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What Alkermes plc. promised, and what happened

Guidance Tracker · every commitment management made on a call, tracked from the quarter it was made

Guidance

What management said, and what became of it

34 of 40 judged targets kept · 46 open · verdicts reflect calls analysed to Jun 2026.

TargetOriginal wordingSaidLatest callVerdict
Adjusted EBITDA$100 million to $120 millionMar 2026Jun 2026:Adjusted EBITDA was $139.2 million, which we believe is more representative of cash generated by the business during the quarter.
Call transcript, Jun 2026 · no direct link
Achieved
Cost of goods sold$85 million to $95 millionMar 2026Jun 2026:Cost of goods sold in the second quarter were $98.1 million, which includes the purchase price fair value accounting of LUMRYZ inventory that we described last quarter.
Call transcript, Jun 2026 · no direct link
Missed
EBITDA$60 million to $90 millionDec 2025Jun 2026:We now expect GAAP net loss in the range of $95 million to $115 million and positive EBITDA in the range of $75 million to $95 million.
Call transcript, Jun 2026 · no direct link
Revised Down

A verdict describes what became of management’s own words in later analysed calls. “Delayed” is a change of date, “went quiet” a target the calls stopped mentioning. None of it is a judgement on the investment. The methodology sets out how verdicts are recorded.

The full ledger

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The rest of the ledger

Pro opens all 86 tracked commitments for Alkermes plc.

Above is what the last two calls moved. Pro adds every quarter's revision, the source quote behind each one, and the topics management has stopped answering.