Inve US ▾
BLBLLN

BillionToOne (BLLN) Q1 FY26 earnings call: guidance and Q&A

Earnings call· Mar 2026 (Q1 FY26)· Health Care· May 6, 2026

Source: earnings call transcript

Executive summary

BillionToOne Q1 FY26 — Strong Growth, Expanded Margins, and New Product Launch

BillionToOne delivered a strong first quarter, marked by significant revenue growth and expanded profitability, driven by product innovation and commercial execution. The company launched Unity Confirm, a novel noninvasive fetal cell-based confirmation assay, further differentiating its prenatal offerings. Management raised full-year revenue guidance, primarily reflecting Q1 strength and anticipated ASP benefits from new payer contracts, while maintaining a focus on profitability and cash flow generation.

Highlights

5
  • Total revenue grew 84% year-over-year to $108.4 million.

  • Gross margin expanded to 73% in Q1, a 9 percentage point increase year-over-year.

  • Achieved 16% GAAP operating margin and 24% adjusted EBITDA margin.

  • Cash position increased to $537.5 million at quarter-end.

  • Launched Unity Confirm, a category-redefining noninvasive fetal cell-based confirmation assay.

Concerns

3
  • Oncology ASPs stepped down sequentially, potentially due to true-ups rolling off.

  • Oncology business, while growing rapidly, currently has lower margins due to lower volume scale and lack of Medicare coverage for Response.

  • Timing for Unity Confirm clinical trial readout is long, potentially 1 to 3 years, due to decreasing invasive testing.

Guidance & targets

CategoryTargetConfidence
Full-year 2026 Total Revenue
$450 million to $465 million
high materiality
High
Full-year 2026 Gross Margin
above 70%
medium materiality
Medium
Full-year 2026 Profitability
approaching current levels
medium materiality
Medium

Segment performance

SegmentRevenueYoYQoQMargin
Prenatal
Driven by strong volume growth, commercial execution, and additional traction from fetal antigen test products launched in February. Underscores Unity's differentiation and durability of prenatal growth.
Volume growth: approximately 10% quarter-over-quarter
$97.7 million72%——
Oncology
Ramp driven by increasing adoption of Northstar Select and Northstar Response, recent launches of PGx and CH, and strong execution of oncology commercial team. Substantial opportunity ahead with sales team expansion, clinical evidence, and pursuit of Medicare coverage for Northstar Response.
Volume growth: approximately 25% quarter-over-quarterNorthstar Select orders opting into CH: 60%
$10.7 millionalmost 400%——

BLLN operating KPIs by quarter

BLLN operating KPIs stated on its earnings calls, by fiscal quarter
KPI Dec 2025 Q4 FY25This call Mar 2026 Q1 FY26 Jun 2026 Q2 FY26Change vs prior quarter
Procedures
~170K Our leadership in product innovation and our growing commercial team continue to drive our test volume with Q4 reaching approximately 170,000 tests, a 47% year-over-year increase. Source: earnings call transcript
~188K In Q1, we delivered approximately 188,000 tests, representing 44% year-over-year growth and strong sequential growth across both product lines, with prenatal volumes growing approximately 10% quarter-over-quarter and oncology volumes growing approximately 25% quarter-over-quarter. Source: earnings call transcript
——
Average selling price
$561 Overall ASP increased another 12% quarter-over-quarter from $501 to $561, a significant $60 per test increase in a single quarter. Source: earnings call transcript
$571 As our ASPs increased 28% year-over-year to $571 per test and as we maintained our COGS at $153 per test despite the higher proportion of oncology tests that have a higher COGS, we expanded our gross margins to 73% in Q1, a strong 9 percentage point increase year-over-year. Source: earnings call transcript
$551 Overall ASP increased 21% year-over-year to $551 per test. Source: earnings call transcript
-3.5%

Operating figures the company stated on at least two of the calls shown, checked against each call's transcript. Click a figure to read the sentence. A dash means it was not stated that quarter.

Product announcements

ProductTypeDetails
Unity Confirmlaunch

Deals & partnerships

Anthem In-network agreement for services.

BillionToOne is now in network with Anthem, one of the largest health insurers in the United States. This brings total contracted lives to approximately 300 million in the U.S.

UnitedHealthcare In-network agreement for services.

Following the in-network agreement announced last quarter with UnitedHealthcare, effective April 1.

Risks & headwinds

Oncology Margins Short term

Oncology currently has lower margins due to lower volume scale and prior to Medicare coverage of Response.

Mitigation:Expect to maintain strong overall gross margins above 70%; long-term expectation for both product lines to be easily above 75% as they mature and Medicare coverage for Response is secured.

Unity Confirm Clinical Trial Duration 1 to 3 years

Can easily take anywhere between 1 to 3 years.

Mitigation:The company is enrolling patients in what it believes is the largest prospective circulating fetal cell-based study ever conducted.

AR Increase Q1 FY26, expected to come down by end of Q2 or Q3.

About half of the increase in our AR this quarter.

Mitigation:Driven by new contracts entered in Q1, for which reimbursement will be received in several months. Expected to normalize.

What to watch in Q2 FY26

Full-year 2026 Total Revenue Guidance

Next quarter
Current $450 million to $465 million
Target Reaffirmed or revised range

Why it matters

Revenue guidance is a primary indicator of company performance and market traction.

We are raising our 2026 total revenue outlook to a range of $450 million to $465 million, representing growth of 48% to 52% compared to full year 2025.

Find out whether BLLN delivers this. Inve re-checks your case every morning.

Q&A highlights

Is the revenue guidance raise primarily due to volume or ASPs, and what is the expected volume cadence for the rest of the year?

The guidance increase is primarily driven by an ASP lift from new payer contracts and the strong Q1 performance, not a significant increase in volume expectations beyond Q1. Q4 is typically slower due to seasonality, while Q2 and Q3 are expected to see sequential growth.

“But in terms of the guidance increase, that came from the strength we had in Q1, just factoring that into the guidance as well as an ASP lift we expect to see from several additional payer contracts we entered into since the start of 2026. So not really assuming any increase in volume compared to our prior expectations other than the good results we saw in Q1, but primarily driven by a lift in ASPs and again, strong performance in Q1.”

asked by Daniel Arias · answered by Ross Taylor

2 min read 5 chapters

Detailed narrative

Unity Confirm Launch and Strategic Impact

BillionToOne launched Unity Confirm, the first noninvasive fetal cell-based confirmation assay for high-risk NIPTs, at the ACOG Annual Meeting on May 1, 2026. This product captures and sequences intact circulating fetal cells from maternal blood, providing 100% fetal fraction, and aims to address the clinical gap for patients unwilling or unable to undergo invasive diagnostic testing. Initial results show 100% concordance with invasive diagnostics, and a large prospective study is enrolling patients. The company expects minimal direct revenue from Unity Confirm, but anticipates it will significantly differentiate its Unity Aneuploidy offering, as it is only accessible if Unity Aneuploidy is used as a frontline screen, driving increased volume for the core product.

Payer Contract Expansion and ASP Growth

The company significantly strengthened its market access by becoming in-network with Anthem, bringing total contracted lives to approximately 300 million in the U.S., representing over 90% of patients. This follows a similar agreement with UnitedHealthcare, effective April 1, 2026. These in-network contracts are expected to remove friction for physicians and patients, increase access, and lead to higher, more predictable average selling prices (ASPs) over time, contributing to the raised full-year revenue guidance.

Oncology Business Growth and Future Outlook

Oncology revenue grew nearly 5x year-over-year to $10.7 million in Q1, driven by adoption of Northstar Select and Response, and recent launches of PGx and CH. Approximately 60% of Northstar Select orders now opt-in to CH. The company continues to see substantial opportunity in oncology, planning to expand its sales team, build clinical evidence, and pursue Medicare coverage for Northstar Response, which is expected to significantly increase its ASP and contribute to overall margin expansion once secured.

Operational Efficiency and Profitability Achievements

BillionToOne achieved GAAP profitability and positive cash flow with less than 10% of the accumulated deficit of public competitors, demonstrating strong fiscal discipline and efficient operations. The company delivered a 16% GAAP operating margin and 24% adjusted EBITDA margin in Q1, while continuing to invest meaningfully in its sales force, new product launches, and clinical evidence generation. This combination of rapid growth and profitability highlights the uniqueness of its technology and operational discipline.

Tumor-Naive MRD Test Development

The company is developing a tumor-naive MRD test, which is on track for launch by the end of 2026. Management believes this approach will be more easily adopted by community oncologists, who care for the majority of oncology patients in the U.S., expanding MRD usage beyond academic centers and colorectal cancer. The test will be launched with supporting data, likely through a manuscript, rather than at a specific conference.

Summary of the company's earnings call; see how call summaries are prepared. Not investment advice.