Detailed narrative
Volatility and Investment Strategy
Frank Holmes discussed the "DNA of volatility," explaining that market swings are a normal part of long-term investing. He highlighted the higher volatility of gold and airline-related ETFs (GOAU, JETS) compared to the S&P 500, and Bitcoin's higher volatility over 10 days. The company's strategy involves creating sustainable thematic products using a "smart beta 2.0" approach with rigorous backtesting, focusing on gold, precious metals, natural resources, airlines, and luxury goods.
Shareholder Value and Capital Allocation
The company is committed to returning value to shareholders through dividends and stock buybacks. It pays a monthly dividend with a current yield of 2.83% and actively repurchases shares on flat or down days using an algorithm. The company reduced shares outstanding by approximately 20% before COVID and reported an overall shareholder yield, including buybacks, of 7.87%.
Marketing and Digital Engagement
U.S. Global Investors is actively growing its subscriber base and followers through webcasts and digital platforms like YouTube and TikTok. They emphasize social media as a new classroom for financial education, noting the influence of financial content creators. The company recently launched a new podcast, "Return on Ideas," and interactive research pieces to engage with current and prospective shareholders.
Thematic Product Performance
The company highlighted the strong performance of its thematic ETFs, particularly SEA (shipping) and WAR (defense spending), which have outperformed the S&P 500 and relevant sector indices. The WAR ETF, a new product, focuses on defense spending, AI, cybersecurity, and autonomous systems, driven by increased global military expenditures.
Gold and Modern Monetary Theory
Management discussed the attractiveness of gold in the context of modern monetary theory, rising global debt ($350 trillion last year), and central bank gold purchases. They noted that G20 countries are increasingly printing money, with a significant portion now directed towards military spending and AI, making gold a crucial long-term asset.