ETR
Earnings call · Mar 2025 (Q1 FY25)

ENTERGY CORP /DE/ Q1 FY25 earnings call ETR

Apr 29, 2025 Source

Executive summary

Entergy Q1 FY25 — Strong Start with Significant Customer Growth Announcements

Entergy reported a strong start to the year, reaffirming its full-year adjusted EPS guidance and long-term growth outlook. The quarter was marked by significant new industrial customer announcements and continued progress on major capital projects, particularly in generation and transmission. The company also proactively addressed its equity financing needs and discussed the manageable impact of tariffs on its capital plan, emphasizing its commitment to supporting customer growth and grid reliability.

Highlights

5
  • Adjusted EPS of $0.82 for Q1 FY25, keeping the company on track for its full-year guidance.

  • Weather-adjusted retail sales volume grew 5.2% in Q1 FY25, driven by a 9.3% increase in industrial sales.

  • Secured approximately $1.5 billion in block equity forward and $230 million in ATM forwards, covering equity needs into 2027 and two-thirds through 2028.

  • Announced three major new industrial projects totaling $27.3 billion in investment (Hyundai Steel $5.8B, CF Industries $4B, Woodside LNG $17.5B) expected online in 2028-2029.

  • Louisiana Public Service Commission approved a $0.5 billion West Bank 230 kV transmission project and rapid recovery for Hurricane Francine capital investment.

Concerns

2
  • Tariffs are estimated to impact approximately 1% of the $37 billion 4-year capital plan, primarily in the back end of the forecast period.

  • Q2 FY25 other O&M is expected to be roughly $0.05 higher than last year due to planned power generation spending and vegetation management expenses.

Guidance & targets

CategoryTargetConfidence
Adjusted EPS
greater than 8% compound annual growth rate
high materiality
High
Adjusted EPS
on track for 2025 guidance
high materiality
High
Tax credits
$170 million
medium materiality
High
Tax credits
$350 million
high materiality
High
Other O&M
roughly $0.05 higher than last year
medium materiality
High
Residential sales growth
about 1%
medium materiality
High
Overall sales growth
about 5.5%
high materiality
High
Industrial sales growth
close to that range
high materiality
Medium
SETEX transmission project completion
2029
medium materiality
Medium

Operational metrics

Adjusted EPS
$0.82
Q1 FY25

Reported adjusted earnings per share for the first quarter.

Retail sales volume growth
5.2%
Q1 FY25

Weather-adjusted retail sales volume growth for the quarter.

Industrial sales increase
9.3%
Q1 FY25

Increase in industrial sales, reflecting customer additions and ramp-up.

Other O&M
$0.05 higher than last year
Q2 FY25

Expected increase in other O&M for the second quarter due to planned power generation spending and vegetation management.

Equity financing secured
$1.5B
Q1 FY25

Equity secured during the quarter, including the Green Shield.

Equity financing secured
$230M
Q1 FY25

Equity secured during the quarter using ATM forwards.

Equity needs secured
into 2027
Q1 FY25

Equity needs secured through recent transactions.

Equity needs secured
2/3
Q1 FY25

Portion of equity needs secured through 2028.

Capital plan tariff impact
1%
4-year plan

Estimated impact of tariffs on the 4-year capital plan.

Capital redeployed
>$1B
To date

Amount of capital redeployed into other projects through disciplined prioritization.

Nuclear capacity increase
40
Fall 2026

Estimated capacity increase at Waterford 3 after low-pressure turbine rotor replacement.

Nuclear capacity upgrades potential
275
Future

Potential capacity upgrades being assessed at other nuclear plants.

Gas LDC sale
targeting July close
Q3 FY25

Target date for closing the sale of gas LDC businesses.

Louisiana solar RFP owned assets
400
Ongoing

Two proposals for owned assets moving forward from the first round of procurement.

Transmission investments into rates
$137M
Q1 FY25

Approved transmission investments placed into rates by the PUCT.

Storm securitization review acceleration
150
Future

Proposed legislation in Texas to accelerate regulatory review and approval for storm securitization.

Industrial sales EPS sensitivity
$0.01
Annual

Rule of thumb for EPS impact from changes in industrial sales, indicating low sensitivity due to demand charges.

Residential sales growth
4.5%
Q1 FY25

Weather-normalized residential sales growth for the quarter.

Industry KPIs

MetricValueDetails
Ffo to debtbetter than agency thresholds %
Retail sales growth5.2% %
Regulatory rate base growth$0.5B USD
Rto market structure review
New gas generation builds upgradesnearly 500 MW
Contracted large load capacity esas loas5 to 10 GW
Nuclear capacity factor gas forced outage factor40 MW

Orderbook & backlog

Data center pipeline 5 to 10 GW Q1 FY25

Range of potential projects in productive discussions with hyperscale developers.

Hyundai Steel investment $5.8B March 2025

Manufacturing facility in Ascension Parish, Louisiana, expected online 2028-2029.

CF Industries low-carbon blue ammonia facility investment $4B Early April 2025

Final investment decision reached for facility near Hyundai Steel, expected online 2028-2029.

Woodside LNG facility investment $17.5B April 2025

Final investment decision reached for LNG facility in Coastal Louisiana, expected online 2028-2029.

Deals & partnerships

Entergy Louisiana and Entergy New Orleans gas businesses Sale of gas LDC businesses

Final approval received from East Baton Rouge Parish Council for Entergy Louisiana's gas LDC sale.

Capital programs

Orange County Advanced Power Station underway
Spent to date: 70% complete

Project is approximately 70% complete, with over 1 million man-hours worked without safety incidents, remaining on schedule and budget.

Delta Blues Advanced Power Station underway
Spent to date: earlier phase of construction

Project is in an earlier phase of construction and is also on schedule and on budget.

West Bank 230 kV transmission project approved $0.5B

Benefit:support customer growth and economic development

Approved by the Louisiana Public Service Commission.

SETEX transmission project pending regulatory approval

Benefit:130 to 160 miles of 500 kV line, resilience benefit

Request for certificate of convenience and necessity filed in Texas, hearing scheduled for May, targeting commission decision by end of August. Expected completion just outside outlook period.

Risks & headwinds

Tariff impacts on capital expenditures mostly in the back end of forecast period

approximately 1% of $37 billion 4-year capital plan

Mitigation:Working with suppliers for alternative sourcing, ongoing cost management, contingencies in spending plans.

Higher Q2 O&M expenses Q2 FY25

roughly $0.05 higher than last year

Mitigation:Planned power generation spending, including timing of outages and vegetation management expenses, are factored into guidance.

Regulatory opposition to Texas generation CCNs Ongoing regulatory process

Staff came out against it

Mitigation:No dispute on the need for new generation; rationale for moving quickly is well-supported in the record; major components were bid out; management believes there's support to move forward.

What to watch in Q2 FY25

Louisiana data center filing decision

October
Current Hearing scheduled for mid-July
Target LPSC decision

Why it matters

This decision will determine the regulatory framework and approval for serving hyperscale data center customers in Louisiana, impacting future growth.

Entergy Louisiana's filing to support its hyperscale data center customer continues to move forward, parties have filed testimony, and the hearing is scheduled for mid-July. We remain on track for an LPSC decision in October.

Q&A highlights

Is Arkansas now fully competitive for data centers, and has there been inbound interest?

Management believes Arkansas is fully competitive and is seeing a lot of interest from potential customers, working down that path.

“The -- we feel that they are fully competitive at this point. And we are talking to potential customers in the state of Arkansas. We have a lot of interest there. And so we are working down that path right now.”

asked by Konstantin Lednev · answered by Andrew Marsh

3 min read 6 chapters

Detailed narrative

Customer Growth and Industrial Development

Entergy announced three significant new industrial customer investments in the Gulf South region: Hyundai Motor Group's $5.8 billion Hyundai Steel facility, CF Industries' $4 billion low-carbon blue ammonia facility, and Woodside's $17.5 billion LNG facility. These projects are expected to come online in 2028-2029 and diversify the industrial mix. The data center pipeline remains robust, in the 5 to 10 gigawatt range, with ongoing discussions with hyperscale developers. The Gulf South continues to be an attractive option due to low power costs, robust infrastructure, and a business-friendly environment.

Capital Projects and Operational Progress

The Orange County Advanced Power Station is approximately 70% complete and remains on schedule and budget for a Summer 2026 in-service date. The Delta Blues Advanced Power Station is also on schedule and budget. Entergy is exploring increasing capacity at existing combined cycle natural gas facilities by nearly 500 MW. Nuclear operations saw the completion of the River Bend refueling outage and the ongoing Waterford 3 outage, which includes turbine replacement to increase capacity by an estimated 40 MW by Fall 2026. The company intends to renew the Grand Gulf early site permit for new nuclear for another 20 years.

Regulatory and Legislative Updates

Entergy Louisiana received approval for Hurricane Francine capital recovery and a $0.5 billion West Bank 230 kV transmission project. The sale of gas LDC businesses in Louisiana and New Orleans is targeted for July. The Louisiana data center customer filing is on track for an October LPSC decision. In Texas, $137 million of transmission investments were approved, and a decision on the SETEX transmission project is targeted by end of August. Arkansas' Act 373 supports economic development by allowing recovery for new generation/transmission outside the 4% cap and streamlining certification. Texas is considering legislation to accelerate storm securitization review to 150 days.

Tariff Impacts and Mitigation

Management estimates tariffs will impact approximately 1% of the $37 billion 4-year capital plan, with the majority of the impact in the later years. Mitigation strategies include developing alternative supply sourcing, ongoing cost management, and utilizing contingencies in spending plans. Over $1 billion of capital has been redeployed to other projects. The company believes tariff impacts are manageable and commodity fundamentals continue to favor U.S. manufacturing, particularly in the Gulf Coast region.

Leadership Transition

Pete Norgeot, COO, is retiring after 10+ years. Kimberly Cook-Nelson, previously leading nuclear operations, will assume the COO role, bringing extensive leadership and operational discipline. John Dinelli will take over as Chief Nuclear Officer, having served in various leadership roles within the nuclear organization.

Tax Credits and Financing

Nuclear production tax credits (PTCs) became effective in 2024, and while guidance is pending, any realized PTCs would be positive to the plan as they are not included in the outlook. The 2027 and 2028 outlooks include $170 million and $350 million, respectively, in renewable tax credits. The company has secured equity needs into 2027 and two-thirds through 2028 via a $1.5 billion block equity forward and $230 million in ATM forwards, ensuring capital access and managing volatility.

AI-generated summary of the company's earnings call. Not investment advice.