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APAPLD

Applied Digital (APLD) Q1 FY27 earnings call: guidance and Q&A

Earnings call· Aug 2026 (Q1 FY27)· Information Technology· Oct 7, 2026

Source: earnings call transcript

Executive summary

Applied Digital Q1 FY27

A transition quarter where Applied Digital shifts from portfolio-building to execution, with delivered capacity and funding de-risking the contracted backlog. Reported profitability is noisy from fit-out pass-through and mark-to-market items, so recurring base rent and the pricing of expansion leases are the true tells. Management is positioning scarcity of powered campuses as a pricing lever.

Highlights

5
  • Total revenue $341.9M, up 322% from $80.9M; HPC hosting $262.6M

  • Adjusted EBITDA $64.4M vs $500,000 in prior-year quarter; HPC NOI $58.8M at 89% margin

  • Closed $1.59B 7% senior secured notes due 2031 at par (vs 9.25% coupon on earlier PF1 notes); PF1 (400 MW) and PF2 (200 MW contracted) fully funded

  • 250 MW critical IT delivered at Polaris Forge 1 (+150%); ~$36B contracted revenue across 5 campuses

  • Data center hosting (Bitcoin) segment operating profit $13.3M, more than double prior quarter's $6M

Concerns

5
  • GAAP net loss from continuing operations attributable to common $221M ($0.76/share), driven by $67.5M non-cash B&W warrant/stock fair-value loss and $41.3M one-time PSU stock comp

  • SG&A $114.7M including $65.4M stock-based comp and $16M transaction-related professional services

  • Debt ~$6.4B versus ~$1.6B stockholders' equity; Polaris Forge 3, Delta Forge 1 and 2 still need financing

  • Revenue heavily weighted to low-margin tenant fit-out pass-through ($183.5M of $262.6M HPC revenue); base rent only $65.8M

  • Industry headwinds: local moratoriums, longer permitting, tight supply chain; Europe expansion carries execution/exposure risk

Guidance & targets

CategoryTargetConfidence
Capacity placed into service
Over 600 MW in next 12 months
high materiality
High
Expansion leases executed
~250 MW at materially higher pricing by calendar year-end
high materiality
Medium
Critical IT capacity online in North Dakota
300 MW by end of calendar year 2026
medium materiality
High
Revenue contribution from Louisiana/Alabama
Begins in first half of calendar 2027
medium materiality
Medium
ChronoScale ARR
$1 billion of ARR in 2027
medium materiality
Medium
Operating portfolio capacity
3.5 to 4 GW by end of calendar 2030
high materiality
Medium
Operating portfolio capacity
~2 GW by end of calendar 2028 (bridge)
medium materiality
Medium
Finland power availability
First 100 MW in 2028, ramping through 2031 to 1 GW
low materiality
Medium
Base Electron power deliveries
~1,200 MW gas facility deliveries begin 2030
medium materiality
Medium
Financing of PF3, Delta Forge 1 and 2
Preferred equity from Macquarie followed by project-level debt; refinance operating buildings into lower-cost markets such as ABS
medium materiality
Medium
ChronoScale capacity outside Applied sites
Multiple hundreds of MW online over 2027 and 2028
low materiality
Low

Segment performance

SegmentRevenueYoYQoQMargin
HPC Hosting
Base rent, fit-out and recoveries sum to $262.6M. Fit-out is largely pass-through.
Base rent: $65.8M (ASR '[ $65.8 ]')Tenant fit-out services revenue: $183.5MTenant recoveries: $13.3MTenant fit-out services cost: $176.1M
$262.6M——NOI $58.8M, 89% margin
Data Center Hosting (Bitcoin)
Higher profit driven by favorable power pricing.
Segment assets: ~$111.9MCapacity: 286 MW across 2 North Dakota sites
$37.8Min line with prior year quarter—Operating profit $13.3M vs $6M prior quarter (more than doubled)
ChronoScale
~96% owned; in GAAP, excluded from non-GAAP. Segments total $341.9M ($262.6M + $37.8M + $41.5M).
GPU hardware sales: ~$23MGPU hardware cost of revenue: $22.4M
$41.5M———

APLD operating KPIs by quarter

APLD operating KPIs stated on its earnings calls, by fiscal quarter
KPI Feb 2026 Q3 FY26 May 2026 Q4 FY26This call Aug 2026 Q1 FY27Change vs prior quarter
Operating capacity High-Performance Computing (HPC)
100 megawatts First, we now operate one of the only 100-megawatt direct-to-chip liquid cooled data centers in the world online today. Source: earnings call transcript
100 megawatts As you evaluate these results, keep in mind that our current financials on the HPC data center side primarily reflect only the initial 100 megawatts that are online and contributing during the quarter. Source: earnings call transcript
250 megawatts The operational buildings encompass 10 data halls and are supported by 250 megawatts of critical IT load. Source: earnings call transcript
+150%
Operating sites Data Center Hosting
2 Turning to our data center hosting business, where we host 2 sites for Bitcoin mining. Source: earnings call transcript
2 This segment provides energized space for Bitcoin mining across our 2 sites in North Dakota. Source: earnings call transcript
2 Our 286 megawatts of capacity for Bitcoin mining across our 2 North Dakota sites continues to operate efficiently and provide steady high-margin revenue with minimal ongoing capital investment. Source: earnings call transcript
0%

Operating figures the company stated on at least two of the calls shown, checked against each call's transcript. Click a figure to read the sentence. A dash means it was not stated that quarter.

Orderbook & backlog

Contracted revenue ~$36B Oct 2026 (call date)

Across 5 campuses; 15-year take-or-pay leases with Tier 1 investment-grade hyperscalers; over 600 MW expected into service in next 12 months.

Product announcements

ProductTypeDetails
ChronoScale–Microsoft 50 MW AI compute deploymentlaunch

Deals & partnerships

Base Electron Long-term PPA with IPP Long-term; deliveries begin 2030

Applied Digital holds ~10% equity stake.

Finland site (up to 1 GW) Site purchase and power option

Off-ramp before additional payments.

Macquarie Asset Management Preferred equity financing framework (North America)

Not extended to Finland currently.

CoreWeave Polaris Forge 1 lease

Credit enhancements secured earlier this year.

Microsoft (via ChronoScale) 50 MW AI compute deployment

GB-300 NVL72.

Capital programs

Polaris Forge 1 (CoreWeave campus) underway
Funding: Senior secured notes (earlier 9.25% coupon; $1.59B 7% notes due 2031 for final tranche); $300M bridge repaid
Start: First lease May 2025

Benefit:400 MW total; 250 MW critical IT delivered across two RFS buildings

Fully funded; first campus financing completed.

Polaris Forge 2 underway
Funding: Fully funded

Benefit:200 MW contracted

Management expects on-time on-budget delivery.

Polaris Forge 3, Delta Forge 1 and 2 announced
Funding: Planned: Macquarie preferred equity then project-level debt

Benefit:Leased to same Tier 1 hyperscaler under 15-year take-or-pay

Financing still to be placed; active lender talks.

Base Electron PPA announced
Funding: IPP-developed; Applied Digital holds ~10% equity

Benefit:~1,200 MW natural gas facility near Polaris Forge 3

Dedicated generation that can follow tenants.

Risks & headwinds

Financing of upcoming campuses Next several quarters

PF3, Delta Forge 1 and 2 not yet financed; construction risk premium 25-100 bps; rates may move 50-100 bps

Mitigation:IG hyperscaler tenant, preferred equity plus project debt, refinancing flexibility

Leverage and GAAP losses Ongoing

~$6.4B debt vs ~$1.6B equity; GAAP net loss $221M

Mitigation:~$2.9B cash; >80% debt due fiscal 2031+

Mark-to-market and stock comp volatility Quarterly

$67.5M B&W loss; $41.3M one-time PSUs

Local moratoriums, permitting and community resistance Ongoing

Not quantified

Mitigation:Established campuses with power, permits and community support

Supply chain tightness 2027-2029

Not quantified

Mitigation:Locked in ~4-year full factory capacity output; seeking to upsize

Execution ramp and European expansion Next 12 months

Over 600 MW in 12 months vs 250 MW prior; Finland timelines longer

Mitigation:Minimal exposure with off-ramp in Finland

What to watch in Q2 FY27

Expansion leases at premium pricing

By end of CY26
Current None yet executed; ~250 MW expected
Target ~250 MW executed at 15%-plus higher rates

Why it matters

Validates scarcity-driven pricing power and embedded value

We currently expect approximately 250 megawatts of expansion leases to be executed by calendar year-end of materially higher pricing compared to prior leases.

Find out whether APLD delivers this. Inve re-checks your case every morning.

Q&A highlights

Financing options for investment-grade hyperscaler campuses amid a challenging bond market

Beyond high-yield, project finance and IG bond innovations are open; leases are underwritten so a 100 bp move doesn't hurt; focus on refinanceable terms within 1-2 years; construction premium 25-100 bps.

“we don't underwrite leases where a 100 basis point move would impact our economics really.”

asked by Mike Grondahl · answered by Mohammad Saidal Mohmand

3 min read 7 chapters

Detailed narrative

Strategy and contracted portfolio

Applied Digital has ~$36B contracted revenue across 5 campuses, 3 states and 2 regions. Success metric shifts from adding contracted value to converting it into profitable growth. Target customers are Tier 1 investment-grade hyperscalers on take-or-pay leases of at least 15 years. Management is explicitly 'selective' given limited build capacity, meaning credit quality over volume.

Execution in North Dakota

Polaris Forge 1's first two buildings are fully RFS with 10 data halls and 250 MW critical IT, a 150% increase in delivered capacity; the third building is on schedule. First CoreWeave lease was signed May 2025; building two broke ground summer 2025 and went operational about a year later.

With Harwood, ~300 MW critical IT is expected online in ND by calendar year-end. A ~1 GW hyperscaler self-build also exists in the state, and management is in talks with several other Tier 1 hyperscalers.

Power and Europe

A long-term PPA with Base Electron (~10% equity stake) covers a ~1,200 MW gas plant near Polaris Forge 3 with deliveries from 2030; procured equipment is roughly 2.4-2.5 GW of generation, and a new WBI pipeline supports Center, Harwood and possibly Jamestown.

In Finland, the company bought a site with options for up to 1 GW; there is an off-ramp before additional payments. About 30-40 sites were reviewed over ~12 months, and build cost is expected to be similar in dollars, with a longer delivery timeline.

The site is ~30 km from a hyperscaler self-build.

Financing and balance sheet

The $1.59B 7% senior secured notes due 2031 were issued at par and repaid a $300M May bridge facility. The revolver was upsized to $430M commitments with a $120M accordion. Cash was ~$2.9B plus $0.7B restricted, against ~$6.4B debt, over 80% of which is due fiscal 2031 or later; equity ~$1.6B.

Management cites a 25-100 bps construction risk premium and a 50-100 bps rate swing range, and aims to refinance post-construction with minimal penalties.

Quarter P&L composition

HPC hosting revenue of $262.6M comprised base rent, tenant fit-out and recoveries; tenant fit-out cost of revenue was $176.1M, close to its revenue, so it is near pass-through. Services and other cost of revenues were $245.7M and data center rental cost $43.9M.

SG&A of $114.7M included $65.4M stock comp (with $41.3M one-time PSUs), $16M professional services, $15.6M personnel and $4.8M lease expenses. B&W warrant/stock fair-value loss was $67.5M.

ChronoScale and Bitcoin hosting

ChronoScale (~96% owned) is in GAAP but excluded from non-GAAP; it had $41.5M revenue including ~$23M GPU hardware sales and announced a 50 MW Microsoft GB-300 NVL72 deployment. Management targets $1B ARR in 2027 and sees modular 50-100 MW grid-tied sites as its path, separate from the large Applied Digital campuses.

The 286 MW Bitcoin hosting business earned $13.3M segment operating profit on ~$111.9M of segment assets.

Terminal value, community and moratorium thesis

Management argues local moratoriums and permitting delays raise the scarcity value of existing powered campuses, supporting renewals and expansion pricing. Community evidence: MDU customers saved ~$45M, Harwood substation/grid upgrades of over $100M self-funded, Ellendale local tax revenue up from ~$400,000 to nearly $4M a year, and a $350,000 Applied Digital Cares commitment across 5 organizations in Oliver County.

Supply chain is secured through multi-year factory-capacity purchases (~4 years); TFO is becoming larger and more flexible.

Summary of the company's earnings call; see how call summaries are prepared. Not investment advice.