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    ROK
    Earnings call· Sep 2025(Q4 FY25)

    ROCKWELL AUTOMATION, INC ROK

    Nov 6, 2025 Source

    Executive summary

    Rockwell Automation Q4 FY25 — Strong Finish with Double-Digit Growth and Margin Expansion

    Rockwell Automation concluded fiscal year 2025 with strong Q4 performance, marked by double-digit sales and earnings growth, driven by product strength and significant productivity gains. The company exceeded its full-year free cash flow conversion target and is focused on continued margin expansion and operational excellence. While CapEx remains muted, Rockwell is well-positioned for sustained growth, particularly in North America, with strategic investments in advanced manufacturing and digital capabilities.

    Highlights

    5
    • Q4 organic sales grew 13% year-over-year, exceeding expectations.

    • Q4 adjusted EPS of $3.34 was well above expectations, driven by higher volume and strong productivity.

    • Full-year fiscal 2025 free cash flow conversion was 114%, exceeding expectations and returning above 100%.

    • Achieved over $325 million in structural productivity savings for FY25, exceeding the original target of $250 million.

    • Software & Control segment organic sales grew 30% year-over-year with segment margin up 880 basis points to 31.2%.

    Concerns

    4
    • Lifecycle Services organic sales were down 4% year-over-year, slightly below expectations, due to project delays.

    • Sensia joint venture did not meet long-term expectations, leading to an orderly dissolution and a non-cash impairment charge of $110 million ($0.97 per share).

    • CapEx activity and longer-cycle businesses remain muted, with customers holding off on larger investments.

    • Adjusted effective tax rate for Q4 was 18%, up from 15% last year, driven by lower discrete benefits.

    Guidance & targets

    32
    CategoryTargetConfidence
    Full-year FY26 Organic Sales Growth
    2% to 6%
    high materiality
    Medium
    Full-year FY26 Reported Revenue Growth
    5% at midpoint
    high materiality
    Medium
    Full-year FY26 Annual Recurring Revenue (ARR) Growth
    high single digits
    medium materiality
    Medium
    Full-year FY26 Segment Operating Margin
    21.5%
    high materiality
    Medium
    Full-year FY26 Adjusted EPS
    $11.20 to $12.20
    high materiality
    Medium
    Full-year FY26 Free Cash Flow Conversion
    100%
    medium materiality
    Medium
    Full-year FY26 Price Contribution
    2 points
    medium materiality
    Medium
    Full-year FY26 Incremental Margin
    exceed 40%
    medium materiality
    Medium
    Full-year FY26 Capital Expenditures
    about 3% of sales
    medium materiality
    Medium
    Q1 FY26 Sales
    down low double digits sequentially
    medium materiality
    Medium
    Q1 FY26 Total Company Segment Margins
    high teens range
    medium materiality
    Medium
    Q1 FY26 Adjusted EPS Growth
    more than 25% year-over-year growth
    medium materiality
    Medium
    Q1 FY26 Intelligent Devices Sales
    down low double digits sequentially
    low materiality
    Medium
    Q1 FY26 Intelligent Devices Segment Margins
    mid- to high teens
    low materiality
    Medium
    Q1 FY26 Software & Control Segment Margins
    high 20s
    low materiality
    Medium
    Q1 FY26 Lifecycle Services Sales
    down high single digits sequentially
    low materiality
    Medium
    Q1 FY26 Lifecycle Services Segment Margins
    low double digits
    low materiality
    Medium
    Full-year FY26 Intelligent Devices Reported Sales Growth
    mid- to high single digits
    medium materiality
    Medium
    Full-year FY26 Intelligent Devices Segment Margins
    high teens to low 20s
    medium materiality
    Medium
    Full-year FY26 Software & Control Reported Sales Growth
    mid-single digits
    medium materiality
    Medium
    Full-year FY26 Software & Control Segment Margins
    low 30s
    medium materiality
    Medium
    Full-year FY26 Lifecycle Services Reported Sales Growth
    flattish
    medium materiality
    Medium
    Full-year FY26 Lifecycle Services Segment Margins
    low teens
    medium materiality
    Medium
    Full-year FY26 Adjusted Effective Tax Rate
    20%
    medium materiality
    Medium
    Full-year FY26 Corporate and Other Expense
    around $100 million
    low materiality
    Medium
    Full-year FY26 Net Interest Expense
    about $120 million
    low materiality
    Medium
    Full-year FY26 Average Diluted Shares Outstanding
    about 112.7 million shares
    low materiality
    Medium
    Full-year FY26 Share Repurchases
    approximately $500 million
    medium materiality
    Medium
    Clearpath Profitability
    turn profitable
    low materiality
    Medium
    Auto Sales Growth
    mid-single digits
    low materiality
    Medium
    Long-term Incremental Margin
    35%
    medium materiality
    Medium
    Medium-term Margin Target
    23.5%
    high materiality
    Medium

    Segment performance

    7
    SegmentRevenueYoYQoQMargin
    Intelligent Devices
    Organic sales up 14% year-over-year and low double digits sequentially, driven by power control business and CUBIC acquisition. Clearpath business (OTTO autonomous mobile robot) grew double digits year-over-year.
    14%low double digits19.8%
    Software & Control
    Organic sales grew 30% year-over-year, led by continued momentum in Logix business. Plex and Fiix continue to add new logos.
    30%31.2%
    Lifecycle Services
    Organic sales down 4% year-over-year, slightly below expectations, due to project delays. Book-to-bill consistent with historical Q4 seasonality. Margin up 30 bps year-over-year due to strong project execution and higher productivity.
    Book-to-bill: 0.9
    -4%17.5%
    Discrete Industries
    Sales up 20% year-over-year with strong growth in e-commerce and warehouse automation (over 70% YoY) and good performance in automotive (low double-digit growth YoY). Data center business showed strong double-digit growth.
    20%
    Hybrid Industries
    Double-digit growth across food and beverage, home and personal care, and life sciences. Life sciences sales exceeded expectations with increased automation adoption in medical devices.
    double-digit growth
    Process Industries
    Sales grew 10% with year-over-year growth across all industries. Customers focusing on efficiency and profitability in existing facilities due to weaker demand and low commodity prices.
    10%
    North America
    Strong finish to the year and best-performing region in Q4. Expected to be the strongest region in fiscal '26. $2 billion investment over 5 years to modernize infrastructure, grow talent, and enhance digital capabilities is underway.
    strong finish

    Operational metrics

    34
    Q4 Segment Operating Margin
    22.5%
    Q4 FY25

    Well above expectations, driven by higher volume and strong productivity.

    Q4 EPS Impact from Normal Asbestos/Environmental Spend
    $0.03
    Q4 FY25

    Excluded from adjusted earnings under the new definition.

    Q4 Core Performance Impact on EPS
    $1.45YoY
    Q4 FY25

    Primary driver of sales and earnings growth in the quarter, driven by volume, structural productivity, and price.

    Q4 Compensation Impact on EPS
    $0.45
    Q4 FY25

    Compared to prior expectation of $0.30, driven by outperformance.

    Q4 Prior Compensation Expectation Impact on EPS
    $0.30
    Q4 FY25

    Original expectation for compensation impact in Q4.

    Q4 Headwind from Clearpath Earnout Reversal and Other One-time Items
    $0.15
    Q4 FY25

    Resulted from lapping the prior year benefit from a Clearpath earnout reversal and other one-time items.

    Full-year FY25 Reported and Organic Sales
    $8.3 billionup 1% YoY
    FY25

    200 basis points better than original guidance midpoint for the year. Currency was neutral.

    Full-year FY26 Core Performance Impact on EPS
    $1.40
    FY26

    Includes productivity, which is the term for operationalizing ongoing focus on cost reduction and margin expansion.

    Full-year FY26 FX Tailwind on EPS
    $0.20
    FY26

    Expected tailwind from foreign exchange.

    Full-year FY26 EPS Headwind from Tax
    $0.40
    FY26

    Resulting from the adjusted effective tax rate of 20% due to BEPS Pillar Two implementation.

    Full-year FY25 Compensation Expense
    $255 million
    FY25

    Includes merit and bonus.

    Analyst-cited Compensation for FY25
    2.60%
    FY25

    Analyst's estimate for compensation, likely an ASR error for a dollar amount (e.g., $260 million) given management's stated $255 million. Captured as stated in prompt.

    Analyst-cited Compensation Run Rate
    2.25%
    Run rate

    Analyst's estimate for the right run rate for compensation, likely an ASR error for a dollar amount (e.g., $225 million). Captured as stated in prompt.

    Cost Wraparound from FY25 to FY26
    $50 million - $75 million
    FY26

    Analyst's estimate for additional costs from FY25 wrapping into FY26, confirmed by management as being in the right zone.

    Q4 Organic Sales Growth
    13%YoY
    Q4 FY25

    Led by continued strength in product businesses.

    Q4 Organic Sales Growth (Sequential)
    high single digitsQoQ
    Q4 FY25

    Better than expected.

    Q4 Annual Recurring Revenue (ARR) Growth
    8%
    Q4 FY25

    Despite some customers delaying discretionary services spending.

    Q4 Organic Growth from Price
    4 points
    Q4 FY25

    With 1 point coming from tariff-based pricing. Price/cost was favorable.

    Q4 Organic Growth from Tariff-based Pricing
    1 point
    Q4 FY25

    Part of the 4 points of organic growth from price.

    Q4 Incremental Margin on Year-over-Year Sales Growth
    40%YoY
    Q4 FY25

    Reflects strong operational execution.

    Q4 Intelligent Devices Sequential Incrementals
    high 20sQoQ
    Q4 FY25

    On low double-digit sales growth, reflecting seasonal shipments of configure-to-order.

    Q4 Software & Control Sequential Incrementals
    low 20sQoQ
    Q4 FY25

    With modest sequential sales growth after a very strong Q3.

    Q4 Incremental Margin on Sequential Sales Growth
    high 30sQoQ
    Q4 FY25

    Reflects overall company performance.

    Full-year FY25 Total ARR Growth
    8%
    FY25

    With solid performance in Software as a Service business.

    Full-year FY25 Segment Margin Increase
    110 basis pointsYoY
    FY25

    140 basis points better than original guide, driven by margin expansion, cost reduction, price, and favorable mix.

    Full-year FY25 Adjusted EPS Growth
    7%YoY
    FY25

    Well over $1 better than the midpoint of initial guide.

    Full-year FY25 Structural Productivity Savings
    $325 millionexceeded $250M target
    FY25

    Exceeded original target of $250 million.

    Sensia Annualized Revenue Reduction
    $250 million
    Annualized

    Approximate impact from planned dissolution of Sensia JV.

    Sensia Annualized Margin Benefit
    50 basis points
    Annualized

    Approximate margin benefit to Rockwell on an annualized basis from Sensia dissolution.

    Q4 Adjusted Effective Tax Rate
    18%up from 15% last year
    Q4 FY25

    Driven by higher discrete benefits in the prior year.

    Full-year FY25 Adjusted Effective Tax Rate
    17%
    FY25

    Reflects full year performance.

    Full-year FY25 Free Cash Flow Conversion
    114%
    FY25

    Exceeded expectations, inclusive of $70 million pension contribution.

    Full-year FY25 Free Cash Flow Conversion (Excluding Pension Contribution)
    119%
    FY25

    With free cash flow reaching a record $1.4 billion.

    Full-year FY25 Capital Deployed to Shareholders
    $1 billion
    FY25

    While inorganic investments were paused.

    Industry KPIs

    3
    MetricValueDetails
    Book to bill ratio0.9
    Data center exposure pipelinestrong double-digit growth%
    Incremental flow through margin40%%

    Product announcements

    5
    ProductTypeDetails
    Plex platformexpansion
    Verve platformexpansion
    Logix L9 processorlaunch
    Process I/Olaunch
    FactoryTalk Optix platform and digital servicesexpansion

    Deals & partnerships

    1
    SLBOrderly dissolution of Sensia joint venture

    Rockwell will assume 100% ownership of the process automation business it initially contributed to the JV. SLB will again fully own the parts they contributed. Sensia did not meet long-term expectations. Rockwell's resulting sales into the oil and gas vertical will be about 10%.

    Capital programs

    1
    U.S. Infrastructure Modernization, Talent Growth, Digital Capabilitiesunderway$2 billion

    Benefit: unlock future growth and margin expansion

    Announced last quarter, these initiatives are now underway with the U.S. as the primary beneficiary.

    Risks & headwinds

    5
    Muted CapEx activity and longer-cycle businessesNear-term, continuing into FY26

    Customers holding off on larger investments

    Mitigation: Focus on product businesses, brownfield optimization, and software solutions; gradual sequential improvement expected in FY26 without relying on a big CapEx recovery.

    Uncertain macro and geopolitical environmentFY26

    General uncertainty

    Mitigation: Focus on internal execution, cost reduction, and margin expansion; increased stability in trade policy would help unlock additional capital spending.

    Project delays in Lifecycle ServicesQ4 FY25, Q1 FY26

    Organic sales down 4% YoY in Q4; high single digits sequential decline expected in Q1 FY26

    Mitigation: Strong project execution and higher productivity in Lifecycle Services; continued focus on driving efficiency and profitability in existing facilities for customers.

    Higher compensation expenseQ4 FY25, FY25

    $0.45 impact on Q4 EPS (vs. $0.30 expected); $255 million for full year FY25

    Mitigation: Normalized run rate for compensation in FY26; ongoing cost reduction and margin expansion initiatives.

    Impact of BEPS Pillar Two on tax rateFY26

    Adjusted effective tax rate expected to be 20% in FY26 (up from 17% in FY25), resulting in $0.40 EPS headwind

    Mitigation: Anticipated and factored into FY26 guidance.

    What to watch in Q1 FY26

    5

    Q1 FY26 Sales Performance

    Q1 FY26
    CurrentExpected down low double digits sequentially
    TargetVerification against guidance

    Why it matters

    To confirm if the sequential decline aligns with normal seasonality and if CapEx activity remains slow as anticipated, impacting overall FY26 trajectory.

    In Q1, we expect overall company sales to be down low double digits sequentially, given normal seasonality and the continued uncertainty and slower CapEx activity.

    Q&A highlights

    7

    What were the reasons for the Sensia JV's failure to meet expectations, leading to its dissolution?

    Blake Moret explained that the JV launched just before COVID, which significantly impacted energy markets. The broad scope of Sensia added costs, and while it achieved operational profitability, it didn't meet long-term goals to justify the complexity. Rockwell's increased technology capabilities since 2019 also made simplification attractive, leading to the decision to return originally contributed businesses.

    standing up a new entity a few months before COVID kind of descended on the world had a particular impact in energy markets for that period of time. So that created a challenging starting point. I think from an operation standpoint, the scope that Sensia had laid out was broad, which added costs.

    asked by Scott Davis · answered by Blake Moret

    2 min read6 chapters

    Detailed Narrative

    01

    Q4 FY25 Performance and Productivity Gains

    Rockwell Automation closed fiscal year 2025 with strong Q4 results, reporting double-digit year-over-year growth in both sales and operating earnings. Organic sales increased 13%, driven by product businesses, and sequentially grew high single digits, surpassing expectations. The company achieved over $325 million in structural productivity savings for the year, exceeding its original target of $250 million, contributing to a 240 basis point increase in segment operating margin to 22.5%.

    02

    Sensia Joint Venture Dissolution and Financial Impact

    Following a strategic review, Rockwell and SLB decided to dissolve the Sensia joint venture. Rockwell will assume 100% ownership of the process automation business it initially contributed, while SLB will regain its parts. This dissolution is expected to result in a $250 million revenue reduction for Rockwell but virtually no impact on operating earnings, with an approximate 50 basis point margin benefit annually. A non-cash impairment charge of $110 million ($0.97 per share) was recorded in Q4 related to this decision.

    03

    Strategic Market Performance and Data Center Growth

    Discrete industries saw sales up 20% year-over-year, with e-commerce and warehouse automation growing over 70% and automotive sales up low double digits. The data center business, though small, showed strong double-digit growth, securing projects for modular cooling panels and leveraging Logix and modular power distribution for AI data center demand. Hybrid industries experienced double-digit growth across food and beverage, home and personal care, and life sciences, with increased automation adoption in medical devices.

    04

    Logix Volumes and Product Innovation

    Logix unit volumes reached pre-COVID levels in the second half of FY25, with expectations to exceed these levels in FY26 due to market expansion and share gains. Rockwell has already begun rolling out new Logix products, including the higher-performance L9 processor and a new family of Process I/O, contributing to steady sequential growth. The company is also advancing software-defined automation, including Logix in software form, which will be showcased at Investor Day.

    05

    Fiscal 2026 Outlook and Capital Allocation

    For fiscal 2026, Rockwell projects organic sales growth of 2% to 6% and adjusted EPS of $11.20 to $12.20. The company anticipates segment margin expansion of over 100 basis points to 21.5% and free cash flow conversion of 100%. Capital expenditures are planned at approximately 3% of sales, focusing on plant and digital infrastructure. The company targets $500 million in share repurchases for the year, maintaining a strong capital structure.

    06

    Accounting Policy Changes and Financial Adjustments

    Rockwell introduced a new engineering and development expense line, reclassifying costs from cost of sales to operating expenses, increasing gross margin by 8 points with no P&L impact. The company also changed its accounting policy for legacy asbestos exposure to a full horizon accrual for defense costs, resulting in a one-time📎 pretax charge of $136 million ($0.91 per share) in Q4. Adjusted income and EPS definitions were updated to exclude these non-operational charges.

    AI-generated summary of the company’s earnings call. Not investment advice.