Detailed Narrative
Middle East Recovery and Geopolitical Impact
The Middle East conflict significantly impacted Q2 results, with revenue falling 13% sequentially to $1.66 billion. Operations in Iraq remained constrained by security, though activity resumed in several other countries. Management expects a gradual recovery, with Q3 revenue growth assuming remobilization, but has modeled a downside scenario of a $150 million revenue impact and $75 million adjusted EBITDA headwind if re-escalation occurs. The preliminary Q4 outlook assumes Middle East activity reaches $2.1 billion to $2.2 billion, or 95% of Q4 2025 levels, indicating a phased return to prior capacity.
Data Center Solutions Momentum and Strategy
Data Center Solutions continued its strong growth, with revenue up 33% sequentially and 80% year-on-year, driven by new hyperscaler customers and expanded offerings. SLB is evolving beyond manufacturing into data center design, engineering, and system integration, exemplified by a recent announcement with Meta. The company is confident in achieving an annualized revenue run rate exceeding $2 billion by the end of 2027, supported by a strong backlog and international expansion into Canada and Asia. Future growth will focus on adjacent capabilities like decarbonized power and cooling solutions, potentially through partnerships and acquisitions.
Digital and AI as Key Growth Drivers
Digital delivered very strong Q2 results, with adjusted EBITDA margins reaching approximately 35%, supported by higher exploration data licenses and transfer fees. Annual recurring revenue (ARR) increased 15% year-over-year. SLB emphasizes Digital Operations and AI as key growth drivers, leveraging its platform approach (Delphi, Lumi, Agora, Tuna) and deep domain expertise. The company sees increasing adoption of autonomous and automated solutions in drilling and production, with successful deployments in the Middle East and other regions.
Offshore and Exploration Upcycle
The market is exhibiting characteristics of an upcycle, with international and deepwater activity growing. Final Investment Decisions (FIDs) for long-cycle projects are expected to increase by approximately 30% year-on-year in 2026, supporting higher exploration spending and upstream CapEx growth. This trend is driven by energy security, resource replenishment, and the need for long-term portfolio building, particularly in deepwater. SLB is well-positioned with its Reservoir Performance and Well Construction portfolios, including OneSubsea, to benefit from this multi-year exploration and deepwater cycle.
Venezuela Re-engagement
SLB has been working in Venezuela for the past two years, scaling capabilities and supporting existing and re-entering international oil companies. The company is securing contracts and mobilizing resources, with significant setup expected in the next few months⏳. This positions SLB for a significant exit rate in H2 2026 and a strong growth curve in 2027, aiming to capitalize on the country's potential for reinvestment and production recovery, though reaching prior peak revenue levels remains uncertain.