Detailed Narrative
Market Penetration and Long-Term Growth Opportunity
Evolv Technology estimates there are over 700,000 serviceable doorways across its current markets, with only about 9,200 units deployed, indicating a penetration rate well below 5%. This significant untapped market underpins the company's long-term revenue target of over $500 million by 2031, representing a 25% compound annual growth rate, and a path to achieving adjusted EBITDA margins of at least 25%.
Hardware-Enabled Subscription Business Model
Evolv operates a hardware-enabled subscription model, built around physical security and AI-powered weapons detection. The platform integrates proprietary hardware, software, AI models, data, and services, delivered through multiyear subscription agreements, typically 4 years in duration. This model generates high-margin, long-term recurring revenue and provides significant visibility into future earnings, with over $300 million in remaining performance obligation (RPO).
Strong Customer Acquisition and Expansion
The company reported its strongest quarter for new customer additions in two years, adding 70 new customers in Q2 FY26. Notably, approximately 60% of unit bookings during the quarter came from existing customers, demonstrating successful expansion within the installed base. Evolv now serves customers in all 50 U.S. states, Canada, and Mexico, with solutions screening nearly 5 million people daily.
eXpedite Product Adoption and Innovation
Evolv's autonomous AI-powered bag screening solution, eXpedite, continues to gain traction, now serving over 100 customers, representing approximately 8% of the total customer base, up from 2% a year ago. Approximately 70% of new customers purchasing eXpedite also bought Evolv Express, and eXpedite has been cross-sold to over 40 existing Evolv Express customers. The platform has screened more than 20 million bags, averaging 90,000 bags daily, and has seen significant software enhancements to optimize security operations.
Manufacturing Strategy and Supply Chain Management
Evolv has successfully onboarded Plexus, its new global contract manufacturing partner, and has begun shipping products from their facilities. This transition is expected to scale production capacity, extend global reach, enhance operational resiliency, and reduce bill of material costs over time⏳. The company continues to actively manage semiconductor supply constraints, confident in its ability to meet full-year deployment plans.
End-Market Performance and Policy Support
Evolv saw strong demand across its core education market, adding 23 new customers and supporting 1,800 schools. In healthcare, 8 new customers were added, including Alberta Health Services. Momentum continued in sports and live entertainment, with new customers like the Pro Football Hall of Fame and Northwestern University's New Ryan Field, and support for the 2026 FIFA World Cup. The workplace segment also expanded with two new Fortune 500 clients, bringing the total to over 30.