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    RTX
    Earnings call· Dec 2025(Q4 FY25)

    RTX Corp RTX

    Jan 27, 2026 Source

    Executive summary

    RTX Q4 FY25 — Strong Sales, EPS, and Record Backlog

    RTX delivered a strong Q4 FY25, driven by robust demand across commercial and defense segments, leading to significant sales, EPS, and free cash flow growth. The company achieved a record backlog and a strong book-to-bill ratio, positioning it well for continued top-line expansion in FY26. Operational improvements and strategic investments in capacity and technology are expected to sustain this momentum, despite ongoing GTF fleet management efforts and increased capital expenditures.

    Highlights

    5
    • Full-year adjusted sales were $88.6 billion, up 11% organically year-over-year.

    • Full-year adjusted EPS was $6.29, up 10% year-over-year.

    • Full-year free cash flow was $7.9 billion, up $3.4 billion year-over-year.

    • Ended 2025 with a record backlog of $268 billion, up 23% year-over-year, with a book-to-bill of 1.56.

    • GTF PW1100 AOGs declined over 20% in Q4 FY25 from 2025 highs, with MRO output up 39% in Q4 and 26% for the full year.

    Concerns

    12
    • Higher corporate expenses

    • Higher effective tax rate

    • Impact of divestitures

    • Higher tariffs

    • Absence of prior year insurance recovery

    • Lower pension income

    • Higher share count

    • Higher minority interest

    • Higher CapEx

    • Other FCF items

    • PW4000 and PW2000 retirements

    • Collins Q1 FY26 margins depressed

    Guidance & targets

    13
    CategoryTargetConfidence
    Adjusted Sales
    $92B-$93B
    high materiality
    High
    Adjusted EPS
    $6.60-$6.80
    high materiality
    High
    Free Cash Flow
    $8.25B-$8.75B
    high materiality
    High
    Organic Sales Growth
    5%-6%
    high materiality
    High
    Consolidated Segment Margin
    Expansion
    medium materiality
    High
    CapEx
    $3.1B
    medium materiality
    High
    Collins Adjusted Sales Growth
    Mid-single digits (adjusted), High single digits (organic)
    medium materiality
    High
    Collins Adjusted Operating Profit Growth
    $425M-$525M
    medium materiality
    High
    Pratt & Whitney Adjusted Sales Growth
    Mid-single digits
    medium materiality
    High
    Pratt & Whitney Adjusted Operating Profit Growth
    $225M-$325M
    medium materiality
    High
    Raytheon Adjusted Sales Growth
    Mid- to high single digits
    medium materiality
    High
    Raytheon Adjusted Operating Profit Growth
    $200M-$300M
    medium materiality
    High
    Powder Metal Compensation (Cash Outflow)
    ~$700M
    medium materiality
    High

    Segment performance

    3
    SegmentRevenueYoYQoQMargin
    Collins
    Organic growth driven by strength across commercial OE and aftermarket. Profit partially offset by divestitures and higher tariffs.
    Commercial OE sales growth: 9%Commercial aftermarket sales growth: 13%Provisioning growth: 24%Parts and repair growth: 11%Mods and upgrades growth: 7%Defense sales growth: 2%Full-year adjusted sales: $30.2BFull-year adjusted operating profit: $4.9BFull-year organic sales growth: 9%Full-year margin expansion: 30 bps
    $7.7B3% adjusted, 8% organic$1.2B adjusted operating profit
    Pratt & Whitney
    Growth driven by strength across all channels, including increased deliveries and favorable mix in large commercial engines. Profit partially offset by commercial aftermarket mix, higher tariffs, higher SG&A, and absence of prior year insurance recovery.
    Commercial OE sales growth: 28%Large commercial engine deliveries (full year): up 6%Commercial aftermarket sales growth: 21%Military engines sales growth: 30%Full-year adjusted sales: $32.9BFull-year adjusted operating profit: $2.7BFull-year organic sales growth: 17%Full-year margin expansion: 20 bps
    $9.5B25% adjusted, 25% organic$776M adjusted operating profit
    Raytheon
    Growth driven by higher volume on land and air defense systems (Patriot, GEM-T) and naval programs (Evolved SeaSparrow Missile, Tomahawk). Profit driven by improved net productivity, higher volume, and favorable program mix.
    Bookings: $10.3BBook-to-bill: 1.35Record backlog: $75BFull-year adjusted sales: $28BFull-year adjusted operating profit: $3.2BFull-year organic sales growth: 6%Full-year margin expansion: 130 bpsFull-year improved net productivity: $157M
    $7.7B7% adjusted, 7% organic$885M adjusted operating profit

    Operational metrics

    41
    Adjusted Sales
    $88.6Bup $9B YoY
    FY25

    Driven by 10% growth in commercial OE, 18% in commercial aftermarket, and 8% in defense.

    Adjusted EPS
    $6.29up 10% YoY
    FY25

    On drop-through from higher sales.

    Adjusted Segment Operating Profit
    $2.9Bup 9% YoY
    Q4 FY25

    Strong growth partially offset by expected higher corporate expenses and higher effective tax rate.

    CapEx
    $2.6B
    FY25

    Invested in capacity expansion and factory automation.

    Company and Customer-funded R&D
    >$10B
    FY25

    Concentration on expanding production capacity, factory automation, new products, and cross-company technology roadmaps.

    MRO Output (PW1100)
    up 39%
    Q4 FY25

    Even as heavier shop visits increased 40% in 2025.

    MRO Output (PW1100)
    up 26%
    FY25

    Even as heavier shop visits increased 40% in 2025.

    Heavier Shop Visits
    increased 40%
    FY25

    Despite the increase, MRO output still grew significantly.

    Turnaround Time Reduction
    16%
    Q4 FY25

    For MRO output.

    PW1100 AOGs
    declined >20%from 2025 highs
    Q4 FY25

    Expected to continue this trend throughout FY26.

    Munitions Output Increase
    20%
    FY25

    Achieved across a number of critical programs.

    Factories Connected to Digital Platform
    >50%
    Current

    Seeing benefits from this connection.

    Aged Inventory Reduction
    45%
    Current

    At facility manufacturing GTF fan blades.

    Circuit Card Production Cycle Time Reduction
    35%
    Current

    Benefit from digital platform deployment.

    Global RPK Growth
    5%
    FY25

    Expected to increase around 5% again in FY26.

    Global RPK Growth
    ~5%
    FY26

    Projected increase.

    NATO Defense Spending Target
    3.5%from ~2% today
    by 2035

    Commitment by NATO allies.

    Asia Pacific and Middle East Defense Budget Growth
    3%-4%
    next 5 years

    Projected average annual growth.

    Segment Operating Profit Growth (EPS Driver)
    ~$0.59
    FY26

    Most significant driver of EPS growth at midpoint of outlook range.

    Divestiture Headwind (EPS)
    ~$0.03
    FY26

    Associated with divestitures completed in FY25.

    Lower Interest Tailwind (EPS)
    ~$0.06
    FY26

    From lower average debt.

    Lower Pension Income Headwind (EPS)
    ~$0.13
    FY26

    Driven primarily by actions to derisk pension plans.

    Higher Share Count Headwind (EPS)
    ~$0.05
    FY26

    Anticipated impact.

    Other Items Headwind (EPS)
    ~$0.06
    FY26

    Largely related to higher minority interest associated with joint ventures.

    Operational Performance FCF Improvement
    ~$1.1B
    FY26

    Primarily driven by segment operating profit growth.

    Powder Metal Compensation (FCF Tailwind)
    ~$300MYoY
    FY26

    Results from expected ~$700M compensation for the year.

    CapEx Headwind (FCF)
    ~$500M
    FY26

    As the company invests to support growing customer demand.

    Other Items Headwind (FCF)
    ~$300M
    FY26

    Including net impact of pension, interest, taxes, and other investments.

    Collins Divestiture Headwind (Profit)
    ~$50M
    FY26

    Associated with completed divestitures, included in profit outlook.

    Raytheon Net Productivity Improvement
    $157M
    FY25

    Year-over-year improvement.

    Raytheon Net Productivity Improvement
    ~$25MYoY
    FY26

    Expected year-over-year improvement, may tail off slightly from prior years.

    Raytheon FY26 Sales from Backlog
    85%
    FY26

    Feeling very confident in the outlook.

    Debt Repayment
    $1.1B
    Q4 FY25

    Part of debt repayment priorities.

    Debt Payments Due
    $3.4B
    FY26

    Anticipated to be made to bring debt down further.

    R&D Investment
    ~$3B
    FY26

    Healthy portion sitting in Raytheon, prepared to make investments when it makes sense.

    GTF Aftermarket Margins
    low double-digit
    Current

    Solid margins, in progression.

    GTF Aftermarket Margins Expansion
    1-2 points
    FY26

    Expected expansion.

    V2500 Shop Visits
    ~800steady with FY25
    FY26

    Expected to be steady and above 800.

    PW4000/2000 Retirements Headwind
    ~$100M
    FY26

    As older engines start to retire, impacting Pratt's aftermarket.

    Collins FY25 Tariff Drag
    90 bps
    FY25

    Impact on Collins' margins.

    Collins FY26 Tariff Tailwind
    ~$75M lowerYoY
    FY26

    Expected lower tariff impact compared to FY25.

    Industry KPIs

    8
    MetricValueDetails
    Book to bill ratio1.56ratio
    Total company backlog$268BUSD
    Defense program awards$1.2BUSD
    Program segment backlog
    Aftermarket services split18%%
    Unit deliveries by programup 6%%
    Production rates by programexpected to increase
    Production capacity expansion

    Orderbook & backlog

    4
    Total Backlog$268BFY25 end

    up 23% YoY

    Commercial Orders Backlog$161BFY25 end

    up 29% YoY

    Defense Awards Backlog$107BFY25 end
    Raytheon Backlog$75BFY25 end

    Product announcements

    2
    ProductTypeDetails
    GTF Advantage enginemilestone
    Hot Section Plus upgrade packagelaunch

    Deals & partnerships

    4
    Collins' Simmonds businessDivestiture of a business unit

    Completed the divestiture of the Collins' Simmonds business in Q4 FY25.

    UAE Sanad GroupAddition to GTF MRO network

    Joined the GTF MRO network as a new MRO shop.

    Spain's ITP AeroAddition to GTF MRO network

    Joined the GTF MRO network as a new MRO shop.

    Multiple RTX Ventures portfolio companiesCollaboration on autonomous mobile launcher vehicle demonstration

    Successful demonstration of Raytheon's DeepStrike autonomous mobile launcher vehicle in collaboration with portfolio companies.

    Capital programs

    8
    Raytheon Tucson Capacity Expansioncompleted

    Benefit: Increased production capacity for Tomahawk and classified programs

    Included in FY25 CapEx investments.

    Raytheon Huntsville Capacity Expansioncompleted

    Benefit: Increased output for the Standard Missile family

    Included in FY25 CapEx investments.

    Collins Spokane Capacity Expansioncompleted

    Benefit: Increased production for carbon brake

    Included in FY25 CapEx investments.

    Pratt Asheville Capacity Expansioncompleted

    Benefit: Expanded turbine airflow, machining and coating capacity for GTF and F135

    Included in FY25 CapEx investments.

    Raytheon Tucson and Andover Capacity Investmentsunderway

    Benefit: Additional capacity for munitions and sensors, including Standard Missile family, AMRAAM, Tomahawk, Patriot and LTAMDS

    Building on projects completed last year, part of FY26 CapEx.

    Collins Richardson Facility Expansionunderway

    Benefit: Support for Survivable Airborne Operations Center and E-130J programs

    Part of FY26 CapEx to support growing commercial and defense platforms.

    Pratt Columbus Forging Production Increaseunderway

    Benefit: Increased forging production

    Part of FY26 CapEx.

    Pratt Asheville Turbine Airflow Castings Foundryunderway

    Benefit: Establish a foundry to produce turbine airflow castings

    Investment approved, currently in buildup phase, impact expected more in '28, '29 time frame.

    Risks & headwinds

    12
    Higher corporate expensesQ4 FY25

    Partially offset segment operating profit growth

    Higher effective tax rateQ4 FY25

    Partially offset segment operating profit growth

    Impact of divestituresQ4 FY25

    Partially offset Collins' operating profit

    Higher tariffsQ4 FY25

    Partially offset Collins' and Pratt's operating profit

    Absence of prior year insurance recoveryQ4 FY25

    ~$70M

    Lower pension incomeFY26

    ~$0.13 EPS headwind

    Mitigation: Driven by actions to derisk pension plans.

    Higher share countFY26

    ~$0.05 EPS headwind

    Higher minority interestFY26

    ~$0.06 EPS headwind

    Higher CapExFY26

    ~$500M FCF headwind

    Mitigation: Investment to support growing customer demand.

    Other FCF itemsFY26

    ~$300M FCF headwind

    Mitigation: Includes net impact of pension, interest, taxes, and other investments.

    PW4000 and PW2000 retirementsFY26

    ~$100M headwind

    Mitigation: Planned alignment with customers' fleet plans.

    Collins Q1 FY26 margins depressedQ1 FY26

    Due to extra quarter of tariff expense

    What to watch in Q1 FY26

    5

    GTF PW1100 AOGs

    Throughout FY26
    CurrentDown >20% from 2025 highs
    TargetContinued decline

    Why it matters

    Continued reduction in AOGs is a top priority and key to fleet health and customer satisfaction.

    As planned, PW1100 AOGs declined in the fourth quarter, and we expect this trend to continue as we move throughout the year.

    Q&A highlights

    8

    Update on the GTF fleet management plan, especially since the financial and technical outlook has remained on track.

    The GTF plan remains on track. AOGs declined over 20% in Q4 FY25. MRO output is the key enabler, up 39% in Q4 and 26% for FY25, with a 16% reduction in turnaround time. This positions them to grow MRO output at a similar level in FY26 and continue reducing AOGs.

    Our financial technical outlook remain on track and consistent with our prior comments. AOG did come down in Q4, and they're down over 20% from the highs of 2025.

    asked by Peter Arment · answered by Christopher Calio

    2 min read6 chapters

    Detailed Narrative

    01

    Operational Execution & Digital Transformation

    RTX is leveraging its core operating system and digital solutions to drive execution, improve productivity, and increase output. In FY25, Raytheon increased munitions output by 20% on critical programs like GEM-T, AMRAAM, and Coyote, with further significant increases expected in FY26 for these and other munitions like SM6 and Tomahawk. The company has connected factories representing over 50% of annual manufacturing hours to its digital platform, leading to benefits such as a 45% reduction in aged inventory at Pratt's Lansing facility and a 35% reduction in circuit card production cycle times at Raytheon's Andover facility.

    02

    GTF Fleet Management Plan Progress

    The GTF fleet management plan's financial and technical outlook remains on track. PW1100 AOGs declined in Q4 FY25 and are down over 20% from 2025 highs. MRO output for PW1100 was up 39% in Q4 and 26% for the full year, despite a 40% increase in heavier shop visits. Turnaround time was reduced by 16% in Q4. Two new MRO shops were added to the GTF network with UAE Sanad Group and Spain's ITP Aero, with similar MRO output growth expected in FY26.

    03

    Strategic Investments in Capacity and Technology

    RTX invested over $10 billion in CapEx and company/customer-funded R&D in FY25, including $2.6 billion in CapEx focused on production capacity expansion and factory automation. Key CapEx investments included Raytheon's Tucson (Tomahawk, classified programs) and Huntsville (Standard Missile family), Collins' Spokane (carbon brake), and Pratt's Asheville (turbine airflow). For FY26, another $3.1 billion in CapEx is planned, targeting further capacity expansion at Raytheon (Tucson, Andover), Collins (Richardson), and Pratt (Columbus, Asheville foundry).

    04

    Strong Defense Demand & Transformation Initiatives

    There is a heightened global need for munitions and integrated air and missile defense systems, with the U.S. and partner countries focused on inventory replenishment and modernization. NATO allies are committed to increasing defense spending to approximately 3.5% of GDP by 2035, and Asia Pacific/Middle East defense budgets are projected to grow 3-4% annually over the next five years. RTX is actively supporting the Department of War's transformation objectives to increase capacity and accelerate production, leveraging its commercial expertise.

    05

    Favorable Commercial Market Outlook

    Commercial air travel (RPKs) is projected to grow around 5% in FY26, following a 5% increase in FY25. OEM production rates are expected to increase, particularly for A320neo, 737 MAX, 787, business jet, and general aviation platforms, where RTX has significant content. The growing installed base, including $105 billion of out-of-warranty aircraft content at Collins and an expanding fleet of engines at Pratt, positions the company for sustained commercial aftermarket growth.

    06

    Capital Allocation and Shareholder Returns

    RTX remains committed to its dividend, having paid it for decades on a quarterly basis, while also accommodating investment needs for current backlog and future programs. The company repaid $1.1 billion of debt in Q4 FY25 and plans to pay down an additional $3.4 billion in FY26. Management emphasizes a strong balance sheet that supports both shareholder returns and strategic investments in capacity and technology.

    AI-generated summary of the company’s earnings call. Not investment advice.