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    QCOM
    Earnings call· Dec 2024(Q1 FY25)

    QUALCOMM INC/DE QCOM

    Feb 5, 2025 Source

    Executive summary

    QUALCOMM Q1 FY25 — Record Revenue and EPS Driven by Handset and Automotive Strength

    Qualcomm delivered record Q1 FY25 results, driven by strong demand for premium Android handsets and significant growth in automotive and IoT segments, underscoring the success of its diversification strategy. The company is well-positioned for the edge AI inflection point with its Snapdragon platforms, expanding its presence in PCs and XR, and has resolved key licensing disputes, setting a confident tone for continued execution.

    Highlights

    5
    • Achieved record total revenues of $11.7 billion, exceeding the high end of guidance.

    • Delivered record non-GAAP EPS of $3.41, above the high end of guidance.

    • QCT revenues reached a record $10.1 billion, including record handset revenues of $7.6 billion (+13% YoY) and automotive revenues of $961 million (+61% YoY).

    • IoT revenues increased 36% year-over-year to $1.5 billion.

    • Snapdragon X Series achieved over 10% share of the >$800 Windows laptop market in U.S. retail in December.

    Concerns

    2
    • QTL revenue guidance for Q2 FY25 is $1.25 billion to $1.45 billion, reflecting normal seasonality and a sequential decline from Q1 FY25's $1.5 billion.

    • QCT handset revenues are expected to decline sequentially in Q2 FY25 due to seasonality and shipments to Apple.

    Guidance & targets

    16
    CategoryTargetConfidence
    Non-GAAP Revenues
    $10.2 billion to $11 billion
    high materiality
    High
    Non-GAAP EPS
    $2.70 to $2.90
    high materiality
    High
    QTL Revenues
    $1.25 billion to $1.45 billion
    medium materiality
    High
    QTL EBT Margins
    69% to 73%
    medium materiality
    High
    QCT Revenues
    $8.9 billion to $9.5 billion
    high materiality
    High
    QCT EBT Margins
    29% to 31%
    medium materiality
    High
    QCT Handset Revenue Growth
    approximately 10%
    medium materiality
    High
    IoT Revenue Growth
    approximately 15%
    medium materiality
    High
    Automotive Revenue Growth
    approximately 50%
    medium materiality
    High
    Non-GAAP Operating Expenses
    approximately $2.25 billion
    medium materiality
    High
    FY25 QTL Revenues
    consistent with fiscal '24
    high materiality
    High
    Non-Handset Revenues
    $22 billion
    high materiality
    High
    Windows PC Revenue
    $4 billion
    high materiality
    High
    Apple Modem Share
    20%
    high materiality
    High
    Apple Modem Share
    0%
    high materiality
    High
    Apple Modem Share
    between 100% and 20%
    medium materiality
    Low

    Segment performance

    2
    SegmentRevenueYoYQoQMargin
    QCT
    Record revenues, exceeding the high end of guidance, driven by outperformance across Android handsets, IoT, and automotive. QCT EBT dollars increased by 25% versus the year ago period.
    $10.1 billionAbove high end of guidanceEBT 32%
    QTL
    In line with expectations. Finalized renewal negotiations for long-term licenses with 2 key Chinese OEMs and signed Transsion to a long-term 4G license.
    $1.5 billionIn line with expectationsEBT 75%

    Operational metrics

    12
    Non-GAAP EPS
    $3.41record
    Q1 FY25

    Above the high end of guidance.

    Non-GAAP Operating Expenses
    $2.25 billion
    Q2 FY25

    Estimated for the second fiscal quarter.

    QCT EBT Dollars
    $3.2 billion+25% YoY
    Q1 FY25

    Increased versus the year ago period.

    Capital Returned to Stockholders
    $2.7 billion
    Q1 FY25

    Total capital returned, including stock repurchases and dividends.

    Stock Repurchases
    $1.8 billion
    Q1 FY25

    Part of total capital returned.

    Dividends
    $942 million
    Q1 FY25

    Part of total capital returned.

    Snapdragon X Series PC Market Share
    >10%
    December

    According to Circana, exceeded expectations.

    Premium Tier Smartphone Market Share
    >30%up from 21% 3-4 years ago
    current

    This trend is incredibly positive for Qualcomm as it is strong in this market segment.

    TSMC Price Increases
    January

    TSMC price increases for 3 and 4-nanometer did kick in, in January. Qualcomm's objective is to reflect cost increases in ASPs over time.

    Apple Modem Share
    20%
    2026 launches

    Qualcomm's assumption for modem supply to Apple.

    Apple Modem Share
    0%
    2027

    Qualcomm assumes no renewals after the current agreement ends.

    Apple Modem Share
    100% to 20%
    2025 launches

    Uncertainty regarding modem supply share to Apple for 2025 launches.

    Industry KPIs

    2
    MetricValueDetails
    Design wins socket pipelineOver 80 designsdesigns
    End market segment revenue mixHandset: $7.6B, Automotive: $961M, IoT: $1.5BUSD

    Product announcements

    5
    ProductTypeDetails
    Snapdragon Xlaunch
    Mini desktop AI PCs powered by Snapdragon X Serieslaunch
    AI on-prem appliance and inference suitelaunch
    Qualcomm Awareupdate
    Snapdragon Digital Chassis Workbenchlaunch

    Deals & partnerships

    13
    SamsungPowering Galaxy S25 series with Snapdragon 8 Elite for Galaxylong-standing strategic

    The recently launched Samsung Galaxy S25 series of smartphones will be powered by the Snapdragon 8 Elite for Galaxy globally, delivering the latest AI experiences.

    GoogleIntegration of Galaxy AI and Google Gemini on Snapdragon 8 Elitelong-standing strategic

    The Snapdragon 8 Elite for Galaxy showcases one of the best integrations of Galaxy AI and Google Gemini.

    Acer, ASUS, Dell, HP, LenovoOEMs launching PCs powered by Snapdragon X Series platforms

    Leading OEMs will launch PCs powered by Snapdragon X from in the coming months.

    LenovoIntroduction of world's first mini desktop AI PCs powered by Snapdragon X Series

    These devices redefine compact computing in a new form factor ideal for developers, consumers and enterprises.

    MetaStrategic long-term collaboration for XR solutionslong-term

    Qualcomm remains the preferred solutions provider for VR, MR and AR across major OEMs and ecosystems, with strategic long-term collaborations with Meta.

    GoogleAndroid XR platform, with first device by Samsung powered by Snapdragon XR

    Google announced Android XR, and the first device available for purchase later this year will be built by Samsung and powered by the Snapdragon XR platform.

    Honeywell, IBMFirst wave partners for AI on-prem appliance and inference suite

    These partners will utilize Qualcomm's new platforms for generative AI inference and computer vision workloads on-premises.

    Cisco, Charter, eero, NETGEAR, Nokia, UbiquitiRecent product launches with WiFi 7

    Momentum in WiFi 7 with recent product launches from these companies.

    Alps Alpine, Amazon, Google, Leapmotor, Mahindra, Hyundai MobisNew collaborations for Snapdragon Digital Chassis solutions in automotive

    These companies will use Snapdragon Digital Chassis solutions to enhance automotive experiences.

    Panasonic Automotive Systems, Garmin, Desay SVExpanded partnerships to utilize Snapdragon Cockpit Elite platform

    These Tier 1 suppliers will integrate the Snapdragon Cockpit Elite platform.

    Hyundai MobisCollaboration combining Snapdragon Ride Flex System-on-Chip and Snapdragon Ride Automated Driving Stack

    This collaboration will power advanced infotainment and advanced driver assistance systems in future vehicles.

    TranssionSigned long-term 4G licenselong-term

    This 4G license goes along with the 5G license signed in the last fiscal year.

    2 additional large OEMs (Chinese)Finalized renewal negotiations for long-term license agreementslong-term

    These agreements are expected to be executed shortly after the Lunar New Year holiday.

    Risks & headwinds

    2
    Seasonal decline in QCT handset revenuesQ2 FY25

    Sequential decline from Q1 FY25 record of $7.6 billion

    Mitigation: Diversification into automotive and IoT segments, strong product momentum in premium tier Android handsets.

    TSMC price increases for advanced nodesJanuary onwards

    3nm and 4nm price increases kicked in January

    Mitigation: Objective to reflect cost increases in ASPs over a period of time.

    What to watch in Q2 FY25

    4

    China smartphone market growth from subsidies

    Next quarter (Q2 FY25 call)
    CurrentSubsidies just began in January, early to assess
    TargetImproved market size, especially in premium tier

    Why it matters

    Potential upside to QTL and QCT handset volumes, especially for Chinese OEMs, could impact full-year outlook.

    As you know🎣, they just began in January. So we are not that far into the cycle. And so we'll have a better view of it next quarter. In terms of historical reference point, in the past, we have seen that when subsidies have come in, it has improved the size of the market.

    Q&A highlights

    6

    Clarify if the flat FY25 QTL guidance includes assumptions about overall unit shipments and royalty per unit, and if it accounts for a potential Huawei settlement.

    Akash Palkhiwala stated the baseline assumption for the market is flat to low single-digit growth YoY, not including potential upside from China subsidies or AI replacement rates. Alex Rogers confirmed that neither the Q2 nor the full-year QTL guidance includes any potential Huawei settlement, as discussions are still ongoing.

    The Huawei discussions are still in play. So the numbers don't actually include the potential from a renewal with Huawei.

    asked by Joshua Buchalter · answered by Alexander Rogers

    2 min read6 chapters

    Detailed Narrative

    01

    Edge AI Opportunity and Device Inference

    Qualcomm is highly optimistic about the growing edge AI opportunity, particularly as AI models become smaller and more efficient, enabling them to run directly on devices. DeepSeek-R1-Distill models, for instance, were running on Snapdragon-powered smartphones and PCs within days of release. The company anticipates a shift where AI inference increasingly occurs on-device, making AI more accessible and driving demand for Qualcomm platforms across various devices due to its leadership in high-performance, efficient AI processors for the edge.

    02

    Handset Leadership and Premium Tier Growth

    The recently launched Samsung Galaxy S25 series is globally powered by the Snapdragon 8 Elite for Galaxy, integrating advanced AI features like Galaxy AI and Google Gemini. This contributed to record QCT handset revenues of $7.6 billion, a 13% YoY increase. Strong design traction and end-customer demand for Snapdragon 8 Elite-powered flagship smartphones from Chinese OEMs also played a significant role, reinforcing the long-term trend of premium-tier growth in the smartphone market.

    03

    Expanding PC Presence with Snapdragon X Series

    Qualcomm's design win momentum in PCs has accelerated, with over 80 designs in production or development on Snapdragon X Series platforms, targeting more than 100 commercialized devices through 2026. The new Snapdragon X platform, designed for the $600 price range, expands the addressable market without compromising AI capabilities. Consumer reception has exceeded expectations, with Snapdragon X Series achieving over 10% share of Windows laptops priced above $800 in U.S. retail in December.

    04

    Automotive Sector Growth and Collaborations

    The company delivered its sixth consecutive quarter of record QCT automotive revenues, reaching $961 million, a 61% YoY increase. This growth is driven by increased content in new vehicle launches and automakers deploying high-performance computing and connectivity chips. New collaborations with partners like Alps Alpine, Amazon, Google, Leapmotor, Mahindra, and Hyundai Mobis utilize Snapdragon Digital Chassis solutions to power AI-driven in-cabin and advanced driver assistance systems.

    05

    IoT Diversification and Enterprise Solutions

    IoT revenues grew 36% YoY to $1.5 billion, fueled by new product launches across consumer, networking, and industrial segments. Qualcomm introduced its AI on-prem appliance and inference suite, enabling generative AI inference and computer vision workloads on dedicated on-premises hardware, with initial partners including Honeywell and IBM. The company also announced the evolution of Qualcomm Aware, a cloud-based asset visibility platform, further expanding its horizontal enablement offerings.

    06

    QTL Business Stability and Legal Resolution

    Qualcomm's QTL business is well-positioned to maintain its fiscal '24 revenue scale in fiscal '25, having extended key agreements with major OEMs and nearing execution of new long-term license agreements with two additional large OEMs. The company also signed Transsion to a long-term 4G license. Furthermore, the jury's verdict in the ARM vs. Qualcomm trial vindicated Qualcomm's CPU innovations and affirmed its license for proprietary Oryon CPUs across various industries.

    AI-generated summary of the company’s earnings call. Not investment advice.