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    URI
    Earnings call· Dec 2025(Q4 FY25)

    UNITED RENTALS, INC. URI

    Jan 29, 2026 Source

    Executive summary

    United Rentals Q4 FY25 — Record Revenue & EBITDA, Strong 2026 Outlook

    United Rentals delivered record Q4 and full-year FY25 results, driven by strong rental demand from large projects and specialty businesses. The company provided an optimistic FY26 outlook, anticipating continued profitable growth and significant capital returns to shareholders, while proactively addressing cost pressures and margin dynamics through efficiency initiatives.

    Highlights

    5
    • Total revenue grew by 2.8% year-over-year to $4.2 billion, a Q4 record.

    • Rental revenue grew by 4.6% to $3.6 billion, a Q4 record.

    • Adjusted EBITDA reached $1.9 billion, with a 45.2% margin.

    • Generated $2.2 billion in free cash flow for the full year, with a 14% margin.

    • Plans to repurchase $1.5 billion of shares in 2026 and increase quarterly dividend by 10%.

    Concerns

    5
    • Used sales volumes were below guidance, with full-year OEC sold at $2.73 billion vs. $2.8 billion guidance.

    • Matting business experienced choppiness due to a project pushout, impacting Q4 fleet productivity by 1 point.

    • Elevated delivery expense, largely due to fleet repositioning costs, created a 70 basis points headwind to adjusted EBITDA margin in Q4.

    • Growth in ancillary services contributed approximately 20 basis points of headwind to Q4 adjusted EBITDA margin.

    • Above-trend inflation in facilities and insurance continued to impact costs.

    Guidance & targets

    15
    CategoryTargetConfidence
    Total revenue
    $16.8B to $17.3B
    high materiality
    High
    Total revenue ex used
    6.2% growth
    medium materiality
    High
    Adjusted EBITDA
    $7.575B to $7.825B
    high materiality
    High
    Gross CapEx
    $4.3B to $4.7B
    medium materiality
    High
    Net CapEx
    $2.85B to $3.25B
    medium materiality
    High
    Maintenance CapEx
    ~$3.4B
    medium materiality
    High
    Growth CapEx
    ~$1.1B
    medium materiality
    High
    Free cash flow
    $2.15B to $2.45B
    high materiality
    High
    Share repurchases
    $1.5B
    high materiality
    High
    Quarterly dividend per share
    $1.97
    medium materiality
    High
    Total capital return to shareholders
    ~$2B
    high materiality
    High
    Fleet productivity
    Positive
    medium materiality
    High
    Specialty business growth
    Double-digit rate
    medium materiality
    High
    Specialty cold-starts opened
    ~40
    low materiality
    High
    Used sales
    ~$1.45B
    medium materiality
    High

    Segment performance

    1
    SegmentRevenueYoYQoQMargin
    Specialty - Matting
    Pro forma growth in FY25; 55% as reported. Experienced choppiness in Q4 due to a large pipeline project pushout, which negatively impacted fleet productivity by 1 point.
    30%

    Operational metrics

    33
    Total revenue growth
    2.8%YoY
    Q4 FY25

    Q4 record total revenue of $4.2 billion.

    Rental revenue growth
    4.6%YoY
    Q4 FY25

    Q4 record rental revenue of $3.6 billion.

    Adjusted EBITDA
    $1.901B
    Q4 FY25

    Q4 record.

    Adjusted EBITDA margin
    45.2%
    Q4 FY25

    Resulting from $1.9 billion adjusted EBITDA.

    Adjusted EPS
    $11.09
    Q4 FY25

    Reported for the quarter.

    Specialty cold-starts opened
    60
    FY25

    Expansion of specialty footprint.

    Used OEC sold
    $769M
    Q4 FY25

    Demand for used equipment remains healthy.

    Full-year Used OEC sold
    $2.73B
    FY25

    Slightly less than original forecast of $2.8 billion due to holding high-time used assets.

    Full-year rental CapEx (maintenance and growth)
    $4.19B
    FY25

    Combination of maintenance and growth rental CapEx.

    Free cash flow margin
    13.5%
    FY25

    Healthy margin.

    Capital returned to shareholders
    $2.4B
    FY25

    Returned through a combination of share buybacks and dividends.

    Capital returned per share
    >$37
    FY25

    Combined dividends and repurchases.

    Rental revenue increase
    $159MYoY
    Q4 FY25

    Part of 4.6% year-over-year growth.

    OER increase
    $97MYoY
    Q4 FY25

    Driven by fleet size growth and fleet productivity, partially offset by assumed fleet inflation.

    Average fleet size growth
    4.5%
    Q4 FY25

    Driver for OER increase.

    Assumed fleet inflation
    1.5%
    Q4 FY25

    Partially offset OER growth.

    Ancillary and re-rent growth
    >9%
    Q4 FY25

    Ancillary growth continued to outpace OER.

    Used proceeds
    $386M
    Q4 FY25

    Generated from used equipment sales.

    Rental gross profit increase
    $33M
    Q4 FY25

    More than offset by decline in used gross profits.

    Used gross profit decline
    $39M
    Q4 FY25

    Due primarily to shortfall in volumes.

    SG&A ex stock comp
    FlatYoY
    Q4 FY25

    On a dollar basis.

    SG&A ex stock comp as % of revenue improvement
    20YoY
    Q4 FY25

    Translating to a 20 basis point improvement.

    Other non-rental lines of business contribution
    $7M
    Q4 FY25

    Added to profitability.

    Adjusted EBITDA margin compression
    120YoY
    Q4 FY25

    On an as-reported basis.

    Delivery expense headwind
    70
    Q4 FY25

    Estimated impact on adjusted EBITDA margin, largely due to fleet repositioning costs.

    Ancillary growth headwind
    20
    Q4 FY25

    Estimated impact on adjusted EBITDA margin.

    Gross rental CapEx
    $429M
    Q4 FY25

    Bringing full year total to $4.19 billion.

    Net leverage
    1.9x
    Dec 31, 2025

    At the end of December.

    Total liquidity
    >$3.3B
    Dec 31, 2025

    Including undrawn facilities.

    Annualized dividend
    $7.88
    FY26

    Translating from a quarterly dividend of $1.97.

    Capital return yield
    3.5%
    FY26

    Based on current share price, for approximately $2 billion in capital returns.

    Growth CapEx estimate
    $800M-$900M
    FY25

    Implied from $4.2B total CapEx and $3.4B maintenance CapEx.

    Technology spend
    Upvs FY25
    FY26

    Investing in operating efficiency, fleet efficiency, and cyber protection.

    Industry KPIs

    6
    MetricValueDetails
    Fleet productivity0.5%%
    Rental CAPEX fleet$4.19BUSD
    Used equipment sales$769MUSD
    End market growth mix
    ROIC capital intensity11.7%%
    Ancillary specialty growth>9%%

    Deals & partnerships

    3
    UnnamedSmall trench deal

    One of the small deals completed at the end of 2025.

    UnnamedSmall portable sanitation deal

    A very small deal to help fill out the footprint, completed at the end of 2025.

    UnnamedAerial company in Australia

    Acquired to fill out product offering and help serve customers in Australia, completed at the end of 2025.

    Risks & headwinds

    5
    Elevated delivery expense / fleet repositioning costsQ4 FY25, expected to remain elevated in FY26

    70 bps headwind to Q4 adjusted EBITDA margin

    Mitigation: Proactive cost actions and more efficient processes are being implemented to mitigate these costs, especially as local markets rebound.

    Margin dilution from ancillary growthQ4 FY25

    20 bps headwind to Q4 adjusted EBITDA margin

    Mitigation: Strategic focus on providing additional services to customers is seen as an important competitive advantage that drives higher OER growth, despite margin dilution.

    Above-trend inflationOngoing

    Impact on costs

    Mitigation: Cost actions are embedded in the 2026 guidance to manage inflation in areas like facilities and insurance.

    Matting business choppinessQ4 FY25, potential for Q1 FY26

    Impacted Q4 fleet productivity by 1 point

    Mitigation: Caused by a pushout of a large pipeline project; the project is expected to proceed, just delayed. Management is pleased with the business's overall growth and returns.

    Used sales volume shortfallFY25

    Full-year OEC sold $2.73B vs. $2.8B guidance

    Mitigation: Company held on to some high-time used assets to meet demand; used market expected to see healthy demand in 2026 with recovery rates supporting strong unit economics.

    What to watch in Q1 FY26

    4

    Fleet productivity

    Q1 FY26 and full year 2026
    Current0.5% in Q4 FY25 (full year 2.2%)
    TargetPositive, offsetting 1.5% assumed inflation

    Why it matters

    Key indicator of capital efficiency and ability to outgrow inflation, especially given Q4's mix impact from the Matting business.

    I expect it to be positive in Q1, just may not be meet our expectations and time will tell💬. We could get surprised, things can mobilize quickly. So we're not as focused on the quarters there as much as we are making sure full year, the fleet that we're spending on the CapEx on is bringing us the returns, and we're utilizing it in an efficient, profitable way.

    Q&A highlights

    7

    In what "inning" is the company regarding ancillary services expansion, and what is the ROIC on these services given they are margin dilutive?

    The company aims to offer as many solutions as possible to consolidate vendor bases. While ancillary services may be margin dilutive, they are not capital intensive and are profitable from a cash perspective, being closely connected to fleet rental and enhancing competitive advantage.

    although these may be margin dilutive, most of these services, if not all, are not capital intense. So this net-net on a cash perspective, these are profitable. They just dilute margins.

    asked by Steven Fisher · answered by Matthew Flannery

    2 min read6 chapters

    Detailed Narrative

    01

    Customer-Centric Strategy and Outperformance

    United Rentals emphasizes its "partner of choice" strategy, providing a one-stop shop for general rental and specialty products, supported by technology and a strong team. This approach aims to improve customer productivity and efficiency, positioning the company to outperform the market and drive profitable growth, as evidenced by record revenue and EBITDA in FY25.

    02

    Specialty Business Expansion and Drivers

    The specialty segment continues to show healthy, broad-based growth, with 60 cold-starts opened in 2025 (13 in Q4). Management plans approximately 40 specialty cold-starts in 2026, focusing on geographic expansion, cross-selling, and new product additions to sustain double-digit growth and expand competitive advantages.

    03

    End-Market Dynamics and Project Pipeline

    Construction end markets, particularly infrastructure and nonresidential, saw growth, with data centers and power being significant drivers. The project pipeline is described as larger than ever, with new projects in healthcare, pharmaceuticals, and infrastructure. Local markets are expected to remain flattish in 2026, with large projects continuing to drive most of the growth.

    04

    Capital Allocation and Shareholder Returns

    The company prioritizes funding organic growth, followed by inorganic growth, and then returning excess cash to shareholders. In 2025, $2.4 billion was returned through buybacks and dividends. For 2026, plans include $1.5 billion in share repurchases and a 10% dividend increase, totaling approximately $2 billion in capital returns.

    05

    Cost Management and Margin Protection

    Despite elevated repositioning costs (70 bps headwind in Q4) and ancillary growth (20 bps headwind), management is proactively implementing cost actions in 2026 to protect margins. The goal is to achieve flat adjusted EBITDA margins year-over-year (excluding the H&E benefit), leveraging network density more efficiently as local markets rebound.

    06

    Used Equipment Market and Fleet Management

    The used equipment market has normalized from 2022-2023 extremes, with healthy demand expected in 2026. The company sold $769 million of OEC in Q4 at a 50% recovery rate, bringing full-year OEC sold to $2.73 billion, slightly below guidance due to holding high-time assets to meet demand. Fleet productivity was 0.5% in Q4, impacted by matting business choppiness, but is expected to be positive for the full year 2026.

    AI-generated summary of the company’s earnings call. Not investment advice.