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    RJF
    Earnings call· Mar 2025(Q2 FY25)

    RAYMOND JAMES FINANCIAL INC RJF

    Apr 23, 2025 Source

    Executive summary

    Raymond James Q2 FY25 — Strong Financials and Increased Share Repurchases Amidst Market Volatility

    Raymond James delivered solid Q2 FY25 results, marked by record year-to-date revenues and pretax income, driven by its diversified business model. Despite lower domestic net new assets and sequential declines in investment banking, the firm is optimistic about recruiting pipelines and has significantly increased its share repurchase program. Management emphasizes a strong balance sheet and continued investment in organic growth and strategic initiatives, including AI adoption, to navigate ongoing market uncertainty.

    Highlights

    5
    • Generated record net revenues of $6.9 billion and record pretax income of $1.4 billion for the first 6 months of fiscal 2025, up 13% and 15% respectively over the first half of fiscal 2024.

    • Private Client Group client assets under administration reached $1.54 trillion, representing year-over-year growth of 6%.

    • Recruited financial advisers with approximately $316 million of trailing 12-month production and nearly $59 billion of total client assets over the past 12 months.

    • Bank segment loans ended the quarter at a record $48.3 billion, primarily driven by strong growth in securities-based lending balances.

    • Resumed share repurchases, executing $250 million in Q2 FY25 and an additional $190 million in April, with a planned consistent run rate of $400 million to $500 million per quarter.

    Concerns

    5
    • Domestic net new assets (NNA) were $8.8 billion, representing a 2.6% annualized growth rate, which was lower than prior quarters and similar to the year-ago period.

    • Investment banking closings are expected to remain challenged due to market uncertainty and heightened volatility associated with tariff negotiations.

    • Investment banking revenues declined 34% sequentially to $216 million, reflecting lower activity broadly.

    • Fixed income market at the start of Q3 FY25 is challenging, posing a significant near-term headwind for brokerage revenues.

    • Client sentiment on markets and the economy has declined significantly over the past quarter due to heightened market volatility and potential economic impacts associated with tariffs.

    Guidance & targets

    5
    CategoryTargetConfidence
    Asset Management and related administrative fees
    relatively flat with the second quarter
    medium materiality
    Medium
    Combined net interest income and RJBDP fees from third-party banks
    relatively unchanged
    medium materiality
    Medium
    Full-year noncompensation expenses
    approximately $2.1 billion
    medium materiality
    Medium
    Effective tax rate
    approximately 25%
    medium materiality
    High
    Share repurchases
    $400 million to $500 million per quarter
    high materiality
    High

    Segment performance

    4
    SegmentRevenueYoYQoQMargin
    Private Client Group
    Results were driven by market appreciation and consistent addition of net new assets. Fiscal year-to-date, PCG generated record revenues and pretax income. NNA improved throughout the quarter with strong new commits in March and April.
    Assets Under Administration: $1.54TAssets Under Administration growth YoY: 6%Domestic Net New Assets: $8.8BDomestic Net New Assets annualized growth rate: 2.6%Fee-based assets: $873BFee-based assets growth YoY: 9%Managed fee-based programs net inflows annualized: 8%
    $2.49B$431M pretax income
    Capital Markets
    Net revenues grew year-over-year primarily due to higher investment banking and fixed income brokerage revenues. Sequential decline was largely due to lower investment banking revenues. Investment banking pipeline is strong but timing of closings negatively impacted by market uncertainty.
    $396M23%-18%$36M pretax income
    Asset Management
    Results largely attributable to higher financial assets under management compared to prior year due to market appreciation and strong net inflows into PCG fee-based accounts. Generated record revenues and pretax income fiscal year-to-date.
    Net inflows into managed programs sequentially: $3.7B
    $289M$121M pretax income
    Bank
    Net interest income grew 1% sequentially, driven by continued loan growth and NIM expansion. Credit quality of the loan portfolio remains strong. Loan growth led by securities-based loans and residential mortgage loans.
    Loans: $48.3BLoans growth QoQ: 2%Net interest margin: 2.67%Net interest margin expansion QoQ: 7 bpsCriticized loans as % of total loans held for investment: 1.14%Nonperforming assets as % of Bank segment assets: 34 bpsAllowance for credit losses as % of total loans for investment: 93 bpsAllowance for credit losses on corporate loans as % of corporate loans held for investment: 1.94%
    $434M$117M pretax income

    Operational metrics

    29
    Adjusted pretax margin
    20.3%
    Q2 FY25

    Excluding expenses related to acquisitions.

    Adjusted earnings per diluted share
    $2.42
    Q2 FY25

    Excluding expenses related to acquisitions.

    Annualized return on common equity
    16.4%
    Q2 FY25

    Strong results for the quarter given conservative capital base.

    Annualized adjusted return on tangible common equity
    19.7%
    Q2 FY25

    Strong results for the quarter given conservative capital base.

    Asset Management and related administrative fees
    $1.73Bup 14% YoY, down 1% QoQ
    Q2 FY25

    Sequential decline primarily due to fewer billing days in the quarter.

    Brokerage revenues
    $580Mup 10% YoY
    Q2 FY25

    Primarily due to higher fixed income brokerage revenues.

    Investment banking revenues
    $216Mup 21% YoY, down 34% QoQ
    Q2 FY25

    Sequential decline reflected lower investment banking activity broadly, compared to near record M&A results in the prior quarter.

    Clients' domestic cash sweep and Enhanced Savings Program balances
    $57.8Bdown 3% QoQ
    Q2 FY25

    Balances decreased further into April due to tax payments, aligning with quarterly fee billings.

    Combined net interest income and RJBDP fees from third-party banks
    $651Mdown 3% QoQ
    Q2 FY25

    Primarily the result of two fewer billing days in the quarter.

    Average yield on RJBDP balances with third party banks
    3%down 12 bps QoQ
    Q2 FY25

    Primarily due to the full quarter impact of rate cuts that occurred late in the preceding quarter.

    Compensation expense
    $2.2B
    Q2 FY25

    Total compensation ratio for the quarter was 64.8%.

    Adjusted compensation ratio
    64.5%
    Q2 FY25

    Excluding acquisition-related compensation expense.

    Noncompensation expenses
    $528Mup 2% QoQ
    Q2 FY25

    Mostly due to a relatively modest bank loan provision for credit losses compared to prior quarter (near zero) and higher communications and information processing expenses.

    Corporate cash at parent
    $2.5B
    Q2 FY25

    Well above the target.

    Tier 1 leverage ratio
    13.3%
    Q2 FY25

    Well above regulatory requirements. Target is 10%.

    Total capital ratio
    24.8%
    Q2 FY25

    Well above regulatory requirements.

    Effective tax rate
    26.2%increase QoQ
    Q2 FY25

    Increase over preceding quarter as benefit from excess share-based compensation did not recur.

    Share buyback
    $250M
    Q2 FY25

    Resumed share repurchases during the quarter.

    Share buyback
    $190M
    April FY25

    Additional repurchases made so far in April.

    Total capital returned to shareholders
    >$1.5B
    Past 5 quarters

    Through common dividends and share repurchases.

    AFS portfolio maturities
    $350M
    Q2 FY25

    Redeployed as part of funding loan balances.

    AFS portfolio maturities
    ~$275M
    Q3 FY25

    Approximation for Q3 FY25, expected to be redeployed into loans.

    AFS portfolio maturities
    ~$325M
    Q4 FY25

    Approximation for Q4 FY25, expected to be redeployed into loans.

    Recruited trailing 12-month production
    $316M
    TTM

    From financial advisers at their previous firms.

    Recruited client assets
    $50B
    TTM

    From financial advisers at their previous firms.

    Total recruited client assets
    nearly $59B
    TTM

    Including assets recruited into RIA & Custody Services division.

    Securities-based lending (SBL) loan growth
    >$600M
    Q2 FY25

    Strong demand for SBL loans continued into April.

    Client satisfaction with advisers
    97%increased QoQ
    Q2 FY25

    Despite declining client sentiment on markets and economy, satisfaction with advisers increased.

    Total assets
    $83.1Bup 1% QoQ
    Q2 FY25

    Primarily resulting from loan growth.

    Industry KPIs

    1
    MetricValueDetails
    Net interest income$651MUSD

    Product announcements

    3
    ProductTypeDetails
    Chief AI Officer rolelaunch
    In-house proprietary AI search toollaunch
    Private capital business leadership structureupdate

    Risks & headwinds

    3
    Market uncertainty and heightened volatilityNear-term (Q3 FY25)

    Investment banking closings expected to remain challenged; fixed income market challenging at start of Q3 FY25.

    Mitigation: Strong investment banking pipeline, deep expertise across industries, strong balance sheet for stability, continued focus on adviser satisfaction (97% client satisfaction).

    Potential economic impacts associated with tariffsOngoing, Q3 FY25 impact on provision

    Client sentiment on markets and economy declined significantly; potential impact on third-quarter provision for credit losses.

    Mitigation: Closely monitoring economic factors, including potential impact of tariff negotiations on corporate borrowers; strong balance sheet to position well in any market environment.

    Tepid corporate loan demandQ2 FY25, continuing into April

    Corporate loan demand still very tepid during market volatility.

    Mitigation: Remaining poised to opportunistically make investments when risk-adjusted returns are reasonable; strong demand for SBL loans offsetting corporate loan weakness.

    What to watch in Q3 FY25

    5

    Domestic Net New Assets (NNA) growth

    H2 FY25
    Current2.6% annualized in Q2 FY25
    TargetImprovement towards historical 5%+ run rate

    Why it matters

    NNA is a key driver of Private Client Group revenue and AUA growth, reflecting the firm's ability to attract and retain client assets.

    While NNA was lower this quarter, which was similar to what we experienced in the same quarter in fiscal 2024, we saw net new assets improved throughout the quarter and also had extremely strong months of new commits in March and April, which should help our net new assets in the second half of the fiscal year.

    Q&A highlights

    6

    Asked for more detail on the sequential improvement in NNA into April and the current size/strength of the recruiting pipeline compared to last year.

    Paul Shoukry stated that NNA improved throughout the quarter, with strong new commits in March and April, which will positively impact NNA in the second half of the fiscal year. He emphasized optimism about the pipelines across all affiliation options, driven by the firm's 'Best of Both Worlds' value proposition and strong balance sheet, which acts as a source of stability for advisers.

    what I would just tell you, high level is that throughout the quarter, the actual NNA improved and as well as the new commits, particularly in the month of March, which was a very strong month, followed by another good month in April.

    asked by Y. Cho · answered by Paul Shoukry

    3 min read6 chapters

    Detailed Narrative

    01

    Adviser and Client-Focused Culture

    Raymond James continues to emphasize its unique adviser and client-focused culture, which was validated by a #1 ranking in the 2025 J.D. Power survey for advice, investor satisfaction, and industry trust. CEO Paul Shoukry highlighted that advisers and bankers consistently express satisfaction with joining the firm, often regretting not joining sooner. This culture, combined with a robust platform, is seen as a key differentiator, especially during periods of market stress.

    02

    Recruiting Momentum and Pipelines

    The firm reported strong recruiting momentum, with financial advisers bringing approximately $316 million of trailing 12-month production and nearly $59 billion of client assets over the past 12 months. While domestic net new assets were lower this quarter at $8.8 billion (2.6% annualized growth), management noted significant improvement throughout the quarter and strong new commits in March and April. The 'Best of Both Worlds' value proposition, coupled with a strong balance sheet, continues to attract high-quality prospects across all affiliation options, with pipelines building rapidly.

    03

    Capital Deployment Strategy

    Raymond James' capital deployment priorities remain investing in organic growth first, complemented by strategic acquisitions. The firm evaluated several M&A opportunities but chose not to pursue them due to valuation discipline. Given strong capital and liquidity positions, the company resumed share repurchases, buying back $250 million in Q2 FY25 and an additional $190 million in April. Management plans to continue repurchasing shares at a more consistent pace, likely $400 million to $500 million per quarter, to maintain capital ratios while preserving capacity for growth and acquisitions.

    04

    AI Strategy and Innovation

    Raymond James established a new Chief AI Officer role, filled by an internal promotion, to monitor developments and use cases for artificial intelligence. The firm's strategy is to deploy AI to empower financial professionals to serve clients more effectively and efficiently, rather than using it to bypass advisers. AI is already utilized in back-office functions, and a proprietary AI search tool was recently rolled out. The company plans to discuss its AI strategy in more detail at its upcoming Analyst Investor Day in June.

    05

    Private Capital Business Expansion

    The company announced a new leadership structure for its private capital business, aimed at helping high-net-worth focused advisers better serve clients with a wide variety of bespoke private investment alternatives. This open-architecture platform has seen significant progress over the last five years in building capabilities and resources, including internal research. The firm sees substantial upside in this business, leveraging synergies between its Capital Markets and Private Client Group segments.

    06

    Market Volatility and Credit Quality

    Heightened market volatility🌐 and potential economic impacts from tariffs have created an uncertain environment, leading to a decline in client sentiment. However, client satisfaction with advisers remains high at 97%. The Bank segment's loan portfolio, which grew 2% during the quarter to a record $48.3 billion, maintains strong credit quality, with criticized loans at 1.14% and nonperforming assets at 34 basis points. The allowance for credit losses on total loans was 93 basis points, with a higher 1.94% for corporate loans, reflecting a mix shift towards lower-risk securities-based and residential mortgage loans.

    AI-generated summary of the company’s earnings call. Not investment advice.