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Regal Rexnord (RRX) Q2 FY26 earnings call: guidance and Q&A

Earnings call· Jun 2026 (Q2 FY26)· Industrials· Aug 5, 2026

Source: earnings call transcript

Executive summary

Regal Rexnord Q2 FY26 — Strong Orders and Deleveraging Amidst Price/Cost Headwinds

New CEO Aamir Paul outlined initial impressions and priorities, while Q2 FY26 saw strong order momentum, particularly in Automation and Motion Control (AMC), and continued progress on deleveraging. However, the company adjusted its full-year margin and cash flow guidance due to a lag in price realization against inflation, slower productivity gains prioritizing service levels, and mix impacts, especially in Power Efficiency Solutions (PES).

Highlights

5
  • Enterprise orders on a daily basis were up 8.8% versus the prior year, or 8.1% excluding data center.

  • Automation and Motion Control (AMC) orders were a standout positive, up 17.1% versus the prior year period, and up 15% excluding data center.

  • Adjusted free cash flow was $154 million in the quarter, a nice sequential improvement.

  • Net debt leverage is expected to be below 3x in the second half of FY26, an important deleveraging milestone.

  • AMC organic sales were up over 15% versus the prior year, driven by strong execution and secular markets.

Concerns

5
  • Adjusted EPS for the quarter was $2.60 excluding the benefit from IEEPA tariff refunds, representing 5% adjusted earnings growth.

  • Adjusted EBITDA margin forecast for FY26 (excluding refunds) was lowered to 21.3% from prior guidance.

  • Full-year 2026 cash flow guidance was lowered by $50 million to $600 million, primarily due to incremental working capital investments for improved order strength.

  • Power Efficiency Solutions (PES) organic sales were down 6.6% versus the prior year, primarily driven by weakness in residential HVAC and pool.

  • Industrial Powertrain Solutions (IPS) annual sales growth guidance was lowered to low single digits from mid-single digits, reflecting a weaker outlook for large projects.

Guidance & targets

CategoryTargetConfidence
Full-year 2026 Sales Growth
4.5%
high materiality
High
Full-year 2026 Adjusted EBITDA Margin
22.1%
high materiality
Medium
Full-year 2026 Adjusted EPS
$10.35 to $10.85
high materiality
High
Full-year 2026 Cash Flow
$600 million
high materiality
Medium
Net Debt Leverage
below 3x
high materiality
High
AMC Annual Sales Growth
low double digits
medium materiality
High
IPS Annual Sales Growth
low single digits
medium materiality
Medium
PES Annual Sales Growth
flat to low single-digit decline
medium materiality
Medium
IPS Shippable Backlog for 2027
up over 20%
medium materiality
High
Data Center Switchgear Sales
$180 million
medium materiality
High
Data Center Switchgear Sales
$240 million to $250 million
medium materiality
Medium

Segment performance

SegmentRevenueYoYQoQMargin
Automation and Motion Control (AMC)
Performance reflects broad-based strength, especially in data center, discrete automation, and aerospace and defense. Margin improvement mainly reflects higher volumes, partially offset by growth investments. Strong order performance is supporting healthy top line growth, with nearly half of order growth reflecting longer-cycle projects for 2027/2028.
Adjusted EBITDA margin excluding refunds: 19.9%Adjusted EBITDA margin change YoY: up 40 bpsOrders daily YoY: up 17.1%Orders daily YoY (excluding data center): up 15%Book-to-bill: 1.02July orders daily YoY: up 7.4%H1 daily orders YoY: up over 25%
—15.6% organic—21.1% adjusted EBITDA
Industrial Powertrain Solutions (IPS)
Growth led by the energy market (including power gen) benefiting from data center demand. Weakness in machinery off-highway (ag market). Margins were down due to product mix, growth investments, and higher inflation. Recent large project momentum has improved, with benefits likely in 2027.
Adjusted EBITDA margin excluding refunds: 25.9%Orders daily YoY: up 6.7%Distributor channel orders: up 8%Short-cycle OEM orders: up 4% (6% H1)Large project orders: up 8%Book-to-bill: 1.06July orders daily YoY: up 7.7%
—2% organic—27.1% adjusted EBITDA
Power Efficiency Solutions (PES)
Decline driven by weakness in residential HVAC and pool markets, with lingering excess channel inventories. Commercial HVAC remains strong, aided by data center construction and regional outgrowth initiatives. Margins reflect weaker performance in residential HVAC aftermarket and underperformance in pool distribution.
Adjusted EBITDA margin excluding refunds: 16.2%Orders daily YoY: up 3.5%Book-to-bill: 1.0July orders daily YoY: up 5.4%
—down 6.6% organic—20.5% adjusted EBITDA

RRX operating KPIs by quarter

RRX operating KPIs stated on its earnings calls, by fiscal quarter
KPI Mar 2026 Q1 FY26This call Jun 2026 Q2 FY26Change vs prior quarter
Employees
30K So before continuing, I want to thank our 30,000 Regal Rexnord associates for their hard work and disciplined execution, in particular, around achieving market share gains and executing strategic investments to support future growth. Source: earnings call transcript
30K Our team delivered solid second quarter performance, and I want to begin by thanking our 30,000 Regal Rexnord associates for their hard work and disciplined execution. Source: earnings call transcript
0%
Book-to-bill ratio AMC
1.24 ratio Book-to-bill in the first quarter for AMC was 1.24. Source: earnings call transcript
1.02 ratio Book-to-bill in the second quarter for AMC was 1.02. Source: earnings call transcript
-17.7%
Book-to-bill ratio IPS
1.09 ratio Book-to-bill in the first quarter for IPS was 1.09. Source: earnings call transcript
1.06 ratio Book-to-bill in the second quarter for IPS was $1.06. Source: earnings call transcript
-2.8%
Book-to-bill ratio PES
1.13 ratio Book-to-bill in the quarter for PES was 1.13. Source: earnings call transcript
1 ratio Book-to-bill in the quarter for PES was 1.0. Source: earnings call transcript
-11.5%

Operating figures the company stated on at least two of the calls shown, checked against each call's transcript. Click a figure to read the sentence. A dash means it was not stated that quarter.

Capital programs

ePod Facility Ramp underway

The new facility is on schedule, infrastructure is nearly complete, leadership team has been hired, and direct labor is ramping up. It is on track to be operational to support customer production schedules.

Risks & headwinds

Higher-than-anticipated inflation H2 FY26

higher material, freight and energy costs

Mitigation:Implementing price increases and surcharges; continued execution of price/cost discipline.

Lag in price realization relative to inflation H2 FY26

modest headwinds

Mitigation:Scheduled price increases and working with channel partners to ensure flow-through, but acknowledging a timing lag.

Longer timeline to realize planned productivity gains near-term

slowing productivity actions

Mitigation:Prioritizing service levels and growth, particularly in AMC, to ensure customer satisfaction and support growth trajectory.

Weakness in residential HVAC and pool markets Q2 FY26, ongoing

PES organic sales down 6.6%

Mitigation:Offset by stronger commercial HVAC market and regional outgrowth initiatives.

Incremental friction from Section 232 tariffs Q2 FY26

OEMs delaying orders and production decisions

Mitigation:Monitoring the rapidly evolving situation; Section 301 tariffs impact is minimal and factored into guidance.

IPS large projects business rolling off FY26

lowering annual sales growth guidance to low single digits

Mitigation:Recent large project momentum has improved, with benefits likely to accrue in 2027, supported by increased shippable backlog.

Rare earth magnet availability for defense applications ongoing

progress for approvals remains slow

Mitigation:Sourcing and mitigation actions are progressing for commercial uses; primary risk is not being able to service additional demand for defense, rather than impacting current backlog.

What to watch in Q3 FY26

AMC Margin Expansion

next year
Current 21.1% adjusted EBITDA margin in Q2 FY26
Target further margin expansion

Why it matters

Indicates segment profitability improvement and overall company margin trajectory.

Notably, AMC's adjusted EBITDA margin improved this quarter and has room for further improvement, especially in the fourth quarter, which I will discuss in more detail later in the presentation. We expect further margin expansion in AMC as we move through next year, but we are not providing any further guidance in that regard at this time.

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Q&A highlights

When do you expect order and revenue numbers to start converging, given strong order trends but lagging revenue, especially with longer-cycle projects for 2027?

Orders are very strong, with July showing continued strength. Lagging revenue is due to timing issues in IPS large projects (mining) and market-driven noise in PES, both expected to improve in 2027. AMC's strong orders are supporting top-line growth, with some longer-cycle projects benefiting 2027/2028. No visible obstacles beyond macro trends.

“As I said on the call, we have about 20% higher shippable backlog in '27 at this time versus what we would have had at the same time last year. So that gives us quite a bit of confidence as we move into the back half of this year and move into '27.”

asked by Michael Halloran · answered by Robert Rehard

2 min read 6 chapters

Detailed narrative

CEO's Initial Impressions and Priorities

New CEO Aamir Paul, who joined on July 1, shared his initial impressions after 5 weeks, highlighting the strength of the team, robust channel and customer relationships, and the company's strong franchise with trusted brands and a large installed base. His immediate priorities involve extensive listening and learning from teams, customers, channel partners, and investors to better understand the business and customer needs. He emphasized the importance of building relationships and understanding operations as the company continues its integration efforts.

Data Center Opportunity and Strategy

Regal Rexnord sees significant opportunities in the data center market, driven by the critical need for accelerated time-to-power and modular delivery solutions. The company is leveraging its long-standing customer relationships in Thompson Power, which invited Regal to enter the ePod business due to dissatisfaction with existing quality and delivery. The strategy is to scale with current customers, assess profitability after initial deliveries, and then potentially expand to other market opportunities, while also exploring air moving elements from PES for modular solutions.

Price/Cost Dynamics and Inflation

The company is experiencing higher material, freight, and energy costs across all segments, leading to expected modest price/cost headwinds in the second half of the year. Management acknowledges a lag in price realization, where inflation impacts are immediate, but price increases take time to flow through to sell-out numbers. Regal Rexnord is implementing scheduled price increases and surcharges to mitigate these pressures, aiming to restore reasonable margins, but expects to remain somewhat behind on price/cost in the near term.

Productivity vs. Service Levels

Regal Rexnord has made a strategic decision to slow down some planned productivity actions, particularly within the AMC segment, to prioritize maintaining high service levels. This choice was made to ensure customer satisfaction and support the strong order growth the company is experiencing, even if it means delaying some cost savings. Management clarified that this is not due to declining service levels but rather a proactive measure to protect them amidst increased demand and growth initiatives.

ePod Production and Outlook

The new ePod facility is progressing on schedule, with infrastructure nearing completion and direct labor being ramped up, positioning it to be operational in time to support customer production schedules. The company expects to record $15 million in ePod sales in Q4 FY26. Management reiterated its prior projection of approximately 20% margin for the ePod business and anticipates providing further updates on the cadence of ePod revenues as more clarity emerges.

IPS Project Timing and Recovery

The Industrial Powertrain Solutions (IPS) segment is facing a temporary 'air pocket' in its large projects business for FY26, primarily due to prior-year metals and mining projects rolling off. However, recent large project momentum has improved, with benefits expected to accrue in FY27. This is supported by IPS's shippable backlog for 2027 being up over 20% compared to the 2026 shippable backlog at the same time last year, signaling a strong recovery for the segment in the coming year.

Summary of the company's earnings call; see how call summaries are prepared. Not investment advice.