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Rivian (RIVN) Q2 FY26 earnings call: guidance and Q&A

Earnings call· Jun 2026 (Q2 FY26)· Consumer Discretionary· Jul 30, 2026

Source: earnings call transcript

Executive summary

Rivian Q2 FY26 — R2 Launch and Production Ramp Progress

Rivian commenced R2 deliveries in Q2 FY26, reporting strong customer engagement and better-than-expected reservation conversion for the launch edition. The company increased its full-year delivery guidance and improved its adjusted EBITDA loss outlook, despite facing ramp-up inefficiencies for R2 and rising input costs. Management remains focused on scaling R2 production, advancing its autonomy roadmap, and leveraging its vertically integrated technology for long-term profitability.

Highlights

8
  • R2 deliveries began in June, with strong media reviews and positive early customer feedback.

  • 57,000 demo drives hosted in Q2, a Rivian record, indicating accelerating customer engagement.

  • Reservation conversion for the R2 launch edition is "meaningfully higher" than expected.

  • Consolidated revenue grew 27% YoY to $1.66 billion.

  • Automotive gross profit loss improved by $299 million YoY, from -$335 million to -$36 million.

  • Software & Services segment revenue increased 37% YoY to $515 million, with a 42% gross margin.

  • Total vehicle delivery guidance for FY26 increased by 3,000 units to 65,000-70,000.

  • Adjusted EBITDA loss guidance improved by $50 million at the midpoint to $1.8 billion-$2 billion.

Concerns

4
  • $100 million in incremental cost of revenue due to R2 production ramp inefficiencies in Q2.

  • Anticipated negative impact on automotive gross profit in Q3 due to R2 ramp complexity.

  • Raw material, memory, and logistics cost increases partially offset EBITDA improvements.

  • Macro and geopolitical factors creating added complexity, cost, and uncertainty.

Guidance & targets

CategoryTargetConfidence
Total Vehicle Deliveries
65,000-70,000 units
high materiality
High
Adjusted EBITDA Loss
$1.8 billion-$2 billion
high materiality
High
Capital Expenditure
$1.7 billion-$1.8 billion
medium materiality
High
R2 Production Scale
2 shifts
high materiality
High
Autonomy Point-to-Point Capabilities
Rollout
medium materiality
High
Autonomy Hands-off, Eyes-off Capabilities
Delivery
medium materiality
High
Autonomy Level 4 Capabilities (Consumer and Robotaxi)
Delivery
high materiality
High
Gen 3 Autonomy Hardware Launch (RAP1, LiDAR)
Launch
medium materiality
High
R2 Standard and Premium Trims Availability
Introduction
medium materiality
High
Robotaxi Program Deployment (Uber)
Deploying in a couple of cities
medium materiality
High

Segment performance

SegmentRevenueYoYQoQMargin
Automotive
Revenue primarily driven by a 14% increase in vehicle deliveries and a $103 million increase in revenues related to automotive regulatory credits, partially offset by a decline in average selling prices from a higher mix of commercial van and R2 deliveries. Gross profit loss improved by $299 million YoY.
Vehicle deliveries: 12,194 unitsVehicle production: 12,613 unitsRegulatory credits revenue increase: $103 millionAverage selling price: decline
$1.14 billion23%—-$36 million gross profit loss
Software & Services
Revenue primarily due to an increase in vehicle electrical architecture and software development services by the joint venture, repairs and maintenance, and Autonomy Plus, offset by lower remarketing sales. $8 million or 60% of segment revenue was attributable to the joint venture with Volkswagen Group.
Revenue from JV with Volkswagen Group: $8 millionJV revenue as % of segment: 60%
$515 million37%—42% gross margin ($215 million)

Product announcements

ProductTypeDetails
R2launch
Autonomy Plusroadmap
Gen 3 Autonomy Hardware (RAP1, LiDAR)launch
Rivian Assistantlaunch
New EDV Variantsroadmap

Deals & partnerships

Amazon Supply of Electric Delivery Vans (EDVs)

Amazon now has over 40,000 Rivian electric delivery vans active in its fleet across North America. Surpassed 1 billion miles driven on the Rivian commercial van platform. Developing new variants with a larger battery pack and all-wheel drive for Amazon's needs.

Volkswagen Group Joint venture for vehicle electrical architecture and software development services; non-recourse debt $1 billion

Joint venture contributed $8 million (60%) to Software & Services revenue in Q2. Expect to receive $1 billion in non-recourse debt later this year, subject to certain conditions. This debt is part of the over $14 billion total available liquidity and targeted future capital.

Uber Equity investment; robotaxi program $250 million

Expect to receive an additional $250 million equity investment from Uber later this year, subject to completion of certain conditions. This investment is part of the over $14 billion total available liquidity and targeted future capital. Partnering on a robotaxi program targeting deployment in a couple of cities in 2028.

Risks & headwinds

R2 Production Ramp Inefficiencies Q2 and Q3 FY26

$100 million incremental cost of revenue in Q2; negative impact on automotive gross profit in Q3

Mitigation:Scaling production, fixed cost leverage expected in Q4 as production ramps and second shift comes online. Focus on new team member training and process improvements.

Input Cost Increases FY26

Partially offset $50 million EBITDA improvement at midpoint

Mitigation:Ongoing efforts to manage supply chain risks and increasing commodity and memory costs.

Macro and Geopolitical Factors Ongoing

Creating added complexity, cost, and uncertainty

Mitigation:Steadfast plans to invest behind key growth drivers, including autonomy roadmap and sales/service footprint expansion.

Chinese Cost Structure Disparity Long-term, structural

Much lower labor, capital, energy, and land costs in China compared to the U.S.

Mitigation:Navigating complexities around sourcing components and raw materials, recognizing frameworks established around trade and industrial policies.

What to watch in Q3 FY26

R2 Production Ramp to 2 Shifts

End of Q3 FY26
Current Single shift production, progressing well
Target Scale to 2 shifts

Why it matters

Critical for achieving production volume targets, fixed cost leverage, and positive automotive gross profit.

As a reminder, R2 production started with a single shift, and we expect to scale to 2 shifts by the end of the third quarter.

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Q&A highlights

How is the R2 production ramp progressing, and will demand or supply gate deliveries over the next year?

RJ Scaringe detailed the complexity of ramping production, coordinating hundreds of suppliers, and the intentional phased approach. He noted that reservation conversion for the R2 launch edition (the most expensive variant) has been "meaningfully higher" than expected, indicating strong demand. Supply chain coordination is a key focus.

“the conversion rate from reservation to orders has been meaningfully higher than what we expected, which is a great signal.”

asked by Mark Delaney · answered by Robert Scaringe

3 min read 6 chapters

Detailed narrative

R2 Launch and Customer Reception

Rivian commenced R2 deliveries in June, receiving outstanding media reviews and positive early customer feedback, with one journal calling it "one of the best new cars I've driven in years." The company hosted a record 57,000 demo drives in Q2, indicating accelerating customer engagement. Reservation conversion for the R2 launch edition, the most expensive variant, has exceeded internal projections, demonstrating strong market demand for the mid-size SUV segment. A significant number of first-time EV owners are choosing R2, mobilizing latent EV demand.

Production Ramp and Supply Chain Focus

The R2 production ramp at the Normal plant is progressing, with a focus on new team member training and process improvements for the first shift. Rivian expects to scale to two shifts by the end of Q3 FY26. Supply chain teams are actively working on-site with suppliers to support the ramp in the back half of the year and into next year, acknowledging the complexity of coordinating hundreds of partners. The company's experience from R1 and structured validation builds have led to fewer unexpected surprises in the R2 ramp.

Autonomy Roadmap and AI Integration

Rivian is heavily investing in autonomy, with point-to-point capabilities expected by year-end, hands-off/eyes-off (Level 3) in 2027, and Level 4 for consumer and robotaxi variants in 2028. The company is launching its third-generation autonomy hardware, including the in-house designed RAP1 silicon and LiDAR, by the end of 2026. Autonomy Plus take rates are trending positively, with further increases expected as capabilities expand, driven by the transition to Level 3 making the feature more accessible for mass adoption. Rivian Assistant, an AI-powered voice assistant, rolled out on R1 in May and will launch on R2 later this year.

Amazon Partnership and Commercial Vans

Amazon's fleet now includes over 40,000 Rivian electric delivery vans (EDVs) active across North America, having surpassed 1 billion miles driven on the platform. Rivian is developing new EDV variants with larger battery packs and all-wheel drive to meet Amazon's evolving needs. The significant ramping of EDV purchases by Amazon is seen as a strong signal of the platform's total cost of ownership (TCO) advantages, which Rivian expects will eventually attract other commercial operators.

Financial Position and Capital Allocation

Rivian ended Q2 FY26 with $5.3 billion in cash, cash equivalents, and short-term investments. A July follow-on equity offering raised $1.3 billion by selling 86.25 million Class A shares. The company expects to receive $1 billion in non-recourse debt from Volkswagen Group and a $250 million equity investment from Uber later this year, bringing total available liquidity and targeted future capital to over $14 billion. Capital expenditure guidance for FY26 was reduced by $250 million at the midpoint to $1.7 billion-$1.8 billion, benefiting from project efficiencies.

Cost Structure and Competitive Landscape

Management acknowledged the significant cost structure differences between US and Chinese EV manufacturing, primarily due to much lower labor, capital, energy, and land costs in China. This disparity influences Rivian's supply chain strategy and trade policy considerations, as the company navigates complexities to source components and raw materials while adhering to established trade frameworks. Rivian aims to optimize purely around cost in a world of open trade, but recognizes the current environment of intentional industrial policies.

Summary of the company's earnings call; see how call summaries are prepared. Not investment advice.