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    WMT
    Earnings call· Jul 2025(Q2 FY26)

    Walmart Inc. WMT

    Aug 21, 2025 Source

    Executive summary

    Walmart Q2 FY26 — Strong Sales and E-commerce Growth Amidst Cost Pressures

    Walmart delivered robust top-line and e-commerce growth, driven by strong customer response to value and convenience, leading to market share gains across segments. The company is strategically investing in AI and higher-margin businesses like advertising and membership, which are increasingly contributing to profit. Despite these strengths, profitability was impacted by unexpected general liability claims and ongoing tariff-related cost pressures, which management is actively navigating while maintaining full-year operating income guidance.

    Highlights

    5
    • Global sales increased 5.6% in constant currency, driven by growth in transactions and units.

    • Global e-commerce sales grew 25% year-over-year, with all segments exceeding 20% growth.

    • Walmart U.S. comp sales grew 4.6%, outperforming expectations with consistent strength.

    • Global advertising revenue increased 46%, including VIZIO, with Walmart Connect U.S. (ex-VIZIO) up 31%.

    • Gained market share in the U.S. and across international markets, alongside 15% growth in global membership income.

    Concerns

    3
    • Adjusted operating income grew only 0.4% in constant currency, absorbing a 560 basis points headwind from general liability claims in the U.S.

    • Merchandise category mix remains a headwind to margins, as sales growth in grocery and health and wellness outpaced general merchandise.

    • Continued cost increases due to tariffs are expected into the third and fourth quarters, impacting pricing and consumer behavior.

    Guidance & targets

    7
    CategoryTargetConfidence
    Full-year sales growth
    3.75% to 4.75% growth
    high materiality
    High
    Q3 sales growth
    3.75% to 4.75% growth
    medium materiality
    High
    Full-year adjusted operating income growth
    3.5% to 5.5% growth
    high materiality
    High
    Q3 operating income growth
    3% to 6% growth
    medium materiality
    Medium
    Midpoint FY26 sales growth
    4.25% growth
    high materiality
    High
    Midpoint FY26 operating income growth
    4.5% growth (or 6% with callouts)
    high materiality
    High
    Walmart U.S. delivery coverage (under 3 hours)
    95%
    medium materiality
    High

    Segment performance

    3
    SegmentRevenueYoYQoQMargin
    Walmart U.S.
    Sales were stronger than expected, with consistent strength throughout the quarter. Gained market share across key categories and all income cohorts, with upper-income households contributing the largest gains. E-commerce growth accelerated from prior quarters, with delivery from store up almost 50%.
    E-commerce sales growth: 26%General merchandise sales comp: low-single-digit positive
    4.6%
    Walmart International
    Growth accretive to the enterprise, led by strength in China, Walmex, and Flipkart. Saw broad-based growth across product categories and strong seasonal event sales. Momentum continued to be led by store-fulfilled pickup and delivery and 3P Marketplace.
    E-commerce growth: >20%E-commerce penetration: ~27% of segment salesChina sales growth: 30%Walmex sales growth: >6%
    10.5% (constant currency)
    Sam's Club U.S.
    Strong comp sales driven entirely by units sold, with accelerating unit growth quarter-on-quarter. Delivered positive comps across all key product categories, including another quarter of growth in general merchandise. Members are finding more ways to shop, with unit growth accelerating along with spend per member, frequency, and renewals.
    E-commerce growth: 26%Member's Mark sales penetration increase: 140 bpsClub fulfilled delivery contribution to e-commerce increase: nearly 50%Curbside pickup growth: double digits
    5.9% (ex-fuel)

    Operational metrics

    35
    Global sales growth
    5.6%
    Q2 FY26

    Driven by growth in transactions and units.

    Global e-commerce sales growth
    25%YoY
    Q2 FY26

    All segments exceeded 20% growth, led by Walmart U.S. and Sam's Club U.S. at 26%.

    Global marketplace growth
    17%
    Q2 FY26

    Contributes to changing the shape of the income statement.

    Global membership income growth
    15%
    Q2 FY26

    Contributes to changing the shape of the income statement.

    Global advertising growth
    46%
    Q2 FY26

    Contributes to changing the shape of the income statement.

    Walmart Connect U.S. advertising growth
    31%
    Q2 FY26

    Contributes to changing the shape of the income statement.

    Adjusted operating income growth
    0.4%
    Q2 FY26

    Below expectations due to general liability claims, but businesses overcame additional expenses to still deliver profit growth.

    Inventory growth
    3.8%
    Q2 FY26

    Composition of inventory is in good shape as we start the back half of the year.

    Inventory growth
    2.2%
    Q2 FY26

    Composition of inventory is in good shape as we start the back half of the year.

    Rollbacks
    7,400up ~2,000 from last quarter
    Q2 FY26

    Across assortment, reflecting efforts to keep prices low.

    Grocery rollbacks growth
    30%vs last year
    Q2 FY26

    Reflecting efforts to keep prices low.

    Walmart U.S. e-commerce delivery from store growth
    almost 50%
    Q2 FY26

    Led overall e-commerce fulfillment channels.

    Walmart U.S. e-commerce delivery from store (3 hours or less)
    1/3
    recent weeks

    Reinforcing the value of the store network and driving speed.

    Walmart U.S. e-commerce delivery from store (30 minutes or less)
    20%
    recent weeks

    Reinforcing the value of the store network and driving speed.

    Marketplace volumes through WFS
    44%up 250 bps vs last year
    Q2 FY26

    More sellers utilizing fulfillment services.

    Sam's Club U.S. advertising growth
    24%
    Q2 FY26

    Contributes to profit transformation.

    International advertising growth
    15%
    Q2 FY26

    Contributes to profit transformation.

    Consolidated gross margin increase
    4 bps
    Q2 FY26

    Improved business mix across segments.

    Adjusted gross margin increase
    9 bps
    Q2 FY26

    Improved business mix across segments.

    SG&A expenses deleverage
    35 bps
    Q2 FY26

    Due to higher claims expense, as previewed in prior quarter remarks.

    Accrued additional claims expense
    $450M
    Q2 FY26

    Over and above planned expense, reflecting rising cost to resolve general liability and workers' compensation claims.

    Total incremental claims expense
    $730M
    Q1+Q2 FY26

    Contemplated in full year operating income guidance, along with continued inflation in Q3 and Q4.

    Adjusted EPS growth
    1.5%
    Q2 FY26

    Reflecting lower headwinds experienced year-to-date from currency.

    Adjusted EPS
    $0.68
    Q2 FY26

    After adjusting for discrete charges related to legal matters and restructuring.

    Full year operating income guidance headwind
    150 bps
    FY26

    Consistent with original guidance issued in February.

    Share buybacks
    over $6B50% more than all of last year
    year-to-date

    Aggressive buying when market prices dislocated.

    China club openings
    33
    Q2 FY26

    Enabling faster delivery to customers.

    China total clubs
    455
    Q2 FY26

    Over 50% of sales in China are online initiated.

    India MFCs (30 min delivery)
    300
    Q2 FY26

    Enabling quick commerce capabilities.

    Myntra MFCs (30 min delivery)
    60
    Q2 FY26

    Enabling quick commerce capabilities.

    International sellers increase
    75%
    Q2 FY26

    Driven by bringing Walmart Commerce platform to Canada and Mexico.

    International SKUs increase
    $40M
    Q2 FY26

    Driven by bringing Walmart Commerce platform to Canada and Mexico.

    Sam's Club Scan & Go / Just Go arches usage
    well over 40%
    weekend

    Reflecting digital engagement in clubs and resonating with members.

    Sam's Club GM positive comps
    4th-5th quarter
    Q2 FY26

    Continued strength in general merchandise.

    Sam's Club new brands in GM
    50
    Q2 FY26

    Attracting new members, including higher-income members.

    Industry KPIs

    10
    MetricValueDetails
    Sg a rate35 bpsbps
    Marketplace 3p GMV17%%
    Gross margin drivers4 bpsbps
    Fuel gas station economics5.9%%
    Warehouse store club count455count
    Comparable same store sales4.6%%
    E commerce digital sales growth25%%
    Advertising retail media revenue46%%
    Private label own brand penetration140 bpsbps
    Category level comps and inflation deflationlow-single-digit positive%

    Product announcements

    3
    ProductTypeDetails
    Sparky (AI customer-facing assistant)roadmap
    AI Super Agents (Associate, Supplier/Seller/Advertiser, Developer)roadmap
    OnePay Cash Rewards credit cardlaunch

    Deals & partnerships

    1
    VIZIOAcquisition of VIZIO, contributing to advertising growth but also a headwind to operating income guidance.

    The VIZIO acquisition is noted for its contribution to global advertising growth but also as a factor in the 150 basis points headwind to the full year operating income guidance.

    Risks & headwinds

    4
    General liability and workers' compensation claims expenseQ2 FY26, Q1+Q2 FY26, Q3 FY26, Q4 FY26

    $450 million additional accrual in Q2 FY26; 560 basis points headwind to adjusted operating income growth in Q2 FY26; $730 million incremental expense in Q1+Q2 FY26.

    Mitigation: Increased accrual to reflect rising cost to resolve claims; taking actions to mitigate the number and cost of these claims. Full year operating income guidance contemplates absorbing the incremental expense and continued inflation in Q3 and Q4.

    Tariff-related cost pressuresQ3 FY26, Q4 FY26

    Continued cost increases each week, expected into Q3 and Q4 FY26.

    Mitigation: Keeping prices as low as possible for as long as possible; merchants managing pricing and mix, generating rollbacks; closely monitoring customer demand and price elasticity of impacted items. Flexibility provided by higher-margin businesses (advertising, membership).

    Merchandise category mix as a headwind to marginsQ2 FY26, ongoing

    Sales growth in grocery and health and wellness outpaced general merchandise.

    Mitigation: Focus on improving general merchandise sales trends, which delivered low-single-digit positive comp in Q2, reflecting strength in fashion, media and gaming, and automotive.

    Dynamic operating backdrop and uncertaintyQ3 FY26

    Wider range of outcomes for Q3 operating income guidance (3% to 6% growth).

    Mitigation: Maintaining flexibility to invest for share gains; closely monitoring customer and member behavior, macro indicators (CPI, job growth, wage growth); confident in returning to operating income growth consistent with multi-year trend as cost of goods environment settles.

    What to watch in Q3 FY26

    5

    Impact of tariffs on costs and consumer elasticity

    Q3 FY26, Q4 FY26
    CurrentContinued cost increases each week, more adjustments in middle/lower-income households.
    TargetStabilization of cost increases; consumer behavior adjustments and elasticity trends.

    Why it matters

    Tariffs are a significant cost headwind, and understanding their impact on pricing and consumer demand is crucial for margin and sales performance.

    As we replenish inventory at post tariff price levels, we've continued to see our costs increase each week, which we expect will continue into the third and fourth quarters.

    Q&A highlights

    6

    How much of the underlying profitability is masked by temporary factors, and is the flywheel working? Is AI already accelerating top-line and margin gains, and if not, when will it become material?

    Doug McMillon stated that AI is not yet lifting top-line sales but expressed excitement for the future roadmap, emphasizing a bias towards growth with AI. John Rainey highlighted strong e-commerce momentum, membership growth (16%), and advertising growth (50% globally, 30% in U.S.) as evidence of the flywheel working, despite the $0.75 billion in unexpected cost pressures.

    It is kind of a nuanced earnings report given some of the cost pressures. But when you dig into the details, particularly of the e-commerce business, you look at things like membership growth of 16%, advertising growing 50% year-over-year, 30% in the U.S., you can go line by line and you can see why we're excited about the momentum in the business.

    asked by Simeon Gutman · answered by John Rainey

    3 min read6 chapters

    Detailed Narrative

    01

    AI Acceleration and Strategic Integration

    Walmart is significantly accelerating its AI capabilities, evidenced by the creation of new leadership roles, including a Head of AI Acceleration reporting directly to the CEO and a new role for AI platforms under the CTO. The company is developing four 'super agents' – Sparky (customer-facing assistant), an associate agent, a supplier/seller/advertiser agent, and a developer agent – to enhance customer experience, associate productivity, and innovation speed. Sparky, the customer-facing AI, is receiving positive feedback and is envisioned as the primary digital vehicle for discovery, shopping, reorders, and returns, aiming to become an indispensable part of the shopping experience.

    02

    Tariff Impact and Pricing Strategy

    The company is navigating a dynamic cost environment, particularly due to tariff-related cost pressures, which are expected to continue into Q3 and Q4. Walmart's strategy is to keep prices as low as possible for as long as possible, utilizing approximately 7,400 price rollbacks across its assortment, a significant increase from the prior quarter. While customers have shown muted behavioral adjustments, more shifts are observed in middle and lower-income households, with corresponding moderation in units for discretionary items where prices have increased. The flexibility provided by higher-margin businesses like advertising and membership helps absorb some of these costs.

    03

    E-commerce Momentum and Profitability

    E-commerce sales grew 25% globally, with Walmart U.S. and Sam's Club U.S. both achieving 26% growth. This momentum is driven by strong customer demand for convenient and fast delivery, with order volumes increasing across segments. Walmart U.S. e-commerce profitability continued to increase, supported by improved net delivery costs and strong advertising momentum. Approximately one-third of Walmart U.S. store deliveries were completed in three hours or less, with 20% in under 30 minutes, demonstrating significant progress in delivery speed and reach, covering 93% of U.S. households.

    04

    International Segment Performance

    The International segment was growth-accretive to the enterprise, with sales up 10.5% in constant currency, led by strong performances in China (30% sales growth), Walmex (over 6% sales growth), and Flipkart. E-commerce growth in International exceeded 20%, with penetration approaching 27% of segment sales, driven by store-fulfilled pickup and delivery and 3P Marketplace. Strategic investments include opening 33 new clubs in China, expanding quick commerce capabilities in India with 300-minute FCs, and launching the Walmart Commerce platform in Canada and Mexico, which has increased sellers by 75% and SKUs by $40 million.

    05

    Inventory Management and Holiday Outlook

    Walmart's inventory is in good shape, up 3.8% globally and 2.2% in Walmart U.S., with much of the growth attributed to in-transit goods rather than in-store stock. The company successfully managed back-to-school sell-throughs and summer seasonal categories. Management expressed confidence in a strong holiday season, citing positive back-to-school results as an indicator and favorable pricing and item selections for the upcoming season. The team is closely monitoring customer demand and price elasticity for tariff-impacted items.

    06

    Operating Income and Claims Costs

    Consolidated adjusted operating income grew 0.4% in constant currency, significantly impacted by an unexpected $450 million accrual for general liability and workers' compensation claims in Q2, representing a 560 basis points headwind. Total incremental claims expense for H1 FY26 reached $730 million. Despite these pressures, the company maintained its full-year operating income guidance, implying underlying structural margins continue to advance. The growth in higher-margin businesses like advertising and membership is providing financial flexibility to absorb these costs and pursue share gains.

    AI-generated summary of the company’s earnings call. Not investment advice.