Detailed narrative
IL MAKIAGE Ad Account Dislocation
The company is working intensively with its main ad partner to resolve a technical algorithm dislocation impacting IL MAKIAGE. This issue has led to sharply higher customer acquisition costs (CPA) and a significant decline in first orders, affecting overall revenue and profitability. Management believes the problem is technical, solvable, and not related to brand runway, with hopes for normalization and a return to growth in 2027.
SpoiledChild Performance & Strategy
SpoiledChild continues to demonstrate strong growth, on track to grow at least 35% and approach $350 million in net revenue in 2026, outpacing IL MAKIAGE's timeline to reach this milestone. The brand exhibits robust customer metrics, including 12-month net revenue repeat rates well in excess of 100%. The company plans to continue investing in its direct-to-consumer business and explore new growth levers in 2027, including international expansion and new product categories.
METHODIQ Launch & Medical-Grade Expansion
Launched less than a year ago, METHODIQ is showing significant promise, expected to exceed SpoiledChild's first-year revenue. The brand focuses on medical-grade solutions, exemplified by its hyperpigmentation hero product, Mellan-X 509, which leverages ODDITY Labs' molecule combinations. METHODIQ targets a determined customer base with attractive LTVs, and the company plans to launch new categories and products in 2027, including prescription injectable and peptide therapies for longevity and metabolic health.
ODDITY Labs & AI in Product Development
ODDITY Labs is a key investment area, providing differentiation in product efficacy and experience, with applications across the portfolio. The hyperpigmentation solution is a prime example. The company is also exploring molecules for aging, showing early promise in increasing collagen synthesis. AI is being leveraged to speed up molecule discovery and development processes, enhancing the potential and efficiency of ODDITY Labs.
Capital Allocation & Financial Strength
Oddity maintains a strong liquidity position with $561 million in cash, cash equivalents, and investments, and undrawn credit facilities of $350 million. The company actively manages its capital structure, repurchasing 5.6 million shares for $80 million in Q2, bringing year-to-date repurchases to $163 million and reducing outstanding shares by approximately 20%. Additionally, $50 million face value of 0% June 2030 exchangeable notes were repurchased at a discounted price of $35 million.
Business Model Resiliency & Learnings
The ad dislocation has provided significant learnings in media buying and algorithm mechanics. The company is increasing efforts to fix the problem and enhance business resilience through more distribution and channels. The strong performance of SpoiledChild and METHODIQ demonstrates the model's resilience, with a growing portfolio of brands and categories reducing reliance on a single brand. The company also shifted acquisition strategy from 'Try Before You Buy' to 'Buy' for 50% or more of acquisitions without impacting unit economics, while still valuing the Try model.