US ▾
TTTTD

Trade Desk (TTD) Q1 FY26 earnings call: guidance and Q&A

Earnings call· Mar 2026 (Q1 FY26)· May 7, 2026

Source: earnings call transcript

Executive summary

The Trade Desk Q1 FY26 — Solid Growth Amidst Macro Headwinds and AI Innovation

The Trade Desk delivered solid Q1 FY26 results with 12% revenue growth and strong adjusted EBITDA margins, driven by CTV and audio. Despite a complex macro environment and geopolitical uncertainties impacting certain verticals, the company remains confident in the long-term opportunity for programmatic advertising. Strategic investments in AI, retail media, and measurement, alongside strong JBP growth, position TTD to capitalize on the evolving open Internet and the shift towards data-driven advertising.

Highlights

5
  • Q1 FY26 revenue of $689 million, representing 12% year-over-year growth.

  • Adjusted EBITDA of $206 million in Q1 FY26, achieving a 30% margin.

  • Audio channel grew faster than any other channel in Q1 FY26, representing approximately 6% of the business.

  • Total JBP count grew 55% year-over-year in Q1 FY26, with new JBP deal spend (excluding renewals) up 40% year-over-year.

  • Audience Unlimited delivered 30% lower CPMs, 38% lower data costs, 75% more efficient CPA, and a 2.7x increase in conversion rate in a recent test.

Concerns

4
  • Q2 FY26 revenue guidance of at least $750 million implies a deceleration in year-over-year growth compared to Q1 FY26.

  • Continued pressure in Home & Garden and Food & Drink sectors due to geopolitical uncertainty, consumer softness, and input cost inflation.

  • Automotive sector growth impacted by increased tariffs on the industry.

  • Macro environment has become more complex in 2026 due to geopolitical tensions, global economic pressures, wars, and tariffs.

Guidance & targets

CategoryTargetConfidence
Revenue
at least $750 million
high materiality
High
Adjusted EBITDA
approximately $260 million
high materiality
High
Adjusted EBITDA margin percentage
at least 40%
high materiality
High
Headcount growth
remain below revenue growth
medium materiality
High

Segment performance

SegmentRevenueYoYQoQMargin
Video (including CTV)
Continues to grow as a percentage of the channel mix.
Percentage of business: low-50s percent
————
Mobile
Percentage of business: high 20s percent
————
Display
Percentage of business: low double-digit share
————
Audio
Grew year-over-year at a rate higher than any other channel in Q1.
Percentage of business: around 6%
—higher than any other channel——
United States
Percentage of revenue: approximately 82%
————
International
Reflects investments and momentum in CTV across EMEA and APAC.
Percentage of revenue: approximately 18%
————
Medical Health vertical
Among verticals representing at least 1% of business.
—strong growth——
Automotive vertical
Overall strength, though growth would be faster absent tariff impacts.
—strong growth——
Events vertical
Among verticals representing at least 1% of business.
—strong growth——
Home & Garden vertical
Pressure due to geopolitical uncertainty, consumer softness, and input cost inflation.
—pressure——
Food & Drink vertical
Pressure due to geopolitical uncertainty, consumer softness, and input cost inflation.
—pressure——

Product announcements

ProductTypeDetails
Audience Unlimitedlaunch
On-site retail media integrationsexpansion
Lyft Ads (off-site rider experience)expansion
Agentic AI for campaign managementlaunch

Deals & partnerships

Stagwell Leveraging agentic AI to create, edit, and modify campaigns, with future plans for agentic optimizations.

First of many partnerships to leverage agentic AI for campaign management, enhancing productivity and effectiveness in programmatic advertising.

Koddi Integration for on-site retail media, enabling programmatic access to sponsored listings.

Part of an effort to unlock on-site retail media, allowing advertisers to access sponsored listings programmatically.

Dollar General Integration for on-site retail media, enabling programmatic access to sponsored listings.

Part of an effort to unlock on-site retail media, allowing advertisers to access sponsored listings programmatically.

Lyft Ads Powering Lyft's off-site rider experience, or mobility media.

Enables Lyft to bring together first-party data, measurement, and cross-channel execution for more relevant ad experiences and optimized performance campaigns.

Publicis Ongoing negotiations for the next chapter of their partnership, following billions of dollars of business since 2018.

Discussions are ongoing regarding the future of the partnership, with management hoping to conclude the public discussion.

Risks & headwinds

Macroeconomic and geopolitical uncertainty 2026, near term

Q2 revenue guidance implies deceleration; pressure in Home & Garden and Food & Drink sectors; Automotive growth impacted by increased tariffs.

Mitigation:Sophisticated brands are becoming more data-driven; company is making disciplined investments in platform innovation, AI, retail media, and measurement; global investments are proving wise.

Broken measurement methodologies current

Last-touch attribution over-credits lower funnel impressions, undervalues awareness; 95% of social ads seen for less than 2 seconds (example from marketer).

Mitigation:Industry commitment to fixing measurement for AI-backed initiatives; TTD focused on improving measurement, data-driven decisioning, and data discovery; promoting holistic decision-making and lifetime value.

Supply-demand imbalance in advertising market current

Multiples more supply than demand in 2025, creating a 'buyers' market'.

Mitigation:Focus on the open Internet thriving and evolving; partnering with premium publishers (Disney, Spotify, Netflix) to improve supply chains and data-driven advertising; TTD's objective platform provides value in a buyer's market.

What to watch in Q2 FY26

Q2 Revenue performance

next quarter
Current Q1 revenue $689M, Q2 guidance at least $750M
Target Meet or exceed $750 million

Why it matters

Verifies the company's ability to navigate macro headwinds and achieve its short-term growth targets, impacting full-year outlook.

For Q2, we expect revenue to be at least $750 million.

Find out whether TTD delivers this. Inve re-checks your case every morning.

Q&A highlights

Analyst asked for comments on Publicis discussions and factors driving the Q2 revenue deceleration.

Jeff Green confirmed ongoing negotiations with Publicis, stating the public discussion has been "overdramatized" and expressing hope for its conclusion. Regarding deceleration, he attributed it to macro uncertainty (geopolitical instability, tariffs, consumer pressures) impacting large brand advertisers, but emphasized strong long-term structural drivers and opportunities in measurement, retail data, AI, and publisher cooperation.

“There's been a lot said about conflict and often it's framed in the most conflict-rich language that the press can provide, and I think that's been overdramatized. And I'm hopeful that we're nearing the end of this public discussion.”

asked by Shyam Patil · answered by Jeffrey Green

2 min read 6 chapters

Detailed narrative

Macro Environment and Strategic Response

The global macro environment in 2026 is characterized by increased geopolitical tensions, economic pressures, wars, and tariffs, creating a challenging landscape for large brand advertisers. Despite these headwinds, The Trade Desk views this as an opportunity for sophisticated brands to become more data-driven, which benefits their platform. The company's global investments are proving wise, with international markets growing faster.

Evolution of the Open Internet

The advertising ecosystem is experiencing a significant supply-demand imbalance, creating a buyer's market. This dynamic is pushing premium advertisers and publishers towards more efficient, data-driven supply chains within the open Internet. Management believes the open Internet is thriving and evolving rapidly, poised to become the primary destination for ad dollars, eventually leading walled gardens to open their inventory.

Publisher Partnerships and AI Opportunities

Key publishers like Disney, Spotify, NBCU, and Netflix are actively partnering with The Trade Desk to leverage programmatic, biddable advertising, and data for higher CPMs and more effective ad experiences. The rise of LLMs and AI search engines (e.g., ChatGPT, Perplexity, Gemini) is also seen as a significant opportunity to unlock new, more premium inventory beyond traditional keyword-based search, expanding the total addressable market.

Measurement and Data-Driven Decisioning

Management highlights that current measurement methodologies, heavily reliant on last-touch attribution, are "broken" and disadvantage top-of-funnel advertising like CTV and audio. There is a growing industry commitment to improving measurement, which is crucial for unlocking the next phase of growth for the open Internet and enabling AI-backed initiatives. Leading marketers are focused on leveraging data, making holistic decisions, and understanding lifetime customer value.

Innovation and Platform Upgrades

The Trade Desk is focused on enhancing its platform through AI-fueled decisioning, improving measurement, and optimizing data discovery and supply chain efficiency. Key innovations include Audience Unlimited, which significantly lowers CPMs and data costs while increasing conversion, and integrating with retail media partners like Koddi and Dollar General for programmatic access to sponsored listings. The company also announced a partnership with Stagwell to leverage agentic AI for campaign creation and optimization.

Objective Platform and JBP Growth

The company emphasizes its objectivity as a key differentiator, not owning inventory and avoiding conflicting incentives. This objective position allows its AI models to optimize for advertisers' goals across the entire ecosystem. This approach is translating into business success, with March being a record month for JBP signings (45 deals) and Q1 total JBP count growing 55% year-over-year, demonstrating strong client commitment.

Summary of the company's earnings call; see how call summaries are prepared. Not investment advice.