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    UAL
    Earnings call· Mar 2026(Q1 FY26)

    United Airlines Holdings Q1 FY26 earnings call UAL

    Apr 22, 2026 Source

    Executive summary

    United Airlines Holdings Q1 FY26 — Strong Yield Recovery Amidst High Fuel Prices

    United delivered strong Q1 FY26 results, with significant revenue and PRASM growth, despite a substantial increase in fuel costs. The company is strategically adjusting capacity and implementing commercial initiatives to fully recapture higher fuel prices and achieve double-digit pretax margins by 2027, emphasizing brand loyalty and premium product differentiation. Management remains confident in its ability to pass through cost increases and maintain strong demand.

    Highlights

    6
    • Q1 EPS of $1.19, up 31% year-over-year, within initial guidance range.

    • Consolidated total operating revenue increased 10.6% year-over-year to a record $14.6 billion.

    • PRASM increased by 6.9% year-over-year, with all regions showing positive performance.

    • Premium revenues grew 13.6% on a 4.4% capacity increase, with Premium RASM up 8.9% year-over-year.

    • Loyalty business revenue was up 13% in the quarter, supported by healthy acquisitions and spend.

    • Generated $2.9 billion in free cash flow in Q1.

    Concerns

    3
    • Experienced a $340 million higher fuel bill in Q1 due to massive run-up in fuel prices.

    • CASM ex for Q1 was up 5.9% year-over-year, pressured by close-in cancellations and storm-related reductions.

    • Capacity adjusted downward by approximately 5 points for the rest of the year in response to higher fuel costs.

    Guidance & targets

    8
    CategoryTargetConfidence
    Pretax margin
    At least 10%
    high materiality
    High
    Capacity growth
    Flat to up 2%
    high materiality
    High
    Fuel cost recapture rate
    40% to 50%
    medium materiality
    High
    Fuel cost recapture rate
    70% to 80%
    medium materiality
    High
    Fuel cost recapture rate
    85% to 100%
    medium materiality
    High
    EPS
    $1 to $2
    high materiality
    High
    EPS
    $7 to $11
    high materiality
    High
    RASM increase
    Double-digit
    high materiality
    High

    Operational metrics

    15
    Yield increase target for 100% cost recovery
    15%-20%
    Near-term

    Yields need to increase by this amount to recover 100% of fuel cost increases.

    Per seat cancellation rate
    44% lowervs next 2 largest U.S. carriers
    Q1 FY26

    United's cancellation rate compared to competitors.

    Day of app usage
    86%record
    Q1 FY26

    Supported by continued mobile enhancements.

    Q2 capacity sold at lower price points
    23%prior to fuel rise
    Q2 FY26

    Portion of capacity sold before the recent rise in jet fuel costs.

    Q3 capacity sold at lower price points
    8%prior to fuel rise
    Q3 FY26

    Portion of capacity sold before the recent rise in jet fuel costs.

    Debt paid down
    $3.1 billion
    Q1 FY26

    Actions taken to make further progress towards investment grade.

    Secured notes repaid
    $2 billion
    Q1 FY26

    Accelerated repayment of notes secured by slots, gates, and routes.

    Aircraft debt prepaid
    $400 million
    Q1 FY26

    Prepayment of near-term maturity or higher cost aircraft debt.

    Unsecured bonds issued
    $2 billion
    Q1 FY26

    Return to the unsecured market across two bonds.

    5-year unsecured bond price
    5 and 3/8%
    Q1 FY26

    Pricing for the 5-year unsecured bond issued.

    3-year unsecured bond price
    4 and 7/8%
    Q1 FY26

    Pricing for the 3-year unsecured bond issued.

    Aircraft count increase
    8%
    End of year

    Expected increase in aircraft count by the end of the year.

    Market share gain (Chicago business travelers)
    38 points
    Historical

    Market share gained with business travelers in Chicago.

    Airfares in real terms
    down 27%vs pre-pandemic
    2025

    Comparison of real airfares in 2025 against pre-pandemic levels.

    Yield increase retention (if fuel normalizes)
    20%
    Next year

    Scott Kirby's guess on the percentage of price increase that could be retained if fuel prices return to February normal levels.

    Industry KPIs

    8
    MetricValueDetails
    Fuel$4.30USD per gallon
    Casm ex5.9%%
    CapacityFlat to up 2%%
    Fleet mro4units
    Unit revenue6.9%%
    Loyalty co brand13%%
    Demand indicatorsRobust
    Premium diverse revenue mix13.6%%

    Product announcements

    8
    ProductTypeDetails
    Nested Sell-inupdate
    Base Fares in Premium Cabinslaunch
    A321 Coast Linersexpansion
    Airbus A321 XLR Onboard Productslaunch
    RJ 450launch
    Relax Rowlaunch
    MileagePlus Program Changesupdate
    New Boeing 787-9 Interiorupdate

    Risks & headwinds

    5
    Elevated jet fuel pricesNear to medium term

    $340 million higher fuel bill in Q1

    Mitigation: Implementing price increases, adjusting capacity downward by ~5 points for rest of year, targeting 100% fuel cost recapture by Q4 2026.

    Demand elasticity effect from yield increasesNear term

    Estimating less overall demand

    Mitigation: Proactive capacity cuts on off-peak days and flight times (e.g., red eyes) to remove marginal flights.

    Geopolitical disruptionsQ1 FY26

    Impacted Tel Aviv and Dubai flights (1.5 points of capacity)

    Mitigation: Close-in cancellations from low CASM markets.

    FAA summer 2026 schedule order at Chicago O'HareSummer 2026

    Limits growth at Chicago O'Hare hub

    Mitigation: Reviewing the order; company can grow in other places.

    Potential government bailout of Spirit Airlines

    Not quantified, but concern about propping up a failing business model.

    Mitigation: United believes it is sufficiently distanced from commoditized travel and that such a bailout would not significantly affect its brand-loyal model.

    Q&A highlights

    8

    Could United operate its own hub in Europe, and how do Star Alliance partnerships factor into capturing foreign passenger flows, especially given consolidation rumors?

    Scott Kirby stated it's extremely unlikely United would open a foreign hub, emphasizing the value of Star Alliance partnerships for global reach. He reiterated that his comments on global trade deficits and aspirations for United to capture more international traffic are long-held views, not new responses to recent consolidation rumors, and reflect the success of United's brand-loyal strategy.

    I think it's extremely unlikely that we'll open a foreign anywhere in that form. Our Star Alliance partnerships are great. They enable global reach and breadth.

    asked by Jamie Baker · answered by Scott Kirby

    2 min read6 chapters

    Detailed Narrative

    01

    Fuel Price Impact and Strategy

    United faced a significant challenge from a massive run-up in jet fuel prices, resulting in a $340 million higher fuel bill in Q1. In response, the company is implementing strategic price increases and proactively adjusting capacity downward by approximately 5 points for the remainder of the year. This aggressive approach aims to fully recapture the increased fuel costs, targeting 100% recovery by Q4 2026, and to achieve double-digit pretax margins by 2027, demonstrating resilience in a volatile environment.

    02

    Commercial Initiatives and Brand Loyalty

    United is executing a long-term strategy to build a 'decommoditized brand loyal airline' through a series of significant commercial initiatives. These include a redesigned digital selling platform ('nested sell-in') to better merchandise products, the introduction of 'base fares' in premium cabins for greater customer choice, and fleet enhancements with new A321 Coast Liners and XLRs. The company also launched 'Relax Row' for families and enhanced its MileagePlus program to incentivize co-branded credit card usage, all aimed at increasing customer choice, revenue, and loyalty.

    03

    Operational Performance and Reliability

    Despite challenging operating conditions, including elevated weather events and geopolitical disruption🌐s, United demonstrated strong operational performance in Q1. The airline ranked first in on-time departures among the 8 largest U.S. carriers and achieved a per seat cancellation rate 44% lower than its two largest competitors. Customer engagement with self-service tools reached a record 86% day-of-app usage, supported by mobile enhancements like improved bag tracking and live TSA wait times, contributing to higher on-time Net Promoter Scores.

    04

    Robust Demand Environment

    The demand environment remained robust across all customer types and regions, with business revenues up 14% year-over-year in Q1, accelerating to 25% in the last two weeks. Leisure demand also showed healthy mid-single-digit growth. Premium demand was particularly strong, with revenues increasing 13.6% and Premium RASM up 8.9% year-over-year, indicating continued consumer preference for elevated experiences. Selling ticket yields were up 20% year-over-year in the last week of April, reflecting successful price increases.

    05

    Balance Sheet Strengthening and Investment Grade Goal

    United made significant progress towards its investment-grade goal in Q1 by paying down over $3.1 billion in debt. This included accelerating the repayment of $2 billion in secured notes and prepaying $400 million of higher-cost aircraft debt. The company successfully returned to the unsecured market, issuing $2 billion across two bonds at competitive rates, which management views as strong evidence of market appreciation for its financial strength and proximity to investment-grade status.

    06

    Fleet Modernization and Product Enhancement

    United is continuing its fleet modernization efforts, taking delivery of four high-premium Boeing 787-9s in Q1, with plans for up to 16 more in 2026 and a total of 33 over the next two years. The company also announced plans for 50 A321 Coast Liners and new Airbus A321 XLR onboard products, which will contribute to a fleet of 100 A321s equipped with lay-flat beds and premium plus seats. These investments aim to provide a consistent, premium product across all cabins and routes.

    AI-generated summary of the company’s earnings call. Not investment advice.