Inve US ▾
XPXPEV

XPeng (XPEV) Q1 FY26 earnings call: guidance and Q&A

Earnings call· Mar 2026 (Q1 FY26)· Consumer Discretionary· May 28, 2026

Source: earnings call transcript

Executive summary

XPeng Q1 FY26 — Rebrand to physical AI group; GX launch and record international mix offset seasonal delivery trough

On this interpreted call, management framed Q1 as a seasonal trough that completes XPeng's transformation from EV maker into a 'physical AI' company — formalized by the corporate rename. Losses widened as AI R&D scales, but the GX-led product cycle, deepening overseas localization, and nascent robotaxi and humanoid-robot monetization underpin what the CEO calls the strongest delivery growth trajectory in company history.

Highlights

5
  • Gross margin expanded ~500 bps YoY to 20.6% (vs 15.6% in Q1 2025); vehicle margin rose to 12.1% from 10.5% YoY on cost reduction and improved Mona product mix

  • GX flagship (launched May 20) outperforming expectations: Ultra flagship trim priced above RMB 350,000 took over 80% of initial firm orders, with lead time already past 30 weeks

  • Monthly international deliveries exceeded 6,000 units for the first time in April; international reached ~20% of group volume in the latest month vs ~10% in 2025, with 'significantly better' gross and net profit contribution

  • Services and others revenue grew 41.2% YoY to RMB 2.03B on technical R&D services and parts/accessories sales

  • Mona M03 remained China's top-selling A-class pure-electric sedan for 19 consecutive months, with >85% of customers choosing the higher-spec MAX or Ultra versions

Concerns

4
  • Total revenue fell 17.6% YoY (and 41.4% QoQ) to RMB 13.03B; vehicle revenue fell 23.5% YoY to RMB 11.0B on lower deliveries (62,680 units) amid broad volatility in China's NEV market

  • Net loss widened to RMB 1.78B from RMB 0.66B a year ago (vs RMB 0.38B net profit in Q4 2025); operating loss was RMB 1.87B vs RMB 1.04B YoY

  • Vehicle margin slipped QoQ to 12.1% from 13.0% on higher memory-chip and battery-related unit costs, which management expects to persist in coming quarters

  • R&D expense rose 46.8% YoY to RMB 2.91B as new-model and AI investment accelerates ahead of revenue

Guidance & targets

CategoryTargetConfidence
Q2 FY26 vehicle deliveries
100,000–106,000 units, up 59.5%–69.1% QoQ
high materiality
High
Q2 FY26 total revenue
RMB 19.6B–20.8B, up 50.4%–59.6% QoQ
high materiality
High
Q2 FY26 total gross margin
Around the same level as Q1 (~20.6%)
high materiality
High
International revenue share of total revenue
Exceed 20% of total revenue starting in Q2
medium materiality
High
Q4 FY26 monthly overseas deliveries
Sustained monthly overseas deliveries of over 10,000 units
medium materiality
Medium
FY26 full-year overseas deliveries
More than double full-year overseas deliveries
high materiality
Medium
Long-term overseas revenue and profit share
~50% of revenue and profit from overseas markets within the coming 5 years
high materiality
Low
Quarterly delivery trajectory for remainder of FY26
Substantial quarter-over-quarter delivery growth in each remaining quarter of 2026
medium materiality
Medium
FY26 technology, services and IP licensing revenue
Comparable to 2025 level
medium materiality
High
Humanoid robot hardware and AI-model revenue contribution
Expected to emerge as a key driver of revenue and growth starting next year (2027)
medium materiality
Medium
International sales contribution through FY26
Contribution 'at the 30% levels' consistent throughout the year
medium materiality
Medium
VLA 2.0 European regulatory approvals
Regulatory approval in multiple European countries next year (2027)
medium materiality
Low

Segment performance

SegmentRevenueYoYQoQMargin
Vehicle sales
Declines mainly attributable to lower vehicle deliveries amid broad volatility in China's domestic NEV market. Transcript's '$11 billion' is an ASR error — the CFO stated all figures are RMB unless otherwise noted.
Vehicle margin YoY drivers: cost reduction and improved Mona product mixVehicle margin QoQ drivers: higher unit costs from increased memory-chip and battery-related costs
RMB 11.0B-23.5%-42.3%Vehicle margin 12.1% (vs 10.5% Q1 2025; vs 13.0% Q4 2025)
Services and others
YoY increase driven by technical R&D services revenue (Volkswagen collaboration) and parts and accessories sales. QoQ decrease due to a significant technical-R&D-services milestone catch-up recognized in Q4 2025 and no carbon-credit trading revenue contribution in the current quarter.
RMB 2.03B+41.2%-36.1%—
International / overseas (geography)
Growth unlocked by the April overseas model launch; profitability of international sales is qualitatively 'significantly better' than domestic despite tariffs (captured under regional_segment_ebit_margin). Munich R&D center is the fastest-growing research hub; majority of European sales expected to be locally manufactured via Magna Austria.
Monthly overseas deliveries: exceeded 6,000 units for the first time (April 2026)International share of group volume: close to 20% in the latest month vs roughly 10% of global volumes in 2025Overseas production bases: 3 (Indonesia, Malaysia — local demand; Magna Austria — European market)
————

XPEV operating KPIs by quarter

XPEV operating KPIs stated on its earnings calls, by fiscal quarter
KPIThis call Mar 2026 Q1 FY26 Jun 2026 Q2 FY26Change vs prior quarter
Vehicle deliveries
62.68K In the first quarter, amid broad market volatility in China's domestic new energy vehicle market, we delivered a total of 62,680 vehicles. Source: earnings call transcript
103.295K In the second quarter, our vehicle deliveries reached 103,295 units, up 65% quarter-over-quarter, and we achieved a year-over-year growth ahead of the broader industry. Source: earnings call transcript
+64.8%

Operating figures the company stated on at least two of the calls shown, checked against each call's transcript. Click a figure to read the sentence. A dash means it was not stated that quarter.

Product announcements

ProductTypeDetails
XPeng GX (flagship SUV)launch
2026 XPeng Mona M03 (MAX and Ultra versions)launch
Three new models (H2 2026, global)roadmap
VLA 2.0 second version + VLM (OTA releases)roadmap
Humanoid robot (name garbled in transcript: 'Ron'/'RM'/'Aram')roadmap
Next-generation dexterous handmilestone
Economy robotaxi modelroadmap
High-price technology products (humanoid robots and flying cars)roadmap

Deals & partnerships

Volkswagen Technology partnership — Turing SoC supply and technical R&D services collaboration

Management called technology monetization through this type of collaboration 'a very attractive business' and is open-minded about expanding such commercialization of its proprietary in-house technology; the VW partnership experience also informs the B2B physical-AI roadmap.

Magna (Austria) Contract manufacturing partnership for the European market

One of three overseas production footprints (with Indonesia and Malaysia plants serving Southeast Asian local demand); Brian Gu spoke from the Austrian partner site while working to secure capacity for expected European and global growth.

Risks & headwinds

Memory-chip and battery raw-material cost increases raising unit vehicle costs Q1 FY26 through remainder of FY26

Vehicle margin fell 0.9pp QoQ to 12.1%; costs only partially included in Q1 and expected to continue in following quarters

Mitigation:Richer mix from the GX (highest gross profit in the portfolio) and scale economies; Q2 total gross margin still guided flat vs Q1

Broad volatility / downturn in China's domestic NEV market Q1 FY26

Q1 deliveries of 62,680 units; total revenue -17.6% YoY, vehicle revenue -23.5% YoY

Mitigation:Balancing delivery volume with operating quality; GX-led new-model cycle and capacity ramp expected to drive substantial QoQ growth each remaining quarter

Widening losses from accelerated AI and new-model R&D investment Ongoing through the physical-AI investment phase

Operating loss RMB 1.87B (vs RMB 1.04B YoY); net loss RMB 1.78B (vs RMB 0.66B YoY); R&D +46.8% YoY to RMB 2.91B

Mitigation:Scale-driven gross-profit growth, globalization, and brand elevation to fund R&D; management expects hardware scale plus recurring AI-model revenue to unlock returns on AI R&D capital

Tariffs and cost increases on international business FY26

Not quantified; acknowledged as headwinds faced this year

Mitigation:Localized production (Magna Austria for Europe; Indonesia and Malaysia for Southeast Asia), increased local capacity investment, and compliance with local-content rules; international profitability remains significantly better than domestic despite tariffs

Tightening autonomous-vehicle regulation in China Current; major robotaxi commercialization expected only after 2028

Not quantified

Mitigation:No adverse impact to development rhythm per management; step-by-step Guangzhou pilot under an existing license, partner-operated commission model, and parallel international deployment

Q&A highlights

Share the current GX order book, steady-state sales volume target, and how to think about GX vehicle gross margin.

GX performance is above expectation: the Ultra flagship trim (>RMB 350,000) is over 80% of initial firm orders and growing, its lead time has passed 30 weeks, the MAX version is under 5% of mix (below expectation), and the EREV version is approaching BEV popularity in western/northern China. GX gross margin is 'quite good' — the majority of SKUs carry higher-than-expected margin, with only one SKU below expectation. From this year, all new vehicles are priced with commercial value as a key priority, targeting long-term stable sales; no steady-state volume target was given.

“But the majority of SKUs of GX is actually having a higher than expectation kind of deep margin performance.”

asked by Tim Hsiao, Morgan Stanley · answered by He Xiaopeng (via interpreter)

6 min read 7 chapters

Detailed narrative

Rebrand to a physical AI company

In Q1 XPeng formally changed its official Chinese name from XPeng Motor to XPeng Group (ASR renders this 'Xplan Motor to Xen Group'; HSBC's analyst confirms the change to 'XPeng Inc.'), marking its transformation from a smart-EV company into a 'physical AI' company built on three applications: VLA 2.0 intelligent driving, robotaxis, and humanoid robots.

The CEO argued the scaling law holds in both autonomous driving and robotics, making accelerated AI R&D investment the path to breaking technical ceilings, and called physical AI one of the most significant global strategic opportunities of the next decade.

The roadmap sees B2B markets taking off first and international markets generating greater commercial returns than domestic, leveraging the Volkswagen partnership experience. On business-model evolution, he described three compounding effects — hardware scale economies, a software platform with network effects, and emergent multi-agent ('ant colony') network effects — while near term the priority remains scale, brand equity, and gross profit to fund R&D.

Note: all figures on the call are RMB despite USD metadata; the CEO's remarks were delivered through an interpreter.

Q1 financials: seasonal trough with widened losses

Total revenue was RMB 13.03B (-17.6% YoY, -41.4% QoQ), with vehicle sales of RMB 11.0B (-23.5% YoY, -42.3% QoQ) on lower deliveries (the transcript's '$11 billion' and similar '$' figures are ASR errors — the CFO stated he references RMB only).

Services and others revenue of RMB 2.03B grew 41.2% YoY on technical R&D services and parts/accessories, but fell 36.1% QoQ due to a significant technical-R&D-services milestone catch-up recognized in Q4 2025 and no carbon-credit trading revenue this quarter. Loss from operations widened to RMB 1.87B (vs RMB 1.04B YoY and RMB 0.04B in Q4 2025) and net loss was RMB 1.78B (vs RMB 0.66B net loss YoY and RMB 0.38B net profit QoQ), driven by R&D expansion.

Management emphasized supplier payment terms remain at an industry-leading level and that gross margins show strong resilience against cost pressures as EV scale economies strengthen.

GX launch and the 2026 product cycle

The GX flagship SUV launched May 20 as a model 'built for the L4 era' — China's first pre-installed, mass-produced robotaxi-capable model with full hardware redundancy — and is performing above expectations: the Ultra flagship trim above RMB 350,000 took over 80% of initial firm orders with lead times past 30 weeks, while the MAX version is under 5% of mix (below expectation) and the extended-range (EREV) version is approaching BEV-version popularity in western and northern China.

Management is working with supply-chain partners to ramp GX capacity and stressed that from this year all new vehicles are priced and configured with commercial value as a key priority, targeting long-term stable sales rather than a big launch followed by decline.

April's 2026 Mona M03 refresh (MAX with Turing AI SoC, Ultra supporting VLA) completed the Turing SoC upgrade across the lineup; three more models launch in H2, all with Turing SoC and VLA 2.0 and all built for global markets, plus a plan to launch and begin delivering all-new SUV models within the next six months starting with the GX.

International expansion and localized production

The April overseas launch pushed monthly international deliveries above 6,000 units for the first time, and international reached close to 20% of group volume in the latest month versus roughly 10% of volumes in 2025. International vehicle sales generate 'significantly better' gross and net profit contribution than domestic despite tariff issues and cost increases this year.

XPeng has established three localized production bases since last year — Indonesia and Malaysia (serving local Southeast Asian demand) and the Magna partnership in Austria (serving Europe) — all three adding capacity and new models this year, with the majority of European sales expected to be locally manufactured; Brian Gu spoke from the Austrian partner site while securing capacity for expected European and global growth.

The Munich R&D center is the company's fastest-growing research hub, and management is evaluating further localization in other large markets to satisfy local-content rules.

VLA 2.0 and the autonomous-driving roadmap

In April, ADAS mileage penetration on VLA 2.0-equipped XPeng vehicles surpassed 50% for the first time, which management reads as advanced intelligent driving becoming a must-have purchase driver. VLA's second version arrives in Q3 (August) — smarter, calmer, better generalization with lower human-takeover rates — versus VLA 1.0's focus on basic safety and engineering; combined with the VLM model it should approach a 'butler-like' multilingual conversational experience, delivered via three OTA releases in August and by year-end.

The stated end-goal is L4 software capability on L2 hardware, which management expects to transform the business model (details withheld). VLA operates without HD maps, enabling rapid overseas deployment; current cloud VLA models see about 200 million uses per hour (verbatim; possibly ASR-garbled units), and full cloud processing would consume ~100 GB of data per hour — a key reason the humanoid robot is designed for local/edge deployment.

Goal: undisputed #1 in domestic ADAS and a critical step toward global L4 leadership.

Robotaxi strategy: partner-operated, post-2028 commercialization

Robotaxi exploration is currently limited to Guangzhou, where XPeng holds a license; after validating technology, product, and business model there, it will expand through partnerships across China and internationally, with many inquiries already received. XPeng will focus on the product and take a commission working with operating partners rather than running operations itself.

In 2027 it plans to launch an economy car model to demonstrate and validate the robotaxi business model, with the major commercial opportunity expected after 2028. Recent tightening of China's autonomous-vehicle regulation 'hasn't placed any adversity to our rhythm of development.' Management sees B2B robotaxi work benefiting the B2C business — speed modes and low-intervention driving strategies borrowed from robotaxi development — and believes its offering beats incumbent robotaxi companies on generalization, cost efficiency, and scalability, since the GX's full-redundancy hardware/software is decoupled from the vehicle platform and deployable across the lineup including Mona.

Humanoid robot program: mass production by year-end

The mass-production humanoid robot (name garbled in transcript as 'Ron'/'RM'/'Aram'/'iron rain') is entering the software-hardware integration stage, built to automotive-grade safety and reliability standards with many existing auto supply-chain partners becoming component suppliers. XPeng recently completed a proprietary next-generation dexterous hand that is significantly more agile at substantially lower cost, and claims to be the only robotics company in China with full-stack in-house capability from SoCs and physical-AI foundation models to data generation, training, hands, and motion control — everything self-developed except batteries.

Today the robot's cost structure is similar to a car's, but its retail price will naturally exceed a car's, giving superior hardware margins plus software/licensing revenue on top; management believes payback periods for business buyers will be much shorter overseas, making international the more attractive market.

A next-generation robot will be showcased in Q3 with multilingual communication and human-like motion; mass production is targeted by year-end with initial trial deployment in XPeng stores (as guides/assisted shoppers, later cashier-type roles with ecosystem partners) and commercial customer deliveries in China and overseas in 2027.

Summary of the company's earnings call; see how call summaries are prepared. Not investment advice.