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    DCH
    Earnings call· Jun 2026(Q2 FY26)

    Dauch Q2 FY26 earnings call DCH

    Aug 7, 2026 Source

    Executive summary

    Dauch Corporation Q2 FY26 — Strong Integration Progress and Raised Full-Year Outlook

    Dauch Corporation delivered robust Q2 FY26 results, driven by successful integration of Dowlais and strong operational performance, leading to an upward revision of its full-year outlook. The company is actively managing the GM truck launch transition and remains focused on debt reduction and synergy realization, with a significant portion of new business quoting activity centered on ICE and hybrid platforms.

    Highlights

    5
    • Q2 FY26 adjusted EBITDA was $390 million or 13.2% of sales, reflecting strong performance.

    • Achieved $70 million in run rate synergy savings to date, on track for over $100 million by year-end.

    • Voluntarily redeemed $250 million of 6 7/8% notes due 2028, strengthening the balance sheet.

    • Lifted the low end of full-year sales guidance to $10.6 billion-$10.8 billion and adjusted EBITDA to $1.36 billion-$1.425 billion.

    • Secured Ford Supplier of the Year Award and won numerous awards with major European, Asian, and North American customers.

    Concerns

    3
    • Experienced incremental costs related to elevated energy prices in Q2 FY26, though not a noteworthy impact on operations.

    • Anticipate temporary production downtime and volume impacts in H2 FY26 due to GM's full-size truck model changeover starting in September.

    • Net interest expense increased to $82.6 million in Q2 FY26 from $37.5 million in Q2 FY25 due to acquisition-related debt.

    Guidance & targets

    17
    CategoryTargetConfidence
    Full-year Sales
    $10.6B-$10.8B
    high materiality
    High
    Full-year Adjusted EBITDA
    $1.36B-$1.425B
    high materiality
    High
    Full-year Adjusted Free Cash Flow
    $260M-$325M
    high materiality
    High
    Full-year North American Production
    15.1M units
    medium materiality
    Medium
    Full-year Europe Production
    16.9M units
    medium materiality
    Medium
    Full-year China Production
    31.6M units
    medium materiality
    Medium
    Full-year Global Production
    91.1M units
    medium materiality
    Medium
    Synergy Run Rate
    >$100M
    high materiality
    High
    Synergy Run Rate
    ~$180M
    high materiality
    High
    Synergy Run Rate
    $300M
    high materiality
    High
    Full-year Adjusted Effective Tax Rate
    25%-30%
    medium materiality
    Medium
    Full-year Cash Taxes
    $160M-$170M
    medium materiality
    Medium
    Full-year GM Full-Size Pickup Truck and SUV Production
    1.35M-1.4M units
    medium materiality
    Medium
    Full-year China JV Equity Income
    $70M-$80M
    medium materiality
    Medium
    Full-year CapEx as % of Sales
    4.5%-5%
    medium materiality
    High
    Share Count for Modeling
    ~245M shares
    low materiality
    High
    Net Leverage Ratio
    2.5x or lower
    high materiality
    High

    Segment performance

    6
    SegmentRevenueYoYQoQMargin
    Dowlais
    Contributed significantly to sales and EBITDA in Q2 FY26. EBITDA benefited from $9M of volume mix and other, and $9M of favorable operational performance, offset by divestitures.
    Adjusted EBITDA Margin: 12.4%
    $1.45B$180M
    Legacy Dowlais
    Adjusted EBITDA was lower primarily due to lower volume and mix, divestiture of India commercial vehicle axle business, and approximately $8 million of EBITDA impact from UAW work stoppage at Three Rivers, Michigan facility.
    Lower EBITDA
    Legacy Metal Forming
    Experienced continued favorable performance, reflecting focus on improving performance and managing overall costs, contributing approximately $8 million in EBITDA benefit.
    Improved margin
    North America
    Experienced continued strength in the truck segment. Production expected to decline sequentially in H2 due to seasonality and GM launch.
    Production: flat year-over-year (Q2 FY26)Business Mix: ~60% of total businessH2 FY26 Production Outlook: expected to decline ~4% sequentially
    flat
    Europe
    Production declined year-over-year in Q2. Expected to decline sequentially in H2, often weighted towards August.
    Production: down ~1% year-over-year (Q2 FY26)Business Mix: ~25% of total businessH2 FY26 Production Outlook: expected to decline ~8% sequentially
    down ~1%
    Global
    Overall production was flat year-over-year in Q2 FY26.
    Production: flat year-over-year (Q2 FY26)
    flat

    Operational metrics

    27
    Net Cash Provided by Operating Activities
    $107.5Mvs $91.9M in Q2 FY25
    Q2 FY26

    Increased year-over-year.

    Capital Expenditures
    $91.7M
    Q2 FY26

    Capital expenditures net of proceeds from sale of property, plant and equipment.

    Net Interest Expense
    $82.6Mvs $37.5M in Q2 FY25
    Q2 FY26

    Increase primarily reflects the issuance of new and assumed debt in connection with the acquisition.

    Weighted Average Interest Rate on Long-term Debt
    7.1%
    Q2 FY26

    Rate at the end of the quarter for outstanding long-term debt.

    Available Liquidity
    $2.5M
    Q2 FY26

    Consisting of available cash and borrowing capacity on global credit facilities.

    Net Debt
    $4.1B
    June 30, 2026

    Balance at the end of the quarter.

    Net Leverage Ratio
    2.6x
    June 30, 2026

    Ratio of net debt to TTM EBITDA.

    Synergy Benefits Realized
    $15M
    Q2 FY26

    Realized from eliminating duplicative corporate and SG&A costs and realizing engineering and purchasing efficiencies.

    Synergy Run Rate
    $70M
    To date

    Run rate savings achieved as of the call date.

    Cash Restructuring Costs
    $76M
    H1 FY26

    Analyst-stated figure for cash restructuring in the first half of the year.

    Cash Restructuring Costs
    $56M
    H2 FY26

    Analyst-stated figure for cash restructuring in the second half of the year, based on analyst's math.

    Debt Redeemed
    $125M
    Q2 FY26

    Voluntarily redeemed during the quarter.

    Debt Redeemed
    $125M
    August 2026

    Voluntarily redeemed subsequent to the end of the quarter.

    Total Debt Reduction
    $400M
    Last year or so

    Analyst-stated figure for debt reduction over the last year or so.

    Quoting Activity
    $2B
    Current

    Actively quoting on new and incremental business, including capacity uplifts on high-demand programs.

    Win Rate (Quoting)
    ~30%
    Current

    Expected win rate for new business opportunities.

    CapEx Intensity Goal
    5% or lower
    Ongoing

    Goal for capital expenditures as a percentage of sales, even with new business opportunities.

    Combined Company Variable Profit/Contribution Margin
    25%-35%
    Ongoing

    Relatively consistent variable profit depending on the product, maintained in a stable production environment.

    Divestiture Sales Impact
    $34M
    Q2 FY26

    Sales impact from the divestiture of the India commercial vehicle axle business.

    Metal Market Pass-throughs and FX Sales Impact
    $35M
    Q2 FY26

    Increased sales, driven by strengthening Brazilian real and Euro for FX.

    Volume Mix and Other Impact
    $42M
    Q2 FY26

    Favorable impact driven by positive demand for products supplying BMW and Volvo.

    Sales Impact from Divestitures
    $31M
    Q2 FY26

    Lower sales due to the sale of certain businesses.

    EBITDA Impact from UAW Work Stoppage
    $8M
    Q2 FY26

    Costs incurred during the UAW work stoppage.

    Favorable Operational Performance
    $9M
    Q2 FY26

    Benefit to EBITDA.

    Legacy Metal Forming Performance Improvement
    $8M
    Q2 FY26

    EBITDA benefit reflecting focus on improving performance and managing overall costs.

    Energy Cost Impact
    few million dollars
    Q2 FY26

    Relatively minor impact from elevated energy prices, expected to continue into H2 FY26.

    Share Count for Modeling
    245M
    Remainder of 2026

    To be used for modeling purposes for the remainder of the fiscal year.

    Industry KPIs

    5
    MetricValueDetails
    EPS$0.32USD
    Revenue$2.96BUSD
    Net income$1MUSD
    Adjusted EBITDA ebita$390MUSD
    Cash investments balance$2.5MUSD

    Product announcements

    1
    ProductTypeDetails
    GM's Next-Generation Full-Size Truck Programlaunch

    Deals & partnerships

    1
    DowlaisTransformational acquisition to drive value creation and leverage enhanced size and scale.

    The acquisition has led to strong Q2 results and significant synergy realization, with the combined company operating for 5 months. Integration is progressing favorably.

    Risks & headwinds

    4
    Elevated Energy PricesQ2 FY26, expected to continue in H2 FY26

    incremental costs (few million dollars)

    Mitigation: No noteworthy impact on operations or customer schedules in Q2, but actively monitored.

    GM Full-Size Truck Model ChangeoverH2 FY26, beginning September

    temporary production downtime and related volume impacts

    Mitigation: Factored into updated guidance; company is prepared to accommodate GM's schedules.

    USMCA Trade DiscussionsOngoing negotiations

    potential need to rebalance or reshuffle some things between the U.S. and Mexico

    Mitigation: Monitoring closely; strategy is to buy and build local, with flexibility to adjust footprint based on regional presence.

    Macro Pressure on InflationH2 FY26

    oil and freight costs

    Mitigation: Counterbalancing with productivity gains to mitigate impacts.

    What to watch in Q3 FY26

    5

    Synergy Run Rate Achievement

    Year-end FY26
    Current$70M
    Target>$100M

    Why it matters

    Synergy realization is a key driver of value creation from the Dowlais acquisition and underpins financial guidance.

    We have now been operating for 5 months as a combined company, and we have already realized approximately $70 million of run rate savings to date. We remain on target to deliver more than $100 million in run rate savings by year-end.

    Q&A highlights

    8

    Analyst notes $56M for H2 '26 and $76M for H1 '26, asking if '27 will see a meaningful reduction.

    Chris May confirmed that restructuring cash costs will continue in '26, primarily from Dowlais and legacy Dow facilities in Europe, and are expected to reduce meaningfully in '27 as these projects substantially complete.

    We would expect going into '27 that, that number will reduce meaningfully from its current run rate levels we have here today.

    asked by Gautam Narayan · answered by Chris May

    2 min read6 chapters

    Detailed Narrative

    01

    Dowlais Integration and Synergy Progress

    The company has been operating for 5 months as a combined entity, realizing $70 million in run rate savings to date, primarily from eliminating duplicative corporate costs, optimizing SG&A, and capturing global engineering efficiencies. The company remains on target to deliver over $100 million in run rate savings by year-end, with a total target of $300 million by the end of year 3. Procurement and operations initiatives are advancing, though they naturally take longer to realize.

    02

    Business Wins and Growth Opportunities

    Dauch Corporation was named Ford Supplier of the Year for 2025 in the quality category and secured numerous awards with major European, Asian, and North American customers across various vehicle segments. The company is actively quoting on over $2 billion of new and incremental business, including capacity uplifts and next-generation platforms, with approximately 85% of this business being ICE and hybrid related.

    03

    Industry and Macro Environment

    While experiencing some incremental costs from elevated energy prices, the company noted no significant operational impact or mix change, suggesting consumer resiliency in the U.S. Overall production has been stable, with continued strength in the North American truck segment. The company is closely monitoring USMCA trade discussions and plans to adapt its "buy and build local" strategy accordingly.

    04

    GM Full-Size Truck Launch

    GM is transitioning to its next-generation full-size truck program, with model changeover expected to begin in the second half of the year, specifically impacting Dauch's production starting in September. This transition is anticipated to cause temporary customer production downtime and volume impacts, which are factored into the updated guidance.

    05

    Metal Forming Performance and Optimization

    The metal forming segment showed significant margin improvement, driven by the integration of Dowlais's powdered metal portion and ongoing operational improvements in core metal forming. Management is focused on driving capacity utilization, in-sourcing products, and evaluating the European footprint for optimization, including leveraging the Hungary plant, while balancing labor agreements.

    06

    Capital Allocation and Debt Reduction

    The company ended Q2 FY26 with net debt of $4.1 billion and a net leverage ratio of 2.6x. It voluntarily redeemed $125 million of 6 7/8% notes due 2028 during the quarter and an additional $125 million in August, with no major debt maturities until 2029. The primary capital allocation objective in the near term is to reduce net debt to 2.5x leverage or lower before considering additional shareholder-friendly activities.

    AI-generated summary of the company’s earnings call. Not investment advice.