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    PR
    Earnings call· Dec 2025(Q4 FY25)

    Permian Resources Q4 FY25 earnings call PR

    Feb 26, 2026 Source

    Executive summary

    Permian Resources Q4 FY25 — Record Operational Metrics and Increased Dividend

    Permian Resources capped off a strong 2025 with record operational metrics and significant free cash flow per share growth, driven by disciplined execution and cost reductions in the Delaware Basin. The company's 2026 plan focuses on maximizing shareholder value through continued capital efficiency, strategic acquisitions, and a growing base dividend, while maintaining a cautious stance on growth amid macro uncertainties. The company has also significantly de-risked its gas exposure.

    Highlights

    5
    • Q4 oil production reached a record 188,600 barrels of oil per day.

    • Free cash flow per share increased 18% year-over-year to $1.94 per share in FY25.

    • D&C cost per foot reduced to a record low of $700 in Q4 FY25.

    • Quarterly base dividend increased 7% to $0.16 per share for 2026.

    • WAHA exposure reduced to approximately 10% of total gas volumes in 2026, with expected gas realizations of a $0.50 premium to WAHA.

    Concerns

    3
    • Potential for challenges in the gas macro environment over 2026, though PR is largely insulated.

    • Non-D&C spend has not seen the same deflation as D&C, due to tariff-driven inflation on items like tanks, vessels, and steel compression.

    • Federal lease sales are often highly competitive and more expensive than other acquisition opportunities.

    Guidance & targets

    13
    CategoryTargetConfidence
    Full-year total production
    415,000 BOE per day
    high materiality
    High
    Full-year oil production
    189,000 barrels of oil per day
    high materiality
    High
    Full-year CapEx
    $1.85 billion
    high materiality
    High
    Quarterly base dividend
    $0.16 per share
    high materiality
    High
    Gas realizations vs WAHA
    $0.50 premium
    medium materiality
    High
    WAHA exposure
    Approximately 10% of total gas volumes
    medium materiality
    High
    Gas volumes out of basin
    700 million cubic feet per day
    medium materiality
    High
    Anticipated D&C cost per foot
    $675 a foot
    medium materiality
    High
    Cash taxpayer status
    Not a full cash taxpayer
    medium materiality
    High
    Hedge target for year 1
    30%
    low materiality
    High
    Hedge target for year 2
    20%
    low materiality
    High
    Hedge target for year 3
    10%
    low materiality
    High
    M&A capacity
    $1 billion to $3 billion
    high materiality
    Medium

    Segment performance

    1
    SegmentRevenueYoYQoQMargin
    Delaware Basin
    Development program and well mix for 2026 will be largely the same as 2025, focused on high-returning assets. Average working interest, 8/8ths NRI, and well mix by zone are expected to be very similar to last year.
    New Mexico activity: 65% of total activityTexas Delaware activity: 30% of total activity

    Operational metrics

    10
    Cash CapEx
    $481 million
    Q4 FY25

    Part of the total $1.97 billion for FY25.

    Cash CapEx
    $1.97 billion
    FY25

    Total cash CapEx for the full year 2025.

    Oil production increase
    30,000 bbl/d
    2024-2026

    Increase in oil production from 2024 to 2026.

    CapEx budget reduction
    $250 million
    2024-2026

    Reduction in CapEx budget from 2024 to 2026.

    Free cash flow per share growth
    72%
    2023-2025

    Growth in free cash flow per share from 2023 to 2025, driven by team efforts.

    Accounts receivable increase
    $320 millionQoQ
    Q4 FY25

    Increase in accounts receivable quarter-over-quarter, correlated with business scaling up, but working capital remained constant.

    Average lateral length
    11,000 feet
    Current

    Current average lateral length, with potential for further upside in new assets.

    Potential D&C cost reduction from longer laterals
    $20-$25 per foot
    Future

    Estimated reduction if lateral length is extended by 2,500 feet, balancing D&C savings with potential production delays.

    Drilling rig daily spread rate
    $100,000 to $125,000
    Current

    Hypothetical daily cost for a drilling rig, used to illustrate potential savings from faster drilling (e.g., 5+ days faster than Midland Basin).

    Potential well savings from faster drilling
    $500,000-$700,000
    Future

    Hypothetical savings per well if drilling time is reduced by 5+ days, based on a daily spread rate of $100,000-$125,000.

    Industry KPIs

    10
    MetricValueDetails
    D c efficiency rig activity$700USD/foot
    Pipeline throughput storage400 MMcf/dMMcf/d
    Realized price differential$0.50 premiumUSD
    Sanctioned expansion backlog250 locationslocations
    Basin level production volume188,600 bbl/dbbl/d
    Cost of supply unit cash cost$5.26USD/BOE
    FCF shareholder distributions$0.16USD/share
    Take or pay contract structure10%%
    Weather event volume earnings impactNo Q1 dip
    Distributable cash flow per unit share$1.94USD/share

    Deals & partnerships

    3
    MultipleInventory-weighted acquisitions$240 million

    Approximately 140 transactions closed during Q4 FY25, capping off a strong M&A program.

    MultipleFull-year M&A program$1.1 billion

    Consisted of a large asset deal from Apache in New Mexico, several medium-sized bolt-on acquisitions, and over 675 smaller transactions (ground game).

    ApacheLarge asset deal

    Part of the $1.1 billion FY25 M&A program, specifically a large asset deal in New Mexico.

    Risks & headwinds

    4
    Gas macro environment challenges2026

    Potential for challenges over the course of 2026

    Mitigation: PR is largely insulated from WAHA volatility due to gas marketing optimization efforts, with 90% of 2026 gas pricing at non-WAHA destinations or hedged.

    Potential oversupplied oil market2026

    Risk of meaningfully oversupplied market

    Mitigation: Cautious approach to growth in 2026, holding off on higher activity until more certainty in macro and stable/higher oil prices.

    Federal lease sales competitivenessOngoing

    More expensive than most other acquisition opportunities

    Mitigation: PR selectively participates where it has a strategic or information advantage, but generally finds them too competitive compared to its ground game and bolt-on acquisitions.

    Non-D&C spend inflationFY26

    Less deflation on non-D&C spend

    Mitigation: Teams are working to stem the tide of tariff-driven inflation on items like tanks, vessels, and steel compression; confident in reducing spending on infrastructure over time as the business matures.

    What to watch in Q1 FY26

    5

    Gas realizations vs. WAHA

    Next quarter / 2026
    Current$0.40 discount (2025)
    Target$0.50 premium (2026)

    Why it matters

    Significant improvement in gas marketing strategy and profitability, impacting overall margins.

    Specifically, in 2025, we expect our gas realizations to be a roughly $0.40 discount versus WAHA. Through these recent efforts, we now expect to realize a $0.50 premium to WAHA this year.

    Q&A highlights

    6

    Why does PR grow volumes for FCF/share growth while peers maintain flat/declining volumes?

    PR's strategy is largely 'numerator-focused' (organic and inorganic growth) due to the opportunity set and inventory quality in the Delaware Basin, which is seen as less mature than basins where peers focus on 'denominator-focused' (share buyback) strategies. Both approaches can work, but PR is fortunate to have growth opportunities.

    I think we're in the most exciting oil basin in North America that has a ton of running room. So you've seen us do more free cash flow per share growth in the terms of organic growth and growth through acquisitions, and that's been a really good recipe for us.

    asked by Kevin MacCurdy · answered by James Walter

    2 min read6 chapters

    Detailed Narrative

    01

    Operational Excellence and Cost Reduction

    Permian Resources achieved record operational metrics in Q4 FY25, including its highest oil production, lowest D&C cost per foot ($700), and lowest controllable cash cost in company history. These improvements were driven by increased drilling feet per day (up 6% YoY) and completed lateral feet per day (up 20% YoY), as well as initiatives like microgrid projects reducing LOE per BOE by 3%. The company anticipates further D&C cost reductions to $675 per foot in 2026, aiming to close the gap with Midland Basin drilling efficiencies.

    02

    Strategic Acquisitions and Inventory Management

    The company closed approximately 140 transactions totaling $240 million in Q4 FY25, adding 7,700 net acres, 1,300 net royalty acres, and 70 net locations. For the full year 2025, PR completed $1.1 billion in acquisitions, adding 250 locations and 13,000 BOE/d, and organically expanded inventory by another 200 locations. This marks the third consecutive year of acquiring more inventory than drilled, enhancing inventory life and quality, with a focus on inventory-weighted deals less susceptible to market fluctuations.

    03

    Gas Marketing Optimization

    Permian Resources has significantly de-risked its WAHA exposure through executed agreements, expecting to sell approximately 400 million cubic feet per day out of the basin in 2026, increasing to 700 million cubic feet per day in 2027 and beyond. This strategy is projected to shift gas realizations from a $0.40 discount to WAHA in 2025 to a $0.50 premium in 2026, insulating the company from WAHA volatility.

    04

    Capital Allocation and Shareholder Returns

    The company increased its 2026 quarterly base dividend by 7% to $0.16 per share, reflecting a 40% CAGR since inception in 2022. Management emphasizes a flexible capital allocation strategy, prioritizing the base dividend, pursuing accretive acquisitions, accruing cash, and opportunistic share buybacks when dislocations exist. The balance sheet is in a strong position with ample liquidity and low leverage, with the company on the cusp of achieving investment-grade status.

    05

    Well Productivity and Development Strategy

    Permian Resources maintains consistent well productivity, with 2026 expectations in line with or slightly better than 2024 and 2025, a testament to its consistent development methodology and inventory position. The development plan remains focused on high-returning Delaware Basin assets, with New Mexico accounting for about 65% of activity and Texas Delaware about 30%. The company is exploring longer laterals (up to 2.5 miles) where optimal for returns, balancing D&C savings with potential production delays.

    06

    Long-Term Free Cash Flow Per Share Growth

    The company's core focus is on maximizing long-term free cash flow per share, which has grown from $1.13 in 2023 to $1.94 in 2025 (72% higher), despite lower commodity prices. This growth is attributed to strong execution, cost reductions, and strategic inventory additions, rather than relying on multiple re-rating. The company aims to sustain this growth over 5, 10, and 20 years, avoiding underinvestment in the business.

    AI-generated summary of the company’s earnings call. Not investment advice.