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Pinnacle West Capital (PNW) Q2 FY26 earnings call: guidance and Q&A

Earnings call· Jun 2026 (Q2 FY26)· Utilities· Aug 4, 2026

Source: earnings call transcript

Executive summary

Pinnacle West Capital Q2 FY26 — Strong Sales Growth and Strategic Investments

Pinnacle West delivered a solid second quarter, marked by robust customer and sales growth, particularly in the C&I sector driven by semiconductor and data center expansion. The company is strategically investing in infrastructure, including the conversion of coal units to natural gas and significant transmission projects, to support Arizona's rapid economic development. Management remains focused on achieving a constructive outcome in the ongoing rate case and maintaining financial discipline while reiterating full-year EPS guidance at the top end of the range.

Highlights

5
  • Achieved 2.1% customer growth and 9.6% weather-normalized sales growth in Q2 FY26, driven by diverse residential and C&I demand.

  • Reiterated full-year EPS guidance, expecting to finish at the top end of $4.55 to $4.75 per share.

  • Announced intent to convert two retired coal-fired units at Cholla power plant to natural gas, providing 380 MW by 2029.

  • Reached a new all-time peak demand record of 9,164 MW on August 2, exceeding last year's record by over 500 MW.

  • Secured a new $500 million ATM program, providing ongoing funding flexibility.

Concerns

2
  • Q2 FY26 EPS decreased by $0.15 compared to Q2 FY25, primarily due to higher interest net of AFUDC, higher depreciation and amortization, and lower transmission revenue.

  • Potential impacts of weather and sales variability during the remaining summer months remain a factor for full-year results.

Guidance & targets

CategoryTargetConfidence
Full-year 2026 Adjusted EPS
$4.55 to $4.75 per share, expecting to finish at the top end
high materiality
High
Incremental Capital Investment (Cholla conversion)
approximately $440 million
medium materiality
High
New ATM Program Authorization
$500 million
medium materiality
High

Orderbook & backlog

Committed large C&I load 4,500 MW Q2 FY26

ramping up, takes beyond 2030 to get to full ramp-up

Uncommitted grid interconnection queue 20 GW Q2 FY26

potential projects from this queue are under negotiation

Deals & partnerships

Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company (TSMC) Additional investment in Arizona facilities. $100 billion (additional), $265 billion (total commitment)

TSMC's expanded commitment to Arizona, driving significant economic development.

Capital programs

Cholla Power Plant Conversion announced intent approximately $440 million

Benefit:380 megawatts of reliable, dispatchable generation

Conversion of 2 retired coal-fired units to natural gas, repurposing existing infrastructure.

Strategic Transmission Project (Four Corners to Cholla) beginning to unlock the capital multi potential $1 billion

Benefit:creates resiliency on the line that [indiscernible] four corners region into Cholla, and ultimately, down into the load pocket here. several hundred mile line.

A substantial project to enhance system resiliency and access resources.

Risks & headwinds

Higher interest expense, depreciation & amortization, lower transmission revenue Q2 FY26

$0.15 per share decrease in Q2 FY26 EPS

Mitigation:Actively managing upcoming debt maturities, seeking advantageous financing opportunities.

Weather and sales variability remaining summer months

potential impacts

Mitigation:Monitoring closely.

Colorado River water reallocation Long-term

more of an economic issue than it is an impact of no water supply

Mitigation:Developing long-term solutions, states collaborating for a durable solution.

What to watch in Q3 FY26

IRP filing details on committed load growth and ramp timing

end of October
Current 4.5 GW committed queue, TSMC production relatively flat YoY
Target Detailed timing and ramp schedule for 4.5 GW committed queue, including TSMC expansion

Why it matters

Provides critical visibility into the company's growth drivers and future resource needs, impacting long-term capital plans and earnings.

what you should expect from this IRP is really our latest thinking on the committed load growth and the ramp of that load growth... the 4.5-plus gigawatts of our committed queue, this will be the first line of sight that we're able to offer in terms of the timing of that ramp and the resources needed to be able to serve it.

Find out whether PNW delivers this. Inve re-checks your case every morning.

Q&A highlights

Inquired about the sustainability of strong retail sales growth (9.6% weather-normalized, 12.7% C&I) and potential for revisiting long-term sales guidance.

Management highlighted the robust and diverse nature of sales growth across residential and C&I, driven by data centers and the semiconductor ecosystem. They noted Q2 growth was closer to their long-term outlook of 5-7% total sales growth and 4-6% C&I growth, suggesting sustained runway and potential upside to guidance as the 4,500 MW large C&I load ramps up beyond 2030.

“this was a lot closer to our long-term sales growth guidance range, which we provided through 2030, which is 5% to 7% relative to the 4% to 6% that we're showing for this year. There certainly is upside potential to the sales growth range.”

asked by Alexander Calvert · answered by Andrew Cooper

2 min read 5 chapters

Detailed narrative

Arizona Economic Growth and TSMC Expansion

Arizona's economy continues its strong growth trajectory, particularly in semiconductor manufacturing. Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company (TSMC) announced an additional $100 billion investment, bringing its total commitment to $265 billion for up to 12 fabrication and advanced packaging facilities and an R&D campus in North Phoenix. This expansion is driving significant regional development, including the Halo Vista project, which is expected to grow to 30 million square feet of mixed-use development and 9,000 residential units over the next decade.

Resource Strategy and Infrastructure Investments

To support the growing demand, Pinnacle West is pursuing an "all of the above" resource strategy. This includes the intent to convert two retired coal-fired units at the Cholla power plant to natural gas, providing approximately 380 MW of reliable, dispatchable generation by 2029. The company is also making significant investments in transmission projects to enhance reliability, integrate new resources, and expand access to regional markets, benefiting from FERC Formula rate recovery and generating wheeling revenue.

Rate Case and Regulatory Developments

The company concluded 31 days of rate case hearings on July 7 and is now in the briefing phase, with initial briefs due August 27 and reply briefs due September 11. A recommended opinion and order from the administrative law judge is expected later this year, leading to a final commission decision before year-end. Management remains focused on achieving a constructive outcome and a sustainable cost recovery framework.

Operational Performance and Customer Satisfaction

The company delivered top-tier reliable service during extreme summer heat, reaching a new all-time peak demand record of 9,164 MW on August 2, exceeding the prior year's record by over 500 MW. Efforts to strengthen customer-centric culture are yielding results, with APS ranking in the first quartile for business customer satisfaction and second quartile for residential customers in Escalon's customer relationship index.

Desert Southwest Pipeline and Water Management

Pinnacle West anticipates the need for new gas transport supply in the next decade to support regional growth, contracting with the Desert Southwest pipeline for service by the end of the decade. The pipeline largely follows an existing route, and its FERC scoping process has begun. Regarding water, the company does not foresee operational impacts from Colorado River allocation changes, as Palo Verde operates on 100% recycled wastewater, and overall operational water usage has been halved over the last decade.

Summary of the company's earnings call; see how call summaries are prepared. Not investment advice.