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Permian Resources (PR) Q4 FY25 earnings call: guidance and Q&A

Earnings call· Dec 2025 (Q4 FY25)· Energy· Feb 26, 2026

Source: earnings call transcript

Executive summary

Permian Resources Q4 FY25 — Record Operational Metrics and Increased Dividend

Permian Resources capped off a strong 2025 with record operational metrics and significant free cash flow per share growth, driven by disciplined execution and cost reductions in the Delaware Basin. The company's 2026 plan focuses on maximizing shareholder value through continued capital efficiency, strategic acquisitions, and a growing base dividend, while maintaining a cautious stance on growth amid macro uncertainties. The company has also significantly de-risked its gas exposure.

Highlights

5
  • Q4 oil production reached a record 188,600 barrels of oil per day.

  • Free cash flow per share increased 18% year-over-year to $1.94 per share in FY25.

  • D&C cost per foot reduced to a record low of $700 in Q4 FY25.

  • Quarterly base dividend increased 7% to $0.16 per share for 2026.

  • WAHA exposure reduced to approximately 10% of total gas volumes in 2026, with expected gas realizations of a $0.50 premium to WAHA.

Concerns

3
  • Potential for challenges in the gas macro environment over 2026, though PR is largely insulated.

  • Non-D&C spend has not seen the same deflation as D&C, due to tariff-driven inflation on items like tanks, vessels, and steel compression.

  • Federal lease sales are often highly competitive and more expensive than other acquisition opportunities.

Guidance & targets

CategoryTargetConfidence
Full-year total production
415,000 BOE per day
high materiality
High
Full-year oil production
189,000 barrels of oil per day
high materiality
High
Full-year CapEx
$1.85 billion
high materiality
High
Quarterly base dividend
$0.16 per share
high materiality
High
Gas realizations vs WAHA
$0.50 premium
medium materiality
High
WAHA exposure
Approximately 10% of total gas volumes
medium materiality
High
Gas volumes out of basin
700 million cubic feet per day
medium materiality
High
Anticipated D&C cost per foot
$675 a foot
medium materiality
High
Cash taxpayer status
Not a full cash taxpayer
medium materiality
High
Hedge target for year 1
30%
low materiality
High
Hedge target for year 2
20%
low materiality
High
Hedge target for year 3
10%
low materiality
High
M&A capacity
$1 billion to $3 billion
high materiality
Medium

Segment performance

SegmentRevenueYoYQoQMargin
Delaware Basin
Development program and well mix for 2026 will be largely the same as 2025, focused on high-returning assets. Average working interest, 8/8ths NRI, and well mix by zone are expected to be very similar to last year.
New Mexico activity: 65% of total activityTexas Delaware activity: 30% of total activity
————

PR operating KPIs by quarter

PR operating KPIs stated on its earnings calls, by fiscal quarter
KPIThis call Dec 2025 Q4 FY25 Mar 2026 Q1 FY26 Jun 2026 Q2 FY26Change vs prior quarter
Oil production
188.6K bbl/d Q4 production exceeded expectations with oil production of 188,600 barrels of oil per day and total production of 401,500 barrels of oil equivalent per day. Source: earnings call transcript
192K bbl/d Q1 production exceeded expectations with oil production of 192,000 barrels a day and total production of 413,000 barrels of oil equivalent per day. Source: earnings call transcript
~198K bbl/d Oil production came in at approximately 198,000 barrels per day, up 3% quarter-over-quarter. Source: earnings call transcript
—
Production
401.5K boe/d Q4 production exceeded expectations with oil production of 188,600 barrels of oil per day and total production of 401,500 barrels of oil equivalent per day. Source: earnings call transcript
413K boe/d Q1 production exceeded expectations with oil production of 192,000 barrels a day and total production of 413,000 barrels of oil equivalent per day. Source: earnings call transcript
—+2.9%

Operating figures the company stated on at least two of the calls shown, checked against each call's transcript. Click a figure to read the sentence. A dash means it was not stated that quarter.

Deals & partnerships

Multiple Inventory-weighted acquisitions $240 million

Approximately 140 transactions closed during Q4 FY25, capping off a strong M&A program.

Multiple Full-year M&A program $1.1 billion

Consisted of a large asset deal from Apache in New Mexico, several medium-sized bolt-on acquisitions, and over 675 smaller transactions (ground game).

Apache Large asset deal

Part of the $1.1 billion FY25 M&A program, specifically a large asset deal in New Mexico.

Risks & headwinds

Gas macro environment challenges 2026

Potential for challenges over the course of 2026

Mitigation:PR is largely insulated from WAHA volatility due to gas marketing optimization efforts, with 90% of 2026 gas pricing at non-WAHA destinations or hedged.

Potential oversupplied oil market 2026

Risk of meaningfully oversupplied market

Mitigation:Cautious approach to growth in 2026, holding off on higher activity until more certainty in macro and stable/higher oil prices.

Federal lease sales competitiveness Ongoing

More expensive than most other acquisition opportunities

Mitigation:PR selectively participates where it has a strategic or information advantage, but generally finds them too competitive compared to its ground game and bolt-on acquisitions.

Non-D&C spend inflation FY26

Less deflation on non-D&C spend

Mitigation:Teams are working to stem the tide of tariff-driven inflation on items like tanks, vessels, and steel compression; confident in reducing spending on infrastructure over time as the business matures.

What to watch in Q1 FY26

Gas realizations vs. WAHA

Next quarter / 2026
Current $0.40 discount (2025)
Target $0.50 premium (2026)

Why it matters

Significant improvement in gas marketing strategy and profitability, impacting overall margins.

Specifically, in 2025, we expect our gas realizations to be a roughly $0.40 discount versus WAHA. Through these recent efforts, we now expect to realize a $0.50 premium to WAHA this year.

Find out whether PR delivers this. Inve re-checks your case every morning.

Q&A highlights

Why does PR grow volumes for FCF/share growth while peers maintain flat/declining volumes?

PR's strategy is largely 'numerator-focused' (organic and inorganic growth) due to the opportunity set and inventory quality in the Delaware Basin, which is seen as less mature than basins where peers focus on 'denominator-focused' (share buyback) strategies. Both approaches can work, but PR is fortunate to have growth opportunities.

“I think we're in the most exciting oil basin in North America that has a ton of running room. So you've seen us do more free cash flow per share growth in the terms of organic growth and growth through acquisitions, and that's been a really good recipe for us.”

asked by Kevin MacCurdy · answered by James Walter

2 min read 6 chapters

Detailed narrative

Operational Excellence and Cost Reduction

Permian Resources achieved record operational metrics in Q4 FY25, including its highest oil production, lowest D&C cost per foot ($700), and lowest controllable cash cost in company history. These improvements were driven by increased drilling feet per day (up 6% YoY) and completed lateral feet per day (up 20% YoY), as well as initiatives like microgrid projects reducing LOE per BOE by 3%. The company anticipates further D&C cost reductions to $675 per foot in 2026, aiming to close the gap with Midland Basin drilling efficiencies.

Strategic Acquisitions and Inventory Management

The company closed approximately 140 transactions totaling $240 million in Q4 FY25, adding 7,700 net acres, 1,300 net royalty acres, and 70 net locations. For the full year 2025, PR completed $1.1 billion in acquisitions, adding 250 locations and 13,000 BOE/d, and organically expanded inventory by another 200 locations. This marks the third consecutive year of acquiring more inventory than drilled, enhancing inventory life and quality, with a focus on inventory-weighted deals less susceptible to market fluctuations.

Gas Marketing Optimization

Permian Resources has significantly de-risked its WAHA exposure through executed agreements, expecting to sell approximately 400 million cubic feet per day out of the basin in 2026, increasing to 700 million cubic feet per day in 2027 and beyond. This strategy is projected to shift gas realizations from a $0.40 discount to WAHA in 2025 to a $0.50 premium in 2026, insulating the company from WAHA volatility.

Capital Allocation and Shareholder Returns

The company increased its 2026 quarterly base dividend by 7% to $0.16 per share, reflecting a 40% CAGR since inception in 2022. Management emphasizes a flexible capital allocation strategy, prioritizing the base dividend, pursuing accretive acquisitions, accruing cash, and opportunistic share buybacks when dislocations exist. The balance sheet is in a strong position with ample liquidity and low leverage, with the company on the cusp of achieving investment-grade status.

Well Productivity and Development Strategy

Permian Resources maintains consistent well productivity, with 2026 expectations in line with or slightly better than 2024 and 2025, a testament to its consistent development methodology and inventory position. The development plan remains focused on high-returning Delaware Basin assets, with New Mexico accounting for about 65% of activity and Texas Delaware about 30%. The company is exploring longer laterals (up to 2.5 miles) where optimal for returns, balancing D&C savings with potential production delays.

Long-Term Free Cash Flow Per Share Growth

The company's core focus is on maximizing long-term free cash flow per share, which has grown from $1.13 in 2023 to $1.94 in 2025 (72% higher), despite lower commodity prices. This growth is attributed to strong execution, cost reductions, and strategic inventory additions, rather than relying on multiple re-rating. The company aims to sustain this growth over 5, 10, and 20 years, avoiding underinvestment in the business.

Summary of the company's earnings call; see how call summaries are prepared. Not investment advice.