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    WEC
    Earnings call· Jun 2025(Q2 FY25)

    WEC ENERGY GROUP Q2 FY25 earnings call WEC

    Jul 30, 2025 Source

    Executive summary

    WEC Energy Group Q2 FY25 — Strong Economic Growth and Data Center Demand Fuel Capital Plan

    WEC Energy Group reported strong Q2 FY25 results, reaffirming its full-year EPS guidance and long-term growth targets, driven by robust economic development and increasing data center demand in its service territory. The company is executing on its largest-ever capital plan, including significant investments in natural gas generation and LNG storage, while actively managing regulatory processes and financing needs to support future growth. Management expects to provide a refreshed capital and financing plan in the fall.

    Highlights

    5
    • Reported Q2 FY25 earnings of $0.76 per share, reflecting a $0.09 increase compared to Q2 2024.

    • Reaffirmed 2025 earnings guidance of $5.17 to $5.27 per share and long-term EPS CAGR of 6.5% to 7%.

    • Significant economic development in the region, including Yaskawa's $180 million investment and Microsoft's data center progress.

    • Potential 3.5 gigawatts of demand from Vantage Data Centers, not yet included in current forecasts.

    • Unanimous approval for 1,100 megawatts of natural gas generation and storage, with construction started on a $1.2 billion investment.

    Concerns

    3
    • Energy Infrastructure segment earnings decreased $0.03 per share compared to Q2 2024 due to storm damage.

    • Corporate and other segment earnings decreased $0.03 per share driven by higher interest expense.

    • O&M expense is expected to grow 8% to 10% for the full year 2025 compared to 2024.

    Guidance & targets

    7
    CategoryTargetConfidence
    Full-year 2025 Adjusted EPS
    $5.17 to $5.27 per share
    high materiality
    High
    Long-term Compound Annual Earnings Growth Rate
    6.5% to 7%
    high materiality
    High
    Annual Electric Sales Growth
    4.5% to 5%
    medium materiality
    High
    Q3 EPS Expectation
    $0.74 to $0.80 per share
    medium materiality
    High
    Total Common Equity Issuance
    $700 million to $800 million
    medium materiality
    High
    Total Common Equity Issuance
    $2.7 billion to $3.2 billion
    high materiality
    High
    Incremental Capital Funding Equity Content
    50% equity content
    medium materiality
    High

    Segment performance

    4
    SegmentRevenueYoYQoQMargin
    Utility Operations
    Positively impacted by weather ($0.04), rate-based growth ($0.12), and timing of fuel expense, tax, and other items ($0.07). Partially offset by higher depreciation and amortization ($0.05) and higher day-to-day O&M ($0.02).
    Earnings contribution: $0.16 higher vs. Q2 2024
    American Transmission Company
    Contribution from capital investment growth.
    Earnings contribution: $0.01 higher vs. Q2 2024
    Energy Infrastructure
    Higher production tax credits were more than offset by other factors, including a loss from storm damage recognized in Q2 2025.
    Earnings contribution: $0.03 lower vs. Q2 2024
    Corporate and Other
    Driven by higher interest expense.
    Earnings contribution: $0.03 lower vs. Q2 2024

    Operational metrics

    8
    O&M expense growth
    8% to 10%vs. 2024 actual O&M
    FY25

    Expected for the full year.

    Retail electric delivery growth (weather-normal)
    1.1%YoY
    Q2 FY25

    Led by large commercial and industrial segment.

    Retail electric delivery growth (Large Commercial & Industrial)
    1.9%YoY
    Q2 FY25

    Quarter-over-quarter growth.

    Retail electric delivery growth (Residential)
    0.4%YoY
    Q2 FY25

    Compared to Q2 last year.

    Retail electric delivery growth (Small Commercial & Industrial)
    1%YoY
    Q2 FY25

    Compared to Q2 last year.

    Common equity issued
    $425 million
    H1 FY25

    Issued through the first half of the year.

    Dividend payout ratio target
    65% to 70%
    Ongoing

    Company continues to target this range, with dividend growth expected to be in line with EPS growth.

    Weather impact on Q2 earnings
    $0.04YoY increase
    Q2 FY25

    Positive impact on quarter-over-quarter earnings.

    Industry KPIs

    7
    MetricValueDetails
    Adjusted operating EPS$0.76$/share
    Multi year capital plan$28 billionUSD
    Dividend per share growth$3.57$/share
    Regulatory rate base growth$0.12$/share
    Allowed ROE equity layer rate cases10.48% ROE, 57% equity ratio%
    Combined electric gas framework mandates1,100 milesmiles
    Major regulated project construction progress1,100 megawattsMW

    Orderbook & backlog

    3
    I-94 Corridor Demand Forecast1.8 gigawattsQ2 FY25

    5-year demand growth forecast

    Vantage Data Centers Potential Demand3.5 gigawattsQ2 FY25

    Potential demand over time from development north of Milwaukee; not included in current demand forecast

    Vantage Data Centers Short-term Demand Target1.3 gigawattsQ2 FY25

    Target for first load by end of 2027

    Deals & partnerships

    2
    YaskawaInvestment in new U.S. headquarters and manufacturing operations$180 million

    Yaskawa, one of the world's largest manufacturers of industrial products and robotics, is consolidating manufacturing operations in Wisconsin.

    Vantage Data CentersDevelopment of a large data center campus

    Signed on to develop approximately 1,900 acres just north of Milwaukee. Project is in early stages and not included in current demand forecast.

    Capital programs

    6
    5-year Investment Planunderway$28 billion

    Benefit: Supporting economic growth and reliability

    Largest in company history, based on low risk and highly executable projects.

    Oak Creek Simple-Cycle Combustion Turbinesconstruction started$1.2 billion
    Start: Q2 FY25

    Benefit: 1,100 megawatts

    Unanimously approved by the Public Service Commission of Wisconsin.

    Paris RICE Generationplanned$300 million

    Benefit: 128 megawatts

    Planned investment near existing Paris Generation Station.

    Oak Creek LNG Storage Facilityverbal approval received$456 million
    Start: July 2025

    Benefit: 2 Bcf storage capacity

    Critical project to support reliable and affordable energy.

    Paris Solar-Battery Park (Battery Portion)completed

    Benefit: 110 megawatts of storage

    Wisconsin's first large-scale battery storage project; WEC is 90% owner.

    Illinois Pipe Replacement Programplanning underway

    Benefit: 1,100 miles of older pipe retired

    Directed by the Illinois Commerce Commission to retire cast iron and ductile iron pipe under 36 inches. Run rate expected to be over $500 million per year by 2028.

    Risks & headwinds

    5
    Energy Infrastructure Segment Earnings DeclineQ2 FY25

    $0.03 per share decrease

    Mitigation: Actively working with insurance providers, contractors, and parts manufacturers to restore lost capacity and potentially recover some losses.

    Higher Interest ExpenseQ2 FY25

    $0.03 per share decrease in Corporate and Other segment earnings

    O&M Expense GrowthFull year 2025

    8% to 10% growth

    Mitigation: Growth is largely driven by continued focus on commission-approved vegetation management, new assets placed in service, and measures taken to offset mild weather impact.

    Uncertainty in Renewable Tax Credit Guidance (OBBB Act)

    Potential impact on renewable projects

    Mitigation: Actively working on completing safe harboring under current Treasury guidance and awaiting further guidance to ensure compliance and avoid future surprises.

    Tight System CapacityThrough 2026

    Required extension of Oak Creek coal units 7 and 8

    Mitigation: Extended operating lives of coal units without significant additional CapEx; evaluating combined cycle plants and other generation options to meet demand.

    What to watch in Q3 FY25

    5

    Capital and Financing Plan Refresh

    Fall (Q3 call)
    CurrentLargest 5-year investment plan in history ($28B)
    TargetUpdated capital and financing plan with potential revisions to EPS CAGR and capital spend

    Why it matters

    This update will provide clarity on the company's future growth trajectory and how it plans to fund increasing demand, especially from data centers.

    We look forward to updating you in the fall as we refresh our capital and financing plan.

    Q&A highlights

    7

    How is WEC planning to procure generation for the 3.5 GW potential demand from Vantage Data Centers, especially given the 1.3 GW target by end of 2027, and the current tight system capacity?

    Management is actively working with Vantage on short-term needs, exploring various options including purchase cancellation agreements and new orders. They are looking at an 'all-of-the-above' approach and will provide more details in the Q3 capital plan update.

    We're looking at a variety of items here because the system here is very tight. As you can see, we extended the coal units for another year because of the site capacity, and those coal units will be retired as we bring on those new CTs, but -- we're looking at all of the above.

    asked by Nicholas Campanella · answered by Scott Lauber

    3 min read5 chapters

    Detailed Narrative

    01

    Regional Economic Development and Data Center Demand

    WEC Energy Group is experiencing strong economic growth in its service region, particularly along the I-94 corridor between Milwaukee and Chicago. This includes Yaskawa's announced $180 million investment to build its U.S. headquarters and manufacturing operations in Wisconsin, creating 700 jobs. Progress continues on Microsoft's data center campus, and Vantage Data Centers has signed on to develop approximately 1,900 acres north of Milwaukee, with a potential to reach 3.5 gigawatts of demand over time, which is not yet included in the current demand forecast. The company's 5-year demand growth forecast for the I-94 corridor remains 1.8 gigawatts.

    02

    Capital Plan Execution and Major Projects

    The company is advancing its largest-ever 5-year investment plan, totaling $28 billion, focused on low-risk, highly executable projects. Key projects include the recently approved 1,100 megawatts of simple-cycle combustion turbines at Oak Creek Power Plant with a $1.2 billion investment, and 128 megawatts of RICE generation near Paris Generation Station for $300 million. Additionally, verbal approval was received for a 2 Bcf LNG storage facility at Oak Creek, with an expected investment of $456 million to be completed by the end of 2027. The battery portion of the Paris Solar-Battery Park, providing 110 megawatts of storage, came online in June.

    03

    Regulatory Updates and Tariff Development

    WEC Energy Group currently has no active rate cases. In Wisconsin, the Very Large Customer (VLC) tariff is under review by the Public Service Commission, designed to meet large load customer needs while protecting other customers. This tariff proposes a fixed return on equity of 10.48% and an equity ratio of 57%, with terms of 20 years for wind and solar, and depreciable lives for natural gas and battery storage assets. A commission decision is expected by the second quarter of next year. In Illinois, the company is mapping out engineering and permitting for its pipe replacement program, targeting the retirement of 1,100 miles of older pipe by January 1, 2035.

    04

    Capacity Needs and Generation Strategy

    To address tight system capacity and growing demand, the company announced the extension of operating lives for Oak Creek coal units 7 and 8 through 2026. This decision was influenced by MISO prices and summer demand, with no significant additional capital expenditures anticipated for the extension. Management is actively evaluating future generation needs, including the potential for a combined cycle plant, in addition to the current CTs, to meet the evolving demand landscape. Discussions are ongoing regarding the Point Beach PPA and Port Washington lease, with updates expected by year-end or in the fall capital plan.

    05

    Financing and Equity Issuance

    The company issued approximately $425 million in common equity through the first half of 2025 via its ATM program and other plans. It remains on track to issue a total of $700 million to $800 million for the full year. This is part of a larger plan to issue $2.7 billion to $3.2 billion in common equity through 2029 to finance capital investments. Management reiterated that any incremental capital identified in the refreshed capital plan this fall will be funded with 50% equity content.

    AI-generated summary of the company’s earnings call. Not investment advice.