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    ALKS
    Earnings call· Dec 2025(Q4 FY25)

    Alkermes plc. Q4 FY25 earnings call ALKS

    Feb 25, 2026 Source

    Executive summary

    Alkermes Q4 FY25 — Strong Commercial Performance and Orexin Pipeline Advancement

    Alkermes delivered a strong Q4 FY25, marked by robust proprietary product growth and the strategic acquisition of Avadel, significantly expanding its commercial footprint into sleep medicine. The company is advancing its promising orexin pipeline, with alixorexton entering Phase III for narcolepsy and other candidates progressing for ADHD and neurodegenerative fatigue. This positions Alkermes for continued growth and value creation, underpinned by a resilient commercial portfolio and a deep pipeline.

    Highlights

    5
    • Proprietary product net sales grew 9% year-over-year to approximately $1.2 billion in FY25.

    • LYBALVI net sales grew 24% year-over-year to $346.7 million in FY25, driven by 24% underlying TRx growth.

    • LUMRYZ generated approximately $279 million in net sales in FY25, with patient count increasing roughly 40% to 3,500 by year-end.

    • Alixorexton received FDA Breakthrough Therapy Designation and is on track to initiate Phase III in narcolepsy in Q1 2026.

    • FY25 adjusted EBITDA reached $394 million, reflecting strong profitability.

    Concerns

    5
    • FY25 VIVITROL results included approximately $27 million of gross to net favorability not expected to recur in 2026.

    • FY25 ARISTADA results included approximately $14 million of gross to net favorability not expected to recur in 2026.

    • LYBALVI gross to net adjustments are expected to widen into the mid-30s starting Q1 2026.

    • Scheduled expiration of certain XEPLION royalties will impact manufacturing and royalty revenues in H2 2026.

    • A non-cash inventory step-up charge of approximately $150 million related to LUMRYZ will be expensed in 2026.

    Guidance & targets

    29
    CategoryTargetConfidence
    Total revenues
    $1.73 billion to $1.84 billion
    high materiality
    High
    Proprietary product net sales
    $1.52 billion to $1.6 billion
    high materiality
    High
    Manufacturing and royalty revenues
    $210 million to $240 million
    medium materiality
    High
    Cost of goods sold
    $365 million to $385 million
    medium materiality
    High
    R&D expenses
    $445 million to $485 million
    medium materiality
    High
    SG&A expenses
    $890 million to $930 million
    medium materiality
    High
    Amortization of intangible assets
    $95 million to $105 million
    low materiality
    High
    Net interest expense
    $75 million to $85 million
    low materiality
    High
    Net tax benefit
    approximately $20 million
    low materiality
    High
    GAAP net loss
    $115 million to $135 million
    medium materiality
    High
    EBITDA
    $60 million to $90 million
    medium materiality
    High
    Adjusted EBITDA
    $370 million to $410 million
    high materiality
    High
    Proprietary commercial product net sales
    $310 million to $330 million
    medium materiality
    High
    Royalty and manufacturing revenues
    $40 million to $45 million
    low materiality
    High
    Cost of goods sold sequential increase
    approximately $20 million
    low materiality
    High
    R&D expenses
    $110 million to $125 million
    medium materiality
    High
    SG&A expenses
    $230 million to $250 million
    medium materiality
    High
    Adjusted EBITDA
    $30 million to $50 million
    medium materiality
    High
    VIVITROL net sales
    $460 million to $480 million
    medium materiality
    High
    ARISTADA net sales
    $365 million to $385 million
    medium materiality
    High
    LYBALVI net sales
    $380 million to $400 million
    medium materiality
    High
    LUMRYZ total revenue
    $350 million to $370 million
    high materiality
    High
    LUMRYZ net sales (remainder of FY26)
    $315 million to $335 million
    high materiality
    High
    sNDA submission for LUMRYZ in IH
    potential launch in early 2028
    medium materiality
    Medium
    ALKS 7290 Phase II program initiation
    expected to begin in the second half
    medium materiality
    High
    ALKS 4510 Phase II program initiation
    expected to begin in the second half
    medium materiality
    High
    ALKS 7290 Phase Ib study data in ADHD
    expected in the second half of the year
    medium materiality
    High
    ALKS 7290 Phase II study initiation in ADHD
    expect to initiate a Phase II study in the second half of the year
    medium materiality
    High
    ALKS 4510 Phase IIa study initiation in MS/Parkinson's fatigue
    planning to initiate a multi-dose Phase IIa study this year
    medium materiality
    High

    Segment performance

    5
    SegmentRevenueYoYQoQMargin
    VIVITROL
    Performance driven by growth in the alcohol dependence market and localized market dynamics. FY25 results included non-recurring gross to net favorability.
    Net sales: $467.9 millionYoY growth: 2%FY25 gross to net favorability: ~$27 million (not recurring in 2026)
    $467.9 million2%
    ARISTADA
    Growth supported by expanded psychiatry sales force, increased call frequency, and effective execution. FY25 results included non-recurring gross to net favorability.
    Net sales: $370 millionYoY growth: 7%FY25 gross to net favorability: ~$14 million (not recurring in 2026)Expanding prescriber breadthHealthy persistencyStrong new-to-brand prescriptions
    $370 million7%
    LYBALVI
    Strong growth driven by new patient starts, prescriber expansion, and improved payer access. Gross to net adjustments expected to widen in 2026.
    Net sales: $346.7 millionYoY growth: 24%Underlying TRx growth: 24% YoYGross to net adjustments (FY25): ~29%Sustained momentum in new patient startsContinued expansion in prescriber breadthImproved payer access
    $346.7 million24%
    LUMRYZ
    Launched in 2023, LUMRYZ is a once-at-bedtime sodium oxybate for narcolepsy, addressing a significant unmet need. Strong uptake and patient growth observed.
    Net sales (FY25): $279 millionPatients on therapy (end 2025): 3,500Patient increase (Q4 2024 to Q4 2025): ~40%Estimated oxybate-eligible patients: 50,000Commercial payer access: >90%
    $279 million
    Manufacturing and Royalty Revenues
    Includes revenues from VUMERITY and INVEGA products. VUMERITY manufacturing obligations completed in 2025; future revenues solely from royalties. Scheduled expiration of XEPLION royalties expected in H2 2026.
    Total revenues (FY25): $291.3 millionVUMERITY revenues (FY25): $130.5 millionLong-acting INVEGA products revenues (FY25): $109.6 million
    $291.3 million

    Operational metrics

    19
    Proprietary product net sales
    $1.2 billion9% year-over-year growth
    FY25

    Proprietary product portfolio generated approximately $1.2 billion in net sales.

    Cost of goods sold
    $196.5 millioncompared favorably to $245.3 million for the prior year
    FY25

    Primarily reflecting efficiencies following the sale of Athlone-based manufacturing business.

    R&D expenses
    $324 millioncompared to $245.3 million in the prior year
    FY25

    Reflecting investments in Vibrance Phase II studies of alixorexton and first-in-human studies for ALKS 4510 and ALKS 7290.

    SG&A expenses
    $701.5 millioncompared to $645.2 million in 2024
    FY25

    Reflecting expansion of psychiatry field organization and promotional activities for LYBALVI, as well as legal and transaction-related expenses.

    Adjusted EBITDA
    $394 million
    FY25

    Reflecting strong profitability, excludes share-based compensation and transaction-related expenses.

    Cash and total investments balance
    $1.3 billion
    End of FY25

    Ended the year in a strong position with $1.3 billion in cash and total investments.

    LUMRYZ inventory step-up charge
    $150 millionapproximately $180 million over its cost
    FY26

    Approximately $150 million of the inventory fair market value adjustment will be expensed as inventory is sold in 2026.

    LYBALVI gross to net adjustments
    29%
    FY25

    Gross to net adjustments were approximately 29% in 2025.

    LYBALVI gross to net adjustments
    widening into the mid-30s
    Starting Q1 FY26

    Reflecting a strategic expansion of payer access to support broader adoption.

    LUMRYZ net sales
    $33 million
    First 6 weeks of FY26

    The Avadel team was off to a strong start and generated revenue of approximately $33 million.

    LUMRYZ patients on therapy
    3,500roughly 40% increase from Q4 2024
    End of FY25

    Approximately 3,500 patients on LUMRYZ therapy as of the end of 2025.

    Oxybate-eligible narcolepsy patients
    50,000
    Current

    Estimated 50,000 oxybate-eligible patients with narcolepsy.

    Idiopathic hypersomnia eligible population
    40,000
    Current

    Estimated 40,000 patients in the U.S. with idiopathic hypersomnia.

    Adult ADHD patients
    15.5 million
    Current

    Approximately 15.5 million adults in the U.S. with current ADHD diagnosis.

    Child ADHD patients
    6.5 million
    Current

    Approximately 6.5 million children in the U.S. with current ADHD diagnosis.

    MS patients
    1 million
    Current

    Approximately 1 million patients in the U.S. with MS.

    Parkinson's disease patients
    1 million
    Current

    Approximately 1 million patients in the U.S. with Parkinson's.

    VIVITROL gross to net favorability
    $27 millionnot expected to reoccur
    FY25

    VIVITROL results in 2025 included approximately $27 million of gross to net favorability that we do not expect to reoccur.

    ARISTADA gross to net favorability
    $14 millionnot expected to recur
    FY25

    ARISTADA results included approximately $14 million of gross to net favorability, which we do not expect to recur in 2026.

    Industry KPIs

    6
    MetricValueDetails
    Launch access metrics>90%%
    Peak long term sales guidanceblockbuster potential
    Prescription volume new starts24%%
    Clinical trial efficacy safety datachange in mean sleep latency on MWT
    Collaboration milestone royalty revenue$291.3 millionUSD
    Cumulative patients uptake since launch3,500patients

    Deals & partnerships

    1
    Avadel PharmaceuticalsAcquisition of Avadel, adding LUMRYZ and its commercial platform, accelerating entry into sleep medicine market.$775 million cash, $1.525 billion term loans

    Acquisition closed in February 2026. Used approximately $775 million of cash from balance sheet and entered into term loans totaling $1.525 billion due in 2031.

    Risks & headwinds

    6
    Non-recurring gross to net favorabilityFY26

    $27 million for VIVITROL, $14 million for ARISTADA

    Mitigation: Not explicitly stated, but implies focus on underlying demand and market execution.

    Widening gross to net adjustments for LYBALVIStarting Q1 FY26

    widening into the mid-30s

    Mitigation: Strategic expansion of payer access to support broader adoption.

    Expiration of XEPLION royaltiesSecond half of FY26

    scheduled expiration

    Mitigation: Not explicitly stated, but company is focused on proprietary product growth.

    Non-cash inventory step-up charge from Avadel acquisitionFY26

    $150 million

    Mitigation: This is an accounting charge, not a cash outflow. Management expects to maintain a strong cash flow positive profile.

    Potential generic entry for VIVITROL2027

    difficult product to commercialize and manufacture

    Mitigation: Preparing for multiple scenarios, including competition. Will be prepared to compete and adjust spend if needed.

    Competitive entry in narcolepsy market (e.g., Takeda's oveporexton)FY26

    another market entrant by year-end

    Mitigation: LUMRYZ is uniquely positioned as the only once-nightly oxybate. Alkermes will watch pricing dynamics and position LUMRYZ accordingly. Sales force is rightsized for current market.

    What to watch in Q1 FY26

    5

    LUMRYZ REVITALIZE Phase III data in IH

    Q2 FY26
    CurrentStudy ongoing
    TargetPositive data readout

    Why it matters

    Positive data could lead to sNDA submission and expand LUMRYZ's market opportunity into idiopathic hypersomnia, a significant unmet need.

    We also expect to have data from the REVITALIZE Phase III study of LUMRYZ in patients with idiopathic hypersomnia in the second quarter.

    Q&A highlights

    5

    How will split dosing for alixorexton affect the AE profile, potentially reducing or increasing adverse events, given the goal to boost efficacy?

    Management stated that orexin 2 receptor agonists generally have a favorable and safe AE profile. The split dosing is modeled to extend wakefulness duration for patients desiring it, with a very similar AE profile to the once-daily dose, maximizing later wakefulness while minimizing side effects.

    The way we model the split doses is in order to drive those later hours of wakefulness for those patients who want an extended duration of wakefulness with a very similar AE profile.

    asked by Joseph Thome · answered by Richard F. Pops

    3 min read7 chapters

    Detailed Narrative

    01

    Commercial Business Strength and Avadel Acquisition

    Alkermes reported strong FY25 financial results, with proprietary product net sales growing 9% year-over-year to approximately $1.2 billion. The recent acquisition of Avadel, which closed in February 2026, significantly strengthens the commercial platform by adding LUMRYZ and accelerating Alkermes' entry into the sleep medicine market. This strategic move is expected to contribute meaningfully to future revenue and growth, with LUMRYZ projected to generate $350 million to $370 million in total revenue for FY26.

    02

    Alixorexton Development and Breakthrough Therapy Designation

    Alixorexton, Alkermes' most advanced orexin candidate, is poised to enter Phase III in narcolepsy in Q1 2026, following a rigorous Phase II program and the recent grant of FDA Breakthrough Therapy Designation. The end-of-Phase II meeting with the FDA confirmed the registration plan, which includes three 12-week randomized, placebo-controlled studies across narcolepsy type 1 and type 2. The program will feature both once-daily and split-dosing regimens, aiming to differentiate the product and address unmet needs in central disorders of hypersomnolence.

    03

    Orexin Pipeline Expansion

    Beyond alixorexton, Alkermes is advancing other orexin 2 receptor agonist candidates, ALKS 7290 and ALKS 4510, both currently in Phase I studies. ALKS 7290 is being developed for ADHD, with plans to initiate a multi-dose Phase Ib study in adult patients and a Phase II study in H2 2026, targeting a significant unmet need. ALKS 4510 is being developed for fatigue associated with neurodegenerative disorders like MS and Parkinson's, with a Phase IIa study expected to initiate in 2026. These programs represent a new vertical of growth and expansion in neuroscience.

    04

    LUMRYZ Performance and IH Opportunity

    LUMRYZ, acquired through Avadel, generated approximately $279 million in net sales in FY25 and treated about 3,500 patients by year-end, a 40% increase from Q4 2024. The product, a once-at-bedtime sodium oxybate for narcolepsy, addresses a significant unmet need, with an estimated 50,000 oxybate-eligible patients. Alkermes also expects data from the REVITALIZE Phase III study of LUMRYZ in idiopathic hypersomnia (IH) in Q2 2026, which, if positive, could lead to an sNDA submission and potential launch in early 2028, expanding its market reach.

    05

    Leadership Transition

    Richard Pops announced his transition from CEO to Chairman, with current Chief Operating Officer Blair Jackson assuming the CEO role this summer. This leadership change comes at a time of significant strength and growth for the company, following the successful transformation into a proprietary products company and the advancement of a promising pipeline. The transition is described as a logical step, with confidence in continued momentum and value creation under new leadership.

    06

    Oxybate vs. Orexin Agonists Co-Treatment

    Management clarified that orexin agonists primarily address wakefulness, while oxybates target fragmented nighttime sleep. While orexin agonists may suffice for many patients, a cohort could benefit from both, especially those needing consolidated nighttime sleep. Alkermes, now with assets in both categories (LUMRYZ and alixorexton), plans to generate data for payers to support the value of co-treatment for specific patient populations, viewing this as an evidence-building pathway rather than a registrational one.

    07

    ADHD and Neurodegenerative Fatigue Market Opportunities

    The company sees significant potential in ALKS 7290 for ADHD, noting its preclinical profile showing efficacy across concentration and impulsivity domains, potentially offering a new therapeutic option beyond stimulants and non-stimulants. For ALKS 4510, targeting fatigue in MS and Parkinson's, the large patient populations (1 million each in the U.S.) represent a substantial opportunity, with the current Phase I studies paving the way for Phase IIa initiation this year.

    AI-generated summary of the company’s earnings call. Not investment advice.