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    QSR
    Earnings call· Mar 2026(Q1 FY26)

    Restaurant Brands International Q1 FY26 earnings call QSR

    May 6, 2026 Source

    Executive summary

    Restaurant Brands International Q1 FY26 — Strong Top-Line Growth and Capital Returns

    Restaurant Brands International delivered a strong first quarter, showcasing robust top-line growth driven by Burger King's U.S. turnaround and consistent performance from International and Tim Hortons. The company resumed share repurchases, signaling confidence in its strategy and commitment to shareholder returns. While Popeyes faced headwinds, management outlined a clear plan for improvement, aiming for a return to positive comparable sales in the second half of the year.

    Highlights

    7
    • Comparable sales growth of 3.2% exceeded the 3% long-term algorithm.

    • System-wide sales growth reached 6.2%.

    • Organic Adjusted Operating Income (AOI) grew 10.7%.

    • Adjusted EPS expanded by 14.6% to $0.86 per share.

    • Burger King U.S. comparable sales grew nearly 6%, outperforming the burger QSR industry by over 5 points.

    • International delivered 5.7% comparable sales and 11.1% system-wide sales growth.

    • Share repurchases resumed in March, with $60 million repurchased through April 30.

    Concerns

    3
    • Popeyes comparable sales declined 6.5%, leading to a 3.9% system-wide sales decline.

    • Elevated beef costs persisted in Q1, with relief now anticipated closer to 2027.

    • Tim Hortons advertising and other services incurred a $13 million AOI drag in Q1, projected to be $20 million for FY26.

    Guidance & targets

    23
    CategoryTargetConfidence
    Net restaurant growth
    5%-plus
    high materiality
    High
    Investment-grade balance sheet
    Achieve corporate investment-grade leverage
    high materiality
    High
    Total shareholder returns
    Consistent double-digit
    high materiality
    Medium
    Net new restaurants
    Approximately 1,800 per year
    high materiality
    High
    Net new restaurants (U.S. and Canada)
    300 to 400
    medium materiality
    Medium
    Net new restaurants (China)
    300 to 400
    medium materiality
    Medium
    Net new restaurants (International)
    Around 1,100
    medium materiality
    Medium
    Net new restaurants (International Top 10 growth markets)
    About 700
    low materiality
    Medium
    Net new restaurants (International balance of portfolio)
    400
    low materiality
    Medium
    Restaurant Holdings sunset
    Sunset restaurant holdings
    high materiality
    High
    Burger King China net restaurant growth
    Return to modestly positive
    medium materiality
    Medium
    Popeyes China long-term operator transition
    Positioning for success under a new long-term operator
    low materiality
    Medium
    Popeyes comparable sales
    Return to positive comps
    medium materiality
    Medium
    Firehouse Subs unit growth
    Another year of accelerated unit growth
    low materiality
    Medium
    Segment G&A (excluding Restaurant Holdings)
    $600 million to $620 million
    medium materiality
    High
    Net adjusted interest expense
    Approximately flat year-over-year in the $500 million to $520 million range
    medium materiality
    High
    CapEx and cash inducements
    Around $400 million
    medium materiality
    High
    Tim Hortons supply chain margins
    Roughly in line with 2025 levels
    low materiality
    High
    Restaurant Holdings AOI
    Roughly $10 million to $20 million
    medium materiality
    Medium
    Organic AOI growth
    Approximately 8%
    high materiality
    High
    Share repurchases
    Approximately $500 million
    high materiality
    High
    Adjusted effective tax rate
    Between 18% and 19%
    low materiality
    High
    Beef cost relief
    Normalization over time with relief now anticipated closer to 2027
    medium materiality
    Medium

    Segment performance

    6
    SegmentRevenueYoYQoQMargin
    Tim Hortons Canada
    Outperformed a relatively flat QSR industry amid lower consumer confidence and unfavorable weather. Growth was broad-based across all dayparts, with notable strength in morning and late night.
    Operating Profit Contribution: 41%Brand Health's best breakfast ranking: #1Digital Sales Mix: Nearly 40%Average Google Rating: 4 starsOverall Guest Satisfaction Improvement: >2 points YoYPM Daypart Guest Satisfaction: All-time high in Q1Beverage Sales Growth: 2% YoYCold Beverages Growth: 10%Espresso-based drinks and tea Growth: 8%
    1.5%
    International
    Delivered strong results driven by solid execution of menu innovation and everyday value across major markets including Spain, Germany, Australia, Brazil, China, Korea, and Japan.
    Operating Profit Contribution: 29%Net Restaurant Growth: 4.5%System-Wide Sales Growth: 11.1%System Sales Outside U.S. Run Rate: $2 billionQ1 System Sales Outside U.S.: $502 millionSystem Sales Growth Outside U.S.: 43.9%
    5.7%
    Burger King U.S.
    Strong performance driven by the 'Reclaim the Flame' program, impactful marketing, and operational improvements. Focus on elevating core menu, connecting with families, and consistent everyday value.
    Operating Profit Contribution: 18%Outperformance vs. Burger QSR Industry: >5 pointsFranchisee Ad Fund Contribution Vote: 97% to maintainModern Restaurants (as % of system): ~60%Whopper Average Unit Volumes: Highest in >3 years
    5.8%
    Popeyes
    Softer results, with management outlining a clear plan to address underlying drivers through improved in-restaurant execution, focus on core offerings, and rebuilding consistent everyday value.
    Net Restaurant Growth: 1.2%System-Wide Sales Growth: -3.9%
    -6.5%
    Firehouse Subs
    Solid development momentum supported by a strong pipeline of franchise partners and increasing brand awareness.
    Net Restaurant Growth: 8.1%System-Wide Sales Growth: 7.2%Average Paybacks: <4 years
    relatively flat
    Restaurant Holdings
    Q1 results reflect the impact of Carrols restaurant refranchising and incremental investments in international start-up businesses.
    Carrols Burger King AOI: Positive $8 millionInternational Start-up Businesses (Popeyes China, Firehouse Brazil) Loss: $9 million
    Negative $1 million

    Operational metrics

    17
    Adjusted EPS
    $0.8614.6% nominal growth
    Q1 FY26

    Driven by AOI growth, modest decrease in adjusted net interest expense, and FX tailwind.

    Adjusted Net Interest Expense
    $124 millionDecrease from $128 million YoY
    Q1 FY26

    Modest year-over-year decrease.

    Adjusted Effective Tax Rate
    18.5%
    Q1 FY26

    In line with full-year expectations of 18%-19%.

    CapEx and Cash Inducements
    $53 million
    Q1 FY26

    Included in free cash flow calculation.

    Benefit from Swaps and Hedges
    $26 million
    Q1 FY26

    Included in free cash flow calculation.

    Total Capital Returned to Shareholders
    $315 million
    Q1 FY26

    Through dividends and share repurchases.

    Total Liquidity
    Approximately $2.3 billion
    Q1 FY26

    Includes $1 billion of cash.

    Cash Balance
    $1 billion
    Q1 FY26

    Part of total liquidity.

    Net Leverage Ratio
    4.2x
    Q1 FY26

    At quarter end.

    Share Repurchases
    $34 million
    Q1 FY26

    Resumed in March.

    Share Repurchases (April)
    $26 million
    April 2026

    Additional repurchases in April.

    Share Repurchases (Total through April 30)
    $60 million
    Q1 FY26 to April 30, 2026

    Total repurchased since resumption.

    Tim Hortons Advertising and Other Services AOI Drag
    $13 millionvs. $2 million in prior year
    Q1 FY26

    Primarily due to timing of marketing-related expenses; similar drag expected in Q2.

    Tim Hortons Remodels
    300+
    FY26

    Increased pace of remodels in Canada.

    Burger King U.S. Modern Restaurants Target
    80%-plusvs. ~60% currently
    Long-term

    Goal for restaurant image improvement.

    Beef Cost Inflation
    High single-digit
    Q1 FY26

    Driving food cost increases; expected mid-single digits for full year.

    Tim Hortons Fountain Machine Rollout
    ~1/4
    Q1 FY26

    Enables operational efficiencies, improves cost profile, and opens new innovation paths for cold beverages.

    Industry KPIs

    7
    MetricValueDetails
    Comparable sales comps3.2%%
    Global system wide sales6.2%%
    Franchisee financial health97%%
    Input cost inflation hedgingHigh single-digit%
    Value affordability positioningMultiple offerings
    Loyalty program members tier mixNearly 40%%
    Net unit growth development pipeline2.6%%

    Product announcements

    8
    ProductTypeDetails
    $3 Breakfast Sandwich or Wrap with Coffeelaunch
    $8.99 Loaded Wrap Mealslaunch
    Protein and Zero Sugar Centers (Cold Beverages)launch
    Elevated Whopperlaunch
    Whopper Wednesdaylaunch
    $3.99 King Junior Mealslaunch
    $5 DUO and $7 Trioslaunch
    $5 Faves platformlaunch

    Deals & partnerships

    2
    CPEjoint venture$350 million primary capital injected5 years (development funding)

    Closed the Burger King China joint venture agreement on January 30, 2026. CPE brings deep local operating experience and a clear plan to improve the business.

    Canadian Tireloyalty partnership

    Loyalty partnership to be launched in the second half of the year, leveraging Tim Hortons' position as the #1 most loved Canadian brand.

    Risks & headwinds

    5
    Lower consumer confidence and unfavorable weather in CanadaQ1 FY26

    Impacted Q1 FY26 Tim Hortons performance, leading to a relatively flat QSR industry backdrop.

    Mitigation: Tim Hortons outperformed the industry by 150 bps through value offerings, digital engagement, and continued operational progress.

    Popeyes comparable sales declineQ1 FY26

    -6.5% comparable sales, -3.9% system-wide sales decline.

    Mitigation: Implementing a clear plan focusing on improving in-restaurant execution, narrowing focus on core offerings, and rebuilding consistent everyday value with the $5 Faves platform. Aiming for positive comps in H2 2026.

    Elevated beef costsPersisting, relief anticipated closer to 2027

    High single-digit food cost increases in Q1 FY26 (beef is ~25% of food basket).

    Mitigation: Closely monitoring costs; Carrols Burger King business saw AOI expansion due to top-line sales and operational work despite beef inflation.

    Tim Hortons advertising and other services AOI dragQ1 FY26, expected FY26

    $13 million in Q1 FY26 (compared to $2 million in prior year), expected $20 million for FY26.

    Mitigation: Primarily due to timing of certain marketing-related expenses; partially reverses in the back half of the year.

    Losses from international start-up businessesQ1 FY26, expected to continue until transition to new local partners.

    $9 million loss in Q1 FY26 from Popeyes China and Firehouse Brazil.

    Mitigation: Accelerating development for Popeyes China and positioning for success under a new long-term operator within 2 years. Investing incrementally in these businesses.

    Q&A highlights

    8

    How is the Canadian macro environment impacting Tim Hortons, and what is the outlook for the brand given potential difficult backdrops?

    Josh Kobza highlighted Tim Hortons' strong brand and consistent outperformance (20 consecutive quarters of SSSG), noting Q1 macro softness due to weather and consumer confidence. He emphasized increased investments in remodels (300+ in Canada) and new restaurant openings, along with the upcoming Canadian Tire loyalty partnership and new cold beverage innovations, giving confidence in the brand's trajectory.

    Tim is a brand that earns its industry outperformance quarter-by-quarter, through quality food and beverages, compelling everyday value, a consistently high-quality guest experience, and as a result, the loyalty of millions of Canadians who make it part of their daily routine.

    asked by Dennis Geiger · answered by Joshua Kobza

    3 min read6 chapters

    Detailed Narrative

    01

    Burger King U.S. Turnaround Gaining Momentum

    Burger King U.S. delivered strong comparable sales growth of nearly 6%, significantly outperforming the burger QSR industry. This performance is attributed to four years of disciplined execution under the 'Reclaim the Flame' program, focusing on restaurant standards, guest experience, and brand elevation. Marketing efforts, including the 'Elevated Whopper' and 'Whopper Wednesday,' drove positive guest feedback and the highest Whopper average unit volumes in over three years. Franchisee alignment remains strong, evidenced by a 97% vote to maintain elevated ad fund contributions, supporting continued investment in the brand.

    02

    International Business Continues as a Key Growth Engine

    The International segment reported another quarter of robust results with 5.7% comparable sales and 11.1% system-wide sales growth, reinforcing its role as a long-term growth driver. Performance was broad-based across major markets like Spain, Germany, Australia, Brazil, China, Korea, and Japan, driven by menu innovation and value positioning. The Burger King China joint venture with CPE closed in Q1, with CPE injecting $350 million of primary capital to fund development over the next five years, targeting a return to modestly positive net restaurant growth in 2026.

    03

    Tim Hortons Canada Outperforms in Challenging Macro

    Tim Hortons Canada achieved 1.5% comparable sales growth, outperforming a relatively flat QSR industry by 150 basis points amidst lower consumer confidence and unfavorable weather. Growth was broad-based across all dayparts, particularly morning and late night, driven by cold beverages and breakfast items. The brand maintained value leadership with offerings like the $3 breakfast sandwich and $8.99 loaded wrap meals. Digital sales mix reached nearly 40%, and a loyalty partnership with Canadian Tire is planned for the second half of the year, further enhancing guest engagement.

    04

    Popeyes Addressing Performance Headwinds

    Popeyes experienced softer results with a 6.5% comparable sales decline and a 3.9% system-wide sales decline. Management outlined a clear plan focusing on improving in-restaurant execution and guest service, narrowing the focus on core offerings (bone-in chicken, tenders, sandwich), and rebuilding a consistent everyday value proposition with the launch of the $5 Faves platform. Increased field support and general manager rallies are underway to enhance operational metrics, with a goal to return to positive comparable sales in the second half of 2026.

    05

    Strategic Capital Allocation and Financial Discipline

    RBI generated nearly $200 million in free cash flow in Q1 and resumed share repurchases in March, buying back $34 million in the quarter and $26 million in April, totaling $60 million through April 30. The company remains committed to its long-term algorithm of approximately 3% same-store sales and 8% organic AOI growth, supported by disciplined cost management and accelerating net restaurant growth. The goal is to achieve an investment-grade balance sheet by 2028 and return approximately $500 million through buybacks in FY26.

    06

    Restaurant Holdings Sunset and Refranchising Progress

    The company is on track to sunset its Restaurant Holdings segment by the end of 2027. In Q1, Restaurant Holdings AOI was negative $1 million, comprising a positive $8 million from the Carrols Burger King business, offset by a $9 million loss from international start-up businesses (Popeyes China and Firehouse Brazil). The refranchising process for Burger King U.S. is focused on finding high-quality local operators, with new partners already outperforming the system, demonstrating confidence in the brand's momentum.

    AI-generated summary of the company’s earnings call. Not investment advice.