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    PNW
    Earnings call· Jun 2026(Q2 FY26)

    PINNACLE WEST CAPITAL Q2 FY26 earnings call PNW

    Aug 4, 2026 Source

    Executive summary

    Pinnacle West Capital Q2 FY26 — Strong Sales Growth and Strategic Investments

    Pinnacle West delivered a solid second quarter, marked by robust customer and sales growth, particularly in the C&I sector driven by semiconductor and data center expansion. The company is strategically investing in infrastructure, including the conversion of coal units to natural gas and significant transmission projects, to support Arizona's rapid economic development. Management remains focused on achieving a constructive outcome in the ongoing rate case and maintaining financial discipline while reiterating full-year EPS guidance at the top end of the range.

    Highlights

    5
    • Achieved 2.1% customer growth and 9.6% weather-normalized sales growth in Q2 FY26, driven by diverse residential and C&I demand.

    • Reiterated full-year EPS guidance, expecting to finish at the top end of $4.55 to $4.75 per share.

    • Announced intent to convert two retired coal-fired units at Cholla power plant to natural gas, providing 380 MW by 2029.

    • Reached a new all-time peak demand record of 9,164 MW on August 2, exceeding last year's record by over 500 MW.

    • Secured a new $500 million ATM program, providing ongoing funding flexibility.

    Concerns

    2
    • Q2 FY26 EPS decreased by $0.15 compared to Q2 FY25, primarily due to higher interest net of AFUDC, higher depreciation and amortization, and lower transmission revenue.

    • Potential impacts of weather and sales variability during the remaining summer months remain a factor for full-year results.

    Guidance & targets

    3
    CategoryTargetConfidence
    Full-year 2026 Adjusted EPS
    $4.55 to $4.75 per share, expecting to finish at the top end
    high materiality
    High
    Incremental Capital Investment (Cholla conversion)
    approximately $440 million
    medium materiality
    High
    New ATM Program Authorization
    $500 million
    medium materiality
    High

    Operational metrics

    18
    Adjusted EPS
    $1.43decrease of $0.15 compared to Q2 FY25
    Q2 FY26

    Reported EPS for the quarter.

    Customer growth
    2.1%YoY
    Q2 FY26

    Customer growth rate.

    Weather-normalized sales growth
    9.6%YoY
    Q2 FY26

    Weather-normalized sales growth compared to Q2 FY25.

    Residential sales growth
    5.6%YoY
    Q2 FY26

    Residential sales growth for the quarter.

    Commercial and Industrial sales growth
    12.7%YoY
    Q2 FY26

    Commercial and Industrial sales growth for the quarter.

    O&M expense
    declined modestlycompared with Q2 FY25
    Q2 FY26

    O&M expense trend.

    Peak demand record
    9,164exceeding last year's record by more than 500 MW
    August 2, 2026

    New all-time peak demand record.

    Business customer satisfaction (Escalon's CRI)
    first quartile
    Q2 FY26

    Ranking in customer relationship index.

    Residential customer satisfaction (Escalon's CRI)
    second quartile
    Q2 FY26

    Ranking in customer relationship index.

    Transmission CapEx
    $200 milliona year range
    beginning of this decade

    Historical CapEx for transmission.

    Palo Verde water usage
    100%
    Current

    Palo Verde operates on 100% recycled wastewater.

    Water usage for operations reduction
    half
    last 10 years

    Reduction in overall water usage for operations.

    Long-term sales growth guidance (total)
    5% to 7%
    through 2030

    Long-term sales growth guidance range.

    Long-term C&I sales growth guidance
    4% to 6%
    through 2030

    Long-term C&I sales growth guidance range.

    Existing ATM equity program
    $900 millionfully utilized
    Current

    Total capacity of the existing ATM program.

    Senior unsecured notes issued
    $500 million
    Q2 FY26

    Amount of senior unsecured notes issued to refinance maturing notes.

    EPS benefit from customer and sales growth
    $0.11quarter-over-quarter earnings benefit
    Q2 FY26

    Contribution to EPS from customer and sales growth.

    EPS decrease from specific drivers
    $0.15compared to Q2 FY25
    Q2 FY26

    Decrease in EPS due to higher interest net of AFUDC, higher depreciation and amortization, and lower transmission revenue.

    Industry KPIs

    3
    MetricValueDetails
    Retail sales growth9.6%%
    New gas generation builds upgrades380 MWMW
    Contracted large load capacity esas loas4.5 GWGW

    Orderbook & backlog

    2
    Committed large C&I load4,500 MWQ2 FY26

    ramping up, takes beyond 2030 to get to full ramp-up

    Uncommitted grid interconnection queue20 GWQ2 FY26

    potential projects from this queue are under negotiation

    Deals & partnerships

    1
    Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company (TSMC)Additional investment in Arizona facilities.$100 billion (additional), $265 billion (total commitment)

    TSMC's expanded commitment to Arizona, driving significant economic development.

    Capital programs

    2
    Cholla Power Plant Conversionannounced intentapproximately $440 million

    Benefit: 380 megawatts of reliable, dispatchable generation

    Conversion of 2 retired coal-fired units to natural gas, repurposing existing infrastructure.

    Strategic Transmission Project (Four Corners to Cholla)beginning to unlock the capitalmulti potential $1 billion

    Benefit: creates resiliency on the line that [indiscernible] four corners region into Cholla, and ultimately, down into the load pocket here. several hundred mile line.

    A substantial project to enhance system resiliency and access resources.

    Risks & headwinds

    3
    Higher interest expense, depreciation & amortization, lower transmission revenueQ2 FY26

    $0.15 per share decrease in Q2 FY26 EPS

    Mitigation: Actively managing upcoming debt maturities, seeking advantageous financing opportunities.

    Weather and sales variabilityremaining summer months

    potential impacts

    Mitigation: Monitoring closely.

    Colorado River water reallocationLong-term

    more of an economic issue than it is an impact of no water supply

    Mitigation: Developing long-term solutions, states collaborating for a durable solution.

    What to watch in Q3 FY26

    5

    IRP filing details on committed load growth and ramp timing

    end of October
    Current4.5 GW committed queue, TSMC production relatively flat YoY
    TargetDetailed timing and ramp schedule for 4.5 GW committed queue, including TSMC expansion

    Why it matters

    Provides critical visibility into the company's growth drivers and future resource needs, impacting long-term capital plans and earnings.

    what you should expect from this IRP is really our latest thinking on the committed load growth and the ramp of that load growth... the 4.5-plus gigawatts of our committed queue, this will be the first line of sight that we're able to offer in terms of the timing of📎 that ramp and the resources needed to be able to serve it.

    Q&A highlights

    7

    Inquired about the sustainability of strong retail sales growth (9.6% weather-normalized, 12.7% C&I) and potential for revisiting long-term sales guidance.

    Management highlighted the robust and diverse nature of sales growth across residential and C&I, driven by data centers and the semiconductor ecosystem. They noted Q2 growth was closer to their long-term outlook of 5-7% total sales growth and 4-6% C&I growth, suggesting sustained runway and potential upside to guidance as the 4,500 MW large C&I load ramps up beyond 2030.

    this was a lot closer to our long-term sales growth guidance range, which we provided through 2030, which is 5% to 7% relative to the 4% to 6% that we're showing for this year. There certainly is upside potential to the sales growth range.

    asked by Alexander Calvert · answered by Andrew Cooper

    2 min read5 chapters

    Detailed Narrative

    01

    Arizona Economic Growth and TSMC Expansion

    Arizona's economy continues its strong growth trajectory, particularly in semiconductor manufacturing. Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company (TSMC) announced an additional $100 billion investment, bringing its total commitment to $265 billion for up to 12 fabrication and advanced packaging facilities and an R&D campus in North Phoenix. This expansion is driving significant regional development, including the Halo Vista project, which is expected to grow to 30 million square feet of mixed-use development and 9,000 residential units over the next decade.

    02

    Resource Strategy and Infrastructure Investments

    To support the growing demand, Pinnacle West is pursuing an "all of the above" resource strategy. This includes the intent to convert two retired coal-fired units at the Cholla power plant to natural gas, providing approximately 380 MW of reliable, dispatchable generation by 2029. The company is also making significant investments in transmission projects to enhance reliability, integrate new resources, and expand access to regional markets, benefiting from FERC Formula rate recovery and generating wheeling revenue.

    03

    Rate Case and Regulatory Developments

    The company concluded 31 days of rate case hearings on July 7 and is now in the briefing phase, with initial briefs due August 27 and reply briefs due September 11. A recommended opinion and order from the administrative law judge is expected later this year, leading to a final commission decision before year-end. Management remains focused on achieving a constructive outcome and a sustainable cost recovery framework.

    04

    Operational Performance and Customer Satisfaction

    The company delivered top-tier reliable service during extreme summer heat, reaching a new all-time peak demand record of 9,164 MW on August 2, exceeding the prior year's record by over 500 MW. Efforts to strengthen customer-centric culture are yielding results, with APS ranking in the first quartile for business customer satisfaction and second quartile for residential customers in Escalon's customer relationship index.

    05

    Desert Southwest Pipeline and Water Management

    Pinnacle West anticipates the need for new gas transport supply in the next decade to support regional growth, contracting with the Desert Southwest pipeline for service by the end of the decade. The pipeline largely follows an existing route, and its FERC scoping process has begun. Regarding water, the company does not foresee operational impacts from Colorado River allocation changes, as Palo Verde operates on 100% recycled wastewater, and overall operational water usage has been halved over the last decade.

    AI-generated summary of the company’s earnings call. Not investment advice.