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Akebia Therapeutics (AKBA) Q2 FY26 earnings call: guidance and Q&A

Earnings call· Jun 2026 (Q2 FY26)· Health Care· Aug 5, 2026

Source: earnings call transcript

Executive summary

Akebia Therapeutics Q2 FY26 — Vafseo Growth and Positive VOICE Trial Results

Akebia Therapeutics reported strong Vafseo growth, driven by increasing patient adoption and positive clinical trial results from the VOICE study, which demonstrated Vafseo's superiority in reducing hospitalization. While overall revenues declined due to Auryxia's generic competition, the company is advancing its rare kidney disease pipeline with ebribafusp and praliciguat, aiming to build long-term value. Engagement with major dialysis organizations like DaVita is intensifying, signaling potential for future growth.

Highlights

4
  • Vafseo net product revenue increased to $21.3 million in Q2 FY26, representing a 34% increase over the previous quarter and 60% year-over-year.

  • Total patients on Vafseo exceeded 10,500 in Q2 FY26, marking an approximate 41% increase compared with Q1.

  • The VOICE trial for Vafseo demonstrated a statistically significant and clinically meaningful reduction in the primary composite endpoint (p-value 0.0016), driven by a 10% reduction in hospitalization.

  • Initiated Phase II basket trial for ebribafusp in IgA nephropathy, lupus nephritis, and C3 glomerulopathy, with initial data expected in 2027.

Concerns

4
  • Total revenues decreased to $49.1 million in Q2 FY26 compared to $62.5 million in Q2 FY25, primarily due to lower Auryxia revenues.

  • Auryxia net product revenues decreased to $25.5 million in Q2 FY26 from $47.2 million in Q2 FY25, driven by generic competition and pricing pressure.

  • The company reported a net loss of $8.9 million in Q2 FY26, compared to net income of $0.2 million in Q2 FY25.

  • Vafseo revenues are expected to decrease in 2027 compared to 2026 due to a lower planned price after the TDAPA period ends on December 31, 2026.

Guidance & targets

CategoryTargetConfidence
Ebribafusp Phase II study initiation
Start next year
medium materiality
High
AKB-9090 Phase I data readout
Report data early next year
low materiality
High
Ebribafusp Phase II basket trial initial data readout
Report initial data in 2027
high materiality
High
Vafseo net product revenue
Decrease compared to 2026
high materiality
High
Operating plan funding
Fund for at least 2 years
medium materiality
High

Risks & headwinds

Auryxia revenue decline Ongoing

Q2 FY26 Auryxia net product revenues of $25.5M vs $47.2M in Q2 FY25

Mitigation:Focus on Vafseo growth and pipeline advancement.

Vafseo price decrease post-TDAPA FY27

2027 revenues expected to decrease compared to 2026

Mitigation:Expect Vafseo unit sales volumes to increase in 2027; focus on market penetration and differentiation through clinical data.

Competitive landscape for Praliciguat enrollment Ongoing

Competitive space

Mitigation:Team is adding more sites and driving patient enrollment for the Phase II study in FSGS.

Slow DaVita adoption Q3 FY26

No meaningful increase in Q3

Mitigation:Heightened senior clinical team engagement and operational discussions, expected to lead to more impactful growth by year-end and into 2027.

What to watch in Q3 FY26

Ebribafusp Phase II basket trial initial data

2027
Current Trial initiated, enrollment ongoing
Target Initial data readout

Why it matters

Provides first clinical efficacy and safety signals for a potentially differentiated complement inhibitor in rare kidney diseases.

The Phase II basket trial is open label, and we expect to report initial data in 2027.

Find out whether AKBA delivers this. Inve re-checks your case every morning.

Q&A highlights

Is near-term Vafseo growth primarily from new patient starts or expanding observed dosing protocols for existing patients?

Growth is primarily driven by new patient starts, expanding clinics, and new prescribers (up 17% QoQ). Additionally, about 25% of previously discontinued QD patients are restarting therapy. Observed dosing protocols are helping adherence.

“Most of the growth is coming through the new patients, new clinics and new providers.”

asked by Matthew Caufield · answered by Nicholas Grund

3 min read 6 chapters

Detailed narrative

Vafseo Commercial Momentum

Vafseo achieved significant growth in Q2 FY26, with net product revenue reaching $21.3 million, a 34% sequential increase and 60% year-over-year. The total patient count surpassed 10,500, marking a 41% increase from Q1. This growth was supported by an expanding prescriber base, with approximately one-third of prescribers now outside of USRC, and strong adoption within mid-sized dialysis organizations like USRC, IRC, and DCI. The number of new patient starts was the highest since launch, and about 25% of previously discontinued QD patients are restarting therapy.

VOICE Trial Results

The VOICE trial for Vafseo demonstrated a statistically significant and clinically meaningful reduction in the primary composite endpoint of all-cause mortality and hospitalization, driven by a 10% reduction in hospitalization. The trial, which enrolled 2,116 patients, was stopped early after an interim analysis as of June 1, showing a win odds of 1.16 and a p-value of 0.0016, establishing non-inferiority and superiority. These results are consistent with prior INNO2VATE analysis and are expected to significantly differentiate Vafseo in the market, increasing interest from dialysis providers.

Pipeline Advancement - Ebribafusp

Akebia initiated a Phase II basket trial for ebribafusp (previously AKB-097 and ADX-097), a next-generation complement inhibitor, in IgA nephropathy, lupus nephritis, and C3 glomerulopathy. Ebribafusp is designed for tissue-specific complement inhibition without systemic suppression, potentially offering a safer long-term treatment option. The open-label trial is expected to enroll up to 30 patients, evaluating a once-weekly subcutaneous dose for 26 weeks, with initial data anticipated in 2027. The company also plans to start a Phase II study in ANCA-associated vasculitis next year.

Pipeline Advancement - Praliciguat

The Phase II study for praliciguat in FSGS continues to enroll patients. Praliciguat, a small molecule designed to stimulate the soluble guanylate cyclase enzyme, has shown in animal models to inhibit glomerular scarring and preserve kidney function. The randomized, double-blind, placebo-controlled trial will enroll up to 60 patients with primary or genetic FSGS, with the primary endpoint being change in urine protein creatinine ratio (UPCR) at week 24. Management highlighted the potential for combination therapy with other FSGS treatments due to its unique mechanism of action.

DaVita Engagement and Commercial Strategy

DaVita represents the largest growth opportunity for Vafseo, and while Q3 is not expected to show a meaningful increase, there is heightened senior clinical team engagement regarding operational implementation. This increased interaction, bolstered by the VOICE trial results, is seen as a positive indicator for more impactful growth towards the end of the year and into 2027. Akebia has also implemented a more targeted commercial strategy, prioritizing large group practices and strategic partners to increase the efficiency of its field team.

Financial Overview

Total revenues decreased to $49.1 million in Q2 FY26 from $62.5 million in Q2 FY25, primarily due to a decline in Auryxia revenues ($25.5M vs $47.2M YoY) driven by generic competition and pricing pressure. R&D expenses increased to $14.1 million (from $11M YoY) due to Phase II trials for ebribafusp and praliciguat. SG&A expenses rose to $28.2 million (from $26.6M YoY) due to commercialization activities and a $1.9 million reorganization expense. The company reported a net loss of $8.9 million, compared to net income of $0.2 million in the prior year period. Cash and cash equivalents stood at $155.5 million as of June 30, 2026.

Summary of the company's earnings call; see how call summaries are prepared. Not investment advice.