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Bullish (BLSH) Q2 FY26 earnings call: guidance and Q&A

Earnings call· Jun 2026 (Q2 FY26)· Financials· Aug 13, 2026

Source: earnings call transcript

Executive summary

Bullish Q2 FY26 — Tokenized Shares Trading & Equiniti Integration Progress

Bullish marked a significant milestone with its tokenized shares trading on its regulated venue, underscoring its strategy to build infrastructure for tokenized securities. Despite a soft crypto market impacting trading volumes, the company reported strong year-over-year revenue growth, driven by record subscription services and other revenue and robust CoinDesk media engagement. Progress on the Equiniti acquisition continues, with regulatory approvals advancing, positioning Bullish to capitalize on the anticipated wave of issuer-sponsored tokenization.

Highlights

7
  • Bullish tokenized shares began trading on its regulated venue for the first time, marking its first trades of any tokenized security.

  • Total adjusted revenue increased 62% year-over-year to $92.6 million.

  • Subscription services and other (SS&O) revenue reached a record $62.7 million.

  • CoinDesk.com page views increased by 10 million in Q2 2026, a 38% year-over-year increase.

  • Unique visitors to CoinDesk.com increased 83% year-over-year.

  • Antitrust clearances secured for Equiniti acquisition, with other regulatory approvals advancing, on track to close in January 2027.

  • Access to the U.S. market for perps, dated futures, and options markets anticipated several months earlier than previously expected.

Concerns

5
  • Crypto market experienced a soft quarter with prices and volatility down.

  • Bullish's spot trading volumes moderated with the broader crypto market.

  • Trading incentives were reduced, leading to a decline in volumes and market share in Q2.

  • Softer price environment held back total CoinDesk index revenue despite gaining share.

  • Adjusted operating expenses were $63.1 million, reflecting a peak level for 2026, driven by Consensus-related costs and $2.5 million in one-time compensation expenses.

Guidance & targets

CategoryTargetConfidence
Equiniti acquisition closing
January 2027
high materiality
High
Access to U.S. market for perps, dated futures, and options
In the next several months, nearly a year earlier than previously anticipated
high materiality
Medium
Full-year 2026 Subscription Services and Other (SS&O) Revenue
$225 million to $245 million
high materiality
High
Q3 FY26 Subscription Services and Other (SS&O) Revenue Split
Roughly 45% of H2 SS&O revenue
medium materiality
High
Q4 FY26 Subscription Services and Other (SS&O) Revenue Split
Roughly 55% of H2 SS&O revenue
medium materiality
High
Full-year 2026 Adjusted Operating Expenses
$225 million to $230 million
high materiality
High
H2 FY26 Adjusted Operating Expenses Split
Roughly equally split between Q3 and Q4
medium materiality
High
Full-year 2026 Finance Expenses
$52 million to $60 million
high materiality
High
Full-year 2026 Equiniti Financial Outlook
Maintained
high materiality
High

Product announcements

ProductTypeDetails
Bullish Tokenized Shareslaunch
Tokenization Platformroadmap
SoFi USD (stablecoin)launch

Deals & partnerships

Equiniti Group Acquisition of the second largest transfer agent in the world, central to Bullish's issuer-sponsored tokenization strategy.

Equiniti maintains share registers for nearly 3,000 corporate issuers, including half of FTSE 100 and 30% of S&P 500, serving over 20 million shareholders and moving over $0.5 trillion in payments annually. Antitrust clearances secured, other regulatory approvals advancing.

Morgan Stanley Morgan Stanley chose CoinDesk as the benchmark index for their flagship Bitcoin ETP.

CoinDesk Indices continue to power institutional products.

Grayscale Grayscale launched their hyper-liquid ETP with CoinDesk indices.

Launched in June.

Morgan Stanley Morgan Stanley launched Ethereum and Solana ETPs with CoinDesk indices.

Launched in late July.

SoFi, Berenberg, Bit2Me, BitoPrime, and others New customer relationships for crypto trading services.

One of the largest global wealth managers selected Bullish as the exclusive crypto trading provider for their Asia business.

Risks & headwinds

Soft crypto market with prices and volatility down. Q2 FY26

Bitcoin price down from $120,000 to $60,000; digital assets market cap down from $4 trillion to $2 trillion.

Mitigation:Diversified largely recurring revenue base and mission-critical product offerings helped carry through.

CLARITY Act did not advance this session. Current session

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Mitigation:Bullish's strategy does not depend on it, but clear market structure legislation would help the industry.

Possibility that the Equiniti transaction may not be completed, failure to obtain required regulatory approvals, or anticipated benefits not realized. Until closing in January 2027 and post-integration.

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Mitigation:Antitrust clearances secured, other regulatory approvals advancing; both companies building for the future combined business.

Risk of investor confusion and reputational damage to issuers from synthetic tokens not backed by actual shares. Ongoing

null

Mitigation:Focus on issuer-sponsored tokenization where the token is the actual share, providing issuers control and benefits. Advocacy for SEC innovation exemption to clarify issuer role.

What to watch in Q3 FY26

Equiniti Acquisition Closing

Next quarter (Q3 FY26) for continued progress, final close in January 2027
Current On track
Target January 2027 close

Why it matters

Successful closing is foundational to Bullish's tokenization strategy and future growth.

Regarding Equiniti, we're on track to close in January 2027. We have all of the antitrust clearances secured and other regulatory approvals are advancing.

Find out whether BLSH delivers this. Inve re-checks your case every morning.

Q&A highlights

How will the two tokenization models (synthetic vs. actual/issuer-sponsored) evolve, and will they coexist or will one dominate?

Both models will likely survive and thrive, similar to traditional equity markets with actual shares, ETFs, and derivatives. Issuer-sponsored tokens offer considerable benefits to issuers (control, shareholder identification, programmable actions) and institutional investors (true legal title), while synthetic tokens might suffice for smaller retail customers.

“I've no doubt that both models will survive and maybe even thrive, and it's not dissimilar from the traditional equity markets today.”

asked by Brian Bedell · answered by Thomas Farley

2 min read 6 chapters

Detailed narrative

Tokenization Strategy and Equiniti Acquisition

Bullish's core strategy revolves around issuer-sponsored tokenization, where the actual shares are tokenized on a blockchain, providing true legal title and benefits to both issuers and investors. The pending acquisition of Equiniti, the world's second-largest transfer agent, is central to this strategy, as it maintains share registers for nearly 3,000 corporate issuers and provides mission-critical, sticky, and recurring services. The acquisition is on track to close in January 2027, with antitrust clearances secured and other regulatory approvals advancing.

Tokenized Securities Market Opportunity

Management believes the tokenization of securities represents a massive opportunity, with a $270 trillion market potentially reaching $5.5 trillion tokenized by 2030 (Citi estimate, which management views as conservative). This contrasts with synthetic tokens, which are third-party wrapped claims, and highlights the importance of issuer control over the tokenization process for benefits like shareholder identification, programmable corporate actions, and direct economics.

Exchange Performance and US Market Access

Bullish's spot trading volumes moderated in Q2 2026 due to a softer crypto market with lower prices and volatility. However, the company continued to deepen its institutional footprint, adding new clients like a large global wealth manager for Asia crypto trading. A significant development is the anticipated access to the U.S. market for perps, dated futures, and options markets in the next several months, nearly a year earlier than expected, leveraging a new regulatory pathway for overseas platforms with approved FCMs.

Media & Events Business Strength

The Media & Events business, anchored by CoinDesk and the Consensus conference, continues to generate business opportunities and drive engagement. Consensus drew over 16,000 attendees, and CoinDesk.com experienced strong growth, with page views up 38% year-over-year and unique visitors up 83%. CoinDesk Indices also continue to power institutional products, with Morgan Stanley and Grayscale launching ETPs using their benchmarks, though index revenue was impacted by a softer price environment.

Regulatory Environment and Innovation Exemption

While the CLARITY Act did not advance, management is optimistic about a potential SEC "innovation exemption" for tokenized securities. This exemption is expected to provide clearer rules for tokenization, particularly emphasizing the issuer's role, which aligns with Bullish's strategy. Management believes this will accelerate dialogue with issuer customers about tokenizing their shares and validate the Equiniti acquisition.

Cost Management and Financial Outlook

Adjusted operating expenses in Q2 2026 reached a peak of $63.1 million, driven by Consensus-related costs and $2.5 million in one-time compensation expenses for business transformation. Management has already realized efficiencies and headcount reductions in Q3 to manage costs. The full-year 2026 guidance for SS&O revenue and adjusted operating expenses was narrowed, and finance expenses guidance was maintained, reflecting increased visibility and cost control.

Summary of the company's earnings call; see how call summaries are prepared. Not investment advice.