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    ALSN
    Earnings call· Jun 2026(Q2 FY26)

    Allison Transmission Holdings Q2 FY26 earnings call ALSN

    Aug 3, 2026 Source

    Executive summary

    Allison Transmission Q2 FY26 — Strong Defense Wins & Off-Highway Integration

    Allison Transmission reported strong Q2 FY26 results, driven by significant defense program wins and the successful integration of the Off-Highway business unit. The company is actively executing its synergy capture strategy, targeting $120 million in annual run-rate synergies by the end of 2029, with a substantial portion expected by 2027 and 2028. While facing material cost headwinds, management expressed confidence in pricing power and sequential improvement in North America On-Highway volumes in the second half of the year.

    Highlights

    5
    • Net sales increased 92% year-over-year to $1.566 billion.

    • Allison Transmission business unit revenue increased 6% year-over-year to a record $860 million.

    • Defense end market revenue grew 57% year-over-year to nearly $100 million.

    • Secured a landmark $250 million contract for the 4040 MX cross-drive transmission, the largest track defense order in company history.

    • Record quarterly adjusted free cash flow of $281 million, an 84% increase year-over-year.

    Concerns

    3
    • Legacy business margin compressed due to mid-teens year-over-year headwinds from material costs (aluminum and steel).

    • Off-Highway business unit has seasonal weakness in Q3 due to European shutdowns and Q4 due to holidays.

    • Americas region decreased year-over-year, driven by construction, material handling, and agriculture end markets.

    Guidance & targets

    11
    CategoryTargetConfidence
    Consolidated Net Sales
    $5.8 billion to $6 billion
    high materiality
    High
    Consolidated Net Income
    $600 million to $700 million
    high materiality
    High
    Consolidated Adjusted EBITDA
    $1.465 billion to $1.575 billion
    high materiality
    High
    Consolidated Net Cash Provided by Operating Activities
    $1.025 billion to $1.125 billion
    medium materiality
    High
    Consolidated Capital Expenditures
    $260 million to $280 million
    medium materiality
    High
    Consolidated Adjusted Free Cash Flow
    $745 million to $865 million
    high materiality
    High
    Synergy Realization
    Approximately 40% of $120 million annual run rate
    high materiality
    High
    Synergy Realization
    Another 40% of $120 million annual run rate
    high materiality
    High
    Synergy Realization
    Full realization of $120 million annual run rate
    high materiality
    High
    Legacy ATBU Pricing
    More than 50 to 75 basis points
    medium materiality
    High
    Near-term Leverage Target
    2x
    medium materiality
    High

    Segment performance

    2
    SegmentRevenueYoYQoQMargin
    Allison Transmission Business Unit
    Achieved record quarterly net sales. Defense end market continues to drive top-line growth. North America On-Highway revenue increase driven primarily by favorable pricing, with volumes only slightly higher year-over-year but showing sequential improvement. Medium duty saw some pickup in Q2. Expect sequential improvement in volumes in H2 2026 for medium-duty and Class 8 vocational trucks.
    Defense end market revenue: nearly $100 millionDefense end market growth YoY: 57%North America On-Highway revenue growth YoY: 3%North America On-Highway volumes YoY: slightly higherNorth America On-Highway revenue sequential growth: 15%All end markets sequential growth: over 10%
    $860 million6%
    Allison Off-Highway Business Unit
    Saw strong year-over-year growth in construction, material handling, and mining end markets as demand continues to rebound. Agriculture end market showing signs of recovery but has not yet inflected positively. Europe performing well, Asia Pacific and India showed year-over-year growth across all end markets, while the Americas region decreased year-over-year, driven by construction, material handling, and agriculture. Mining continues to show year-over-year strength due to elevated commodity prices. The third quarter is generally the weakest due to European shutdowns, and the fourth quarter is lower due to holidays.
    Annual run-rate net new business from program awards: >$50 million
    $706 million

    Operational metrics

    12
    Consolidated Adjusted EBITDA
    $404 million$91 million increase year-over-year
    Q2 FY26

    Represents a 25.8% margin.

    Adjusted Diluted EPS
    $2.738% increase year-over-year
    Q2 FY26
    Material Costs Headwind (Legacy ATBU)
    mid-teensyear-over-year
    Q2 FY26

    Primarily from aluminum and steel, contributing to margin compression in the legacy business.

    Revolving Credit Facility Repayment
    $150 million
    Q2 FY26

    Repaid remaining amounts outstanding under the revolving credit facility as part of deleveraging efforts.

    Common Stock Repurchases
    $46 million
    Q2 FY26

    Part of returning excess cash to shareholders.

    Quarterly Dividend
    $0.29
    Q2 FY26

    Paid as part of returning excess cash to shareholders.

    Off-Highway Acquisition Accretion
    accretive
    FY26

    Expected to be accretive to net income and earnings per share in 2026, despite one-time costs.

    One-time Pretax Expenses (Off-Highway Integration)
    $140 million
    FY26

    Associated with the separation, integration, and restructuring of the Allison Off-Highway business unit, including approximately $75 million of expenses related to the stepped-up basis in inventory.

    One-time Cash Outlays (Off-Highway Acquisition)
    $55 million
    FY26

    Included in consolidated net cash provided by operating activities guidance.

    Capital Expenditures (One-time Separation/Integration)
    $30 million
    FY26

    Included in consolidated capital expenditures guidance.

    Annual Run Rate Synergies Target
    $120 million
    Annual

    Expected synergy realization built around three primary categories: procurement and logistics, operations and footprint optimization, and organizational efficiency.

    Off-Highway New Business Wins
    $50 million
    Annual run-rate

    Represents annual run-rate net new business from program awards, underscoring the strength of the growth pipeline.

    Industry KPIs

    1
    MetricValueDetails
    Order backlog order intake by segment$250 millionUSD

    Orderbook & backlog

    5
    Defense Industry Order BacklogsRecordQ2 FY26

    Across the defense industry, companies are reporting record order backlogs.

    Allison Defense Segment Order BoardFullQ2 FY26

    Allison's defense segment has a 'pretty much full order board' looking out into 2027.

    4040 MX Cross-Drive Transmission Contract$250 millionQ2 FY26

    Largest track defense order in Allison's history

    Contract with BAE Hägglunds for CV90 MkIV infantry fighting vehicle.

    French PL6T Tactical Truck Program>7,000 vehiclesQ2 FY26

    Selection for 4500 Specialty Series transmissions over the next decade.

    EAGLE Series Armored Vehicles Order~3,000 vehicles with option for up to an additional 2,000 unitsQ2 FY26

    Order with General Dynamics European Land Systems for 2500 Specialty Series transmissions; deliveries expected to begin in 2027.

    Product announcements

    4
    ProductTypeDetails
    Allison in Actionlaunch
    4500 Specialty Series fully automatic transmissionmilestone
    4040 MX cross-drive transmissionlaunch
    2500 Specialty Series fully automatic transmissionsmilestone

    Deals & partnerships

    3
    BAE HägglundsSupply of 4040 MX cross-drive transmission for CV90 MkIV infantry fighting vehicle.$250 million

    Secured a landmark contract for the all-new 4040 MX cross-drive transmission.

    French Land ForcesSelection of 4500 Specialty Series fully automatic transmission for next-generation PL6T tactical truck program.over the next decade

    Allison's proven 4500 Specialty Series was selected for the PL6T tactical truck program.

    General Dynamics European Land SystemsSupply of 2500 Specialty Series fully automatic transmissions for EAGLE Series armored vehicles.

    Significant order for 2500 Specialty Series transmissions, with deliveries expected to begin in 2027.

    Risks & headwinds

    6
    Material Cost InflationQ2 FY26, near-term

    Mid-teens year-over-year headwinds from material costs (aluminum and steel) for legacy ATBU.

    Mitigation: Recovery mechanisms in place, but with a 6- to 12-month timing lag. Confident in securing commercial pricing above pre-pandemic levels in 2027.

    Broader Inflationary PressuresQ2 FY26, near-term

    Impacting margins.

    Mitigation: Disciplined operational execution and management of operating costs.

    Geopolitical Impacts and RegulationsOngoing

    Influencing end-user purchasing decisions, including tariffs and emissions regulations.

    Mitigation: Leveraging new capabilities from Off-Highway acquisition to react quickly from a regional perspective.

    EPA 2027 Proposal UncertaintyH2 FY26 and into FY27

    Uncertainty regarding market pricing for 2027 vehicles and potential pre-buy dynamics; magnitude of changes less significant than prior emissions.

    Mitigation: OEMs are assessing the proposal; continued availability of 2026 engines intended to mitigate impact; late timing limits significant 2026 build plan changes.

    Off-Highway Business SeasonalityQ3 FY26, Q4 FY26

    Q3 generally the weakest quarter for revenue due to European shutdowns; Q4 lower due to end-of-year holidays.

    Americas Region DeclineQ2 FY26

    Decreased year-over-year.

    What to watch in Q3 FY26

    5

    Legacy ATBU Margin Recovery

    Next quarter / H2 FY26
    CurrentCompressed due to mid-teens material cost headwinds
    TargetImprovement as pricing catches up to material costs

    Why it matters

    Indicates effectiveness of pricing strategies and recovery of material cost inflation, crucial for profitability.

    primarily, to your point🎣, material costs. We had, I'll call it, mid-teens year-over-year headwinds from material costs, aluminum and steel. And you point out, we do have recovery mechanisms in place. But as I mentioned on the call, there is a timing lag in those.

    Q&A highlights

    6

    Are there more inflation and material costs impacting legacy business margins, and will more pricing be needed to cover these headwinds?

    The legacy business experienced mid-teens year-over-year material cost headwinds, primarily from aluminum and steel, leading to margin compression. There's a 6- to 12-month lag in recovering these costs through indexing. Management is confident in securing commercial pricing above pre-pandemic levels (50-75 basis points) in 2027 to improve margins.

    primarily, to your point, material costs. We had, I'll call it, mid-teens year-over-year headwinds from material costs, aluminum and steel. And you point out, we do have recovery mechanisms in place. But as I mentioned on the call, there is a timing lag in those.

    asked by Rob Wertheimer · answered by Scott Mell

    3 min read6 chapters

    Detailed Narrative

    01

    Defense Market Momentum

    Allison secured three significant defense program wins, reinforcing its position as a trusted propulsion partner. This includes a landmark $250 million contract with BAE Hägglunds for the 4040 MX cross-drive transmission for the CV90 MkIV infantry fighting vehicle, marking the largest track defense order in Allison's history. Additionally, the 4500 Specialty Series was selected for the French PL6T tactical truck program (supporting over 7,000 vehicles), and a significant order for 2500 Specialty Series transmissions was placed by General Dynamics European Land Systems for EAGLE Series armored vehicles (~3,000 units with an option for 2,000 more). These wins demonstrate growth across both established and emerging product portfolios, supported by robust NATO rearmament initiatives and increased global defense spending.

    02

    Off-Highway Business Unit Performance

    The Allison Off-Highway business unit reported $706 million in second-quarter revenue, showing strong year-over-year growth in construction, material handling, and mining end markets as demand rebounds. While the agriculture end market shows signs of recovery, it has not yet inflected positively. Regionally, Europe, Asia Pacific, and India demonstrated year-over-year growth, whereas the Americas region experienced a decrease. The unit secured over $50 million in annual run-rate net new business from program awards, underscoring its strong growth pipeline and market position.

    03

    Synergy Capture Strategy

    Allison's synergy capture strategy targets $120 million in annual run-rate synergies, primarily from procurement and logistics (60%), operations and footprint optimization (20%), and organizational efficiency (20%). Key initiatives include strategic sourcing, vertical integration, and a 'local-for-local' manufacturing approach. The company expects to realize approximately 40% of these synergies by the end of 2027, another 40% by the end of 2028, and full realization by the end of 2029. Management noted that initiatives are in various stages of execution with funding appropriated, providing a strong foundation for achieving the targeted timeline.

    04

    Material Cost and Pricing Dynamics

    The legacy Allison Transmission business unit experienced margin compression in Q2 due to mid-teens year-over-year headwinds from material costs, particularly aluminum and steel. While recovery mechanisms are in place, there is a 6- to 12-month timing lag. Management expressed confidence in securing commercial pricing above pre-pandemic levels (50 to 75 basis points) in 2027 for the ATBU, aiming to offset inflation and improve margins. The Off-Highway business unit, in contrast, has less material cost volatility and quicker pass-through capabilities.

    05

    EPA 2027 Proposal Impact

    The recently released EPA 2027 proposal, largely in line with market expectations, primarily focuses on emissions warranty periods. OEMs are currently assessing its full implications, including market pricing for 2027 vehicles and potential pre-buy dynamics. Management indicated that the magnitude of these changes is less significant than prior emissions regulations, and the late timing in the year makes substantial changes to 2026 build plans challenging. The company anticipates a relatively steady Class 8 vocational market and some improvement in medium-duty, with continued availability of 2026 engines mitigating impact.

    06

    Capital Allocation Priorities

    Allison's capital allocation strategy prioritizes funding business growth, reducing debt to a near-term leverage target of 2x, and returning excess cash to shareholders. In the second quarter, the company repaid $150 million outstanding under its revolving credit facility and repurchased $46 million of common stock. A quarterly dividend of $0.29 per share was also paid. The Off-Highway acquisition is expected to be accretive to net income and EPS in 2026, despite approximately $140 million in one-time📎 pretax expenses related to integration.

    AI-generated summary of the company’s earnings call. Not investment advice.