Skip to content
    WMT
    Earnings call· Apr 2026(Q1 FY27)

    Walmart Q1 FY27 earnings call WMT

    May 21, 2026 Source

    Executive summary

    Walmart Q1 FY27 — Transaction-led share gains and platform profits absorb a fuel-cost shock

    The quarter showed the model working as designed: speed-led eCommerce, marketplace, advertising and membership compounding on an EDLP core that is winning share across income cohorts. Management chose to absorb an abrupt fuel-cost shock rather than reprice, betting recurring higher-margin profit streams now insulate earnings — and the reiterated outlook implies profitability accelerates from here.

    Highlights

    5
    • Constant-currency sales grew 5.7%, ~120 bps above the top end of guidance (~$10B cc revenue increase); Walmart U.S. comps +4.1% with the strongest transaction growth in 6 quarters

    • Enterprise eCommerce grew 26%; U.S. marketplace net sales grew ~50% (highest 3P growth in 2.5 years) and WFS same/next-day units grew ~150%

    • Global advertising grew 37% (Walmart U.S. +36%) and consolidated membership fee income grew over 17%, with Walmart+ net adds at a new Q1 high — these streams now ~1/3 of operating income

    • Walmart U.S. gross margin expanded 29 bps with the first favorable merchandise-mix contribution in 18 quarters; highest general merchandise share gains in 5 years

    • Delivery speed milestones: >36% of U.S. store-fulfilled deliveries under 3 hours and ~60% of the U.S. population reachable within 30 minutes

    Concerns

    5
    • Absorbed ~$175M (~250 bps of operating income growth) of higher-than-planned fuel costs in Q1, holding Q1 adjusted cc OI growth to ~5% — the lowest expected quarter of the year — with 'hundreds of millions of dollars' of fuel pressure embedded in the reiterated guide

    • Low-income consumer stress: gallons per fill-up fell below 10 for the first time since 2022; management flags possible higher retail price inflation in Q2 and H2 if elevated costs persist

    • Maximum fair pricing (MFP) pharmacy legislation is a ~100 bps headwind to Walmart U.S. comps; in-store comps would be positive only excluding it

    • Private-brand penetration fell ~40 bps (food down slightly more than 100 bps, driven by egg deflation)

    • Egg deflation (~100 bps of Q1 like-for-like deflation) sets up lapping pressure on reported inflation later in the year

    Guidance & targets

    10
    CategoryTargetConfidence
    Full-year FY27 consolidated net sales growth (constant currency)
    3.5% to 4.5%, now expected toward the upper end of the range
    high materiality
    High
    Q2 FY27 net sales growth (constant currency)
    4% to 5%
    high materiality
    High
    Q2 FY27 operating income growth (constant currency)
    7% to 10%
    high materiality
    High
    Full-year FY27 operating income growth (constant currency)
    6% to 8%, reiterated
    high materiality
    High
    Q2 FY27 EPS
    $0.72 to $0.74
    high materiality
    High
    Full-year FY27 EPS
    $2.75 to $2.85
    high materiality
    High
    Q2 FY27 FX translation benefit (reported vs constant currency)
    ~90 bps benefit to reported sales growth and ~130 bps benefit to reported operating income growth
    medium materiality
    Medium
    Retail price inflation (average unit retail)
    Somewhat higher retail price inflation in Q2 and the second half if the elevated cost environment persists
    medium materiality
    Medium
    Q2 FY27 merchandise-mix contribution to Walmart U.S. gross margin
    Not the same level of improvement as Q1
    low materiality
    Medium
    Multiyear financial framework (Investor Day, reiterated)
    ~4% top-line growth with operating income growing faster, roughly 4% to 8%
    high materiality
    High

    Segment performance

    3
    SegmentRevenueYoYQoQMargin
    Walmart U.S.
    Comp growth (captured in subsector KPIs) was transaction- and unit-led rather than ticket-led, which management reads as durable. Fashion's strength carried derivative benefits into home decor and beauty; Health & Wellness comps were obscured by the ~100 bps maximum fair pricing legislation headwind, which disproportionately hits the in-store business. Q1 general merchandise likely also benefited from higher-than-expected tax refunds.
    Transaction growth: strongest in 6 quartersTraffic growth: ~3% YoY (analyst-cited figure, affirmed as strong by management)eCommerce delivery sales growth: +45% YoYeCommerce growth streak: 9th consecutive quarter above 20%General merchandise comps: positive, with GM sales up mid-single digits and the highest GM share gains in 5 yearsFashion category share growth: strongest in 5 yearsBeauty new-brand contribution: ~75% of category growth from new brands (e.g. La Roche-Posay)Health & Wellness growth ex-MFP: mid-to-high single digitsPrescription volumes: growing, with continued script share gainsPharmacy fast delivery: ~20% of Health & Wellness deliveries in under 3 hours
    Walmart International
    U.S.-built platforms (marketplace, advertising, membership, fulfillment) are being exported under 'build once, scale globally,' with marketplace cross-border newly launched into Canada and Mexico and early results described favorably. Platform revenue streams are small bases growing ~30%, and management expects inspiration from high-speed markets like India and China to flow back into the core.
    eCommerce sales growth: +27% YoYeCommerce penetration: 30% of salesMembership growth: +30% YoYAdvertising growth: +30% YoYChina eCommerce growth: over 30% YoYChina delivered units: over 0.5B in Q1, ~75% arriving in under 1 hourFlipkart Minutes (India): 800+ micro fulfillment centers, sub-13-minute average delivery across 30+ citiesGeneral merchandise: growth outpaced food and consumables, aided by successful Lunar New Year events
    Operating income growth of more than 10%, led by improved eCommerce economics in the Asia businesses
    Sam's Club U.S.
    Momentum is omnichannel- and membership-led: ongoing member-value investments (including the newly launched Dynamic Express under-1-hour delivery) supported the membership fee increase effective May 1. Member's Mark, in its second year as the club's sole private brand, is co-created with the member community and is driving renewals and new joins; fuel value is pulling stressed consumers to the format.
    Traffic growth: ~6% YoY (analyst-cited figure, affirmed as strong by management)Club-fulfilled delivery sales growth: more than 90% YoYeCommerce sales mix: all-time highMember demographics: ~half of member growth from millennial and Gen Z membersMember's Mark: 100% of food & beverage items achieved 'made without' formulation in January

    Operational metrics

    8
    Constant-currency net sales growth
    5.7%YoY; exceeded the top end of the guidance range by 120 bps
    Q1 FY27

    Non-GAAP constant-currency basis (the basis on which Walmart guides). Reported as 'nearly 6%' in prepared remarks and 5.7% in the guidance discussion.

    Adjusted operating income growth (constant currency)
    ~5%YoY; in line with guidance despite higher-than-anticipated fuel costs
    Q1 FY27

    Non-GAAP (adjusted, constant currency). Landed in the upper half of the guided range despite absorbing the unplanned fuel-cost headwind.

    Fuel cost headwind absorbed
    ~$175M~250 bps drag on operating income growth vs plan
    Q1 FY27

    Fuel costs were higher than planned when February guidance was set; management flags these as real cost-of-goods impacts for Walmart and suppliers, with 'hundreds of millions of dollars' of pressure embedded in the maintained full-year guide.

    U.S. eCommerce incremental margin
    ~12%consistent with the high-single-digit to low-double-digit incremental margins of the last couple of years (analyst framing affirmed by CFO)
    Q1 FY27

    Cited as evidence that improving speed economics and business mix are driving structural margin improvement in eCommerce.

    Rollback count
    ~7,200up more than 20% YoY; vs a ~5,000-5,500 range in recent years
    Q1 FY27 (currently in place)

    Management called the acceleration meaningful for customers and said price investment is the best current return on a dollar of capital.

    Sparky AI shopping agent engagement
    Weekly active users up over 100%QoQ ('just in the last quarter')
    Q1 FY27

    Central to the 'AI native' strategy; recommendations draw on inventory positioning, prices and delivery-speed capabilities.

    Drone deliveries
    1 million lifetime deliveries milestone reachedslightly over 40% of lifetime drone deliveries were completed in Q1 alone
    as of Q1 FY27

    Cited as evidence of accelerating fast-delivery adoption; fast-delivery channel sales grew more than 50% YoY with rising average order values.

    Advertising and membership share of operating income
    ~1/3described as 'very different from Walmart of 10 years ago'
    Q1 FY27

    Stated in prepared remarks as approximately one-third of operating income and reiterated in Q&A as roughly one-third of earnings.

    Industry KPIs

    12
    MetricValueDetails
    Marketplace 3p GMV~50% U.S. marketplace net sales growth%
    Gross margin driversWalmart U.S. gross margin +29 bpsbps
    Membership economics+17% consolidated membership fee income growth (cited as 17.5% in Q&A)%
    Delivery fulfillment speedMore than 36% of U.S. store-fulfilled deliveries in under 3 hours%
    Fuel gas station economicsGallons per fill-up fell below 10 — first time since 2022gallons
    Warehouse store club countMore than 10,900 store and club locations globallylocations
    Comparable same store sales4.1% (Walmart U.S. comp sales)%
    E commerce digital sales growth26% enterprise eCommerce sales growth%
    Tariff exposure refund recoveryMaximum IEEPA refunds eligible: less than 0.5% of U.S. annual sales% of U.S. annual sales
    Advertising retail media revenue37% global advertising growth%
    Private label own brand penetrationPenetration down ~40 bps overallbps
    Category level comps and inflation deflationLike-for-like inflation slightly above 1%%

    Product announcements

    7
    ProductTypeDetails
    Sparky (AI shopping agent)expansion
    Marketplace cross-border (Canada and Mexico)launch
    Dynamic Express delivery (Sam's Club)launch
    Grilling essentials value basketlaunch
    Great Value brand redesignupdate
    Member's Mark 'made without' portfolio milestonemilestone
    VIZIO connected-TV advertising expansionupdate

    Capital programs

    1
    U.S. supply chain automation (eCommerce fulfillment centers, regional distribution centers, store freight network)underway
    Spent to date: ~halfway complete ('we're about halfway there')

    Benefit: Approximately half of Walmart U.S. eCommerce fulfillment center volume automated; more than 60% of stores receiving some freight from automated distribution centers; more than half of regional DCs in various stages of retrofit

    'Automation across our supply chain in the U.S. continues to scale... we're about halfway there. So we have more to do. We have more investments coming, but the speed at which these are coming online is much faster than it was a couple of years ago.' Associates are being upskilled as technology changes how work gets done. No program dollar amount, funding source, or completion date was stated on this call.

    Risks & headwinds

    7
    Elevated fuel costs pressuring operating income and cost of goods soldQ1 FY27 and ongoing while fuel prices remain elevated

    ~$175M (~250 bps of operating income growth) absorbed in Q1; 'hundreds of millions of dollars of pressure' embedded in the maintained full-year guide; real COGS impacts for Walmart and its suppliers

    Mitigation: Deliberately absorbing costs to defend EDLP and share ('playing offense'); experienced logistics and merchandising teams with multiple levers; guidance assumes the current environment persists

    Low-income consumer financial stress and budget pressureCurrent, intensifying with fuel prices

    Average fuel fill-up fell below 10 gallons for the first time since 2022; lower-income consumers described as budget-conscious and possibly navigating financial distress

    Mitigation: Accelerated rollback program and seasonal value bundles; membership fuel-savings benefits; EDLP price leadership

    Maximum fair pricing (MFP) pharmacy legislation comp headwindIn effect since January 2026; ongoing

    ~100 bps drag on Walmart U.S. comps; disproportionately affects the in-store business (in-store comps would be positive excluding it)

    Mitigation: Underlying pharmacy strength — growing prescription volumes, script share gains, expanding pharmacy delivery and digital health capabilities

    Potential retail price inflation from fuel and input-cost pass-throughQ2 FY27 and second half if the elevated cost environment persists

    Q1 like-for-like inflation slightly above 1% could move higher; food input costs (fertilizer — nitrogen and phosphates) exposed to the Strait of Hormuz closure

    Mitigation: Merchant levers, maintained price gaps, and rollback investment to protect value perception

    Egg-deflation lapping distorting reported inflation and private-brand trendsLapping effects build through the remainder of FY27

    Egg deflation contributed almost 100 bps of deflation to Q1 like-for-like inflation and drove food private-brand penetration down a little more than 100 bps

    Competitor price investment aimed at reclaiming market shareCurrent

    Not quantified; analysts note competitors publicly discussing price investment

    Mitigation: Rollback count accelerated well above the historical range; EDLP as a trust-building strategy; management expressed confidence in current price gaps

    Tariff costs with uncertain IEEPA refund recoveryFY27

    Maximum potential refunds as importer of record are less than 0.5% of U.S. annual sales; no refund benefit assumed in guidance

    Mitigation: Participating in the refund process; any recovery would be prioritized toward price investment; guidance assumes the current tariff environment persists

    Q&A highlights

    9

    Enterprise and U.S. eCommerce incremental margins look consistent with recent high-single/low-double-digit ranges — what would let Walmart dial them up, especially if fuel stays elevated?

    Rainey confirmed U.S. eCommerce incremental margins of ~12% in the quarter and framed the flywheel: speed drives frequency, which raises membership utility; membership plus advertising now comprise roughly one-third of earnings, providing recurring-revenue insulation against shocks like fuel. Furner added that core-business share gains enable the platform businesses, and merchants have many levers for the fuel environment.

    And the importance of speed, the reason to highlight that is fast fuels frequency.

    asked by Simeon Gutman (Morgan Stanley) · answered by John Rainey

    3 min read7 chapters

    Detailed Narrative

    01

    Consumer bifurcation under fuel-price pressure

    Management painted a two-speed consumer: higher-income customers are spending with confidence across categories, while lower-income consumers are budget-conscious and, in some cases, navigating financial distress. The most vivid stress indicator came from Walmart's own fuel business, where fill-up volumes dropped to a multi-year low. Higher-than-expected tax refunds likely provided a temporary macro lift to first-quarter general merchandise spending, a tailwind management explicitly declined to fully claim as its own execution. Walmart is leaning into value messaging — including seasonal bundles like a grilling basket that feeds eight people at under $5 per person — to hold and extend its share gains across all income cohorts.

    02

    Fuel-cost shock: absorb, don't reprice

    Higher-than-planned fuel costs hit the global distribution and fulfillment network during the quarter, and management deliberately absorbed the impact rather than passing it through, describing the choice as 'playing offense' to reinforce customer trust and share gains. These are real cost-of-goods impacts for Walmart and its suppliers, and the pass-through question is deferred, not dismissed: if elevated costs persist, retail price inflation is expected to tick up. Management emphasized that experienced logistics and merchandising teams have many levers to navigate the environment, and the full-year guide was held despite the pressure.

    03

    Speed as the growth engine: delivery, automation and store-network leverage

    Delivery speed was the quarter's dominant operational theme, with the store and club network positioned as physical infrastructure that enables speed at an attractive and improving cost structure. Management's framing was that 'fast fuels frequency' — faster delivery drives engagement, which raises the utility of membership and feeds the flywheel. Under-1-hour and under-30-minute delivery options are the fastest-growing solutions, and customer satisfaction with delivery hit record highs. As speed economics improve, management argues speed becomes an engine of operating leverage rather than just a better experience.

    04

    Business-mix transformation: platforms and commerce solutions

    Walmart is taking an enterprise approach to platforms — advertising, marketplace, fulfillment services, membership and data ventures — scaling them alongside core retail to drive growth at lower marginal cost. Marketplace, advertising and fulfillment services each had their best quarter in the CFO's tenure, collectively and individually. Management argues the increasingly subscription-like, recurring profit streams insulate earnings from economic swings such as fuel-price spikes, marking a structural difference from the Walmart of a decade ago. Marketplace sellers deepen the loop: as assortment grows, engagement rises, which attracts more advertising spend from those same sellers.

    05

    General merchandise inflection and assortment strategy

    General merchandise inflected positively, led by fashion — with derivative benefits into style-inspired categories like home decor and beauty — and expanded third-party assortment on the marketplace. New brands drove roughly three-quarters of beauty category growth, part of a deliberate strategy of broadening assortment to appeal to all income levels. Management sees marketplace-driven general merchandise mix as a multiyear gross-margin lever, since general merchandise carries higher gross profit than food, while cautioning that progress will not be linear quarter to quarter.

    06

    AI-native retail: Sparky and machine decisioning

    Walmart describes itself as becoming AI native, with the Sparky shopping agent now live across app, web and in-store experiences, adding personalized replenishment, meal planning and smarter recommendations tied to inventory position, price and delivery speed. Engagement is shifting from general-merchandise discovery missions toward everyday essentials like food and consumables as capabilities broaden. AI is also applied upstream — positioning inventory, making fulfillment decisions in real time, and dynamically optimizing advertising campaign content for ad buyers.

    07

    Exporting the playbook: International platforms and quick commerce

    The 'build once, scale globally' approach is moving U.S.-proven platforms — marketplace, advertising, membership, fulfillment — into Canada and Mexico, with early cross-border marketplace results described favorably. International's fastest quick-commerce operations are becoming reference models in their own right: Flipkart Minutes in India and cloud-network-enabled minute-level delivery in China, with inspiration expected to flow back into the core U.S. business. Asia's improving eCommerce economics led International's double-digit segment profit growth, and management says it is still early in learning what quick commerce and marketplace could look like in the Americas.

    AI-generated summary of the company’s earnings call. Not investment advice.