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DigitalOcean (DOCN) Q4 FY25 earnings call: guidance and Q&A

Earnings call· Dec 2025 (Q4 FY25)· Information Technology· Feb 24, 2026

Source: earnings call transcript

Executive summary

DigitalOcean Q4 FY25 — AI-driven Growth Acceleration and Strong Profitability

DigitalOcean reported a strong Q4 FY25, driven by accelerating growth from its top digital native and AI-native customers, with record incremental ARR and significant expansion in AI customer revenue. The company is strategically investing in Agentic Inference Cloud capacity, which is expected to drive revenue growth to 25% by Q4 2026 and 30% in 2027, while maintaining profitability and disciplined capital allocation. Management emphasized the shift from a niche developer cloud to a platform for high-growth AI workloads, leveraging open-source models and integrated full-stack cloud services.

Highlights

5
  • Q4 revenue grew 18% year-over-year, reaching $242 million.

  • Delivered record organic incremental ARR of $51 million in Q4, the highest in company history.

  • AI customer ARR reached $120 million in Q4, growing 150% year-over-year, now 12% of total ARR.

  • Achieved 42% adjusted EBITDA margins and 19% adjusted free cash flow margins for the full year 2025.

  • $1 million-dollar customers reached $133 million in ARR, growing 123% year-over-year with 0% churn.

Concerns

3
  • Near-term pressure on gross margin and adjusted EBITDA due to start-up costs and revenue ramp characteristics of new data center capacity.

  • Net leverage projected to be above 4x in the short term due to finance lease obligations for GPU and CPU investments.

  • Excluding a small legacy dedicated bare metal CPU offering will result in approximately $13 million of ARR rolling off by the end of Q1 2026.

Guidance & targets

CategoryTargetConfidence
Full-year 2026 Revenue Growth
21%
high materiality
High
Full-year 2026 Revenue Growth (excluding discontinued legacy bare metal CPU offering)
21% to 24%
medium materiality
High
Q4 2026 Revenue Growth Exit Rate
25% plus
high materiality
High
Full-year 2027 Revenue Growth
30%
high materiality
High
Full-year 2026 Adjusted EBITDA Margin
36% to 38%
medium materiality
High
Full-year 2026 Unlevered Adjusted Free Cash Flow Margin
18% to 20%
medium materiality
High
Full-year 2027 Unlevered Adjusted Free Cash Flow Margin
20% plus
medium materiality
High
Q1 2026 Revenue
$249 million to $250 million
high materiality
High
Q1 2026 Adjusted EBITDA Margin
36% to 37%
medium materiality
High
Q1 2026 Non-GAAP Diluted Net Income Per Share
$0.22 to $0.27
medium materiality
High
Full-year 2026 Non-GAAP Diluted Net Income Per Share
$0.75 to $1
medium materiality
High
Net Leverage
above 4x
medium materiality
High
Net Leverage
below 4x
medium materiality
High

DOCN operating KPIs by quarter

DOCN operating KPIs stated on its earnings calls, by fiscal quarter
KPIThis call Dec 2025 Q4 FY25 Mar 2026 Q1 FY26 Jun 2026 Q2 FY26Change vs prior quarter
Annual recurring revenue (ARR) Customers spending over $1M
$133M Our $1 million-dollar customers reached $133 million in ARR, growing at 123% year-over-year. Source: earnings call transcript
$183M Q1 revenue was $258 million up 22% year-over-year, with million dollar plus customers growing 179% year-over-year to $183 million in ARR. Source: earnings call transcript
—+37.6%
Annual recurring revenue (ARR) AI customers
$120M And these customers are growing rapidly with Q4 AI customer ARR reaching $120 million, growing 150% year-over-year, now making up 12% of total ARR. Source: earnings call transcript
$170M AI customer ARR grew 221% to $170 million, and we beat every financial target we shared in our last call. Source: earnings call transcript
$234M AI customer ARR reached $234 million, growing over 200% year-over-year. Source: earnings call transcript
+37.6%
Remaining performance obligation (RPO)
$134M We also continue to improve visibility on our near-term revenue growth as we increased RPO in Q4 to $134 million, up 121% sequentially and up close to 500% year-over-year. Source: earnings call transcript
$243M [ RPO ] reached $243 million, up an extraordinary 1,700% year-over-year. Source: earnings call transcript
$894M This traction is evident in the material commitments we secured during the quarter which collectively increased remaining performance obligations to $894 million, up more than 12x year-over-year with a 3.7-year average life. Source: earnings call transcript
+267.9%
Data centers —
20 We operate a global scale infrastructure with 20 data centers purpose built for AI workloads running a full stack core computing platform with a complete set of computing primitive that Agentic workloads demand. Source: earnings call transcript
20 Every turn adds products to the stack we own, an integrated platform running on our own infrastructure, spanning 20 global data centers, owning the stack lowers our cost to serve and that lower cost structure combined with the emergence of high-quality, low-cost open weight models gives us better unit economics to serve our customers, which in turn enables us to win more customers. Source: earnings call transcript
0%

Operating figures the company stated on at least two of the calls shown, checked against each call's transcript. Click a figure to read the sentence. A dash means it was not stated that quarter.

Orderbook & backlog

Remaining Performance Obligations (RPO) $134 million Q4 FY25

up 121% sequentially and up close to 500% year-over-year

Product announcements

ProductTypeDetails
Remote MCP Supportlaunch
Agent Development Kitlaunch
GPU Observabilitylaunch

Capital programs

New Data Center Facility (Smallest) underway

Benefit:6 megawatts

The smallest of our 3 new facilities will start ramping revenue in the second quarter.

New Data Center Facilities (Remaining Two) underway

Benefit:25 megawatts

The remaining 2 start ramping revenue in the second half of 2026.

Risks & headwinds

Near-term pressure on gross margin and adjusted EBITDA early part of the year (2026)

impacted

Mitigation:remain confident in our 18% to 20% unlevered adjusted free cash flow margin guide for the year; disciplined operators

Increased net leverage short term

above 4x in the short term

Mitigation:anticipate returning below 4x net leverage over the medium to long term as we increase utilization in these data centers and ramp revenue and adjusted EBITDA

Sunsetting of legacy dedicated bare metal CPU offering by the end of Q1 2026

approximately $13 million of ARR to roll off

Mitigation:revenue is noncore, excluded from customer-specific year-over-year growth metrics

Supply chain and implementation timing risk for new data center capacity 2026

null

Mitigation:believe our implementation time line is realistic

What to watch in Q1 FY26

Q1 FY26 Revenue Growth

Q1 FY26
Current 18% (Q4 FY25)
Target 18% to 19%

Why it matters

Verifies the initial phase of accelerated growth as new capacity comes online.

For the first quarter of 2026, we expect revenue in the range of $249 million to $250 million, which is approximately 18% to 19% year-over-year growth.

Find out whether DOCN delivers this. Inve re-checks your case every morning.

Q&A highlights

Is the inference market dominated by large players like OpenAI/Anthropic, or is there a broader ecosystem, especially with open-source models?

Paddy explained that while large closed-source models get headlines, open-source alternatives are crucial for managing unit economics, being 90% cheaper with comparable accuracy. Many AI-native customers use a mix of open-source and closed-source models, intelligently routing requests to optimize cost and performance. He cited OpenClaw deployments as evidence of thriving open-source adoption and predicted its continued growth.

“the open source alternatives are extraordinarily important to manage the unit economics as these companies came because the cost per token for the open source models is about 90% cheaper, right? So with a very comparable accuracy as these open source models mature.”

asked by Raimo Lenschow · answered by Padmanabhan Srinivasan

2 min read 6 chapters

Detailed narrative

AI-Driven Software Disruption

DigitalOcean is positioning itself as a preferred platform for cloud and AI-native companies driving a structural shift in software from user/seat-based monetization to token/inference-based models. The company highlights its ability to support production-scale inferencing for leading AI companies like character.ai and Hippocratic AI, demonstrating differentiated performance, cost efficiency, and integrated AI/cloud platform capabilities. This focus allows DigitalOcean to capitalize on the rapid scaling of AI-native workloads, which can reach $1 million ARR in months, unlike traditional cloud customers.

Agentic Inference Cloud Strategy

The company's "Agentic Inference Cloud" combines specialized inference infrastructure with its full-stack cloud platform, purpose-built for production AI. This integrated approach, which includes compute, storage, databases, networking, observability, and security, is designed to meet the needs of stateful AI agents that require more than just GPU forms. DigitalOcean emphasizes flexibility, offering both one-click GPU droplets for experimentation and a managed serverless platform for global scale, all integrated with core cloud services.

Customer Growth Engine

DigitalOcean has successfully transformed its top customers, particularly Digital Native Enterprises (DNEs) and AI-native companies, into its primary growth engine. DNE ARR reached $604 million in Q4, growing 30% year-over-year and now representing 62% of total ARR. The largest customers within this cohort, including those spending $1 million+, are accelerating significantly faster than the market, with 123% year-over-year growth and 0% churn, debunking previous misconceptions about customers outgrowing the platform.

Financial Discipline and Capacity Expansion

Despite aggressive growth targets, DigitalOcean maintains financial discipline, aiming for a "weighted rule of 50" company status. The company is investing responsibly in 31 megawatts of incremental data center capacity across three new facilities in 2026. While this expansion will cause near-term pressure on gross margin and adjusted EBITDA due to upfront costs, the company remains confident in its unlevered adjusted free cash flow margin guide, emphasizing that growth and discipline are not trade-offs.

Product Innovation and Executive Team

DigitalOcean continues to innovate, recently strengthening its executive team with Vinay Kumar as Chief Product and Technology Officer, bringing hyperscale expertise. Recent product releases include remote MCP support, an agent development kit, enhanced agent evaluation tools, GPU observability, managed NFS, and multi-node GPU support. These innovations aim to provide a vertically integrated stack for the inference economy, with further details expected at the upcoming Deploy conference.

AI Customer Revenue Metric

To provide clearer visibility into its AI momentum, DigitalOcean introduced "AI customer revenue," which includes all revenue from customers leveraging AI products (inference and core cloud services). This metric reached $120 million in Q4, growing 150% year-over-year, and now constitutes 12% of total ARR, with 70% of this revenue coming from inference services or general-purpose cloud products rather than bare metal GPU rentals.

Summary of the company's earnings call; see how call summaries are prepared. Not investment advice.