Detailed narrative
Q2 Financial Performance Overview
Flex LNG reported strong Q2 FY26 results with revenues of $106.8 million ($102.7 million excluding EUAs), marking the second-best quarter since Q4 2021. Net income reached $44.9 million ($0.83 EPS), and adjusted net income was $42.5 million ($0.79 adjusted EPS), more than double the first quarter's performance. This improvement was driven by higher spot earnings for Flex Volunteer and Flex Artemis, as well as full-quarter contributions from new contracts for Flex Constellation and Flex Aurora.
Fleet Maintenance and Dry Dockings
The company successfully completed all scheduled 5-year special surveys for its 13-vessel fleet with the dry docking of Flex Vigilant in June. The average cost per dry docking was $6 million per vessel, aligning with guidance, and vessels spent an average of 17 days in dry dock. With no further dry dockings scheduled for 2027, the fleet is positioned for continuous operation, with the first 10-year docking planned for 2028.
LNG Trade Dynamics and Supply Shifts
Global LNG trade volumes were broadly flat year-to-date, down less than 1%. A significant reduction in Qatari exports (down 29 million tonnes) was largely offset by strong growth from the U.S. (up 23% or 14 million tonnes) and other exporters. Industry utilization of export capacity was high at 96% in July (excluding Qatar), indicating tight supply. This shift from the Middle East to the U.S. is positive for shipping demand due to increased ton-miles as volumes move to Asia.
Demand Side and European Inventories
European gas inventories are at 61% full, the lowest level in over 15 years, necessitating significant rebuilding before winter. This creates a 'tug-of-war' for U.S. LNG exports between Europe and Asia, with U.S. LNG being highly flexible. Historically, there have been significant swings in U.S. LNG flows between these regions, and this dynamic is expected to continue, influencing Atlantic cargo pricing.
Newbuilding Market and Project FIDs
Ordering activity for new LNG carriers remains strong, with around 60 vessels ordered year-to-date, despite high newbuilding prices of approximately $250 million. The order book is substantial (285 vessels, 38% of existing fleet), but most are tied to long-term contracts. LNG SPAs signed in H1 2026 are above 30 million tonnes per year, supporting project FIDs, with 28 million tonnes already sanctioned and potential for up to 67 million tonnes in 2026, signaling momentum for the next wave of LNG supply.
Spot Market and Geopolitical Impact
The spot market for modern 2-stroke vessels has seen increasing availability and pressure on rates, with Q3 spot rates softening to $30,000 per day from $120,000 in the previous Q3. However, the number of available vessels is in line with historical averages, suggesting newbuildings are being absorbed. Geopolitical uncertainty🌐, particularly the Iran conflict and its impact on the Strait of Hormuz, is expected to keep the Strait closed throughout 2026, potentially creating a favorable market for LNG shipping.