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    SCCO
    Earnings call· Jun 2026(Q2 FY26)

    SOUTHERN COPPER CORP/ SCCO

    Jul 22, 2026 Source

    Executive summary

    Southern Copper Q2 FY26 — Record Sales, EBITDA, and Net Income Driven by Strong Prices

    Southern Copper delivered an exceptional quarter, achieving record sales, adjusted EBITDA, and net income, primarily fueled by significantly higher commodity prices for copper, molybdenum, and silver. Despite strong financial performance, the company faced production declines across most metals due to lower ore grades in Peruvian and Mexican operations. Management remains committed to advancing its extensive capital investment program, with key Peruvian projects like Tia Maria progressing and Mexican projects like Pilar moving towards construction, while also navigating political transitions in Peru and addressing project-specific challenges.

    Highlights

    5
    • Record adjusted EBITDA of MXN 2,856 million in Q2 FY26, up 60% YoY.

    • Record net income of $1,670 million in Q2 FY26, up 72% YoY.

    • Sales reached $4.3 billion in Q2 FY26, a 41% increase YoY.

    • Operating cash cost after by-product credits was $0.05 per pound in Q2 FY26, an excellent mark.

    • Copper production guidance for FY26 raised to 917,000 tons, up 1% from initial plan.

    Concerns

    5
    • Copper production decreased 3.5% YoY in Q2 FY26, primarily due to a 12% drop in Peru from lower ore grades and recoveries.

    • Molybdenum production dropped 11% YoY in Q2 FY26 due to lower ore grades across all mines.

    • Silver production fell 4% YoY in Q2 FY26, driven by lower production at Toquepala, Cuajone, and Buenavista mines.

    • Mine zinc production decreased 14% QoQ in Q2 FY26 due to lower production at Buenavista, Sangartin, and Charcas mines.

    • Illegal mining activities continue to hinder progress at the Los Chancas project in Peru.

    Guidance & targets

    9
    CategoryTargetConfidence
    Copper production
    917,000 tons
    high materiality
    High
    Molybdenum production
    27,900 tonnes
    medium materiality
    High
    Silver production
    24 million ounces
    medium materiality
    High
    Zinc production
    163,900 tons
    medium materiality
    High
    Copper production
    more or less the same as this year
    high materiality
    Medium
    Tia Maria project startup
    later part of 2027
    high materiality
    Medium
    Copper production
    about 970,000 tons
    high materiality
    Medium
    Copper production
    over 1 million tons, 1,060,000 tonnes
    high materiality
    Medium
    Long-term copper production target
    over 1.6 million tons
    high materiality
    Medium

    Segment performance

    2
    SegmentRevenueYoYQoQMargin
    Peruvian Operations
    Copper production decrease mainly attributable to lower ore grades and recoveries at both Toquepala and Cuajone mines.
    Copper production decrease: 12% YoY
    Mexican Operations
    Copper production increase driven by higher production at Buenavista, La Caridad and IMSA mines.
    Copper production increase: 3.2% YoY

    Operational metrics

    41
    LME Copper Price
    $4.32
    Q2 FY25

    Average LME copper price in Q2 2025.

    LME Copper Price
    $6.04increased 40% YoY
    Q2 FY26

    Average LME copper price in Q2 2026.

    ComEx Copper Price
    $6.16increased 31% YoY
    Q2 FY26

    Average ComEx copper price in Q2 2026.

    Global Copper Inventories
    1,123,000
    as of 2026-07-21

    Total combined in stock in Guangdong Exchange, COMEX, Shanghai and London warehouses.

    Molybdenum Price
    $20.57
    Q2 FY25

    Average molybdenum price in Q2 2025.

    Molybdenum Price
    $29.44increased 43% YoY
    Q2 FY26

    Average molybdenum price in Q2 2026.

    Silver Price
    $33.62
    Q2 FY25

    Average silver price in Q2 2025.

    Silver Price
    $73.49increased 118% YoY
    Q2 FY26

    Average silver price in Q2 2026.

    Zinc Price
    $1.57increased 31% YoY
    Q2 FY26

    Average zinc price in Q2 2026.

    Copper Sales Volume
    fell 1.5%YoY
    Q2 FY26

    Despite higher copper prices, sales volume decreased.

    Refined Silver Production
    0.3%decreased QoQ
    Q2 FY26

    Driven mainly by a drop in production at the Ilo refinery in Peru.

    Refined Zinc Production
    6%decreased YoY
    Q2 FY26

    Principally due to lower ore grades.

    Sales
    $4.3 billionincreased 41% YoY
    Q2 FY26

    Sales were $1.2 billion higher than in Q2 FY25.

    Copper Sales
    increased 38%YoY
    Q2 FY26

    Driven by better prices, despite lower volume.

    Molybdenum Sales
    increased 34%YoY
    Q2 FY26

    Due to higher prices.

    Zinc Sales
    increased 24%YoY
    Q2 FY26

    Due to higher prices.

    Silver Sales
    increased 86%YoY
    Q2 FY26

    Due to higher prices.

    Total Operating Costs and Expenses
    $202 millionincreased 14% YoY
    Q2 FY26

    Main cost increments were partially offset by decreases in other areas.

    Adjusted EBITDA
    MXN 2,856 millionincreased 60% YoY
    Q2 FY26

    Compared to MXN 1,491 million in Q2 FY25, hitting a record high.

    Adjusted EBITDA Margin
    67%vs 59% in Q2 FY25
    Q2 FY26

    Increased by 8 percentage points YoY.

    Adjusted EBITDA
    MXN 5,569 millionincreased 58% YoY
    YTD FY26

    Compared to MXN 3,525 million in YTD FY25.

    Adjusted EBITDA Margin
    65%vs 57% in YTD FY25
    YTD FY26

    Increased by 8 percentage points YoY.

    Operating Cash Cost per Pound before By-product Credits
    $2.29decreased $0.02 QoQ (1%)
    Q2 FY26

    Represents a 1% decrease compared to Q1 FY26.

    Operating Cash Cost per Pound including By-product Credits
    $0.05vs -$0.11/lb in Q1 FY26
    Q2 FY26

    Considered an excellent mark for the company despite being higher than the previous quarter.

    By-product Credits
    $1,106 milliondecreased 7% QoQ
    Q2 FY26

    Total credit amount for the quarter.

    Net Income
    $1,670 millionincreased 72% YoY
    Q2 FY26

    Compared to $973 million in Q2 FY25, hitting a record high due to higher sales and cost control.

    Net Income Margin
    39%vs 32% in Q2 FY25
    Q2 FY26

    Increased by 7 percentage points YoY.

    Net Income
    increased 69%YoY
    YTD FY26

    Due to higher net sales.

    Capital Investments
    $423 millionincreased 79% YoY
    Q2 FY26

    Reflects increased spending on capital projects.

    Capital Investments
    $865 millionincreased 56% YoY
    H1 FY26

    Reflects increased spending on capital projects year-on-year.

    Senior Unsecured Notes Issuance
    $1.25 billion
    Q2 FY26

    Issued by Southern Peru Copper Corporation.

    Curarairadam Capacity
    2.5 million
    current

    Infrastructure built by the company in alliance with the Peruvian state and local farmers.

    Crop Yields Increase
    20%
    current

    Increase in crop yields in the area benefiting from the Curarairadam, according to the Ministry of Agricultural Development.

    Farmers Benefiting from Curarairadam
    18%
    current

    Percentage of farmers in the area whose lives have been transformed by year-round water access.

    Students Benefiting from Education Centers
    3,000
    current

    Through education centers operated by the company.

    Participants in Sports Initiatives
    2,629
    current

    Part of global social initiatives with the Mexican government, focusing on communities neighboring operations.

    Volunteers for Community Murals
    580
    current

    Efforts to create community murals and recognition sports venues.

    Population Covered by Sports and Cultural Programs
    41%
    current

    Percentage of the Jam population close to Mexican operations covered by these programs.

    Cash Dividend per Share
    $1.10
    Q2 FY26

    Quarterly cash dividend announced on July 16, 2026.

    Stock Dividend per Share
    0.012
    Q2 FY26

    Stock dividend announced on July 16, 2026.

    Total Estimated Dividend Payment
    $3.23
    Q2 FY26

    Factoring in both cash and stock dividends.

    Industry KPIs

    6
    MetricValueDetails
    Unit cash cost$1.16USD/lb
    By product credits$1,106 millionUSD
    Reserve life new supply18 yearsyears
    Growth project CAPEX first production$1.8 billionUSD
    Ore grade recovery drilling by deposit0.29%%Cu
    Production sales volume by metal and by mine230,662 tonstons

    Deals & partnerships

    1
    MarketerAcquisition of Pilar project$100 million

    Acquired in 2015 from the Marketer bankruptcy. Predecessor Mercator bought it in 2009 for $40 million from Stingray.

    Capital programs

    6
    Overall Capital Investment Programunderway$20.5 billion

    Current capital investment program for the decade, including projects in Peru and Mexico.

    Tia Maria Projectunderway$1.8 billion
    Spent to date: $693 million invested ($1,101 million committed)
    Funding: debt (from $1.25B bond issuance)

    Located in Arequipa, Peru. Reached 42% completion as of June 30. Mass work is 71% complete (13.8 million metric tons moved). Procurement for key equipment and electromechanical works are underway. Created 5,817 new jobs, with 1,254 filled by local applicants.

    Los Chancas Projectpaused$10.3 billion (combined with Michiquillay)

    Located in Apurimac, Peru. Progress hindered by the presence of illegal miners within the project area. Community development and environmental management programs continue.

    Michiquillay Projectunderway$10.3 billion (combined with Los Chancas)

    Located in Cajamarca, Peru. Studies to estimate mineral reserves, develop mine plan, and hydrological/hydrogeological assessments are underway. Technical research is in its final phase.

    Mexican Investments (overall plan)underway$10.2 billion

    Company engaged in talks with the current administration to continue these investments.

    Pilar Projectannounced$551 million
    Start: September 2026 (early site prep)

    Benefit: 36,000 tons of copper annual production capacity

    Greenfield project in Sonora, Mexico. Obtained necessary environmental permits. Full construction to commence in Q1 2027. Will operate as an open pit mine utilizing SX-EW technology. Estimated proven and probable reserves of 317 million tons of ore with 0.29% copper grade and an 18-year mine life. Will employ 450 people during construction and 300 during operation.

    Risks & headwinds

    3
    Lower ore grades and recoveriesQ2 FY26

    Copper production decreased 12% in Peru (Toquepala, Cuajone); Molybdenum production dropped 11% YoY; Silver production fell 4% YoY; Mine zinc production decreased 14% QoQ.

    Mitigation: Efforts to increase production in Mexican operations partially offset Peruvian declines; company expects recoveries in ore grades at Toquepala and Cuajone by 2029.

    Illegal mining activitiesOngoing

    Hindered progress at Los Chancas project.

    Mitigation: Management expects the incoming Peruvian administration's focus on fighting illegal mining to be beneficial for the project.

    Project execution risks for Tia MariaH2 FY27 startup

    Potential for delays in equipment procurement or construction.

    Mitigation: Company is putting purchase orders for major equipment; currently does not expect delays and will report if any arise. Social environment is positive.

    What to watch in Q3 FY26

    5

    Peruvian Political Environment

    July 28, 2026
    CurrentPositive general view, awaiting specifics
    TargetSpecific policy proposals from President-elect Keiko Fujimori's speech

    Why it matters

    New administration's policies could significantly impact mining projects and the overall operating environment in Peru.

    We have to see what the elected press Fujimori proposals in her speech in July 28 when she will take over the position of President that's when we will see specifically what their goals are and have more clarity on this.

    Q&A highlights

    5

    Can you elaborate on the Q2 copper production decrease, especially in Peru, and its impact on full-year expectations? Also, with $10.3 billion in Peruvian projects, how will they be financed, particularly after the recent $1.25 billion bond for Tia Maria?

    Q2 copper production was down due to lower ore grades in Peru, but FY26 guidance was raised to 917,000 tons due to Mexican operations. The $1.25 billion bond covers a significant portion of Tia Maria's $1.8 billion cost. The company generally uses debt as a good practice for capital structure, and expects to continue this approach for future projects, though specific bond issuances cannot be guaranteed.

    For 2026, we expect to produce 917,000 tons of copper, an increase of about 1% over our initial plan. ... Generally speaking, the company considers use of some debt a certain point in the developing of the projects of the company.

    asked by Richard Garchitorena · answered by Raul Jacob

    2 min read5 chapters

    Detailed Narrative

    01

    Copper Market Dynamics and Inventory Levels

    The copper market experienced significant price increases in Q2 FY26, with the LME copper price rising 40% YoY to $6.04 per pound and ComEx prices up 31% to $6.16 per pound. Global copper inventories, combining major exchanges, stood at 1,123,000 tons as of July 21, which is estimated to cover approximately 15 days of global demand. Based on current supply and demand, the company anticipates a slight copper market deficit for the full year 2026.

    02

    Peruvian Project Updates and Political Environment

    The Tia Maria project is 42% complete as of June 30, with $693 million invested out of $1,101 million committed, and mass work is 71% progressed. Procurement for key equipment, including the diesel plant, is ongoing, and electromechanical works are underway. The Los Chancas project continues to face challenges from illegal mining activities, hindering its progress. The Michiquillay project is advancing with mineral reserve studies and technical research. Management expressed optimism regarding the incoming Peruvian administration, expecting positive initiatives for the mining industry, including efforts against illegal mining, which could benefit projects like Los Chancas.

    03

    Mexican Project Development and Investment

    Southern Copper is in discussions with the Mexican administration regarding $10.2 billion in Mexican investments. The Pilar project, a greenfield copper oxide mine, has secured all necessary environmental permits, including water licenses. Early site preparation is scheduled to begin in September 2026, with full construction commencing in Q1 2027 and production targeted for H2 2029. The project, located near Buenavista, has estimated proven and probable reserves of 317 million tons at a 0.29% copper grade, an 18-year mine life, and an annual production capacity of 36,000 tons of copper, with a total investment of $551 million.

    04

    Capital Investment Program and Financing

    The company's capital investment program for the current decade exceeds $20.5 billion. In Q2 FY26, capital investments totaled $423 million, a 79% increase YoY, representing 25% of net income. For the first half of FY26, capital investments reached $865 million, a 56% increase YoY. To finance the Tia Maria project and other capital expenditures, Southern Peru Copper Corporation issued $1.25 billion in 10-year fixed-rate senior unsecured notes with a 5.35% annual interest rate, which were 3.2 times oversubscribed.

    05

    ESG Initiatives and Community Engagement

    Southern Copper highlighted its ESG efforts, including the Curarairadam in Peru, which provides year-round water access to 18% of local farmers, leading to a 20% increase in crop yields. In Mexico, the company supports 3,000 students through 11 education centers, focusing on STEM skills. Community integration is promoted through sports and cultural programs, engaging 2,629 participants and 580 volunteers, covering approximately 41% of the population near Mexican operations.

    AI-generated summary of the company’s earnings call. Not investment advice.