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    TGT
    Earnings call· Oct 2025(Q3 FY26)

    TARGET CORP TGT

    Nov 19, 2025 Source

    Executive summary

    Target Q3 FY26 — Strategic Priorities and Increased CapEx for Growth

    Target reported Q3 FY26 results in line with expectations, but acknowledged dissatisfaction with overall performance, with comparable sales down 2.7%. The company is implementing a transformation focused on design-led merchandising, elevated guest experience, and technology, backed by a significant increase in CapEx for FY27, to return to sustainable, profitable growth.

    Highlights

    5
    • Digital comparable sales grew 2.4%, fueled by over 35% growth in same-day delivery.

    • Fun 101 categories delivered growth, with toys up nearly 10% comp and music/video games double-digit growth.

    • Food & Beverage comps grew, with beverages up nearly 7%.

    • On-shelf availability of 5,000 top items improved by over 150 basis points year-over-year.

    • Inventory down 2% year-over-year, appropriately positioned for Q4.

    Concerns

    6
    • Q3 comp sales were down 2.7%, reflecting continued softness in discretionary categories.

    • Net sales were 1.5% lower than a year ago.

    • GAAP EPS of $1.51, down from $1.85 a year ago.

    • Adjusted EPS of $1.78, about 4% lower than a year ago.

    • SG&A expense rate was 60 basis points higher due to one-time business transformation costs.

    • Consumer confidence at a 3-year low amid concerns about jobs, affordability, and tariffs.

    Guidance & targets

    7
    CategoryTargetConfidence
    Full-year Capital Expenditures
    around $4 billion
    high materiality
    High
    Capital Expenditures
    about $5 billion
    high materiality
    High
    Capital Expenditures Increase
    approximately 25%, or $1 billion
    high materiality
    High
    Comparable Sales
    low single-digit decline
    high materiality
    Medium
    Adjusted EPS
    $7 to $8
    high materiality
    Medium
    GAAP EPS
    about $0.70 higher than for adjusted EPS
    high materiality
    Medium
    Annualized Savings from Business Transformation
    approximately $180 million
    medium materiality
    High

    Segment performance

    9
    SegmentRevenueYoYQoQMargin
    Company-wide
    Reflecting continued softness in discretionary categories like Home and Apparel, partially offset by growth in Food & Beverage and Fun 101.
    down 2.7%
    Stores
    Comparable sales in stores.
    down about 4%
    Digital
    Comparable digital sales, on top of nearly 11% a year ago.
    2.4%
    Same-day delivery (Target Circle 360)
    Growth in same-day delivery, powered by Target Circle 360.
    more than 35%
    Target Plus marketplace
    Significant step-up in GMV.
    GMV growth: nearly 50%
    nearly 50%
    Roundel
    Growth in ad sales.
    Ad sales growth: mid-teens
    mid-teens
    Hardlines (Fun 101)
    Delivered another quarter of growth, with specific strength in toys, music, video games, and sporting equipment.
    Toys comp: nearly 10%Music, video games, sporting equipment growth: double-digit
    growth
    Food & Beverage
    Delivered another quarter of comp growth, with notable strength in beverages and candy.
    Beverages growth: nearly 7%Candy strength: noted
    growth
    Apparel
    Comps were down, but delivered meaningful growth in denim and sleepwear categories.
    Denim growth: meaningfulSleepwear growth: meaningful
    down 5%

    Operational metrics

    22
    Adjusted EPS
    $1.784% lower than a year ago
    Q3 FY26

    Adjusted EPS, which excluded business transformation costs.

    SG&A expense rate (ex-one-time costs)
    approximately flatto last year
    Q3 FY26

    Excluding about 60 basis points of impact from one-time business transformation costs.

    Inventory
    2% lowerthan a year ago
    Q3 FY26 end

    In line with recent trends and Q4 sales outlook, reflecting growth in frequency businesses and lower levels in discretionary businesses.

    On-shelf availability (top 5,000 items)
    more than 150improvement compared to this time last year
    Q3 FY26

    Refers to the 5,000 most frequently purchased items, representing 30% of total unit sales.

    New items in holiday assortment
    20,000twice as many as last year
    Q4 FY26

    New items introduced into the holiday assortment.

    New product volume (Food & Beverage)
    twicecompared to the industry
    Q3 FY26

    As a percentage of total Food & Beverage sales.

    Headquarters roles eliminated
    1,800about 8% of our headquarters footprint
    Q3 FY26

    Difficult but necessary step to remove layers and increase agility.

    Share repurchase
    just over $150 million
    Q3 FY26

    Deployed to repurchase shares, following a pause in Q2.

    Dividends paid
    $518 million$2 million higher than last year
    Q3 FY26

    A 1.8% increase in the per share dividend was mostly offset by a lower average share count.

    Dividend per share increase
    1.8%
    Q3 FY26

    Increase in the per share dividend.

    Next-day shipping reach
    more than half
    Q3 FY26

    Eligible for next-day shipping due to evolving market fulfillment strategy and expansion to 35 markets.

    Same-day delivery reach
    around 80%
    Q3 FY26

    Powered by Target Circle 360.

    2-day shipping reach
    around 99%
    Q3 FY26

    Eligible for 2-day shipping.

    Price cuts
    thousands
    Q3 FY26

    Recently lowered prices to help families manage budgets.

    Thanksgiving meal deal price
    under $20
    Q4 FY26

    One of the most affordable Thanksgiving meal deals yet.

    Good & Gather turkey price
    $0.79
    Q4 FY26

    Price for Good & Gather turkey.

    Cashmere-like sweaters price
    starting at $30
    Q4 FY26

    Part of newness in women's apparel, inspired by sourcing trip to Swiss Alps.

    Holiday decor ornaments price
    $1, $3 and $5
    Q4 FY26

    Price points for holiday ornaments.

    Holiday throws price
    $10
    Q4 FY26

    Price for holiday throws.

    Reese and faux greenery price
    $12
    Q4 FY26

    Price for Reese and faux greenery.

    Affordable toys price
    starting at $5
    Q4 FY26

    Expanded assortment of affordable and on-trend toys for the holiday season.

    LEGO exclusive sets price
    starting at $10
    Q4 FY26

    Exclusive to Target sets from LEGO.

    Industry KPIs

    7
    MetricValueDetails
    Sg a rate21.9%% of sales
    Marketplace 3p GMVnearly 50%%
    Gross margin drivers28.2%%
    Comparable same store salesdown 2.7%%
    E commerce digital sales growth2.4%%
    Advertising retail media revenuemid-teens%
    Category level comps and inflation deflationnearly 10%%

    Product announcements

    8
    ProductTypeDetails
    Target Trend Brainlaunch
    Synthetic Audienceslaunch
    Gen AI-powered gift finderlaunch
    Conversational Curation (with OpenAI)expansion
    JoyLab new patterns and fabricationslaunch
    Trading cards (Pokémon, Magic: The Gathering, NFL, MLB, WNBA)expansion
    LEGO exclusive setsexpansion
    Barbie collaborations with Joanna Gaineslaunch

    Deals & partnerships

    1
    OpenAICollaboration on 'conversational curation' to enhance the shopping experience on Gen AI platforms.

    Building on the apps for ChatGPT experience previewed in early October, allowing guests to receive personalized recommendations directly from conversations.

    Capital programs

    2
    Capital Expendituresunderway
    Period spend: ~$4 billion (FY26); ~$5 billion (FY27)
    Spent to date: $2.8 billion (YTD FY26)

    Benefit: Store experience and remodel program, technology and digital fulfillment capabilities, new stores.

    FY27 CapEx is planned to increase by approximately 25% or $1 billion versus FY26, supporting new larger format stores, remodels, and technology.

    Productivity Initiatives & Business Transformation Savingsunderwayapproximately $180 million

    Benefit: Invest in key areas supporting 3 strategic priorities (merchandising, experience, technology).

    Expected annualized savings from recent headquarters restructuring, which eliminated approximately 1,800 roles.

    Risks & headwinds

    5
    Continued softness in discretionary categoriesQ3 FY26, ongoing

    Q3 comp sales down 2.7%, Apparel comps down 5%.

    Mitigation: Focus on newness, style-forward assortments, Fun 101 transformation, Home category revamp, and price investment.

    Consumer caution and low confidenceOngoing, particularly for holiday season

    Consumer confidence at a 3-year low.

    Mitigation: Lowering prices on thousands of everyday items, offering a Thanksgiving meal deal for under $20, and providing value and trend-right deals.

    Volatility in weekly and monthly sales trendsQ3 FY26, expected to continue in Q4

    Net sales close to flat in August and October, down about 4% in September.

    Mitigation: Prudent Q4 guidance, agile business management, and well-positioned inventory.

    Business transformation costsQ3 FY26 (one-time)

    60 basis points impact on SG&A expense rate in Q3.

    Mitigation: Expected annualized savings of $180 million from headquarters restructuring to be reinvested.

    TariffsOngoing

    Null

    Mitigation: Team's hard work to mitigate the impact.

    What to watch in Q4 FY26

    5

    Comparable Sales Growth

    Next year (FY27)
    CurrentDown 2.7% (Q3 FY26)
    TargetReturn to positive growth

    Why it matters

    Core indicator of business health and effectiveness of strategic transformation.

    While our third quarter performance came in as expected, we're far from satisfied with our current results, and we won't be satisfied until we're operating at our full potential.

    Q&A highlights

    8

    Is a margin reset needed for reinvestment, or is the current plan sufficient? What are the most urgent capability gaps, and what are you excited about addressing?

    Michael Fiddelke stated commitment to investments for merchandising authority and elevated experience, fueled by internal efficiencies (e.g., market fulfillment test in Chicago). He expressed excitement about Fun 101 momentum (toys up 10%), in-stock trajectory (150 bps improvement), and technology acceleration (AI examples, supply chain automation). Rick Gomez highlighted the merchant roundtable evolution for faster, data-driven decisions and leveraging technology for creativity.

    The things that I'm most excited about are some of the places where we're seeing momentum already. Take, for example, the work that we're doing in Fun 101. That's a perfect representation of us bringing real focused strategy to the categories that we used to call Hardlines to say, what categories are what we do -- are the things that we do uniquely well best positioned?

    asked by Simeon Gutman · answered by Michael Fiddelke

    3 min read8 chapters

    Detailed Narrative

    01

    Leadership Transition and Strategic Priorities

    Brian Cornell concluded his final earnings call as CEO, reflecting on 11 years of growth and transformation, including partnerships with CVS, Food & Beverage expansion, and digital fulfillment innovations. Michael Fiddelke, the new CEO, outlined three core priorities for Target's future: solidifying design-led merchandising authority, elevating the guest shopping experience across all platforms, and leveraging technology to enhance speed and efficiency. These priorities are intended to guide the company back to sustainable and profitable growth.

    02

    Headquarters Restructuring and Agility

    Target recently eliminated approximately 1,800 headquarters roles, representing about 8% of its HQ footprint. This difficult but necessary step was taken not primarily for cost-cutting, but to remove organizational layers, reduce complexity, and foster greater agility. The restructuring aims to clarify decision-making, empower teams, and accelerate the execution of strategic initiatives, with an expected $180 million in annualized savings to be reinvested.

    03

    Merchandising Authority and AI Integration

    The company is focused on strengthening its design-led merchandising by offering unique, stylish, and on-trend products. The transformation of the Hardlines business into 'Fun 101' is cited as a successful example, driving strong sales in categories like toys (nearly 10% comp growth). Target is enhancing its capabilities with AI-enabled consumer insights, a new internal Gen AI platform called 'Target Trend Brain' for identifying and predicting trends, and 'synthetic audiences' to simulate consumer responses to products and campaigns, accelerating speed to market.

    04

    Elevating Guest Experience and In-Stock Improvements

    Target is making operational changes to improve the in-store experience, such as reducing backroom tasks through digital tools to free up team members for guest interaction. Significant investments are being made in modernizing inventory forecasting and ordering technology using machine learning. This has led to a more than 150 basis point improvement in the on-shelf availability of the 5,000 most frequently purchased items (representing 30% of unit sales) compared to last year, with continuous improvement expected.

    05

    Digital Fulfillment and Conversational Commerce

    The company is reconfiguring store roles to optimize fulfillment speed and capabilities, with a pilot in Chicago demonstrating effectiveness and expanding to 35 additional markets. Same-day delivery, powered by Target Circle 360, grew over 35%. Target is also leading in digital engagement through a partnership with OpenAI for 'conversational curation,' allowing guests to receive personalized recommendations and make multi-item purchases, including fresh food, with drive-up and pickup options directly through Gen AI platforms.

    06

    New Store Formats and Remodel Strategy

    New larger format stores are exceeding initial sales expectations and will continue to be a source of growth, leveraging current real estate opportunities. Target plans to significantly increase its CapEx for the next fiscal year (FY27) to approximately $5 billion, a $1 billion increase from FY26. This investment will fund more store remodels, new store openings, and technology enhancements, with plans to introduce more changes to the store floor pad than in any of the past ten years, focusing on key categories like Home, Baby, and post-Ulta Beauty space.

    07

    Consumer Behavior and Value Proposition

    Consumers remain cautious, prioritizing value, food, essentials, and beauty, with sentiment at a 3-year low. Target is responding by lowering prices on thousands of everyday food and essential items, including a Thanksgiving meal deal for a family of four for under $20. The company is also accelerating newness, introducing 20,000 new items for the holiday season (twice as many as last year), with over half being exclusive, to combine affordability with trend-right products.

    08

    Q3 Performance and Market Volatility

    Q3 results were in line with expectations, but net sales were 1.5% lower than a year ago, with comparable sales down 2.7%. Sales showed significant volatility, with August and October being relatively flat, while September saw a 4% decline, influenced by seasonal shopping patterns and warm weather impact🌐ing Apparel. Gross margin was 28.2%, 10 basis points lower year-over-year, impacted by higher markdowns but offset by lower inventory shrink and supply chain efficiencies.

    AI-generated summary of the company’s earnings call. Not investment advice.