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    SBUX
    Earnings call· Jun 2025(Q3 FY25)

    STARBUCKS Q3 FY25 earnings call SBUX

    Jul 29, 2025 Source

    Executive summary

    Starbucks Q3 FY25 — Back to Starbucks Strategy Gaining Momentum

    Starbucks' "Back to Starbucks" strategy is showing early positive signs, with accelerated rollout of the Green Apron Service model and improved partner engagement. While financial results reflect significant investments and a challenging consumer environment, the company is focused on operational excellence, portfolio optimization, and a robust innovation pipeline for 2026 to drive long-term growth and margin recovery.

    Highlights

    5
    • International business achieved record-breaking quarterly revenue of over $2 billion.

    • China delivered 2 points of comparable sales growth and 6 points of transaction growth.

    • Hourly partner turnover is 49.1% and shift completion is at a record 98.2%.

    • Customer connection scores are up and customer complaints are down, both quarter-over-quarter and year-over-year.

    • Non-Rewards customers delivered transaction growth year-over-year for the first time since the post-pandemic recovery.

    Concerns

    5
    • Global comparable store sales declined 2%.

    • U.S. comparable sales declined 2%.

    • Global operating margin contracted 650 basis points to 10.1%.

    • Earnings per share (EPS) was $0.50, down 45% from the prior year.

    • Japan had negative comparable sales due to soft consumer sentiment.

    Guidance & targets

    13
    CategoryTargetConfidence
    Green Apron Service rollout
    Fully scaling across all U.S. company-operated coffeehouses
    high materiality
    High
    Coffeehouse uplift program completion
    At least 1,000 uplifts across North America
    medium materiality
    High
    New stand-alone prototype opening
    Open in fiscal 2026
    medium materiality
    High
    North American portfolio evaluation completion
    Complete by the end of this fiscal year
    medium materiality
    High
    Mobile order and pickup-only concept sunset
    Sunset in fiscal 2026
    medium materiality
    High
    Protein cold foam introduction
    Introduce in late Q4
    low materiality
    High
    Reimagined artisanal baked case launch
    Launch in early calendar year 2026
    low materiality
    High
    1971 dark roast coffee launch
    Launch in early calendar year 2026
    low materiality
    High
    Starbucks Rewards program innovation
    Launch significant innovations in early 2026
    high materiality
    High
    New Starbucks app and Mobile Order and Pay enhancements
    Lean in further with new app and significant enhancements in 2026
    medium materiality
    High
    Investor Day
    Hold an Investor Day in Q2 of fiscal year 2026
    high materiality
    High
    Additional labor hours investment
    Over $0.5 billion of additional labor hours
    high materiality
    High
    Coffee cost increases peak
    Expected to peak in the first half of fiscal 2026
    medium materiality
    Medium

    Segment performance

    4
    SegmentRevenueYoYQoQMargin
    Total Company
    Consolidated revenue reflecting net new store growth partially offset by comparable store sales decline. Operating margin contracted due to investments in 'Back to Starbucks' strategy.
    Global comparable store sales: -2%Global net new store growth (past 12 months): 4%Operating margin contraction: 650 bps
    $9.5 billion3%10.1%
    North America
    U.S. comparable sales declined, but transaction comps improved for the third consecutive quarter. Canada showed strong performance with its second consecutive quarter of positive comparable sales. U.S. licensed store portfolio revenue declined, except for strength in airports and college/university segments.
    U.S. comparable sales: -2%U.S. transaction comps: down less than 4%U.S. ticket growth: 2%Canada comparable sales: low single digits
    International
    Achieved record-breaking quarterly revenue. China showed positive comparable sales and transaction growth. U.K. and EMEA demonstrated continued momentum. Latin America maintained strong double-digit growth. Japan faced challenges with negative comparable sales.
    China comparable sales: 2%China comparable transactions: 6%U.K. comparable sales: low single digitsEMEA overall Q3 revenue: up year-over-yearEMEA overall Q3 comparable sales: up year-over-yearLatin America system sales: double-digit year-over-year growthLatin America revenue: double-digit year-over-year growthLatin America operating income: double-digit year-over-year growthJapan comparable sales: negative
    over $2 billion
    Channel Development
    Revenue growth driven by higher revenue in the Global Coffee Alliance. Remains market share leader in North America at-home and ready-to-drink coffee categories.
    10%

    Operational metrics

    21
    Hourly partner turnover
    49.1%
    Q3 FY25

    Indicates improved partner engagement.

    Shift completion
    98.2%record
    Q3 FY25

    Reached a record high.

    Customer connection scores
    upQoQ and YoY
    Q3 FY25

    Reflects improving customer experience.

    Customer complaints
    downQoQ and YoY
    Q3 FY25

    Reflects improving customer experience.

    Customer value perceptions
    near 2-year highs
    Q3 FY25

    Driven by gains among Gen Z and millennials, who make up over half the customer base.

    Delivery business transaction growth
    more than 25%YoY
    Q3 FY25

    Highly incremental growth.

    Average peak drive-thru times
    3 minutes and 20 secondsunder service time goal
    Q3 FY25

    Across more than 7,600 drive-thru coffeehouses.

    90-day active Starbucks Rewards members
    nearly 34 million
    Q3 FY25

    Nondiscounted transactions grew among these members.

    Social community followers
    over 65 million
    Q3 FY25

    One of the largest social communities in the industry.

    Cafe orders handed off in under 4 minutes
    80%double-digit improvement
    Q3 FY25

    In coffeehouses where SmartQ was deployed, showing double-digit improvement.

    Green Apron Service investment
    over $0.5 billion
    next year

    Investment in additional labor hours for U.S. company-operated portfolio.

    Coffeehouse uplift program investment per store
    approximately $150,000
    per store

    Targeted investment for quick renovations with minimal downtime.

    New stand-alone prototype build cost
    roughly 30% lower
    FY26

    Compared to existing builds, for a 32-seat, drive-thru prototype.

    G&A increase
    18%versus prior year
    Q3 FY25

    Driven by investment in Leadership Experience 2025.

    EPS decline
    45%from prior year
    Q3 FY25

    Primarily reflecting expense deleverage and 'Back to Starbucks' investments.

    EPS impact from discrete tax item and Leadership Experience
    $0.11YoY decline
    Q3 FY25

    Combined impact on Q3 EPS decline.

    Percentage of discounted transactions
    reduced by 1/3
    Q3 FY25

    Bringing levels back to more normalized, focusing on overall value proposition.

    Net new stores opened globally
    308
    Q3 FY25

    Primarily company-operated growth in U.S. and China, and international licensed growth.

    Turkey stores
    750th store
    Q3 FY25

    Opened 750th store in the market.

    Mexico stores
    approaching 1,000-store milestone
    Q3 FY25

    Provides a roadmap for profitable growth in the region.

    Mobile Order and Pay only stores
    roughly 80-90 stores
    Q3 FY25

    These stores are part of the portfolio to be sunset in FY26.

    Industry KPIs

    3
    MetricValueDetails
    Comparable sales comps-2%%
    Global system wide salesdouble-digit growth%
    Net unit growth development pipeline308stores

    Product announcements

    7
    ProductTypeDetails
    Protein cold foamlaunch
    Reimagined artisanal baked caselaunch
    1971 dark roast coffeelaunch
    Coconut water-based tea and coffee beveragesroadmap
    Gluten-free and high-protein food optionsroadmap
    Global flavors platformroadmap
    Customizable energy offerings platformroadmap

    Deals & partnerships

    1
    Strategic partner (unnamed)Partnership for China business growth

    Evaluating options from over 20 interested parties to help capture future growth opportunities in China. Starbucks remains committed to retaining a meaningful stake and seeks a partner sharing its mission and values to operate more effectively in the local market.

    Risks & headwinds

    5
    Expense deleverage and 'Back to Starbucks' investmentsQ3 FY25

    Contributed to 650 bps operating margin contraction and 45% EPS decline in Q3 FY25.

    Mitigation: Focusing on driving a healthier and more efficient cost structure across the entire P&L to offset investments and fund the strategy.

    Uncertain consumer environmentQ4 FY25

    Conservative outlook on year-over-year trends for U.S. company-operated business in Q4 FY25.

    Mitigation: Focusing on controllable factors like operational improvements and innovation to drive share and build brand loyalty, believing growth opportunity is in their control.

    Dynamic tariff environment

    Expected tariff exposure outside of green coffee.

    Mitigation: Continuing to mitigate expected tariff exposure.

    Dynamic coffee pricesH1 FY26

    Year-over-year coffee cost increases expected to peak in H1 FY26.

    Mitigation: Increased coffee coverage relative to last quarter as prices declined, leveraging coffee buying and hedging practices.

    Soft consumer sentiment in JapanQ3 FY25

    Negative comparable sales in Q3 FY25.

    Mitigation: Focusing on core coffee and tea products which are performing well, and brand strength.

    What to watch in Q4 FY25

    5

    Green Apron Service impact on transactions

    next quarter
    CurrentPilots show nice progress in morning peaks and growth throughout the day.
    TargetContinued transaction growth and improved customer service metrics across all U.S. company-operated stores.

    Why it matters

    Successful scaling of Green Apron Service is foundational to the turnaround strategy and expected to drive top-line growth and customer experience improvements.

    The most significant change will come as we begin fully scaling Green Apron Service across all U.S. company-operated coffeehouses in mid-August.

    Q&A highlights

    7

    How will the $0.5 billion labor investment be offset, and what is the expected margin impact?

    Cathy Smith stated the company is working across the entire P&L (COGS, opex, G&A) to find short-term and long-term efficiencies. While not quantifying exact offsets, she noted significant opportunities and expects sales leverage to contribute to margin improvement over time.

    So not ready to quantify the exact offset. I would tell you, we see lots and lots of opportunity, and we're getting after it.

    asked by David Tarantino · answered by Catherine Smith

    2 min read5 chapters

    Detailed Narrative

    01

    Back to Starbucks Strategy & Operational Foundations

    Starbucks is actively executing its "Back to Starbucks" plan, focusing on improving operational foundations, partner engagement, and customer experience. The Green Apron Service model, a new foundational operating model establishing consistent standards, is being scaled across all U.S. company-operated coffeehouses in mid-August, ahead of schedule due to strong pilot results. This initiative includes an evolved staffing model and SmartQ technology for order sequencing, aiming to improve transaction times and customer service. A new "grow report" will be launched in Q1 FY26 to help coffeehouse leaders focus on key drivers of same-store sales growth.

    02

    Coffeehouse Portfolio Transformation

    The company is optimizing its store portfolio to enhance the customer experience and unit economics. This includes a new coffeehouse uplift program with a targeted investment of approximately $150,000 per store, aiming to complete at least 1,000 uplifts across North America by the end of calendar year 2026. Starbucks is also developing new, lower-cost prototype designs, including a 32-seat drive-thru model opening in FY26 and a 10-seat small format under construction. The mobile order and pickup-only concept will be sunset in FY26, as it was deemed too transactional and lacking human connection.

    03

    Innovation Pipeline for 2026

    A robust innovation agenda is planned for fiscal year 2026, built on the new operational foundations. This includes new menu items such as protein cold foam, launching in late Q4, which adds 15 grams of protein to cold beverages. Early in calendar year 2026, a reimagined artisanal baked case and a new 1971 dark roast coffee will be introduced. Further innovations in 2026 will include global flavors, customizable energy offerings, and tests of gluten-free and high-protein food options. Significant enhancements are also planned for the Starbucks Rewards program and the new Starbucks app to improve loyalty and mobile order experiences.

    04

    International Growth and China Strategy

    The International segment achieved record-breaking quarterly revenue exceeding $2 billion, with 7 out of the top 10 markets showing positive comparable sales. China delivered 2% comparable sales growth and 6% transaction growth, driven by product innovation and marketing. Starbucks is actively evaluating strategic partners for its China business, having received interest from over 20 parties, with the goal of enhancing local operations and ensuring long-term growth while retaining a meaningful stake. Other markets like the U.K. and Latin America also demonstrated strong performance, with Mexico approaching the 1,000-store milestone.

    05

    Cost Structure and Capital Deployment

    Starbucks is making significant investments, including over $0.5 billion in additional labor hours for its U.S. company-operated portfolio over the next year, starting with the Green Apron Service rollout. To offset these investments and improve long-term margins, the company is focusing on driving a healthier and more efficient cost structure across the entire P&L. A comprehensive evaluation of the North American portfolio is underway to ensure disciplined capital deployment and optimize store locations for profitability and the Starbucks Experience. The goal is to build a more durable and sustainable cost structure for future growth.

    AI-generated summary of the company’s earnings call. Not investment advice.