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Prairie Operating (PROP) Q2 FY26 earnings call: guidance and Q&A

Earnings call· Jun 2026 (Q2 FY26)· Energy· Aug 17, 2026

Source: earnings call transcript

Executive summary

Prairie Operating Co. Q2 FY26 — Capital Structure Simplified, Operational Efficiencies Drive Production Growth

Prairie Operating Co. delivered a transformative Q2 FY26, marked by significant capital structure simplification through preferred stock refinancing and warrant reduction. The company also demonstrated strong operational execution in its DJ Basin development, achieving efficiencies like a new hole design saving over $40,000 per well and driving August production to 27,000 BOE/day. While full-year guidance was adjusted to preserve liquidity and align with operating performance, the focus remains on disciplined capital allocation and converting high-quality inventory into sustainable cash flow.

Highlights

5
  • Production increased approximately 4% year-over-year to 21,866 BOE per day in Q2 FY26.

  • August month-to-date production increased to approximately 27,000 net BOE per day.

  • Successfully drilled first 3-mile lateral and achieved over $40,000 per well savings with a new hole design.

  • Adjusted EBITDA for H1 FY26 increased approximately 65% to $71.1 million.

  • Reduced outstanding preferred balance from $148.5 million to $78 million and anniversary warrant coverage from 1.25:1 to 0.65:1.

Concerns

4
  • Full-year 2026 average daily production guidance adjusted to 23,000-25,000 BOE per day.

  • Full-year 2026 capital expenditures guidance adjusted to $185 million-$195 million.

  • Negative natural gas realization of -$1.30 per Mcf in Q2 FY26 due to weaker CIG pricing.

  • Credit facility had $436 million outstanding with only $39 million of availability at quarter end.

Guidance & targets

CategoryTargetConfidence
Full-year 2026 average daily production
23,000 to 25,000 BOE per day
high materiality
High
Full-year 2026 capital expenditures
$185 million to $195 million
high materiality
High
Full-year 2026 adjusted EBITDA
$180 million to $190 million
high materiality
High
Q3 FY26 average daily production
26,000 to 28,000 BOE per day
medium materiality
Medium
Q4 FY26 average daily production trend
small decline
medium materiality
Medium

Risks & headwinds

Weaker CIG pricing for natural gas Q2 FY26

Negative natural gas realization of -$1.30 per Mcf in Q2 FY26

Mitigation:Commodity hedge portfolio provides meaningful downside protection and improved visibility into future cash flows.

Colorado Parks and Wildlife seasonal restrictions Q2 FY26

Planned pause between Opal Coalbank and Burnett pads, impacting timing of new well activity

Mitigation:Incorporating additional planning around seasonal operating restrictions to improve execution certainty.

Liquidity constraints on credit facility Near-term

$39 million availability on $475 million credit facility as of June 30

Mitigation:Adjusting full-year guidance to preserve and increase liquidity; working with banks on credit facility modifications, including a minimum production threshold.

Potential warrant-related dilution from Series F Preferred stock Ongoing

Anniversary warrant coverage was 1.25:1 at inception

Mitigation:Reduced outstanding preferred balance from $148.5 million to $78 million and anniversary warrant coverage to 0.65:1; actively pursuing refinancing solutions.

What to watch in Q3 FY26

Burnett pad initial production rates

Next quarter (Q3 FY26 results)
Current In flowback, not yet cutting hydrocarbons
Target Initial production rates and contribution to overall volume

Why it matters

Key indicator of success for a new pad in a derisked area, impacting Q3/Q4 production.

Burnett is in the flowback stages right now. It is interconnected to all the necessary infrastructure, but we have not cut hydrocarbons as of this morning. I would expect any moment, we will start seeing cutting hydrocarbons.

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Q&A highlights

Is the Burnett pad online, what are its initial rates, and how will production trend for Q3/Q4?

The Burnett pad is in flowback and not yet cutting hydrocarbons, so its production is not included in the 27,000 BOE/day August figure. The Castor pad is also in completion. Production is expected to be around 26,000-28,000 BOE/day for Q3, with a small decline exiting the year.

“Burnett is in the flowback stages right now. It is interconnected to all the necessary infrastructure, but we have not cut hydrocarbons as of this morning. I would expect any moment, we will start seeing cutting hydrocarbons. So we'll be able to talk a little bit more about that. So those wells are not factored into that approximate 27,000 net barrels a day factor.”

asked by Leo Mariani · answered by Gregory Patton

2 min read 5 chapters

Detailed narrative

Capital Structure Simplification

Prairie completed a meaningful partial refinancing of its Series F Preferred stock, reducing the outstanding preferred balance from an original $148.5 million to $78 million as of the end of Q2 FY26. The company also decreased the anniversary warrant coverage from its original inception of 1.25:1 to 0.65:1. These actions, along with extending the anniversary warrant date to August 31, 2026, aim to increase liquidity, improve financial flexibility, and align management and the Board around disciplined execution. Management is actively pursuing multiple avenues to address the remaining balance and refinance the preferred stock.

Operational Efficiencies and Drilling Performance

The company continued to demonstrate steady progress in drilling performance, completing 12 wells in Q2 FY26 (2 Codell, 10 Niobrara), with 8 drilled in a single run and all completed below AFE. Prairie successfully drilled its first 3-mile lateral and achieved significant cost savings of over $40,000 per well by implementing a smaller 7 7/8-inch hole design in trials on the Castor pad. This efficiency is planned for a significant portion of the upcoming Niobrara development program, lowering well costs without compromising performance. Year-to-date, 27 wells have been drilled, averaging 18,700 feet in measured depth and 6.2 days spud-to-rig release.

DJ Basin Development and Production Momentum

Prairie completed drilling operations at the Elder, Opal Coalbank, Burnett, and Castor pads during 2026. The Opal Coalbank wells began producing near the end of June, contributing to a significant increase in average month-to-date production for August to approximately 27,000 net BOE per day. The Burnett pad is currently in flowback stages, and the Castor pad is in completion stages, with their contributions expected to further impact production. This performance reinforces the quality of the DJ Basin asset base and provides encouraging momentum for the second half of the year.

Management and Board Refresh

During the quarter, Prairie Operating Co. transitioned its management team and refreshed its Board of Directors. New directors were welcomed, bringing enhanced experience and perspectives to strengthen oversight and strategic decision-making. These changes are part of a broader effort to position the company for its next phase of growth and ensure disciplined execution and long-term shareholder value creation.

Credit Facility Management

The company has been actively working with its banks to modify the reserve-based credit facility, including the introduction of a minimum production threshold. This modification is designed to balance continued development with liquidity availability, ensuring the company can progress its development plan without excessive growth or a complete shutdown. As of June 30, the facility had $436 million outstanding against a $475 million borrowing base, leaving $39 million of availability.

Summary of the company's earnings call; see how call summaries are prepared. Not investment advice.