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Rigetti Computing (RGTI) Q4 FY25 earnings call: guidance and Q&A

Earnings call· Dec 2025 (Q4 FY25)· Information Technology· Mar 4, 2026

Source: earnings call transcript

Executive summary

Rigetti Computing Q4 FY25 — Technical Validation and Strategic Deployments

Rigetti Computing advanced its quantum technology in Q4 FY25, achieving significant fidelity and speed milestones while securing key on-premises system orders from international governments and research institutions. The company maintains a disciplined, long-term focus on achieving quantum advantage within three years, leveraging its proprietary Fab 1 and chiplet architecture. Despite quarterly revenue variability and increased operating expenses, a strong cash position supports its organic roadmap and strategic partnerships for hybrid computing.

Highlights

5
  • Achieved 2-qubit gate fidelity as high as 99.9% at 28 nanosecond gate speed using proprietary Adiabatic CZ scheme.

  • Secured an $8.4 million order from India's C-DAC for a 108-qubit on-premises quantum computer, scheduled for H2 2026 deployment.

  • Secured purchase orders totaling approximately $5.7 million for two 9-qubit Novera on-premises systems.

  • Expanded geographic presence with a Novera QPU order from a Japanese research organization, to be delivered in April 2026.

  • Exited the year with approximately $590 million in cash, cash equivalents, and available for sale investments, providing sufficient runway.

Concerns

5
  • Q4 FY25 revenue decreased to $1.9 million from $2.3 million in Q4 FY24.

  • Gross margins for Q4 FY25 decreased to 35% from 44% in Q4 FY24, driven by contract mix with lower-margin strategic contracts.

  • Total operating expenses increased to $23.2 million in Q4 FY25 from $19.5 million in Q4 FY24.

  • Operating loss widened to $22.6 million in Q4 FY25 from $18.5 million in Q4 FY24.

  • Delay in general availability of the 108-qubit system due to identified tunable coupler interactions at higher scale.

Guidance & targets

CategoryTargetConfidence
108-qubit system deployment
Deployment of 108-qubit system at 99.5% median 2-qubit gate fidelity
high materiality
High
150-plus qubit system deployment
Deployment of system with more than 150-qubits with 99.7% median 2-qubit gate fidelity
high materiality
High
1,000-plus qubit system deployment
Deployment of system with more than 1,000 qubits with 99.8% median 2-qubit fidelity
high materiality
High
Novera sales revenue recognition
Less than half of $5.7 million revenue recognized
medium materiality
High
Novera sales revenue recognition
Balance of $5.7 million revenue recognized
medium materiality
High
C-DAC order revenue recognition
Revenue from $8.4 million C-DAC sale recognized
high materiality
High
Japanese Novera QPU revenue recognition
Novera QPU to Japanese organization to ship and rev rec
medium materiality
High
Quantum advantage timeline
Roughly 3 years from reaching quantum advantage
high materiality
Medium
DARPA Phase B entry
Entry into DARPA Phase B
medium materiality
Medium

Orderbook & backlog

Net bookings (total) $14.1 million Q4 FY25

Includes an $8.4 million order from India's C-DAC for a 108-qubit on-premises quantum computer and approximately $5.7 million for two 9-qubit Novera on-premises systems.

Product announcements

ProductTypeDetails
Novera QPUexpansion

Deals & partnerships

Center for Development of Advanced Computing (C-DAC), India Order for 108-qubit on-premises quantum computer $8.4 million

Order for a 108-qubit on-premises quantum computer, scheduled for deployment in the second half of 2026. This system will be integrated into C-DAC's supercomputing environment and is based on Rigetti's chiplet architecture. Builds on a prior MOU to explore co-development of hybrid classical quantum systems.

Unnamed customers Purchase orders for 2, 9-qubit Novera on-premises systems $5.7 million

Purchase orders totaling approximately $5.7 million for two 9-qubit Novera on-premises systems. These systems are used as test beds for quantum hardware research, error correction, and internal capability development, and are upgradeable.

Japanese research organization Purchase order for Novera QPU

Secured a purchase order for a Novera QPU from a Japanese research organization, scheduled for delivery in April 2026. This will be Rigetti's first QPU in Japan.

Reveriane Collaboration on real-time quantum error correction

Partnering to advance real-time quantum error correction capabilities, foundational for achieving fault-tolerant quantum computing. Reveriane's capabilities are expected to meaningfully advance this goal, with published papers and demonstrated concepts for real-time error correction.

NVIDIA Collaboration to support NVQLink

Working closely with NVIDIA to support NVQLink, an open platform designed to integrate quantum systems with AI supercomputing. This reflects a shared view that quantum computers will coexist with CPUs and GPUs in data centers as part of future hybrid computing environments.

QphoX and U.K.'s National Quantum Compute Center Collaboration on optical readout of superconducting qubits

Collaboration addresses a fundamental scaling bottleneck by reducing cryogenic heat load and wiring complexity. This early-stage research illustrates how Rigetti's architecture allows for incorporating novel technologies to improve scalability.

Risks & headwinds

Revenue variability due to contract timing Quarterly

Q4 FY25 revenue $1.9 million vs $2.3 million in Q4 FY24

Mitigation:Focus on building a growing base of recurring and multiperiod activity; balance sheet provides runway to manage variability.

Lower gross margins on strategic government/national lab contracts Quarterly

Q4 FY25 gross margins 35% vs 44% in Q4 FY24

Mitigation:These contracts play an important role in advancing system validation, ecosystem integration, and long-term positioning, despite lower margin profiles.

Technical challenges at higher qubit scale Q4 FY25

Identified tunable coupler interactions on 108-qubit system

Mitigation:Made a deliberate decision to delay general availability, executed architectural refinements, and improved system stability and control through chip redesign.

Quantum computing market remains research-driven Current

Most systems deployed to government labs, national research centers, universities, and early commercial researchers

Mitigation:Focus on delivering on-premise systems to these entities; expect significant spike in interest closer to quantum advantage (approx. 3 years).

Quantum computing is a long cycle opportunity 5 to 10 years

Requires patience, technical rigor and capital discipline

Mitigation:Strategy focused on speed, scalability, fidelity, leveraging ecosystem, rigorous success definition, and long-term investment view. Strong balance sheet provides runway.

What to watch in Q1 FY26

108-qubit system deployment

around the end of March
Current Identified tunable coupler interactions at higher scale, leading to delay
Target Completing deployment of the 108 Qubit system at 99.5% median Two-qubit gate fidelity

Why it matters

This is a key near-term technical milestone for the company's scaling strategy and customer readiness, demonstrating resolution of prior technical challenges.

Our near-term priority is completing deployment of the 108 Qubit system at 99.5% median Two-qubit gate fidelity, which we expect around the end of March.

Find out whether RGTI delivers this. Inve re-checks your case every morning.

Q&A highlights

What are the key remaining gating items to deliver the 108-qubit system as customer-ready?

The company is on track to deploy the 108-qubit system around the end of March with 99.5% 2-qubit gate fidelity. The delay was due to tunable coupler interactions at scale, which have been addressed through a chip redesign and data verification.

“We have done that. We feel pretty good about deploying the system here so. Hopefully, that answers your question.”

asked by Kevin Garrigan · answered by Subodh Kulkarni

2 min read 6 chapters

Detailed narrative

Technical Milestones and Fidelity Advancements

Rigetti achieved a 2-qubit gate fidelity as high as 99.9% at 28 nanosecond gate speed using its proprietary Adiabatic CZ scheme, alongside maintaining 99.9% 1-qubit gate fidelity. The company also reported median 2-qubit gate fidelities of 99.7% on its 9-qubit system, 99.6% on its 36-qubit system, and 99% on its 108-qubit system (CPS-108Q), demonstrating significant progress in materials, fabrication, and system design. This progress helps narrow the fidelity gap with other quantum modalities while delivering speeds significantly faster than some approaches.

Chiplet Architecture and Scaling Strategy

Rigetti successfully deployed multiple systems to the cloud, including an 84-qubit monolithic chip system and a 36-qubit chiplet-based system, validating the chiplet timing in practice. The company views chiplets as crucial for scaling quantum systems beyond 100 qubits, addressing the impracticality of scaling to thousands of qubits on a single die. Architectural refinements were executed to improve system stability and control for the 108-qubit chiplet-based system, underscoring the importance of their in-house foundry.

Fab 1 as a Competitive Advantage

Rigetti operates Fab 1, the industry's only dedicated and integrated quantum device manufacturing facility. This allows for tight coupling of design, fabrication, and testing, enabling faster iteration cycles and proprietary advancements as systems scale. Fab 1 is considered a durable competitive advantage, accelerating the roadmap and creating a barrier to entry for competitors. The company also offers Fab 1 as a foundry to select customers like the DOE, DoD, and U.K. National Government.

Strategic Customer Engagements and On-Premises Demand

The company is experiencing increased demand for on-premises quantum systems, particularly from national governments and research institutions. This includes an $8.4 million order from India's C-DAC for a 108-qubit system and approximately $5.7 million in purchase orders for two 9-qubit Novera systems. A Novera QPU order from a Japanese research organization further expands Rigetti's international presence, with delivery scheduled for April 2026.

Ecosystem Approach and Partnerships

Rigetti emphasizes an open, modular architecture, partnering with companies like Reveriane for real-time quantum error correction, NVIDIA for NVQLink integration with AI supercomputing, and QphoX and the U.K.'s National Quantum Compute Center on optical readout of superconducting qubits. This ecosystem approach provides flexibility, accelerates innovation, and reduces execution risk by integrating best-in-class solutions, reflecting a shared view that quantum computers will coexist with CPUs and GPUs.

Long-Term Vision and Quantum Advantage

Rigetti defines quantum advantage as outperforming classical systems on tactical workloads in real computing environments for commercial applicability, requiring systems on the order of 1,000 qubits, 2-qubit gate fidelity approaching 99.9%, gate speeds below 15 nanoseconds, and integrated error mitigation. The company estimates being roughly three years from reaching this point, prioritizing technical rigor and capital discipline over short-term milestones, with a focus on meaningful, durable impact over the next 5 to 10 years.

Summary of the company's earnings call; see how call summaries are prepared. Not investment advice.