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    SBUX
    Earnings call· Dec 2025(Q1 FY26)

    STARBUCKS CORP SBUX

    Jan 28, 2026 Source

    Executive summary

    Starbucks Q1 FY26 — Turnaround Plan Driving Top-Line Growth

    Starbucks' "Back to Starbucks" turnaround plan is gaining momentum, delivering strong top-line growth in Q1 FY26 driven by transaction increases across North America and International segments. While strategic investments and cost inflation led to margin contraction, management expects earnings growth to follow in the back half of the year as pressures abate and efficiency initiatives take hold. The company is focused on operational improvements, menu innovation, and strategic unit expansion, with a significant joint venture in China set to reshape its international operations.

    Highlights

    5
    • Global revenue grew by 5% to $9.9 billion.

    • Global comparable store sales accelerated to 4% growth, with U.S. comps also at 4% and International at 5%.

    • U.S. company-operated transaction comps grew year-over-year for the first time in 8 quarters, led by 3 percentage points of comp transaction growth.

    • Starbucks Rewards 90-day active members reached a record 35.5 million, growing 3% year-over-year.

    • China comparable store sales accelerated to 7% growth, marking the third consecutive quarter of comp sales growth led by transactions.

    Concerns

    5
    • Consolidated operating margin contracted 180 basis points year-over-year to 10.1%.

    • North America's operating margins declined approximately 420 basis points year-over-year.

    • Approximately one-third of North America's margin contraction was driven by product and distribution cost inflation, led by tariffs and elevated coffee pricing.

    • Q1 EPS was $0.56, down 19% from the prior year.

    • The China JV transaction is expected to have a $0.02 to $0.03 dilutive effect relative to current EPS guidance.

    Guidance & targets

    9
    CategoryTargetConfidence
    Global comparable sales growth
    3% or better
    high materiality
    High
    U.S. comparable sales growth
    3% or better
    high materiality
    High
    Net new coffeehouses
    600 to 650
    medium materiality
    High
    Consolidated net revenues growth
    similar rate to global comp growth
    high materiality
    Medium
    Consolidated operating margins growth
    grow slightly year-over-year
    high materiality
    Medium
    Consolidated G&A dollars
    run below fiscal 2023 levels
    medium materiality
    High
    EPS
    $2.15 to $2.40
    high materiality
    Medium
    China JV impact on consolidated margins
    approximately 40 basis points accretive
    medium materiality
    Medium
    China JV impact on EPS
    $0.02 to $0.03 dilutive
    medium materiality
    Medium

    Segment performance

    4
    SegmentRevenueYoYQoQMargin
    Global
    Strong start to the fiscal year, with top-line growth driven by transactions. Operating margin contracted due to investments and inflation.
    Comparable store sales growth: 4%Net new coffeehouses: 128
    $9.9B5%10.1%
    North America
    Revenue growth driven by strong U.S. comp performance, fueled by Green Apron Service and menu innovation. Margin contraction due to investments and cost inflation.
    Comparable store sales growth: 4%U.S. comparable store sales growth: 4%U.S. comparable transactions growth: 3%U.S. average ticket growth: 1%Net new coffeehouses: 49Total coffeehouses: 18,360
    $7.3B3%declined by approximately 420 bps
    International
    Strong growth led by transactions, with standout performance in China, Japan, and the U.K. China's growth driven by product innovation, marketing, and delivery. JV with Boyu Capital announced for China retail operations.
    Comparable store sales growth: 5%China comparable store sales growth: 7%China comparable transactions growth: 5%Net new coffeehouses: 79
    $2.1B10%
    Channel Development
    Net revenues grew due to higher revenue from the Global Coffee Alliance and ready-to-drink business. Launched new multi-serve refreshers concentrate in North America.
    19%

    Operational metrics

    19
    Consolidated operating margin
    10.1%contracting 180 bps from prior year
    Q1 FY26

    Non-GAAP measure. Led by North America's operating margins.

    North America operating margin
    declined by approximately 420 bpsyear-over-year
    Q1 FY26

    Primarily due to investments in Back to Starbucks and product/distribution cost inflation (tariffs, elevated coffee pricing).

    Consolidated G&A
    decreased 7%year-over-year
    Q1 FY26

    As work to streamline the business from last year begins to actualize.

    Effective tax rate
    26.8%higher year-over-year
    Q1 FY26

    Primarily driven by lapping some discrete tax items from last year.

    EPS
    $0.56down 19% from prior year
    Q1 FY26

    Non-GAAP measure.

    Starbucks Rewards 90-day active members
    35.5Mgrew 3% year-over-year
    Q1 FY26

    Reached an all-time high.

    Rewards transactions growth
    grew year-over-yearfor the first time in 8 quarters
    Q1 FY26

    Alongside faster growth in non-rewards transactions.

    Non-rewards transactions growth
    grew even faster
    Q1 FY26

    First quarter both rewards and non-rewards transactions grew since Q2 FY22.

    Cafe and drive-thru service times
    below 4-minute targets
    Q1 FY26

    Even with meaningful transaction growth, throughput challenges addressed during peak.

    Coffeehouse leader tenure
    at least 3 years
    ongoing

    New expectation rolled out for coffeehouse leaders to instill ownership and improve performance.

    Coffeehouse uplift program
    200
    to date

    Investments in cafes to improve customer experience and reclaim the third place.

    India coffeehouses
    500
    Q1 FY26

    Crossed the 500 coffeehouse milestone.

    Mexico coffeehouses
    surpass 1,000
    this year

    Plans to surpass 1,000 coffeehouses in Mexico this year.

    Cost savings program
    $2B
    next 2-3 years

    Clear plan in place to track down costs across the entire P&L.

    China JV monthly expense reduction
    $39Mless in monthly expenses
    monthly

    Due to classifying assets and liabilities of Starbucks China's retail operations as held for sale, ceasing depreciation and amortization.

    China JV proceeds use
    debt reduction
    future

    To strengthen balance sheet and allow for greater financial flexibility for long-term growth strategy.

    Pilot stores comp performance
    outperform the fleet by about 200 bps
    Q1 FY26

    Performance driven mostly by transactions, demonstrating the impact of Green Apron Service model.

    Menu reduction
    25%
    recent past

    Reduction in menu SKUs to streamline operations.

    Protein platform incremental sales
    highly incremental
    Q1 FY26

    High repeat rates and traffic driver for new customers/occasions, especially with cold foam.

    Industry KPIs

    2
    MetricValueDetails
    Comparable sales comps4%%
    Net unit growth development pipeline128coffeehouses

    Product announcements

    3
    ProductTypeDetails
    Multi-serve refreshers concentratelaunch
    Green Dot Assistlaunch
    Customized/Personalized Energy platformroadmap

    Deals & partnerships

    1
    Boyu CapitalAgreement to form a joint venture to maximize Starbucks' potential in China retail operations.

    Starbucks will continue to own and license the Starbucks brand and intellectual property to the JV. Expected to close in spring, subject to regulatory approvals. Assets and liabilities classified as held for sale in Q1, reducing monthly expenses by ~$39M.

    Risks & headwinds

    4
    Operating margin contraction due to investments and inflationQ1 FY26

    Consolidated operating margin contracted 180 bps YoY to 10.1%; North America operating margins declined approximately 420 bps YoY.

    Mitigation: Expects pressures to abate in back half of FY26; anniversarying Green Apron Service investments by Q4; $2B cost savings program over next 2-3 years; sales leverage from continued top-line growth.

    Product and distribution cost inflationQ1 FY26, peaking in Q2 FY26

    Approximately one-third of North America's margin contraction driven by tariffs and elevated coffee pricing.

    Mitigation: Expects these pressures to peak in Q2 and find some relief in the back half of the fiscal year.

    Legacy models and processesOngoing

    Surfaced legacy models and processes that are now being fixed.

    Mitigation: Strengthening supply chain, reevaluating menu offerings, refining labor model, enabling efficiencies with technology solutions.

    China JV transaction dilutive effectFY26

    $0.02 to $0.03 dilutive effect relative to current EPS guidance.

    Mitigation: Proceeds planned for debt reduction to strengthen balance sheet and provide financial flexibility; new structure could be ~40 bps accretive to consolidated margins annually.

    What to watch in Q2 FY26

    5

    Consolidated operating margin

    H2 FY26
    Current10.1%
    TargetImprovement towards slight growth YoY

    Why it matters

    Verifying the inflection point for margin recovery as investments annualize and cost pressures abate is crucial for the earnings growth thesis.

    We expect consolidated operating margins to grow slightly year-over-year, driven by improvements in the back half of the year.

    Q&A highlights

    6

    How much did sales transfer from closed stores contribute to North America comp growth, and what is the underlying improvement? How are the Green Apron Service pilot stores performing?

    About 0.5 point of comp growth was from sales transfer, indicating broad-based strength. The growth is driven by transactions from both rewards and non-rewards customers, especially in the morning daypart. Pilot stores continue to outperform the fleet by about 200 basis points in comp, primarily transaction-driven, showing that improved service resonates with customers.

    About 0.5 point was driven by, call it, the sales transfer in the comp is what we're seeing. So the strength really is broad-based.

    asked by David Tarantino · answered by Brian Niccol

    3 min read6 chapters

    Detailed Narrative

    01

    Back to Starbucks Plan Driving Top-Line Momentum

    Starbucks' "Back to Starbucks" plan is successfully driving top-line growth, with global revenue up 5% to $9.9 billion and global comparable store sales accelerating to 4%. This growth is transaction-led, with U.S. company-operated transaction comps growing year-over-year for the first time in 8 quarters, and both rewards and non-rewards transactions increasing. The company attributes this to disciplined execution, improved Green Apron Service standards, and effective marketing and menu innovation.

    02

    North America Performance and Operational Improvements

    North America revenue grew 3% to $7.3 billion, with U.S. comparable store sales up 4%, driven by a 3% increase in transactions. The Green Apron Service standard, including bigger rosters and new customer service standards, has led to improved customer comments, increased throughput during peak hours, and accurate mobile orders. The company is also refining its labor model, implementing technology solutions like Green Dot Assist, and rolling out the Grow program to improve coffeehouse performance through 5 key metrics.

    03

    International Growth and China Strategy

    International revenue increased 10% to $2.1 billion, with comparable store sales growing 5%, led by strong performance in China, Japan, and the U.K. China was a standout, with comps accelerating to 7%, marking its third consecutive quarter of transaction-led growth. Starbucks announced a joint venture with Boyu Capital for its China retail operations, with Starbucks retaining a 40% interest. This partnership aims to expand into more cities and strengthen Starbucks' position in the region, with the transaction expected to close in spring.

    04

    Menu Innovation and Brand Relevancy

    Starbucks' overhauled approach to marketing and menu innovation is enhancing brand relevancy. The holiday offering, including the Barista Mug, generated significant buzz and drove traffic. Brand affinity and value perception scores remained strong, while visit consideration, connection scores, and convenience scores improved. The company plans to continue building on seasonal strengths with engaging marketing, on-trend menu innovation, and seamless digital experiences, focusing on platforms like health and wellness, personalized energy, and artisanal bakery items.

    05

    Margin Pressures and Cost Management

    Consolidated operating margin contracted 180 basis points to 10.1%, primarily due to North America's margin decline of approximately 420 basis points. This was driven by investments in the "Back to Starbucks" plan and product/distribution cost inflation, including tariffs and elevated coffee pricing. Management expects these pressures to abate in the back half of FY26, along with the anniversarying of Green Apron Service investments. The company is also pursuing a $2 billion cost savings program over the next 2-3 years and expects FY26 consolidated G&A dollars to be below FY23 levels.

    06

    New Unit Growth and Store Uplift Program

    Starbucks opened 128 net new coffeehouses globally in Q1, including 79 internationally. The company is on track to complete over 1,000 store uplifts by the end of fiscal 2026, primarily in Southern California and New York City, to enhance the cafe experience and reclaim the "third place." Management sees thousands of opportunities for new unit growth in the U.S. and globally, supported by new cost-effective building formats (Ristretto, Tall, Grande, Pico) and a rebuilt people capability system with "coffeehouse coaches" to support new store openings.

    AI-generated summary of the company’s earnings call. Not investment advice.