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BigBear.ai (BBAI) Q2 FY26 earnings call: guidance

Earnings call· Jun 2026 (Q2 FY26)· Information Technology· Jul 30, 2026

Source: earnings call transcript

Executive summary

BigBear.ai Q2 FY26 — Strong Revenue Growth and Strategic AI Wins

BigBear.ai delivered a strong second quarter, driven by significant revenue growth and improved gross margins, primarily from Gen AI platforms. The company secured numerous new contracts and expanded its backlog, reinforcing its position in national security and trade/travel markets with specialized AI solutions. Management is focused on continued top-line growth and aggressive, accretive M&A to capitalize on dynamic market opportunities.

Highlights

5
  • Revenue increased by 13% year-over-year to $36.7 million.

  • Gross margin improved by 781 basis points to 32.8%.

  • Secured more than 20 new contracts in Q2, each valued up to $5 million.

  • Backlog grew by 9% since year-end to $270 million.

  • Achieved CMMC Level 2 certification ahead of schedule in July 2026.

Concerns

1
  • Adjusted EBITDA decreased to negative $11.6 million from negative $8.5 million in the comparable period.

Guidance & targets

CategoryTargetConfidence
Full-year 2026 revenue
$135 million to $165 million
high materiality
High

Orderbook & backlog

Backlog $270 million Q2 FY26 end

increase of about $22 million from where we started the year

Grew by 9% since year-end.

Longer-term contract $53 million Q1 FY26 announcement

Contract with an intelligence customer.

Product announcements

ProductTypeDetails
CargoSeer deployment in El Salvadorlaunch
Ask Sage (local device for air-gapped environments)expansion
ConductorOS software enhancementsupdate

Deals & partnerships

El Salvador customs expert 5-year commercial deployment agreement for CargoSeer 5 years

Agreement for the deployment of CargoSeer following a successful 12-month pilot.

intelligence customer Longer-term contract $53 million

Contract announced in Q1 FY26.

Ask Sage and CargoSeer Integration of prior acquisitions

BigBear.ai has fully integrated both acquisitions executed in the last 6 months.

Risks & headwinds

Increased investment in sales, go-to-market, and R&D Q2 FY26

Adjusted EBITDA decreased to negative $11.6 million from negative $8.5 million in the comparable period.

Mitigation:Partially offset by expanded gross margins.

What to watch in Q3 FY26

Full-year 2026 revenue guidance

Next quarter (Q3 FY26 call in November)
Current On track to meet $135 million to $165 million
Target Confirmation of meeting or revision of guidance

Why it matters

Key indicator of overall business performance and ability to hit financial targets.

We are on track to meet our top line guidance in the range of $135 million to $165 million.

Find out whether BBAI delivers this. Inve re-checks your case every morning.

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Detailed narrative

Strong Q2 Performance and Financial Foundations

BigBear.ai reported a 13% year-over-year revenue increase to $36.7 million and a 781 basis point improvement in gross margin to 32.8%, primarily driven by Gen AI platforms and products. The company is on track to meet its full-year revenue guidance of $135 million to $165 million. Despite increased investments in sales, go-to-market, and R&D, which led to a decrease in Adjusted EBITDA to negative $11.6 million, the company emphasizes its strong financial foundations and focused strategy.

Strategic Contract Wins and Backlog Growth

The company secured more than 20 new contracts in Q2, each valued up to $5 million, with both existing and new customers. This follows a Q1 announcement of a $53 million longer-term contract with an intelligence customer. These wins contributed to a 9% growth in backlog since year-end, reaching $270 million, demonstrating strong demand for specialized AI in complex and secure environments.

CargoSeer Deployment in El Salvador

BigBear.ai signed a 5-year commercial deployment agreement for CargoSeer in El Salvador, marking its first Central American deployment. This technology leverages AI and computer vision to analyze cargo scans and trade data, assisting customs officials in detecting anomalies, collecting duties, and facilitating legitimate trade. This solution addresses the substantial operational challenges of balancing growing trade volumes with increasing smuggling threats in the $26 trillion global merchandise trade market.

Generative AI in Disconnected Environments

The company expanded its Ask Sage platform for the Department of War and other departments, introducing new air-gap and local hardware deployments up to top-secret level. A highly portable, model-agnostic, and multimodal device, about the size of a hardcover book, brings core AI capabilities to physically isolated environments. This ensures intelligence analysts have access to the latest AI tools without external network access, addressing critical customer pain points regarding access and predictability.

Drone Warfare Orchestration with ConductorOS

BigBear.ai's ConductorOS software demonstrated its capability in military exercises by enabling a single soldier to command multiple drones from different vendors, even in degraded communications. This open, vendor-neutral architecture allows various autonomous systems to connect and coordinate, addressing the growing need for multi-vendor fleet control in modern battle spaces. The U.S. government's significant investment in drone technology, including a $54.6 billion request for an autonomous warfare unit, highlights the market opportunity for ConductorOS.

Focus on M&A and Future Growth

CEO Kevin McAleenan outlined a dual focus on delivering top-line revenue growth and aggressively pursuing accretive M&A targets that offer catalytic technologies with clear potential for rapid deployment at scale. The company views its core expertise in applied AI as a significant advantage, positioning it to win in a market where many companies are still defining their AI strategy. The recent acquisitions of Ask Sage and CargoSeer are fully integrated and performing well.

CMMC Level 2 Certification Achieved

BigBear.ai achieved Cybersecurity Maturity Model Certification (CMMC) Level 2 ahead of schedule in July. This rigorous U.S. federal cybersecurity standard validates the company's advanced security controls for protecting controlled and classified information. This certification strengthens trust with both domestic and international partners and demonstrates a gold standard commitment to data privacy and infrastructure security.

Summary of the company's earnings call; see how call summaries are prepared. Not investment advice.