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DaVita (DVA) Q1 FY26 earnings call: guidance and Q&A

Earnings call· Mar 2026 (Q1 FY26)· Health Care· May 5, 2026

Source: earnings call transcript

Executive summary

DaVita Q1 FY26 — Strong Start with Raised Guidance and Volume Growth

DaVita delivered strong first-quarter results, exceeding expectations across key metrics and leading to a raised full-year outlook for adjusted operating income and EPS. The company saw better-than-forecasted mortality and patient transfers from clinic closures, contributing to an increased volume growth forecast. While technology investments drove G&A growth, management views this as part of a long-term strategy to enhance clinical outcomes and operational efficiency, aiming for sustained growth.

Highlights

6
  • Adjusted operating income of $482 million, $50 million ahead of forecast.

  • Raised and narrowed adjusted operating income guidance to $2.15 billion to $2.25 billion.

  • Raised adjusted EPS guidance to $14.10 to $15.20 per share.

  • Full-year volume growth expectations raised from flat to 25 to 50 basis points increase.

  • Repurchased 3 million shares in Q1 and an additional 2 million shares since quarter-end.

  • Integrated Kidney Care (IKC) gross savings rate improved 4.5% since program start.

Concerns

3
  • ACA Plan enrollment trending towards a slightly favorable outcome, but partially offset by more patients selecting lower-level bronze plans, translating to a modest RPT headwind.

  • Commercial mix expected to decline over the course of the year, putting pressure on RPT.

  • U.S. dialysis G&A costs grew $37 million or 13% versus Q1 FY25 due to continued investment in technology.

Guidance & targets

CategoryTargetConfidence
Adjusted Operating Income
$2.15 billion to $2.25 billion
high materiality
High
Adjusted EPS
$14.10 to $15.20 per share
high materiality
High
Volume Growth
25 to 50 basis point increase
medium materiality
High
Revenue per Treatment (RPT) Growth
1% to 2%
medium materiality
High
Debt Expense
about flat to last year
low materiality
Medium
Quarterly Debt Expense
similar to Q1
low materiality
Medium
Adjusted Operating Income Phasing
about evenly split across each of the 3 remaining quarters
low materiality
Medium
Total Cost CAGR
1.25% to 2.25%
low materiality
Medium

Segment performance

SegmentRevenueYoYQoQMargin
U.S. Dialysis
Outperformance driven by treatment volume, revenue per treatment, and cost per treatment. Q1 volume was ahead of forecast due to better mortality and lower admits, partially offset by Fresenius transfers. Patient care costs were lower due to productivity improvements. G&A growth was due to technology investments.
Treatments decline vs Q1 FY25: 20 bpsTreatments per normalized day increase vs Q1 FY25: 40 bpsTreatments per normalized day ahead of expectations: 20 bpsRevenue per treatment decline sequentially: ~$5Revenue per treatment growth YoY: ~4%Patient care cost per treatment vs Q4: flatG&A costs decline vs Q4: $16 millionG&A costs growth vs Q1 FY25: $37 million or 13%
————
International
Adjusted operating income was in line with expectations.
———$30 million
Integrated Kidney Care (IKC)
Adjusted operating loss was in line with expectations. The business delivered year-over-year improvements across gross savings rates, total quality score, and high-performing status in CMS' CKCC program, generating the highest total aggregate savings of any participant with a 4.5% improvement in gross saving rate.
———($19 million)

Risks & headwinds

ACA Plan Mix Shift Remainder of FY26

Modest RPT headwind

Mitigation:Monitoring effectuation rates and affordability; too early to quantify full impact.

Commercial Mix Decline Over the course of FY26

Pressure on RPT

Mitigation:Anticipated dynamic factored into full-year RPT guidance.

G&A Cost Growth Q1 FY26

$37 million or 13% vs Q1 FY25

Mitigation:Viewed as part of long-term total cost optimization, balancing G&A investments with efficiencies elsewhere to sustain 3-7% OI growth.

Fraud, Waste, and Abuse (FWA) Scrutiny

Unquantified

Mitigation:Strong internal compliance focus; dialysis is less susceptible due to non-controversial diagnosis and bundled payment structure.

What to watch in Q2 FY26

ACA Plan Enrollment Mix Impact

Next quarter
Current Trending slightly favorable, but with modest RPT headwind from bronze plans.
Target Clarity on effectuation rates, affordability, and future incident mix.

Why it matters

The actual mix of ACA plans and patient affordability will determine the true RPT impact and potential headwind for the year.

We will gain greater clarity on the enrollment outcome and mix impact as we get deeper into the year.

Find out whether DVA delivers this. Inve re-checks your case every morning.

Q&A highlights

Can you break out the impact of weather and flu on Q1 volume, and how durable is the improved mortality trend for the rest of the year?

Weather and flu impacts were in line with forecasts. Improved mortality was due to underlying trends, but changes were small and not yet indicative of a significant durable trend. Management clarified that volume is influenced by multiple small inputs, and the guidance range accounts for these variables.

“In terms of splitting out the mortality coming in a little better than expected, it was probably not about the flu because flu came in as expected. It was more around the underlying mortality.”

asked by Kevin Fischbeck · answered by Joel Ackerman

2 min read 5 chapters

Detailed narrative

Clinical Excellence and IKC Momentum

DaVita highlighted its foundation in clinical excellence, driven by operating rigor, which produced strong Q1 results. The Integrated Kidney Care (IKC) business showed continued momentum, delivering year-over-year improvements across all three key measurements in CMS' Comprehensive Kidney Care Contracting program: gross savings rates, total quality score, and high-performing status. The IKC model generated the highest total aggregate savings of any participant, with a 4.5% improvement in gross saving rate since the program's inception, demonstrating improved patient health and a more sustainable model for kidney care.

Technology Investments and AI Strategy

The company is actively investing in its future capabilities by expanding IT systems and digital infrastructure, taking a disciplined approach to AI. This strategy involves modernizing data infrastructure by standardizing and integrating high-quality data through its proprietary EMR platform. DaVita is deploying AI solutions across clinical, operational, and business use cases, focusing on supporting caregivers and improving operations. An example is 'ScheduleHub,' a new tool designed to optimize patient and staffing schedules in real-time, aiming to reduce administrative burden and enhance teammate experience.

Volume Dynamics and Fresenius Clinic Closures

First-quarter treatment volume was slightly ahead of forecast, benefiting from better-than-forecasted mortality and patient transfers related to ongoing clinic closures by Fresenius. While negligible in Q1 volume, these transfers are anticipated to contribute to positive treatment growth for the remainder of the year. Management expects about half of the new starts from Fresenius to have occurred in Q1, with the other half coming in Q2, leading to a raised full-year volume growth expectation of 25 to 50 basis points.

ACA Plan Enrollment Impact and RPT Headwinds

ACA open enrollment is trending towards a slightly more favorable outcome than the previously anticipated $40 million headwind for 2026. However, this favorability is partially offset by an increasing number of patients selecting lower-level bronze plans, which translates to higher out-of-pocket costs and a modest revenue per treatment (RPT) headwind. Management noted it is still early to fully assess the impact, as effectuation rates and affordability need to play out, and the mix of future incidents remains uncertain.

Cost Management and G&A Philosophy

Patient care costs per treatment were about flat sequentially and lower than expected, primarily due to better-than-expected productivity improvements. While U.S. dialysis G&A costs grew $37 million or 13% year-over-year due to continued technology investments, management views G&A as part of the total cost structure. The company aims to optimize overall costs, targeting a long-term total cost CAGR of 1.25% to 2.25%, rather than focusing solely on G&A in isolation, to ensure sustained operating income growth.

Summary of the company's earnings call; see how call summaries are prepared. Not investment advice.