Inve US ▾
AUAUR

Aurora (AUR) Q1 FY26 earnings call: guidance and Q&A

Earnings call· Mar 2026 (Q1 FY26)· Information Technology· May 6, 2026

Source: earnings call transcript

Executive summary

Aurora Q1 FY26 — Scaling Driverless Operations and Expanding Commercial Momentum

Aurora is transitioning to wide-scale industrial deployment, driven by the imminent launch of its second-generation commercial hardware kit and expansion of its driverless network. The company is focused on scaling operations, with significant commercial momentum including a major deal with Hirschbach, while managing cash burn and preparing for a back-end loaded revenue year. Regulatory progress in California further expands the addressable market.

Highlights

5
  • Secured an intent to own and operate 500 trucks with Hirschbach, representing a potential multiyear revenue stream in the hundreds of millions of dollars.

  • Projected a serviceable addressable market of 60 billion vehicle miles traveled by 2028, following California's enablement of autonomous trucking.

  • The Aurora Driver surpassed 370,000 driverless miles with 100% on-time performance and 0 attributed collisions.

  • Driverless trucks for Werner are averaging over 4,000 miles per week, translating to an annual run rate of 225,000+ miles per truck.

  • The second-generation commercial hardware kit is expected to drive a 50%+ reduction in Aurora Driver hardware costs.

Concerns

4
  • Q1 FY26 operating loss totaled $244 million, including stock-based compensation.

  • Q1 FY26 operating cash use was approximately $159 million.

  • Q2 cash spend is expected to be above the target range due to the timing of cash bonus payouts.

  • FY26 revenue is projected to be back-end loaded, with Q4 contributing over half of the full year revenue.

Guidance & targets

CategoryTargetConfidence
Driverless trucks in operation
200+
high materiality
High
Hirschbach definitive agreement finalization
Finalize definitive agreement
high materiality
High
Hirschbach truck delivery start
Begin in 2027
high materiality
High
Aurora Driver hardware cost reduction
50%+ reduction
medium materiality
High
2026 Revenue source
Majority from operations between customer facilities
medium materiality
High
Driver-as-a-Service business model launch
Launch in 2027
high materiality
High
AUMOVIO Brownfields plant expansion completion
Q1 2027
medium materiality
High
AUMOVIO third-gen hardware kit production start
H2 2027
medium materiality
High
Volvo VNL autonomous trucks build
Hundreds in 2027
medium materiality
High
Roush production capacity
1,000 trucks per year
medium materiality
High
FY26 Revenue
$14M to $16M
high materiality
High
FY26 Revenue phasing
Back-end loaded, Q4 over half of full year
medium materiality
High
TaaS revenue run rate
$80M
high materiality
High
Quarterly cash use
$190M to $220M on average
high materiality
High
Full year capital expenditures
$150M
high materiality
High
Capital expenditures trend
Peak in 2026, declining significantly in 2027
high materiality
High
Gross profit breakeven
Targeted at $80M run rate revenue
high materiality
Medium

Orderbook & backlog

Hirschbach intent to own and operate 500 trucks Q1 FY26

Represents a potential multiyear revenue stream in the hundreds of millions of dollars. Definitive agreement expected later this year, with truck delivery slated to begin in 2027.

Product announcements

ProductTypeDetails
Second-generation commercial hardware kitlaunch
Third-generation commercial hardware kitroadmap
Aurora Workslaunch

Deals & partnerships

Hirschbach Intent to own and operate 500 trucks through Driver-as-a-Service model Hundreds of millions of dollars (potential multiyear revenue)

Hirschbach has selected Aurora to scale their autonomous fleet with intent to own and operate 500 trucks through the Driver-as-a-Service business model. Definitive agreement expected to be finalized later this year.

Volvo Autonomous Solutions Collaboration on new bidirectional routes and autonomous truck building

Started supervised autonomous deliveries on the Dallas-Oklahoma City route to support one of their key customers. Volvo plans to build hundreds of Volvo VNL autonomous trucks in 2027 and has completed several Aurora Driver powered trucks on their pilot line.

AUMOVIO Manufacturing third-generation commercial hardware kit and developing compute configuration

AUMOVIO will manufacture the third-generation commercial hardware kit. Working with Aurora and NVIDIA to develop a Super Thor compute configuration. Broke ground on Brownfields, Texas facility expansion for production.

NVIDIA Developing Super Thor compute configuration

Engineering team working with AUMOVIO and NVIDIA to develop a first-of-its-kind Super Thor compute configuration, integrating 2 NVIDIA DRIVE for SoCs.

Roush Upfitter for International LT series trucks

Roush will begin scale production of the International LT series trucks later this year, initially establishing capacity to produce 1,000 trucks per year.

PACCAR Jointly defining path to scalable launch

PACCAR and Aurora are jointly defining the path to scalable launch on the third-generation Aurora Driver commercial hardware kit integrated with PACCAR's future autonomy enabled platform.

McLean Transitioning commercial loads to driverless operations

McLean is part of the expanded driverless cohort, transitioning commercial loads to driverless operations.

Capital programs

AUMOVIO Brownfields, Texas facility expansion underway
Start: March 2026

Benefit:Supply tens of thousands of trucks (third-gen hardware kit)

AUMOVIO broke ground on the expansion of their new Brownfields, Texas facility where they will produce the third-generation hardware kit. Construction expected to be completed in Q1 2027, with production starting H2 2027.

Risks & headwinds

Operating loss and cash burn Q1 FY26

Q1 operating loss of $244M (including SBC), Q1 operating cash use of $159M

Mitigation:Disciplined transition, prudent resource management, strategic investments for large-scale industrial deployment.

Higher Q2 cash spend Q2 FY26

Above target range

Mitigation:Due to timing of cash bonus payout, planned to be funded with at-the-market program.

Back-end loaded revenue FY26

Q4 projected to contribute over half of full year revenue

Mitigation:Scaling driverless operations following the launch of the new fleet is expected to drive revenue in the latter half of the year.

Supply constrained Current

Currently supply constrained

Mitigation:Building out Roush production capacity (1,000 trucks/year) and AUMOVIO third-gen hardware production (H2 2027).

What to watch in Q2 FY26

Hirschbach definitive agreement

Later this year
Current MOU signed
Target Definitive agreement finalized

Why it matters

Finalization of this agreement is crucial for securing a significant multiyear revenue stream and validating the Driver-as-a-Service model.

We expect to finalize the definitive agreement, which represents a potential multiyear revenue stream in the hundreds of millions of dollars later this year with truck delivery slated to begin in 2027.

Find out whether AUR delivers this. Inve re-checks your case every morning.

Q&A highlights

Has there been an acceleration in inbound interest from fleet partners, and how is Aurora navigating price discovery with customers, especially regarding per-mile rates?

Management confirmed increasing inbound interest and exciting conversations with customers as progress becomes more real. They acknowledged pricing negotiations but emphasized the strong value proposition, particularly a 15% reduction in fuel costs (approx. $0.15-$0.16 per mile), which resonates well with customers.

“The value proposition does resonate quite well, and we're confident that we're going to be able to grow the business and achieve our profit objectives.”

asked by George Gianarikas · answered by David Maday

2 min read 7 chapters

Detailed narrative

Scaling Driverless Operations and Network Expansion

Aurora is transitioning from localized operations to wide-scale industrial deployment, preparing for the imminent launch of its second-generation commercial hardware kit on a new fleet of driverless trucks. The company's network now encompasses 12 distinct routes, including new bidirectional routes between Dallas-Laredo and Dallas-Oklahoma City. The driverless cohort has expanded to 7 customers, with commercial loads transitioning to driverless operations for McLean.

Commercial Momentum and Strategic Partnerships

Building on existing Transportation-as-a-Service (TaaS) commitments, Aurora announced an intent with Hirschbach to own and operate 500 trucks through a Driver-as-a-Service (DaaS) model, representing a potential multiyear revenue stream in the hundreds of millions of dollars. This deal is expected to finalize later in 2026, with truck delivery slated for 2027. The company is also working with Volvo Autonomous Solutions and PACCAR on future autonomous truck platforms.

Technological Advancements and Cost Reduction

The forthcoming software release and second-generation commercial hardware kit are engineered for reliability and scalability, including validation for more severe rain and complex construction scenarios. The new hardware kit is designed for 1 million miles of operation, features enhanced sensor cleaning, a more efficient computer, and an extended 1-kilometer range for FirstLight lidar, which is expected to drive a 50%+ reduction in hardware costs.

High Utilization and Endpoint Operations

The Aurora Driver has surpassed 370,000 driverless miles with 100% on-time performance and zero attributed collisions. Driverless trucks operating for Werner are averaging over 4,000 miles per week, translating to an annual run rate of 225,000+ miles per truck. Aurora is also preparing Hirschbach, Detmar, and Werner for endpoint operations, including in-yard autonomous operations, to strengthen the Driver's value proposition.

Manufacturing and Supply Chain Development

Aurora is establishing a robust hardware and vehicle platform roadmap. Roush, the upfitter for the International LT series trucks, will begin scale production later this year with an initial capacity of 1,000 trucks per year. For the third-generation hardware kit, AUMOVIO has broken ground on its Brownfields, Texas facility expansion, with construction expected to complete in Q1 2027 and production starting in H2 2027, intended to supply tens of thousands of trucks.

Regulatory Progress and Market Opportunity

California has reached a watershed moment by enabling autonomous trucking, joining most other states. This regulatory progress expands the serviceable addressable market to 60 billion vehicle miles traveled by 2028 and supports seamless coast-to-coast operating environments. Aurora is working through the permitting process to begin operations in California.

Financial Performance and Outlook

Q1 FY26 revenue totaled $1 million, a 10% sequential increase. The operating loss was $244 million, and operating cash use was $159 million. The company ended the quarter with $1.3 billion in liquidity. Aurora maintains its FY26 revenue guidance of $14 million to $16 million, which is expected to be back-end loaded, and anticipates quarterly cash use of $190 million to $220 million on average, with FY26 representing peak capital expenditures.

Summary of the company's earnings call; see how call summaries are prepared. Not investment advice.