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    STX
    Earnings call· Sep 2025(Q1 FY26)

    Seagate Technology Holdings plc STX

    Oct 28, 2025 Source

    Executive summary

    Seagate Q1 FY26 — Record Gross Margin and Strong HAMR Adoption

    Seagate delivered a strong quarter driven by robust demand for high-capacity nearline drives, particularly from global cloud service providers, and accelerated adoption of its HAMR-based Mozaic platforms. The company achieved record profitability metrics, underscored by an increased dividend, and is focused on leveraging AI-driven data growth to expand exabyte capacity through product transitions rather than unit capacity additions.

    Highlights

    6
    • Revenue grew 21% year-over-year to $2.63 billion.

    • Non-GAAP gross margin reached a new company record of 40.1%.

    • Non-GAAP operating margin climbed to 29%, a level last seen in fiscal 2012.

    • Non-GAAP EPS of $2.61 exceeded the high end of the guided range.

    • Quarterly dividend increased by approximately 3% to $0.74 per share.

    • 5 global CSPs qualified on Mozaic 3+ terabyte per disk products, with over 1 million Mozaic drives shipped.

    Concerns

    2
    • Tight supply conditions

    • Yield ramp on new products

    Guidance & targets

    8
    CategoryTargetConfidence
    Revenue
    $2.7 billion, plus or minus $100 million
    high materiality
    High
    Non-GAAP operating expenses
    approximately $290 million
    medium materiality
    High
    Non-GAAP operating margin
    around 30%
    high materiality
    High
    Non-GAAP EPS
    $2.75, plus or minus $0.20
    high materiality
    High
    Capital expenditures
    4% to 6% of revenue
    medium materiality
    High
    Free cash flow generation
    expand
    medium materiality
    Medium
    Net leverage ratio
    continue to trend lower
    medium materiality
    Medium
    Shareholder return commitment
    at least 75% of free cash flow
    high materiality
    High

    Segment performance

    2
    SegmentRevenueYoYQoQMargin
    Data Center
    Demand from global cloud customers continued to grow, with notable improvement in enterprise OEM markets. Cloud growth is expected to outpace enterprise demand. The shift from AI model training to inferencing is driving the need for large capacity hard drive storage.
    Percentage of total revenue: 80%Exabytes shipped: 159 exabytes (up from 137 exabytes in prior period)Nearline volume at or above 24 terabytes: close to 80%Average nearline drive capacity increase: 26% YoY
    $2.1 billion34%13%
    Edge IoT
    Lower sequential sales were more than offset by strong data center growth. Seasonal improvement is expected in the December quarter from VIA, Edge, and consumer products.
    Percentage of total revenue: 20%
    $515 millionlower sequentially

    Operational metrics

    21
    Non-GAAP gross margin
    40.1%up 220 basis points sequentially
    Q1 FY26

    New company record.

    Non-GAAP operating margin
    29%up 280 basis points sequentially
    Q1 FY26

    Level last seen in fiscal 2012.

    Non-GAAP EPS
    $2.61exceeded high end of guidance
    Q1 FY26

    Based on tax expenses of $106 million and diluted share count of 223 million shares.

    Exabytes shipped
    182 exabytesup 32% year-over-year
    Q1 FY26

    Vast majority delivered to global data center customers.

    Non-GAAP operating expenses
    $291 millionup 2% quarter-over-quarter
    Q1 FY26

    In line with expectations.

    Operating profit
    $763 millionup 19% quarter-over-quarter
    Q1 FY26

    Driven by strong top line growth and financial leverage.

    Non-GAAP net income
    $583 million
    Q1 FY26

    Corresponding to non-GAAP EPS of $2.61.

    Diluted share count
    223 million shares
    Q1 FY26

    Used for non-GAAP EPS calculation.

    Capital expenditures
    $105 million
    Q1 FY26

    Within target range for fiscal '26.

    Dividend per share
    $0.74increased approximately 3%
    Q1 FY26

    Reflecting confidence in execution and cash flow generation.

    Shares repurchased
    $29 million
    Q1 FY26

    Opportunistic repurchases, expected to vary quarter-to-quarter.

    Cash and investments balance
    $2.4 billionincreased 25% sequentially
    Q1 FY26

    Ample liquidity.

    Gross debt
    $5 billion
    Q1 FY26

    Exited the quarter with this amount.

    Net leverage ratio
    1.5x
    Q1 FY26

    Expected to continue trending lower.

    Adjusted EBITDA
    $831 millionup 19% quarter-over-quarter and up 67% year-on-year
    Q1 FY26

    Used for net leverage ratio calculation.

    Incremental gross margin
    nearly 70%
    Q1 FY26

    Reflects margin growth from increased adoption of latest generation products and pricing strategy.

    Mozaic drives shipped
    over 1 million
    Q1 FY26

    These products are performing well in live production environments.

    Mozaic 3+ qualifications
    5
    Q1 FY26

    Global cloud service providers qualified on Mozaic 3+ terabyte per disk products.

    Mozaic 4+ qualifications
    1second major CSP
    Q1 FY26

    Qualification started with a second major CSP on the Mozaic 4+ terabyte per disk platform.

    Undrawn revolving credit facility
    $1.3 billion
    Q1 FY26

    Part of ample liquidity.

    Tax expenses
    $106 million
    Q1 FY26

    Used in non-GAAP net income calculation.

    Industry KPIs

    10
    MetricValueDetails
    Capital return FCF$153 millionUSD
    Unit shipments ASPover 1 milliondrives
    Gross margin drivers40.1%%
    Exabyte bit shipments182 exabytesexabytes
    Services peripheral attach
    Long term supply agreementslargely committed
    Component supply constraintstight supply condition
    Capacity roadmap qualification5 global CSPsCSPs
    Revenue mix by end market segment80%%
    Revenue per terabyte cost per exabyteslight decrease

    Product announcements

    2
    ProductTypeDetails
    Mozaic 3+ terabyte per disk productsmilestone
    Mozaic 4+ terabyte per disk platformroadmap

    Deals & partnerships

    1
    a global CSPDeveloped a sovereign cloud solution for managing massive volumes of sensitive telemetry and sensor data collected from a fleet of autonomous vehicles.

    This solution addresses strict requirements for data processing, storage, and management locally, with hard drives providing the ideal cost-efficient long-term data retention solution.

    Risks & headwinds

    2
    Tight supply conditionsthrough calendar 2026

    High capacity nearline production largely committed under build-to-order contracts through calendar 2026.

    Mitigation: Partnering closely with data center customers to support and accelerate qualification timelines on high-capacity Mozaic products; focusing on product transitions to increase exabyte capacity.

    Yield ramp on new productsthis year

    Mozaic 4 terabyte per platter is still early in its lifetime.

    Mitigation: Continuing to put significant effort into improving yields on new products to accelerate the transition and exabyte supply.

    What to watch in Q2 FY26

    5

    Mozaic 3+ CSP qualifications

    H1 CY26
    Current5 global CSPs qualified
    TargetRemaining 3 global CSPs qualified

    Why it matters

    Completion of all major CSP qualifications on Mozaic 3+ is critical for broad market adoption and revenue ramp of HAMR technology.

    We remain on track to qualify the remaining 3 global CSPs within the first half of calendar 2026.

    Q&A highlights

    5

    Given strong orders and tight supply, are there plans to add capacity? How is HAMR adoption progressing, and are there any updates to previous projections?

    Seagate's strategy for adding capacity is through product transitions to higher exabyte capacity, not unit capacity. HAMR adoption is progressing well, with 5 hyperscalers qualified on Mozaic, contributing to better-than-expected revenue and profitability. The ramp continues as planned, with qualifications driving faster transitions.

    Our strategy for adding capacity, if you will, is to go through product transitions. We're not really adding unit capacity. Through some of these product transitions, we actually lose a little bit of capacity because the process content is a little higher as we go through, but we add exabyte capacity.

    asked by Mark Newman · answered by William Mosley

    2 min read5 chapters

    Detailed Narrative

    01

    AI's Transformative Impact on Data Storage Demand

    Seagate highlighted that AI is reshaping hard drive demand by elevating the economic value of data, leading to growing demand for high-capacity nearline drives. The shift from AI model training to inferencing is driving the need for large capacity storage, as inferencing consumes and generates massive volumes of data. This trend is evident in the deployment of large-scale inferencing applications by global CSPs, relying on multimodal inputs like text, audio, and video, and is expected to further fuel unstructured data generation.

    02

    HAMR Technology Road Map and Adoption Milestones

    Momentum continues to build for Seagate's HAMR-based Mozaic platforms. The company achieved significant milestones, including qualifying 5 global CSPs on Mozaic 3+ terabyte per disk products, which offer capacities up to 36 terabytes per drive. Over 1 million Mozaic drives were shipped in the September quarter, performing well in live production environments. Seagate is on track to qualify the remaining 3 global CSPs within the first half of calendar 2026 and has started qualification with a second major CSP on the Mozaic 4+ terabyte per disk platform, which will offer capacities up to 44 terabytes.

    03

    Strong Data Center Market Performance

    The data center end market, comprising nearline sales into cloud, enterprise, and VIA customers, represented 80% of overall revenue at $2.1 billion, growing 34% year-on-year. Demand strength was led by global cloud service providers, with notable sequential revenue growth from enterprise customers. Seagate shipped 159 exabytes into data center customers, with close to 80% of nearline volume on drives at or above 24 terabytes, reflecting customers' shift to higher capacity drives. This strong data center growth more than offset lower sequential sales in the Edge IoT market.

    04

    Record Profitability and Operational Execution

    Seagate delivered strong operational execution, resulting in enhanced structural economics. The company achieved a record non-GAAP gross margin of 40.1%, up 220 basis points sequentially, and expanded non-GAAP operating margin by 280 basis points to 29%. This margin growth reflects the benefit of increased adoption of the latest generation products and ongoing execution of its pricing strategy. Non-GAAP EPS of $2.61 exceeded the high end of guidance, demonstrating strong financial performance.

    05

    Capital Allocation and Debt Reduction Initiatives

    Seagate returned $153 million to shareholders through dividends and repurchased $29 million of common stock. The company increased its quarterly dividend by approximately 3% to $0.74 per share, reflecting confidence in its cash flow generation capabilities. Cash and cash equivalents increased 25% sequentially to $2.4 billion, with ample liquidity. Seagate exited the quarter with a net leverage ratio of 1.5x and is exploring opportunities to further reduce debt, supporting a positive leverage ratio trajectory and leading to an S&P credit rating upgrade.

    AI-generated summary of the company’s earnings call. Not investment advice.