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Nova (NVMI) Q2 FY26 earnings call: guidance and Q&A

Earnings call· Jun 2026 (Q2 FY26)· Industrials· Aug 6, 2026

Source: earnings call transcript

Executive summary

Nova Ltd. Q2 FY26 — Record Revenue and Profitability Driven by AI and Advanced Packaging

Nova Ltd. delivered record Q2 FY26 results, driven by robust demand across advanced logic and packaging, fueled by AI-related investments. The company achieved record revenue and non-GAAP EPS, with operating margins at the high end of its target. Management highlighted enhanced customer visibility and strategic R&D investments, positioning Nova for continued double-digit growth, though memory segment revenue saw a sequential decline.

Highlights

5
  • Achieved record revenue of $255 million, representing 16% year-over-year growth.

  • Delivered record non-GAAP earnings per share of $2.51, exceeding the high end of guidance.

  • Non-GAAP operating margin reached 33%, at the upper range of the company's 28%-33% target model.

  • Advanced packaging contributed nearly 25% of overall product revenue, driven by AI-related demand.

  • Maintained a strong financial position with over $1.7 billion in cash and investments.

Concerns

3
  • Memory revenue experienced a sequential decline of 14% quarter-over-quarter, with 3D NAND demand remaining muted.

  • Non-GAAP operating expenses increased to $62.9 million, reflecting continued investment in product development.

  • The supply chain remains stretched, requiring active management to maintain lead times of 4 to 12 months.

Guidance & targets

CategoryTargetConfidence
Revenue
$277 million to $287 million
high materiality
High
GAAP Earnings Per Diluted Share
$2.46 to $2.61
high materiality
High
Non-GAAP Earnings Per Diluted Share
$2.70 to $2.85
high materiality
High
GAAP Gross Margins
approximately 57%
medium materiality
High
Non-GAAP Gross Margins
approximately 59%
medium materiality
High
GAAP Operating Expenses
approximately $74 million
medium materiality
High
Non-GAAP Operating Expenses
approximately $68 million
medium materiality
High
Financial Income (Non-GAAP)
remain similar to that of the second quarter
low materiality
High
Effective Tax Rate
approximately 17%
medium materiality
High
Full-year Gross Margin
approximately 59%
high materiality
High
Full-year Revenue Growth
double-digit growth
high materiality
High
Full-year Memory Share of Product Revenue
about 30%
medium materiality
Medium
Long-term Product Revenue Mix
60% logic/foundry, 40% memory
high materiality
High
Long-term Operating Margins
28% to 33%
high materiality
High
Investor Day
upcoming Investor Day
low materiality
High

Segment performance

SegmentRevenueYoYQoQMargin
Logic and Foundry
Revenue associated with advanced logic more than doubled sequentially as customers expanded production capacity. Demand stretched across product lines and divisions, reflecting the range of process control solutions required in leading-edge logic manufacturing.
Product revenue share: 73%
——more than doubled sequentially—
Memory and Others
Muted demand from 3D NAND still this year, while strong demand from DRAM was observed. Memory share is projected to be about 30% for the full year.
Product revenue share: 27%
——-14% (implied)—
Advanced Packaging
Record sales, driven by customers' continued investment in advanced packaging and high-bandwidth memory capacity to support growing demand for AI-related devices. The Nova WMC platform gained tool of record selection by a leading foundry customer.
Product revenue share: nearly 25%
————
Service
Service revenue reached another record level, augmented by value-added services, including customer investments in upgrading existing tools and enhancements to the chemical metrology fleet.
record level———

Product announcements

ProductTypeDetails
Prismlaunch
VeraFlexlaunch
Nova WMClaunch
Nova Hublaunch

Capital programs

Clean room expansion underway

Benefit:doubles manufacturing capacity in the U.S.

Driven by proliferation of VeraFlex XPS in gate-all-around manufacturers. This expansion is in California.

Risks & headwinds

Muted demand from 3D NAND Q2 FY26, expected to continue this year

Memory revenue declined 14% QoQ

Mitigation:Anticipates benefiting when NAND capacity is back, potentially next year, driven by technology transitions.

Stretched supply chain Current

Lead times between 4 to 12 months

Mitigation:Actively managing production and supply chain to ensure meeting lead times and increased demand from customers.

What to watch in Q3 FY26

Memory segment demand

Next year (2027)
Current 27% of product revenue in Q2 FY26, down 14% QoQ
Target Recovery in 3D NAND, increased memory share

Why it matters

Memory is a significant portion of the business, and its recovery, particularly in 3D NAND, is key to overall growth and achieving the long-term model.

We are projecting memory to be about 30% for us this year. Obviously, the intensity in logic is higher, and our long-term model calls for about 60-40 in favor of logic. But we do see strong demand from DRAM, somehow muted demand from 3D NAND still this year, which may change.

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Q&A highlights

Asked about the 73-27 logic/foundry to memory product revenue split, noting a sequential decline in memory revenue and seeking explanation for the dynamics.

Gaby Waisman confirmed memory is projected to be about 30% for the full year, with higher intensity in logic. He noted strong demand from DRAM but muted demand from 3D NAND, which may change, and that the long-term model is 60-40 in favor of logic.

“We are projecting memory to be about 30% for us this year. Obviously, the intensity in logic is higher, and our long-term model calls for about 60-40 in favor of logic. But we do see strong demand from DRAM, somehow muted demand from 3D NAND still this year, which may change.”

asked by Robert Smith · answered by Gabriel Waisman

3 min read 6 chapters

Detailed narrative

Record Performance and Strategic Vision

Nova achieved record Q2 FY26 revenue of $255 million and non-GAAP EPS of $2.51, surpassing $250 million revenue and $2.50 EPS milestones. This exceptional performance marks a significant milestone, demonstrating the scale and earning power envisioned in the company's long-term strategic plan. Management anticipates delivering another year of double-digit growth, supported by sustained customer investment and market share gains. Further details on the next phase of long-term growth strategic planning will be shared at an Investor Day during the first quarter of 2027.

AI-Driven Demand and Innovation

The semiconductor industry continues to experience strong AI-driven demand, necessitating ongoing investments in infrastructure and leading-edge silicon, including CPUs, memory, and storage. Nova is aligning its technology roadmap with these challenges, investing approximately 15% of its revenue in research and development. Recent product introductions include a new generation of Prism for advanced memory structures, VeraFlex for materials metrology, and Nova WMC for panel-level packaging, alongside the Nova Hub software platform for fleet and AI-driven analytics. These innovations expand Nova's serviceable market and enable customers to address complex device architectures.

Advanced Logic and Materials Metrology Strength

Revenue from advanced logic more than doubled sequentially in Q2 FY26, driven by customers expanding production capacity across various product lines. The VeraFlex XPS platform continued to gain traction in gate-all-around manufacturing, leading to increased tool proliferation per fab and necessitating a clean room expansion in California to double manufacturing capacity. Nova's AI-enabling modeling solutions, combining physics-based and machine learning algorithms, are playing an increasingly important role in managing complex 3D device structures within the expanding installed base in gate-all-around manufacturing.

Advanced Packaging as a Key Growth Driver

Advanced packaging sales reached record levels in Q2 FY26, contributing nearly 25% of overall product revenue. This growth was fueled by customers' continued investment in advanced packaging and high-bandwidth memory capacity to support the growing demand for AI-related devices. The Nova WMC platform was a significant growth driver, securing a tool of record selection by a leading foundry customer for multiple layer measurements and seeing accelerating adoption across memory and foundry customers, positioning Nova to benefit from further investments in this area.

Enhanced Customer Visibility and Supply Chain Management

Nova is experiencing enhanced visibility into the remainder of 2026 and into 2027, with customers planning further ahead and providing longer-term commitments. This improved customer intimacy, described as an 'unprecedented cycle,' allows Nova to better plan with its supply chain. Despite the supply chain being stretched, the company is actively managing production to ensure it meets lead times, which currently range from 4 to 12 months depending on the product line, and addresses increased customer demand.

Financial Strength and Capital Allocation

The company's financial position remains robust, with over $1.7 billion in cash and investments. This provides substantial flexibility to continue investing in R&D, support strategic growth initiatives, and pursue selective M&A opportunities that align with long-term objectives. Operating margins reached 33% on a non-GAAP basis, at the upper end of the 28%-33% target model, highlighting the leverage inherent in Nova's operating model and strong profitability performance.

Summary of the company's earnings call; see how call summaries are prepared. Not investment advice.