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Archer Aviation (ACHR) Q4 FY25 earnings call: guidance and Q&A

Earnings call· Dec 2025 (Q4 FY25)· Industrials· Mar 2, 2026

Source: earnings call transcript

Executive summary

Archer Aviation Q4 FY25 — Certification Progress and Strategic Investments

Archer Aviation made significant strides in Q4 FY25, achieving 100% FAA Means of Compliance for its Midnight aircraft and initiating piloted VTOL flight tests. The company is strategically investing in Midnight's commercialization, hybrid aircraft development, and a new software platform, aiming for diversified revenue streams. While geopolitical uncertainties impact UAE plans, Archer remains focused on its 2028 Olympics target and expanding its global order book.

Highlights

5
  • Closed Q4 FY25 with approximately $2 billion in total liquidity, the highest in Archer's history.

  • Achieved 100% FAA final acceptance of Midnight's Means of Compliance, positioning Archer as the first eVTOL company to reach this milestone.

  • Began Midnight's piloted VTOL flight test campaign, expanding the flight envelope throughout 2026.

  • Established a Restricted Type Certificate program with the GCAA in the UAE, enabling Midnight aircraft delivery and vertiport network build-out this year.

  • Global order book continues to grow into the billions, with new partners including Saudi Arabia's PIF and the Serbian government.

Concerns

2
  • Geopolitical situation in the Middle East creates uncertainty for UAE commercialization strategy, with safety of team and partners being top priority.

  • Estimated Q1 FY26 adjusted EBITDA loss in the range of $160 million to $180 million, reflecting increased but disciplined investment.

Guidance & targets

CategoryTargetConfidence
Adjusted EBITDA Loss
$160M to $180M
medium materiality
High
Finalizing Certification Plans
Expected to get there
high materiality
High
TIA Activities with FAA
Begin as soon as this year
high materiality
High
Midnight Deployment (eIPP & UAE)
Begin deploying this year
high materiality
High
DOT Announcement of eIPP Finalists
Later this month
medium materiality
High
eIPP Public Flights
As soon as the second half of the year
medium materiality
Medium
Winning Major Defense Contract
Optimistic about winning
high materiality
Medium
Unveil First Software Product
Later this year
medium materiality
High
Expand Piloted Midnight Fleet and Flight Envelope
Throughout 2026
medium materiality
High
Aggressively Ramp Aircraft Builds
Aggressively ramp
high materiality
High

Orderbook & backlog

Global Order Book billions Q4 FY25

continues to grow

Includes partnerships with 7 of the world's largest airlines, Saudi Arabia's PIF, and the Serbian government.

Product announcements

ProductTypeDetails
Software Productlaunch

Deals & partnerships

Anduril Designing an autonomous, hybrid-electric VTOL aircraft for dual use (loyal wingman for defense, cargo/medevac for commercial)

Central to Archer's defense strategy, focusing on a dual-use aircraft.

SpaceX Integrating Starlink for high-speed, low-latency connectivity into Midnight aircraft

Working with SpaceX's Starlink to bring high-speed, low-latency connectivity to Midnight aircraft.

NVIDIA Integrating IGX Thor platform into Midnight for safety-critical autonomy applications

Working with NVIDIA to integrate their IGX Thor platform into Midnight for safety-critical autonomy applications.

Palantir Developing next-generation air traffic control, movement control, and route planning software

Partnered for next-generation air traffic control, movement control and route planning software.

Anduril and EDGE Group Providing propulsion solution for their Omen autonomous air vehicle

Announced first third-party powertrain deal in November to power Omen autonomous air vehicle.

Saudi Arabia's PIF Partnering for global order book growth

New partner contributing to global order book growth.

Serbian government Partnering for global order book growth

New partner contributing to global order book growth.

Capital programs

Covington Plant Investment underway

Benefit:manufacturing ramp

Invested heavily in CapEx, NRC, and tooling for the Covington plant in Georgia to ramp manufacturing once certification is complete.

Risks & headwinds

Geopolitical Situation in Middle East ongoing

uncertainty

Mitigation:Monitoring closely, safety of team and partners is top priority; will wait and see how it plays out to determine volumes for UAE deployment.

What to watch in Q1 FY26

eIPP Finalists Announcement

later this month
Current Applications submitted, awaiting DOT announcement.
Target DOT announces finalist municipalities.

Why it matters

Determines the initial locations for air taxi operations and public exposure, crucial for consumer acceptance and regulatory approval.

And now we are looking forward to the DOT announcing the finalist later this month.

Find out whether ACHR delivers this. Inve re-checks your case every morning.

Q&A highlights

What are the next steps for the eIPP program before aircraft deployment?

Archer views eIPP as a "Waymo moment" for the industry, aiming to normalize air taxi presence for 0.5 million people. They have partnered with a dozen municipalities and are awaiting DOT's announcement of finalists later this month. Public flights could begin in H2 this year.

“So seeing new aircraft flying over major cities will be exciting at first, but we do need to get people comfortable with them and ultimately accept them as an everyday outcome.”

asked by Edison Yu · answered by Adam Goldstein

3 min read 6 chapters

Detailed narrative

Midnight Flight Test Progress

Archer successfully completed Midnight's CTOL campaign, including flights over 50 miles, over 30 minutes of flight time, and speeds exceeding 150 mph. The company has now initiated piloted VTOL flight tests and plans to expand the piloted Midnight fleet and flight envelope throughout 2026, aiming to begin TIA activities with the FAA as soon as this year.

The software update cycle for flight tests has been significantly reduced from multi-month to a few days by automating manual steps, improving efficiency while maintaining safety standards.

Certification Milestones

The FAA has confirmed final acceptance of 100% of Midnight's Means of Compliance, a significant milestone for Archer and the eVTOL industry. This achievement clears the path for finalizing remaining certification plans in the coming quarters, enabling TIA work to commence this year.

The company attributes this success to its best-practice approach to topics like lightning strike, gust loads, and occupant protection, enabled by a larger, heavier aircraft design.

Commercialization Strategy & eIPP

Archer is on track to deploy Midnight this year in American cities as part of the White House's eVTOL Integration Pilot Program (eIPP) and in the UAE for commercial launch. The eIPP aims to normalize air taxi operations, with the goal to have 0.5 million people in major cities see these aircraft as part of their everyday commute.

Archer has partnered with roughly a dozen municipalities, including Southern California, Texas, and Florida, and anticipates the DOT to announce finalists later this month, with public flights potentially starting in the second half of the year. The 2028 Los Angeles Olympics is a key commercialization milestone, driving regulatory and industry progress.

UAE Market Entry

Despite current geopolitical uncertainties in the Middle East, Archer is progressing its commercialization strategy in the UAE. It is the first eVTOL manufacturer to establish a Restricted Type Certificate program with the GCAA, which will facilitate the delivery of additional Midnight aircraft for piloted and passenger-carrying operations and the development of certified vertiports in Abu Dhabi this year.

This approach offers broader operational flexibility compared to other alternatives.

Defense and Software Opportunities

Archer's defense strategy centers on a partnership with Anduril to design an autonomous, hybrid-electric VTOL aircraft for dual use as a loyal wingman and for cargo/medevac. The company is optimistic about securing a major defense contract this year and has opened a new hub in Bristol, U.K., hiring over 20 engineers to accelerate progress.

Beyond aircraft, Archer sees a third opportunity in software, partnering with Palantir for air traffic control, NVIDIA for autonomy, and SpaceX for connectivity, with plans to unveil its first software product later this year.

Capital Allocation and Liquidity

Archer ended Q4 FY25 with approximately $2 billion in total liquidity, its highest watermark. The company's capital allocation priorities are focused on commercializing Midnight (certification, manufacturing, market launch), investing in the hybrid aircraft program, and developing its AI autonomy software platform. While spending is elevated in 2025, Archer anticipates potential offsets from defense contract wins, early software revenues, and air taxi launch programs.

Summary of the company's earnings call; see how call summaries are prepared. Not investment advice.