Inve US ▾
DUDUOL

Duolingo (DUOL) Q2 FY26 earnings call: guidance and Q&A

Earnings call· Jun 2026 (Q2 FY26)· Information Technology· Aug 5, 2026

Source: earnings call transcript

Executive summary

Duolingo Q2 FY26 — Strong DAU Growth and Increased Profitability Outlook

Duolingo delivered a strong Q2 FY26, marked by accelerating daily active user growth and an all-time high in user retention, driven by continuous product improvements and strategic marketing. The company raised its full-year adjusted EBITDA outlook due to AI cost efficiencies, while maintaining bookings and revenue guidance to prioritize user expansion towards its 100 million DAU target by 2028. Management is exploring new monetization avenues like ad-supported tiers and expanded free trials, balancing revenue generation with its mission of universal education access.

Highlights

5
  • Daily Active Users (DAUs) grew 23% year-over-year, accelerating from Q1 and slightly ahead of expectations.

  • Adjusted EBITDA outlook for the full year increased to 26.5% from 25%, driven by AI cost savings.

  • Ended the quarter with $1.3 billion in cash and investments, demonstrating strong balance sheet and cash flow potential.

  • User retention (CURR) reached an all-time high, increasing by about a percentage point in the last year.

  • The 'Streak Revival' campaign re-engaged over 15 million learners, with these users showing better retention than typical re-engaged cohorts.

Concerns

4
  • Full-year bookings guidance was not raised despite strong DAU growth, as monetization lags user growth and the company prioritizes user acquisition.

  • The potential sunsetting of the Max subscription tier is being considered, with efforts to avoid revenue loss.

  • Testing an ad-supported 'Super Lite' tier could introduce friction to the user experience if not carefully managed.

  • Operations in the China market face regulatory risks, though the company uses local AI models to comply with laws.

Guidance & targets

CategoryTargetConfidence
Full-year Bookings Growth
approximately 11%
high materiality
High
Full-year Revenue Growth
roughly 16%
high materiality
High
Full-year Adjusted EBITDA Margin
26.5%
high materiality
High
Full-year Gross Margin
closer to 70%
medium materiality
High
Full-year Adjusted EBITDA
$320 million
high materiality
High
Full-year Free Cash Flow
over $375 million
high materiality
High
Q3 Bookings
approximately $307 million
medium materiality
High
Q3 Revenue
$302 million
medium materiality
High
Q3 Gross Margin
71%
medium materiality
High
Q3 Adjusted EBITDA
roughly $76 million
medium materiality
High
Q4 DAU Growth Bonus Trigger
25% or higher
low materiality
Low
Daily Active Users (DAU)
100 million
high materiality
High

Product announcements

ProductTypeDetails
Streak Revivallaunch
Video Callexpansion
Super Litelaunch

Risks & headwinds

Monetization vs. User Growth Trade-off Ongoing

Full-year bookings guidance not raised despite strong DAU growth, as monetization takes time and is not the immediate priority.

Mitigation:Focusing on monetization strategies that are DAU-aligned, such as longer free trials and improved ad quality, and operating within a defined revenue/bookings box to prioritize user acquisition.

Regulatory Risk in China Ongoing

China is the second-largest market by DAUs, expected to be largest in 1-2 years, monetizes well.

Mitigation:Using local Chinese AI models to comply with local laws; maintaining government relations, but acknowledging external control.

Attention Span Decrease Ongoing

Duolingo lessons are ~2 minutes, while social media usage is in 10-second bursts.

Mitigation:Actively experimenting with ways to make minimum session length shorter while ensuring users return multiple times a day to compound learning.

Uncertainty of Max Tier Future Decision expected in the next couple of quarters.

Max is the most expensive plan, currently behind which video call was initially placed.

Mitigation:Exploring options like differentiated video call access (limited for Super, unlimited for Max) or finding other reasons for users to buy, while aiming to avoid revenue loss.

What to watch in Q3 FY26

Q4 DAU Growth for Bonus Payout

Q4 FY26 (payout Q1 FY27)
Current Q2 DAU growth 23% YoY
Target 25% or higher

Why it matters

Determines a potential $10M+ cash payout and indicates strong user acquisition momentum, which is a key company priority.

While it is not included in our 2026 guidance, we do want you to know that the company has a bonus plan that will trigger if Q4 DAU growth is 25% or higher and would be paid out during Q1. Since it's currently uncertain whether that threshold will be met, we have not included it in our 2026 guidance.

Find out whether DUOL delivers this. Inve re-checks your case every morning.

Q&A highlights

Why wasn't full-year bookings guidance raised despite strong DAU growth, given that more users should translate to increased bookings?

Luis von Ahn explained that monetization for new users takes time due to the freemium model. The company is deliberately operating within its stated revenue/bookings box to prioritize DAU growth and teaching effectiveness, as previously communicated at the start of the year.

“We said at the beginning of this year that we were going to operate in this box in terms of revenue, and we are going to continue with this box. Basically, roughly 11% year-over-year bookings growth and then the rest of the efforts are in increasing DAUs and in teaching better.”

asked by Wyatt Swanson · answered by Luis von Ahn Arellano

2 min read 7 chapters

Detailed narrative

User Growth and Retention Drivers

Duolingo's daily active users (DAUs) grew 23% year-over-year, accelerating from Q1, primarily driven by continuous product improvements through 'The Green Machine' and a successful 'Streak Revival' campaign that re-engaged over 15 million learners. User retention, measured by CURR, reached an all-time high, increasing by about a percentage point in the last year, indicating a stickier product experience across all regions and user types.

Monetization Strategy Evolution

The company is strategically evolving its monetization approach to align with user growth, moving away from friction-inducing methods. Key initiatives include extending free trials from 7 days to 1 month, which has significantly increased trial uptake and conversion to payers, while also improving DAUs by removing ads and energy limits for trial users.

AI Cost Efficiency and Product Development

Significant progress has been made in reducing the cost of AI features, particularly for 'video call,' which is now under $0.01 per call, down from $0.30. This reduction, primarily due to a shift towards open-source models, enables broader access to advanced features for Super subscribers and potentially all users, while also contributing to an increased full-year adjusted EBITDA outlook.

Experimentation with New Subscription Tiers

Duolingo is actively testing 'Super Lite,' an ad-supported tier priced at about half of Super, targeting users unlikely to purchase the full Super subscription. The company is also evaluating the future of its premium 'Max' tier, considering options like limited video calls for Super vs. unlimited for Max, or potentially sunsetting Max, with a decision expected in the next couple of quarters.

Marketing and Top-of-Funnel Expansion

The marketing team is expanding beyond organic word-of-mouth and social media, leveraging influencers in key international markets like China, Indonesia, and India, which contribute significantly to social media impressions. Performance marketing efforts have also become more sophisticated, leading to improved top-of-funnel growth across almost all regions, including a notable increase in the U.S.

Math and Music Product Strategy

For Math, the strategy has shifted to primarily target K-12 students who need to learn math, rather than attempting to engage the general adult population. While Math and Music currently have single-digit millions of DAUs and are smaller than Chess, they are expected to grow, with more details on the Music roadmap anticipated in the coming quarters.

China Market Performance and AI Compliance

China is highlighted as Duolingo's second-largest market by DAUs, with expectations to become the largest within one to two years, and it monetizes comparably to France. Due to local regulations, all AI usage in China relies on Chinese models, not U.S. models, to ensure compliance with data residency and regulatory requirements.

Summary of the company's earnings call; see how call summaries are prepared. Not investment advice.