission costs for existing customers, reflecting a balanced approach to data center integration.

    05

    Kentucky Economic Development and Load Projections

    Kentucky is experiencing strong economic development, with the current development pipeline reflecting 12.9 GW of potential new load through 2032, an increase of nearly 4 GW from the year-end update. Data center requests account for almost 12 GW of this demand, with 650 MW already under construction or agreement. Based on updated planning, PPL now projects approximately 3.5 GW of expected new load by 2032, compared to 1.8 GW in its most recent CPCN forecast, making another CPCN filing possible as early as this year to address resource needs.

    06

    Blackstone Joint Venture Momentum

    Momentum is building for the joint venture with Blackstone, driven by rapid data center growth and the increasing need for dedicated generation solutions. The JV is actively engaged in strategic discussions with hyperscalers and gas pipeline companies, has executed multiple gas turbine reservation agreements, and submitted requests for multiple generation projects into PJM's interconnection queue for land sites under its control. The JV maintains a disciplined approach, committing to build only with signed Energy Supply Services Agreements (SSAs) and aiming for a utility-like risk profile through long-term contracts.

    AI-generated summary of the company’s earnings call. Not investment advice.