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RIRITM

What Rithm Capital promised, and what happened

Guidance Tracker · every commitment management made on a call, tracked from the quarter it was made

Guidance

What management said, and what became of it

6 of 6 judged targets kept · 9 open · verdicts reflect calls analysed to Jun 2026.

TargetOriginal wordingSaidLatest callVerdict
Newrez full-year funded origination volume growthFull-year 2026 origination growth of approximately 10% versus 2025's $63 billionDec 2025Jun 2026:This year, we project to originate about $65 billion in mortgage loans.
Call transcript, Jun 2026 · no direct link
Revised Down
1301 Avenue of the Americas JV partner closingClose a third-party JV partnership on the 1301 Avenue of the Americas asset by the end of Q3 2026Jun 2026Jun 2026:We are currently -- we went out with 13016 Avenue, we have an LOI, we're finalizing some documents. We'll likely have a partner on that asset that will probably close by the end of Q3.
Call transcript, Jun 2026 · no direct link
New

A verdict describes what became of management’s own words in later analysed calls. “Delayed” is a change of date, “went quiet” a target the calls stopped mentioning. None of it is a judgement on the investment. The methodology sets out how verdicts are recorded.

The full ledger

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The rest of the ledger

Pro opens all 15 tracked commitments for Rithm Capital

Above is what the last two calls moved. Pro adds every quarter's revision, the source quote behind each one, and the topics management has stopped answering.